Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 10.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 486.6

Total Profit: +386.5



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Brendan Steele 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.41% 4.92% 1.52% T53
2 USA Russell Henley 22 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.41% 3.18% -0.22% T51
3 SWE Alexander Noren 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.41% 1.29% -2.11% T9
4 USA Ryan Moore 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.41% 1.05% -2.36% T12
5 USA Sam Burns 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.01% 1.93% -1.08% MC
6 USA Patrick Rodgers 28 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.7% 2.45% -0.25% T19 26.37
7 USA Lanto Griffin 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.3% 2.58% 0.27% 58 22.5
8 USA Richy Werenski 33 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.3% 2.19% -0.11% 1 22.5 +486.6
9 ARG Emiliano Grillo 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.3% 1.46% -0.85% T9
10 USA Kurt Kitayama 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.3% 1.05% -1.25% MC
11 AUT Matthias Schwab 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.18% 1.91% -0.27% T3
12 USA Bud Cauley 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 1.39% -0.52% T51
13 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 1.29% -0.62% MC
14 AUS Cameron Davis 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 1.15% -0.77% T32
15 GER Martin Kaymer 40 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.91% 0.99% -0.92% MC
16 KOR Siwoo Kim 45 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.7% 1.79% 0.09% T41
17 RSA Branden Grace 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.7% 0.62% -1.09% WD
18 USA William Gordon 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 2.51% 0.98% T41 15
19 USA Scott Stallings 50 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% 1.5% -0.03% T5
20 USA Troy Merritt 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.33% -0.2% 2
21 USA Pat Perez 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.21% -0.32% 18
22 USA Kyle Stanley 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% 1.02% -0.51% T12
23 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 0.59% -0.94% T19
24 USA Maverick McNealy 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.4% 3.32% 1.92% 7 13.66
25 USA Adam Schenk 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.4% 1.55% 0.16% T12
26 USA Ryan Armour 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.71% 0.54% MC
27 USA Sam Ryder 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.54% 0.37% T21
28 USA Charley Hoffman 66 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% 1.44% 0.27% T25
29 USA Wyndham Clark 66 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% 0.82% -0.35% T35
30 USA Ben Martin 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.72% -0.45% MC
31 USA Nick Watney 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.66% -0.51% MC
32 USA Aaron Wise 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.58% -0.58% 8
33 USA Bronson Burgoon 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.52% -0.65% MC
34 USA Brian Stuard 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.1% 1.33% 0.22% MC
35 USA Denny McCarthy 70 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.1% 1.01% -0.09% T32
36 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 1.25% 0.28% 40
37 USA Chase Seiffert 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 1.04% 0.08% MC
38 USA Chesson Hadley 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.91% -0.06% 17
39 USA Robby Shelton 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.89% -0.07% 59
40 USA Brandon Hagy 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 0.61% -0.36% T12
41 SCO Russell Knox 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.46% -0.5% T25
42 USA Matthew NeSmith 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% 1.4% 0.54% 57
43 USA Joseph Bramlett 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% 1.23% 0.37% T12
44 USA Peter Uihlein 90 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% 1.17% 0.31% T35
45 USA Austin Cook 90 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% 1% 0.14% T53
46 USA Chris Stroud 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.86% 0.09% MC
47 USA Wes Roach 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.52% -0.25% MC
48 USA Bo Hoag 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.52% -0.26% T29
49 IRL Seamus Power 110 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 1.03% 0.32% T9
50 USA Chris Baker 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.84% 0.13% T53
51 USA Doug Ghim 110 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.68% -0.03% T48
52 AUS Aaron Baddeley 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.95% 0.33% MC
53 USA Josh Teater 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.76% 0.14% MC
54 USA Brandon Harkins 125 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.27% -0.35% MC
55 RSA MJ Daffue 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 1.08% 0.56% MC
56 USA J.J Spaun 150 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.83% 0.31% T48
57 USA Beau Hossler 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.63% 0.12% T21
58 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.57% 0.05% MC
59 USA Zac Blair 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.54% 0.02% T35
60 ARG Fabian Gomez 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.43% -0.08% T3
61 NZL Tim Wilkinson 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% 0.64% 0.15% T41
62 USA Bill Haas 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.82% 0.37% MC
63 USA Peter Malnati 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.75% 0.3% T41
64 USA George McNeill 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.62% 0.17% MC
65 CAN Roger Sloan 175 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.46% 0.02% T41
66 USA Sahith Theegala 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.28% -0.16% T41
67 USA Brian Gay 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.63% 0.24% T41
68 USA Zack Sucher 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.59% 0.2% MC
69 USA Robert Streb 200 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.53% 0.14% T5
70 USA Kramer Hickok 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.52% 0.13% MC
71 GER Alex Cejka 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.52% 0.13% T61
72 USA Mark Anderson 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.51% 0.12% T32
73 USA Jonathan Byrd 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.45% 0.06% MC
74 USA Kevin Tway 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.43% 0.04% T35
75 USA Johnson Wagner 200 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.26% -0.13% MC
76 USA Sam Saunders 200 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.25% -0.14% MC
77 USA Shawn Stefani 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.7% 0.38% MC
78 USA Vincent Whaley 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.66% 0.35% MC
79 AUS Rhein Gibson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.62% 0.31% 60
80 CAN Michael Gligic 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.56% 0.25% T25
81 USA Rob Oppenheim 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.5% 0.19% T29
82 USA Roberto Castro 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.5% 0.19% T21
83 USA Ted Potter-jr 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.49% 0.17% MC
84 USA Michael Gellerman 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.33% 0.02% T61
85 AUS Cameron Percy 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.24% -0.07% T25
86 IND Arjun Atwal 275 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% T53
87 CAN David Hearn 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.15% T48
88 USA Robert Garrigus 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.04% MC
89 USA Ryan Blaum 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.28% 0.02% MC
90 USA D.J. Trahan 300 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.27% 0.01% MC
91 USA Ricky Barnes 300 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.26% 0% MC
92 USA Ryan Brehm 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.26% 0% MC
93 USA Tyler McCumber 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.58% 0.36% T29
94 USA Bo Van Pelt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.41% 0.19% MC
95 USA Matt Every 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.31% 0.09% MC
96 KOR Sangmoon Bae 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% T35
97 USA Dominic Bozzelli 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.26% 0.04% MC
98 USA Chad Campbell 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
99 SWE Freddie Jacobson 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.29% 0.1% MC
100 AUS Greg Chalmers 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.29% 0.09% MC
101 USA John Merrick 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% MC
102 SWE David Lingmerth 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.27% 0.08% MC
103 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.27% 0.08% MC
104 ENG Benjamin Taylor 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.26% 0.07% MC
105 USA Hunter Mahan 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
106 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
107 USA Jason Gore 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.12% MC
108 USA Gregor Main 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.12% MC
109 ARG Nelson Ledesma 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.11% MC
110 KOR Charlie Wi 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
111 AUS John Senden 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.37% 0.26% MC
112 USA Peter Kuest 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.2% 65
113 USA Michael Kim 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% WD
114 SWE Daniel Chopra 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.17% MC
115 USA Parker McLachlin 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.17% MC
116 USA Dylan Meyer 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
117 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.53% 0.46% MC
118 USA Jason Bohn 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
119 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
120 USA John Rollins 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
121 USA Ted Purdy 1000 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
122 USA Dicky Pride 1000 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% 64
123 USA David Berganio-Jr 1000 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
124 USA Shaun Micheel 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.27% 0.21% MC
125 ENG Brian Davis 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0% -0.06% 63
126 USA Omar Uresti 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0% -0.04% 66
127 USA Eric Axley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
129 USA Jonathan Kaye 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 USA Derek Bayley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 USA Tyler Weworski 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 24.9%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 24.9%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.6% 26.2%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 51.4% 26.6%
5 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44% 28.3%
6 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 45.3% 29.5%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 42.5% 29.8%
8 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 44.3% 31.5%
9 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
10 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
11 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
13 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 58.8% 32.8%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.2% 35.9%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49.2% 35.9%
16 GentingBet 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 42.3%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.2% 45.1%