Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 0.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 0.0

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit:

BMW PGA CHAMPIONSHIP

19/09/2019 - 22/09/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 6 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.37% 0% 0% T9
2 ESP Jon Rahm 11 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.05% 0% 0% 2
3 ENG Paul Casey 14 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 6.67% 4.84% 0% 0% T11
4 ENG Justin Rose 18 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.82% 0% 0% 8
5 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 20 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.46% 0% 0% T60
6 SWE Henrik Stenson 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% 0% 0% T17
7 USA Tony Finau 25 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 0% 0% T51
8 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 0% 0% T46
9 IRL Shane Lowry 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 0% 0% T11
10 ITA Francesco Molinari 28 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 0% 0% T14
11 ENG Matt Wallace 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 0% 0% T41
12 NOR Viktor Hovland 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 0% 0% T11
13 USA Patrick Reed 30 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.34% 0% 0% T4
14 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 0% 0% T17
15 SWE Alexander Noren 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 0% 0% T28
16 RSA Erik van Rooyen 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 0% 0% T14
17 BEL Thomas Pieters 45 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.58% 0% 0% T37
18 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 50 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% 0% 0% MC
19 USA Billy Horschel 55 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.3% 0% 0% T4
20 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% 0% 0% T6
21 ENG Ian Poulter 66 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.08% 0% 0% T60
22 NED Joost Luiten 66 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.08% 0% 0% T31
23 ENG Danny Willett 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0% 0% 1
24 AUT Matthias Schwab 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0% 0% T28
25 ENG Lee Westwood 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 0% 0% MC
26 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 0% 0% T37
27 SCO Robert MacIntyre 75 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.95% 0% 0% T28
28 GER Martin Kaymer 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0% 0% T57
29 USA Andrew Putnam 80 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0% 0% T21
30 ITA Andrea Pavan 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0% 0% T46
31 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0% 0% MC
32 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0% 0% T51
33 ENG Tom Lewis 90 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0% 0% MC
34 SWE Marcus Kinhult 90 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0% 0% T46
35 RSA Branden Grace 100 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0% 0% T60
36 ENG Andrew Johnston 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0% 0% T9
37 ENG Eddie Pepperell 100 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0% 0% MC
38 BEL Thomas Detry 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0% 0% MC
39 ENG Sam Horsfield 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0% 0% T31
40 ENG Ross Fisher 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0% 0% T31
41 ENG Andy Sullivan 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0% 0% 74
42 SCO Russell Knox 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0% 0% T46
43 MAS Gavin Green 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0% 0% T72
44 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% 0% 0% T51
45 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0% 0% MC
46 RSA Justin Harding 150 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0% 0% MC
47 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0% 0% 3
48 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0% 0% MC
49 FRA Romain Langasque 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0% 0% T17
50 ENG Paul Waring 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0% 0% T21
51 ESP Jorge Campillo 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0% 0% MC
52 AUS Lucas Herbert 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0% 0% MC
53 FRA Alexander Levy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0% 0% MC
54 RSA Richard Sterne 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0% 0% T31
55 ENG Chris Wood 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0% 0% T51
56 AUS Wade Ormsby 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0% 0% MC
57 ENG James Morrison 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0% 0% MC
58 ENG Matthew Southgate 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0% 0% MC
59 ENG Aaron Rai 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0% 0% T26
60 RSA George Coetzee 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0% 0% 71
61 IRL Padraig Harrington 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0% 0% T46
62 ARG Andres Romero 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0% 0% MC
63 FIN Mikko Korhonen 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0% 0% T37
64 SWE Joakim Lagergren 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0% 0% T24
65 ENG Jordan L Smith 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0% 0% T24
66 ENG Luke Donald 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% MC
67 JPN Hideto Tanihara 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% MC
68 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% T64
69 SCO Scott Jamieson 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% T57
70 RSA Haydn Porteous 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% WD
71 AUS Jason Scrivener 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% MC
72 RSA Dean Burmester 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% MC
73 ENG Chris Paisley 250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% MC
74 ITA Renato Paratore 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% T41
75 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% T64
76 ENG Ashley Chesters 250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0% 0% T21
77 ENG Lee Slattery 275 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0% 0% MC
78 USA Kurt Kitayama 275 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0% 0% T14
79 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% T31
80 SCO Richie Ramsay 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% T6
81 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% MC
82 FRA Romain Wattel 300 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% MC
83 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% T57
84 WAL Bradley Dredge 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% MC
85 ESP Alvaro Quiros 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% T64
86 ENG Robert Rock 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% MC
87 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% T41
88 ESP Nacho Elvira 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% MC
89 RSA Brandon Stone 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% MC
90 USA Julian Suri 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0% 0% T31
91 FRA Benjamin Hebert 350 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T37
92 CHN Wu Ashun 350 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T41
93 NZL Ryan Fox 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
94 GER Maximilian Kieffer 350 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
95 ITA Nino Bertasio 350 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% DQ
96 IRL Paul Dunne 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
97 SCO Stephen Gallacher 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% MC
98 USA David Lipsky 400 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% MC
99 RSA Darren Fichardt 400 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% MC
100 ENG Oliver Fisher 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% MC
101 ENG Steven Brown 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% T64
102 IND Shubhankar Sharma 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% T17
103 FRA Matthieu Pavon 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% MC
104 THA Thongchai Jaidee 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0% 0% MC
105 RSA Ernie Els 500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0% 0% T64
106 SWE Robert Karlsson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0% 0% MC
107 AUS Scott Hend 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0% 0% MC
108 RSA Thomas Aiken 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0% 0% MC
109 SCO David Drysdale 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0% 0% MC
110 ESP Adrian Otaegui 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0% 0% MC
111 FRA Julien Guerrier 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0% 0% T60
112 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% T41
113 KOR Jeunghun Wang 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
114 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
115 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% T26
116 ENG Richard McEvoy 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
117 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
118 ENG David Howell 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
119 RSA Justin Walters 1000 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
120 POR Ricardo Gouveia 1000 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
121 RSA Trevor Immelman 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% T69
122 SWE Jens Dantorp 1000 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
123 SCO David Law 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% T72
124 ENG David Dixon 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
125 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 1250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0% 0% T51
126 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0% 0% MC
127 SUI Robert Coles 2000 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0% 0% T69
128 ENG Matthew Cort 2000 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0% 0% MC
129 SCO Paul O'Hara 2000 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0% 0% MC
130 ESP Jose M Olazabal 2500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
131 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0% 0% T51
132 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 6 @ 1/4 49.1% 20.4%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 57.4% 22.4%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 64.2% 27.6%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 65.2% 28.4%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 66.3% 29.2%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 54.5% 29.6%
7 Redzone 6 @ 1/4 60.8% 29.8%
8 SportPesa 6 @ 1/4 60.8% 29.8%
9 10Bet 6 @ 1/4 60.8% 29.8%
10 Bethard 6 @ 1/4 60.8% 29.8%
11 MoPlay 6 @ 1/4 60.8% 29.8%
12 Marathon Bet 6 @ 1/4 66% 34%
13 Sportingbet 7 @ 1/5 61.7% 35.7%
14 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 62.3% 36.2%
15 Coral 7 @ 1/5 62.3% 36.2%
16 Betway 7 @ 1/5 63.1% 36.9%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 42.2%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 42.2%
19 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 58.7% 44.9%
20 Black Type 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 45.8%
21 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 63.1% 48.8%