Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 46.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 124.6

Total Profit: +24.5

DUBAI DUTY FREE IRISH OPEN

04/07/2019 - 07/07/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 8 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.58% 2.55% -5.03% 1
2 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 12 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.24% 1.64% -3.6% T23
3 IRL Shane Lowry 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.01% 4.22% 0.21% T34
4 ENG Matt Wallace 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.01% 2.25% -1.76% T55
5 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 18 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.59% 2.43% -1.16% T46
6 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.96% 1.18% -1.78% MC
7 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 28 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.35% 1.6% -0.75% T4
8 ENG Danny Willett 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.35% 1.48% -0.87% MC
9 ENG Ian Poulter 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.01% 2.31% 0.3% T41 8.63
10 GER Martin Kaymer 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.01% 2.05% 0.04% T9 8.63
11 NIR Graeme McDowell 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.01% 1.71% -0.3% MC
12 RSA Erik van Rooyen 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.01% 1.34% -0.66% MC
13 SCO Russell Knox 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.66% 1.84% 0.18% T31 7.16
14 CHN Li Haotong 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.66% 1.83% 0.17% T15 7.16
15 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 40 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.66% 1.04% -0.62% T15
16 ENG Lee Westwood 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.48% 1.1% -0.38% T23
17 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 1.33% 0% T2 (tied w/2) 5.75 +31.6
18 ENG Eddie Pepperell 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 1.29% -0.05% T4 (tied w/3) 5.75 +31.6
19 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 1.26% -0.08% T9 5.75
20 ENG Jordan L Smith 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 1.11% -0.23% MC
21 NED Joost Luiten 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 0.93% -0.41% MC
22 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.22% 1.04% -0.18% MC
23 MEX Abraham Ancer 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.12% 1.35% 0.24% T19 4.81
24 USA Julian Suri 60 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.12% 0.75% -0.36% MC
25 ESP Jorge Campillo 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 1.31% 0.29% T7 (tied w/2) 4.38 +31.1
26 RSA Justin Harding 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 1.28% 0.26% MC 4.38
27 BEL Thomas Pieters 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 0.53% -0.49% MC
28 FRA Victor Dubuisson 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 1.07% 0.11% MC 4.13
29 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 1.05% 0.09% MC 4.13
30 ENG Andy Sullivan 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 0.68% -0.28% T2
31 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.72% -0.12% MC
32 IRL Paul Dunne 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.69% -0.15% MC
33 ITA Andrea Pavan 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.64% -0.2% MC
34 BEL Thomas Detry 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.57% -0.28% T23
35 SCO Robert MacIntyre 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.54% -0.31% T41
36 NZL Ryan Fox 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.43% -0.42% MC
37 SWE Marcus Kinhult 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 0.71% -0.04% T61 3.23
38 SCO Richie Ramsay 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.6% -0.08% MC 2.91
39 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.53% -0.15% MC
40 AUT Matthias Schwab 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.45% -0.23% MC
41 ESP Alvaro Quiros 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1.3% 0.76% MC 2.33
42 USA David Lipsky 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.96% 0.42% MC 2.33
43 ESP Adria Arnaus 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.87% 0.32% T15 2.33
44 ENG Oliver Wilson 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.85% 0.31% T19 2.33
45 ENG Paul Waring 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.72% 0.18% T7 (tied w/2) 2.33 +30.3
46 ENG Tom Lewis 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.68% 0.14% T61 2.33
47 ENG Chris Paisley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.6% 0.06% T41 2.33
48 SWE Alexander Bjork 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.58% 0.04% T50 2.33
49 MAS Gavin Green 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.55% 0.01% T9 2.33
50 ESP Adrian Otaegui 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.52% -0.02% MC 2.33
51 IRL Padraig Harrington 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.45% -0.09% T50
52 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.43% -0.12% MC
53 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.38% -0.16% MC
54 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.9% 0.45% MC
55 RSA Richard Sterne 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.68% 0.23% T34
56 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.59% 0.13% MC
57 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.57% 0.12% T55
58 FRA Romain Langasque 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.49% 0.04% MC
59 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.47% 0.01% MC
60 ENG Robert Rock 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.41% -0.05% T4
61 ENG Aaron Rai 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.38% -0.07% MC
62 AUS Jason Scrivener 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.34% -0.11% MC
63 IRL Seamus Power 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.34% -0.11% 60
64 AUS Lucas Herbert 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.42% 0.33% -0.1% T55
65 RSA George Coetzee 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.58% 0.19% T34
66 SCO Scott Jamieson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% 0.55% 0.16% MC
67 USA Kurt Kitayama 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.54% 0.15% MC
68 GER Maximilian Kieffer 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.36% -0.03% MC
69 FRA Matthieu Pavon 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.35% -0.03% MC
70 ENG Chris Wood 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.78% 0.44% MC
71 ENG David Horsey 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.74% 0.4% MC
72 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.69% 0.35% MC
73 USA Sean Crocker 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.55% 0.21% MC
74 ENG Sam Horsfield 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.51% 0.17% MC
75 AUS Scott Hend 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% MC
76 RSA Dean Burmester 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.4% 0.06% MC
77 FRA Victor Perez 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.37% 0.03% T61
78 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.56% 0.29% MC
79 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.56% 0.28% T9
80 THA Thongchai Jaidee 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.53% 0.26% MC
81 DEN Jeff Winther 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.5% 0.23% T64
82 KOR Sanghyun Park 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.49% 0.21% MC
83 ENG Oliver Fisher 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% T34
84 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% T46
85 ITA Guido Migliozzi 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% MC
86 RSA Thomas Aiken 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% MC
87 AUS Wade Ormsby 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.26% -0.01% T19
88 RSA Brandon Stone 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.25% -0.02% T34
89 DEN Thomas Bjorn 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.67% 0.45% MC
90 SCO David Law 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.57% 0.34% MC
91 CHN Wu Ashun 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.51% 0.28% MC
92 ESP Alejandro Canizares 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.43% 0.21% T31
93 WAL Bradley Dredge 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.43% 0.2% T50
94 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.43% 0.2% MC
95 FRA Clement Sordet 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.42% 0.19% T55
96 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.41% 0.18% MC
97 SCO David Drysdale 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.4% 0.18% MC
98 RSA Louis de Jager 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.39% 0.16% MC
99 SCO Grant Forrest 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.36% 0.14% 14
100 IRL Gavin Moynihan 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.36% 0.13% MC
101 ITA Renato Paratore 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.35% 0.12% MC
102 NIR Cormac Sharvin 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.35% 0.12% T15
103 JPN Hideto Tanihara 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.35% 0.12% MC
104 RSA Haydn Porteous 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.34% 0.12% MC
105 SCO Stephen Gallacher 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.34% 0.12% MC
106 RSA Darren Fichardt 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.11% MC
107 ARG Andres Romero 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% T23
108 SWE Joakim Lagergren 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% T31
109 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.61% 0.42% MC
110 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% MC
111 IND Shubhankar Sharma 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.22% 0.02% MC
112 SWE Robert Karlsson 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.78% 0.61% T27
113 ENG Jack Singh Brar 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27% T50
114 SWE Anton Karlsson 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% T46
115 RSA Justin Walters 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.36% 0.19% MC
116 SWE Niklas Lemke 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.36% 0.19% T34
117 WAL Jamie Donaldson 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.34% 0.17% MC
118 ENG James Morrison 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% MC
119 ENG Lee Slattery 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.27% 0.1% T27
120 ITA Nino Bertasio 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% T27
121 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08% T64
122 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.66% 0.53% T41
123 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.45% 0.32% MC
124 FIN Kim Koivu 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.45% 0.31% MC
125 AUS Jake McLeod 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.44% 0.31% MC
126 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% MC
127 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% T41
128 KOR Jeunghun Wang 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
129 ENG David Howell 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.13% MC
130 FIN Kalle Samooja 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.12% MC
131 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T9
132 WAL Stuart Manley 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
133 ENG Steven Brown 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.17% 0.04% MC
134 POR Ricardo Gouveia 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0.02% MC
135 RSA Trevor Immelman 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% MC
136 FRA Romain Wattel 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.31% 0.19% MC
137 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% T34
138 SWE Jens Dantorp 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.18% 0.06% MC
139 SCO Liam Johnston 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% T64
140 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% T55
141 NIR Darren Clarke 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
142 ENG Ben Evans 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% MC
143 AUS Sam Brazel 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% T50
144 SWE Pelle Edberg 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.46% 0.4% MC
145 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
146 AUS Kade McBride 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.11% MC
147 KOR Hyowon Park 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.08% 0.02% T46
148 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% MC
149 IRL Conor O'Rourke 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.1% 0.05% MC
150 IRL Brian Casey 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.1% 0.05% MC
151 ENG Andrew Johnston 0% 0% 0.47% 0% MC
152 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.45% 0% T19
153 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.33% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 46.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...