Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 41.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 21.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 9.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 452.3

Total Profit: +352.2

Andalucia Valderrama Masters

27/06/2019 - 30/06/2019

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 6 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.09% 5.94% -4.14% T2
2 ESP Sergio Garcia 6 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.09% 1.95% -8.13% 7
3 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 10 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.42% 2.94% -3.47% MC
4 NED Joost Luiten 20 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.36% 1.16% -2.2% T20
5 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.28% 0.96% -1.32% T2
6 USA Julian Suri 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.08% 0.68% -1.39% T15
7 ESP Jorge Campillo 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.72% 1.2% -0.52% T15 18.23
8 BEL Thomas Detry 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.72% 0.78% -0.94% T8
9 ESP Adrian Otaegui 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 0.97% -0.56% MC
10 AUT Matthias Schwab 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 0.83% -0.7% MC
11 USA David Lipsky 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 1.46% 0.08% T53 14.66
12 ENG Paul Waring 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 1.32% -0.07% MC 14.66
13 SWE Marcus Kinhult 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 1.03% -0.36% MC
14 ENG Ross Fisher 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.38% 0.93% -0.46% MC
15 ENG Aaron Rai 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 0.85% -0.54% MC
16 ITA Andrea Pavan 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 0.84% -0.54% MC
17 FRA Victor Dubuisson 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% 1.68% 0.41% T20 13.35
18 FIN Mikko Korhonen 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% 0.86% -0.41% T39
19 ENG Andy Sullivan 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% 0.84% -0.42% T13
20 ENG Ashley Chesters 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% 0.63% -0.63% T46
21 ENG Andrew Johnston 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.26% 0.43% -0.83% T59
22 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.05% 1.3% 0.25% T26 11.16
23 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.05% 0.72% -0.33% MC
24 ENG Oliver Wilson 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 1.13% 0.14% 70 10.53
25 IRL Paul Dunne 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 0.85% -0.14% MC
26 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.18% 0.31% 1 9.23 +452.3
27 ITA Guido Migliozzi 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.03% 0.16% MC
28 ESP Nacho Elvira 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.8% -0.08% MC
29 AUS Jason Scrivener 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.67% -0.21% T26
30 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.64% -0.24% T39
31 ENG Chris Paisley 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.49% -0.38% T37
32 RSA Richard Sterne 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.78% 1.1% 0.32% T26 8.22
33 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.95% 0.18% T26
34 FRA Benjamin Hebert 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.84% 0.06% MC
35 USA Kurt Kitayama 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.59% -0.18% MC
36 GER Maximilian Kieffer 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.56% -0.21% MC
37 ITA Edoardo Molinari 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.96% 0.26% T26
38 ENG David Horsey 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.79% 0.09% T26
39 ENG Matthew Southgate 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.76% 0.06% MC
40 ENG Robert Rock 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.62% -0.08% MC
41 MAS Gavin Green 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.61% -0.09% T8
42 USA Sean Crocker 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.56% -0.14% T26
43 DEN Jeff Winther 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% 0.82% 0.19% MC
44 ESP Alvaro Quiros 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 2.24% 1.68% T2
45 ESP Alejandro Canizares 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.64% 0.08% T53
46 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.42% -0.14% T56
47 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.06% 0.6% MC
48 THA Thongchai Jaidee 150 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.67% 0.2% T67
49 RSA Haydn Porteous 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.65% 0.18% MC
50 RSA Dean Burmester 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.61% 0.15% T39
51 RSA George Coetzee 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.61% 0.14% T26
52 AUS Minwoo Lee 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.6% 0.14% T23
53 ENG Callum Shinkwin 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.55% 0.09% MC
54 DEN Joachim B Hansen 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.49% 0.02% MC
55 SCO Scott Jamieson 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.84% 0.4% T15
56 FRA Victor Perez 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.56% 0.12% T26
57 RSA Thomas Aiken 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.76% 0.35% MC
58 CHN Wu Ashun 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.45% 0.05% MC
59 ENG Oliver Fisher 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.35% -0.05% MC
60 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.35% -0.05% T13
61 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.77% 0.42% WD
62 FRA Clement Sordet 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.76% 0.41% MC
63 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.7% 0.35% T20
64 WAL Bradley Dredge 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.68% 0.32% T56
65 ESP Adria Arnaus 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.6% 0.25% T2
66 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.58% 0.23% MC
67 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% T39
68 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.53% 0.18% MC
69 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.51% 0.16% T26
70 FRA Matthieu Pavon 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% T23
71 ITA Renato Paratore 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.46% 0.11% MC
72 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.43% 0.08% MC
73 RSA Darren Fichardt 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.67% 0.36% MC
74 USA Paul Peterson 225 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% 0.52% 0.21% T46
75 FIN Kim Koivu 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.72% 0.44% T59
76 FIN Kalle Samooja 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.69% 0.41% MC
77 ITA Nino Bertasio 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.59% 0.31% T53
78 ESP Pep Angles Ros 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.59% 0.3% MC
79 ENG James Morrison 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.57% 0.29% MC
80 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.56% 0.28% T46
81 SCO David Law 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.54% 0.26% T39
82 NOR Espen Kofstad 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.54% 0.26% T64
83 USA John Catlin 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% MC
84 RSA Justin Walters 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.47% 0.19% T26
85 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% MC
86 ARG Andres Romero 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% T39
87 FRA Adrien Saddier 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% T59
88 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% MC
89 POR Ricardo Gouveia 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.26% -0.02% MC
90 SWE Joakim Lagergren 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.66% 0.41% T59
91 SWE Anton Karlsson 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% T46
92 IRL Gavin Moynihan 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% MC
93 SCO Grant Forrest 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.72% 0.48% T37
94 SWE Robert Karlsson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.56% 0.32% MC
95 SWE Niklas Lemke 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.47% 0.23% T64
96 CHI Hugo Leon 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.46% 0.22% T39
97 ENG Lee Slattery 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.31% 0.08% MC
98 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.31% 0.07% T15
99 AUS Dimi Papadatos 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.92% 0.71% MC
100 WAL Jamie Donaldson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.56% 0.36% MC
101 USA Johannes Veerman 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.51% 0.31% MC
102 NIR Michael Hoey 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.46% 0.26% MC
103 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% T23
104 NED Darius Van Driel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% MC
105 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% MC
106 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% MC
107 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% MC
108 KOR Jeunghun Wang 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% T46
109 ENG Jack Singh Brar 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% T15
110 AUS Jake McLeod 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
111 SWE Jens Dantorp 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.29% 0.09% MC
112 JPN Hideto Tanihara 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% T8
113 DEN Thomas Bjorn 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.71% 0.53% T8
114 AUS Nick Cullen 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.54% 0.36% MC
115 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.43% 0.26% T64
116 WAL Stuart Manley 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.26% 0.08% T46
117 SWE Rikard Karlberg 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.98% 0.84% MC
118 FRA Romain Wattel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.88% 0.74% MC
119 AUS Adam Bland 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.67% 0.53% MC
120 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.53% 0.39% 69
121 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.48% 0.33% MC
122 ENG David Howell 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% MC
123 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% MC
124 CRC Luis Gagne 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
125 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
126 ENG Matthew Nixon 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.17% MC
127 IND Shiv Kapur 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.17% T56
128 ENG Jack Senior 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.12% MC
129 AUS Sam Brazel 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.05% MC
130 ESP Pedro Oriol 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
131 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.6% 0.48% MC
132 KOR Jinho Choi 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% MC
133 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% T67
134 ENG Tom Murray 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% MC
135 GER Bernd Ritthammer 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% T8
136 KOR Hyowon Park 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.16% 0.04% 71
137 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.47% 0.38% T2
138 SWE Pelle Edberg 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% MC
139 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.16% MC
140 SWE Per Langfors 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.24% 0.14% MC
141 ESP Javier Colomo 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
142 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
143 USA Samuel Del Val 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% T59
144 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.41% 0.34% MC
145 ENG Daniel Gavins 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.4% 0.33% T46
146 SUI Joel Girrbach 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% MC
147 AUS Deyen Lawson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.22% MC
148 ESP David Borda Antonana 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.15% MC
149 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.14% MC
150 ENG Max Orrin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% MC
151 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
152 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.63% 0% MC
153 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.44% 0% MC
154 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 41.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 21.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...