Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 41.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 20.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 219.0

Total Profit: +118.9

Andalucia Valderrama Masters

27/06/2019 - 30/06/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 6 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.13% 5.97% -4.16% T2
2 ESP Sergio Garcia 6 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.13% 1.96% -8.17% 7
3 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 10 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.45% 2.96% -3.49% MC
4 NED Joost Luiten 20 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.38% 1.17% -2.21% T20
5 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.29% 0.97% -1.32% T2
6 USA Julian Suri 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.09% 0.69% -1.4% T15
7 ESP Jorge Campillo 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% 1.21% -0.52% T15
8 BEL Thomas Detry 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% 0.78% -0.95% T8
9 ESP Adrian Otaegui 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.54% 0.98% -0.57% MC
10 AUT Matthias Schwab 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.54% 0.84% -0.71% MC
11 USA David Lipsky 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 1.47% 0.08% T53 6.06
12 ENG Paul Waring 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 1.32% -0.07% MC 6.06
13 SWE Marcus Kinhult 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 1.03% -0.36% MC
14 ENG Ross Fisher 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.39% 0.93% -0.46% MC
15 ENG Aaron Rai 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 0.85% -0.54% MC
16 ITA Andrea Pavan 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 0.85% -0.54% MC
17 FRA Victor Dubuisson 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 1.68% 0.42% T20 5.52
18 FIN Mikko Korhonen 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 0.86% -0.41% T39
19 ENG Andy Sullivan 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 0.85% -0.42% T13
20 ENG Ashley Chesters 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 0.63% -0.63% T46
21 ENG Andrew Johnston 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.27% 0.44% -0.83% T59
22 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.06% 1.31% 0.25% T26 4.61
23 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.06% 0.72% -0.34% MC 4.61
24 ENG Oliver Wilson 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% 1.14% 0.14% 70 4.35
25 IRL Paul Dunne 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% 0.86% -0.14% MC 4.35
26 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 1.18% 0.31% 1 3.82 +187.2
27 ITA Guido Migliozzi 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 1.04% 0.16% MC 3.82
28 ESP Nacho Elvira 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.8% -0.08% MC 3.82
29 AUS Jason Scrivener 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.67% -0.21% T26 3.82
30 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.64% -0.24% T39 3.82
31 ENG Chris Paisley 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.49% -0.38% T37
32 RSA Richard Sterne 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.78% 1.1% 0.32% T26 3.4
33 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.96% 0.18% T26 3.4
34 FRA Benjamin Hebert 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.84% 0.07% MC 3.4
35 USA Kurt Kitayama 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.6% -0.18% MC 3.4
36 GER Maximilian Kieffer 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.57% -0.21% MC 3.4
37 ITA Edoardo Molinari 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.97% 0.27% T26 3.06
38 ENG David Horsey 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.8% 0.1% T26 3.06
39 ENG Matthew Southgate 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.76% 0.06% MC 3.06
40 ENG Robert Rock 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.62% -0.08% MC 3.06
41 MAS Gavin Green 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.61% -0.09% T8 3.06
42 USA Sean Crocker 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.56% -0.14% T26 3.06
43 DEN Jeff Winther 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% 0.83% 0.19% MC 2.79
44 ESP Alvaro Quiros 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 2.25% 1.69% T2 (tied w/5) 2.45 +31.9
45 ESP Alejandro Canizares 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.65% 0.08% T53 2.45
46 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.42% -0.14% T56 2.45
47 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.07% 0.6% MC
48 THA Thongchai Jaidee 150 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.67% 0.2% T67
49 RSA Haydn Porteous 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.65% 0.18% MC
50 RSA Dean Burmester 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.62% 0.15% T39
51 RSA George Coetzee 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.61% 0.14% T26
52 AUS Minwoo Lee 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.61% 0.14% T23
53 ENG Callum Shinkwin 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.56% 0.09% MC
54 SCO Scott Jamieson 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.85% 0.41% T15
55 FRA Victor Perez 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.56% 0.12% T26
56 RSA Thomas Aiken 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.76% 0.36% MC
57 CHN Wu Ashun 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.45% 0.05% MC
58 ENG Oliver Fisher 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.35% -0.05% MC
59 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.35% -0.05% T13
60 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.77% 0.42% WD
61 FRA Clement Sordet 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.77% 0.41% MC
62 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.71% 0.35% T20
63 WAL Bradley Dredge 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.68% 0.33% T56
64 ESP Adria Arnaus 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.61% 0.25% T2
65 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.58% 0.23% MC
66 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% T39
67 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.54% 0.18% MC
68 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.52% 0.16% T26
69 FRA Matthieu Pavon 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% T23
70 ITA Renato Paratore 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.46% 0.11% MC
71 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.43% 0.08% MC
72 RSA Darren Fichardt 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.67% 0.36% MC
73 USA Paul Peterson 225 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% 0.53% 0.21% T46
74 FIN Kim Koivu 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.72% 0.44% T59
75 FIN Kalle Samooja 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.69% 0.41% MC
76 ITA Nino Bertasio 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.59% 0.31% T53
77 ESP Pep Angles Ros 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.59% 0.31% MC
78 ENG James Morrison 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.57% 0.29% MC
79 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.56% 0.28% T46
80 SCO David Law 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.55% 0.26% T39
81 NOR Espen Kofstad 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.54% 0.26% T64
82 USA John Catlin 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% MC
83 RSA Justin Walters 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.19% T26
84 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% MC
85 ARG Andres Romero 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% T39
86 FRA Adrien Saddier 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% T59
87 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% MC
88 POR Ricardo Gouveia 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.27% -0.02% MC
89 SWE Joakim Lagergren 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.67% 0.41% T59
90 SWE Anton Karlsson 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.51% 0.26% T46
91 IRL Gavin Moynihan 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% MC
92 SCO Grant Forrest 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.72% 0.48% T37
93 SWE Robert Karlsson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.56% 0.32% MC
94 SWE Niklas Lemke 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% T64
95 CHI Hugo Leon 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.46% 0.22% T39
96 ENG Lee Slattery 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.31% 0.08% MC
97 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.31% 0.07% T15
98 AUS Dimi Papadatos 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.92% 0.72% MC
99 WAL Jamie Donaldson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.56% 0.36% MC
100 USA Johannes Veerman 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.51% 0.31% MC
101 NIR Michael Hoey 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.47% 0.26% MC
102 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% T23
103 NED Darius Van Driel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% MC
104 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% MC
105 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.4% 0.19% MC
106 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% MC
107 KOR Jeunghun Wang 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% T46
108 ENG Jack Singh Brar 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% T15
109 AUS Jake McLeod 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
110 SWE Jens Dantorp 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.29% 0.09% MC
111 JPN Hideto Tanihara 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% T8
112 DEN Thomas Bjorn 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.71% 0.54% T8
113 AUS Nick Cullen 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.54% 0.37% MC
114 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% T64
115 WAL Stuart Manley 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.26% 0.08% T46
116 SWE Rikard Karlberg 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.99% 0.84% MC
117 FRA Romain Wattel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.89% 0.75% MC
118 AUS Adam Bland 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.67% 0.53% MC
119 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.53% 0.39% 69
120 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.48% 0.34% MC
121 ENG David Howell 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.38% 0.23% MC
122 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% MC
123 CRC Luis Gagne 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
124 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
125 ENG Matthew Nixon 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
126 IND Shiv Kapur 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.17% T56
127 ENG Jack Senior 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% MC
128 AUS Sam Brazel 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
129 ESP Pedro Oriol 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
130 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.6% 0.48% MC
131 KOR Jinho Choi 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% MC
132 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% T67
133 ENG Tom Murray 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% MC
134 GER Bernd Ritthammer 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% T8
135 KOR Hyowon Park 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.16% 0.04% 71
136 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.47% 0.38% T2
137 SWE Pelle Edberg 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% MC
138 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
139 SWE Per Langfors 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.24% 0.14% MC
140 ESP Javier Colomo 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
141 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
142 USA Samuel Del Val 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% T59
143 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.41% 0.34% MC
144 ENG Daniel Gavins 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.41% 0.33% T46
145 SUI Joel Girrbach 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% MC
146 AUS Deyen Lawson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.22% MC
147 ESP David Borda Antonana 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.15% MC
148 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.14% MC
149 ENG Max Orrin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% MC
150 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.22% MC
151 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.63% 0% MC
152 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.44% 0% MC
153 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 41.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 20.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...