Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 34.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 231.4

Total Profit: +131.4



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Matt Wallace 10 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.76% 4.62% -2.14% T41
2 BEL Thomas Pieters 14 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.96% 2.13% -2.83% T33
3 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 16 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.37% 2.15% -2.22% MC
4 ENG Jordan L Smith 18 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.91% 1.36% -2.55% MC
5 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.23% 1.73% -1.5% MC
6 RSA Erik van Rooyen 22 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.23% 1.17% -2.06% MC
7 ESP Jorge Campillo 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.86% 1.86% -1% MC
8 FRA Victor Dubuisson 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.56% 0.91% -1.65% 54
9 ENG Lee Westwood 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 1.13% -1.06% T18
10 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 0.83% -1.36% T33
11 SWE Alexander Bjork 45 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.62% 1.03% -0.59% T25 18.88
12 FRA Benjamin Hebert 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.62% 0.93% -0.68% T51
13 ENG Paul Waring 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.16% -0.3% T18 17.03
14 ENG Andy Sullivan 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.96% -0.5% T33
15 USA Sean Crocker 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.33% 0.75% -0.58% MC
16 ESP Nacho Elvira 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 0.73% -0.49% MC
17 ESP Adrian Otaegui 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 0.68% -0.54% T16
18 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.44% 0.33% T4 (tied w/5) 12.97 +73.7
19 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.97% -0.14% MC 12.97
20 ITA Andrea Pavan 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.84% -0.27% T25
21 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.75% -0.36% T12
22 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.6% -0.51% MC
23 SWE Marcus Kinhult 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.58% -0.53% T55
24 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.51% -0.6% 1
25 FRA Romain Langasque 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.98% 1.07% 0.09% 3 11.43 +112.9
26 USA Kurt Kitayama 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.86% -0.06% T66
27 GER Maximilian Kieffer 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.86% -0.06% MC
28 AUS Scott Hend 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.84% -0.08% MC
29 ENG David Horsey 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.69% -0.23% T55
30 IRL Paul Dunne 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.65% -0.27% T4
31 NZL Ryan Fox 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.53% -0.39% MC
32 ENG Sam Horsfield 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.42% -0.49% MC
33 DEN Joachim B Hansen 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.41% -0.51% MC
34 ENG Oliver Wilson 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 1.33% 0.51% T4 (tied w/5) 9.55 +44.9
35 ENG Robert Rock 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0.69% -0.13% T62
36 MAS Gavin Green 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.59% -0.23% MC
37 RSA George Coetzee 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.03% 0.29% MC 8.6
38 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.92% 0.19% MC 8.6
39 WAL Bradley Dredge 100 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.78% 0.05% WD
40 AUS Jason Scrivener 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.75% 0.01% T25
41 ENG Chris Paisley 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.69% -0.05% T4
42 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.6% -0.14% MC
43 FRA Victor Perez 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.56% -0.18% MC
44 AUT Matthias Schwab 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.42% -0.32% T9
45 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 110 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 0.51% -0.16% T66
46 SCO Robert MacIntyre 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.92% 0.33% 2
47 ESP Adria Arnaus 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.79% 0.2% MC
48 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.76% 0.17% MC
49 RSA Haydn Porteous 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.53% -0.06% T47
50 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.48% -0.11% MC
51 ENG Aaron Rai 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.46% -0.13% T18
52 ENG Callum Shinkwin 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.91% 0.38% MC
53 FIN Kalle Samooja 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.7% 0.17% MC
54 THA Thongchai Jaidee 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.89% 0.4% T33
55 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.89% 0.4% T41
56 AUS Wade Ormsby 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.74% 0.25% T33
57 FRA Clement Sordet 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.69% 0.19% MC
58 ENG Matthew Southgate 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.61% 0.12% T9
59 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.61% 0.12% T62
60 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.6% 0.11% MC
61 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.58% 0.09% T18
62 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.58% 0.08% T33
63 ITA Renato Paratore 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.55% 0.06% MC
64 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.54% 0.05% MC
65 AUS Dimi Papadatos 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.5% 0% MC
66 ENG Oliver Fisher 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.42% -0.07% T25
67 NIR Michael Hoey 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.69% 0.27% T41
68 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.55% 0.13% T12
69 RSA Dean Burmester 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.53% 0.11% MC
70 RSA Darren Fichardt 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.96% 0.59% T25
71 SWE Niklas Lemke 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.78% 0.41% T51
72 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.69% 0.32% MC
73 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.67% 0.3% MC
74 ENG Lee Slattery 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.65% 0.28% MC
75 SWE Peter Hanson 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.57% 0.21% WD
76 ENG James Morrison 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.53% 0.16% 50
77 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.53% 0.16% MC
78 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.05% MC
79 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
80 SCO Marc Warren 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.32% -0.05% MC
81 SWE Robert Karlsson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.41% MC
82 RSA Louis de Jager 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.67% 0.37% T25
83 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.64% 0.34% T41
84 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% T47
85 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.58% 0.28% 72
86 SCO Grant Forrest 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.54% 0.25% T25
87 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
88 SWE Anton Karlsson 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% MC
89 DEN Lasse Jensen 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.09% T33
90 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% MC
91 FRA Adrien Saddier 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% T41
92 KOR Jeunghun Wang 275 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.27% 0.42% 0.15% MC
93 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.48% 0.23% MC
94 AUS Jake McLeod 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.45% 0.2% MC
95 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.44% 0.2% MC
96 ENG Matthew Nixon 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% MC
97 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.16% T33
98 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% MC
99 KOR Jinho Choi 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.14% T66
100 SWE Jens Dantorp 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% MC
101 DEN Anders Hansen 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% MC
102 WAL Jamie Donaldson 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.32% 0.07% T62
103 CAN Austin Connelly 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% MC
104 CHI Hugo Leon 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.28% 0.03% MC
105 WAL Stuart Manley 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0.01% T41
106 ENG Jack Senior 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.21% -0.04% MC
107 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% MC
108 ESP Alejandro Canizares 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% T9
109 AUS Nick Cullen 350 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% T66
110 SCO David Law 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% T66
111 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% MC
112 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.45% 0.24% MC
113 USA John Catlin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.42% 0.2% T12
114 ENG Ben Evans 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% T62
115 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.88% 0.73% WD
116 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.73% 0.59% T18
117 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% MC
118 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.35% MC
119 ENG Tom Murray 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% 71
120 FRA Romain Wattel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% MC
121 ITA Matteo Manassero 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% WD
122 ENG David Howell 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.26% MC
123 FIN Kim Koivu 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.23% T51
124 AUS Daniel Gaunt 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
125 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T47
126 IRL Gavin Moynihan 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T16
127 AUS Deyen Lawson 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
128 AUS Adam Bland 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.42% 0.3% MC
129 GER Max Schmitt 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.42% 0.3% T4
130 GER Bernd Ritthammer 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% MC
131 ENG Max Orrin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.35% 0.23% MC
132 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.25% MC
133 SWE Per Langfors 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
134 NOR Elias Bertheussen 750 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
135 NOR Espen Kofstad 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.88% 0.8% T12
136 SUI Joel Girrbach 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.52% 0.44% T55
137 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.47% 0.39% T73
138 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.36% T60
139 DEN Jeppe Huldahl 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.4% 0.33% MC
140 ESP David Borda Antonana 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.35% 0.28% MC
141 SWE Pelle Edberg 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.26% T55
142 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.31% 0.23% T60
143 DEN Nicolai Tinning 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
144 DEN Christian Gloet 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.08% MC
145 DEN Nicolai B Kristensen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.06% MC
146 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.06% MC
147 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.9% 0.84% MC
148 DEN Mathias Gladbjerg 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.14% 0.08% T55
149 ENG Daniel Gavins 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.41% 0.37% MC
150 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 1.24% 0% T18
151 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.57% 0% T18
152 ENG Andrew Johnston 0% 0% 0.53% 0% T25
153 IND Shubhankar Sharma 0% 0% 0.49% 0% T73
154 SWE Rikard Karlberg 0% 0% 0.49% 0% MC
155 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 34.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...