Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 244.0

Total Profit: +143.9

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship presented by EGA

16/01/2019 - 19/01/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 6 14.29% 10.57% 3.51% -7.07% T16
2 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 11 8.33% 6.17% 3.06% -3.11% T42
3 USA Brooks Koepka 12 7.69% 5.69% 6.11% 0.42% T9
4 SWE Henrik Stenson 18 5.26% 3.9% 2.02% -1.88% MC
5 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 20 4.76% 3.52% 2.02% -1.5% 4
6 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 22 4.35% 3.22% 2.47% -0.74% MC
7 BEL Thomas Pieters 22 4.35% 3.22% 1.47% -1.75% T16
8 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 30 3.23% 2.39% 1.62% -0.77% MC
9 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 33 2.94% 2.18% 2.85% 0.67% T11 9.62
10 ENG Matt Wallace 33 2.94% 2.18% 1.41% -0.76% T16
11 RSA Branden Grace 33 2.94% 2.18% 1.02% -1.16% T27
12 CHN Li Haotong 35 2.78% 2.06% 1.48% -0.58% MC
13 KOR Byeong Hun An 40 2.44% 1.81% 1.41% -0.4% MC
14 GER Martin Kaymer 40 2.44% 1.81% 1.16% -0.65% T22
15 ENG Lee Westwood 45 2.17% 1.61% 1.53% -0.08% T16 7.11
16 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 50 1.96% 1.45% 2.32% 0.87% T49 6.42
17 ENG Tom Lewis 50 1.96% 1.45% 1.21% -0.24% T9
18 ENG Ross Fisher 50 1.96% 1.45% 0.86% -0.59% T54
19 BEL Thomas Detry 50 1.96% 1.45% 0.82% -0.63% T65
20 IRL Shane Lowry 60 1.64% 1.21% 1.03% -0.18% 1 5.36 +198.3
21 ENG Ian Poulter 66 1.49% 1.1% 1.84% 0.74% T6 (tied w/3) 4.88 +23.1
22 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66 1.49% 1.1% 0.9% -0.2% MC 4.88
23 NED Joost Luiten 66 1.49% 1.1% 0.8% -0.31% 3
24 ENG Eddie Pepperell 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.97% 0.06% T49 4.04
25 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.81% -0.1% T32 4.04
26 ITA Andrea Pavan 90 1.1% 0.81% 1.11% 0.29% MC 3.6
27 ENG Andy Sullivan 90 1.1% 0.81% 0.97% 0.16% T32 3.6
28 ENG Jordan L Smith 90 1.1% 0.81% 0.66% -0.16% T11 3.6
29 ENG Chris Paisley 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.85% 0.12% MC 3.24
30 RSA Brandon Stone 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.8% 0.06% MC 3.24
31 ENG Aaron Rai 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.76% 0.02% T54 3.24
32 NZL Ryan Fox 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.65% -0.08% T27 3.24
33 RSA Dean Burmester 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.46% -0.28% T49
34 FRA Victor Perez 110 0.9% 0.67% 1.01% 0.35% T54 2.95
35 FRA Alexander Levy 110 0.9% 0.67% 0.96% 0.29% T67 2.95
36 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 110 0.9% 0.67% 0.7% 0.03% T6 (tied w/3) 2.95 +22.6
37 RSA Erik van Rooyen 110 0.9% 0.67% 0.67% 0% T32 2.95
38 ESP Adrian Otaegui 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.95% 0.36% MC 2.6
39 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.93% 0.34% T42 2.6
40 AUS Lucas Herbert 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.81% 0.22% T54 2.6
41 AUS Jason Scrivener 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.75% 0.16% T16 2.6
42 USA Kurt Kitayama 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.69% 0.1% T67 2.6
43 USA David Lipsky 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.62% 0.03% T16 2.6
44 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.42% -0.16% T42 2.6
45 AUT Matthias Schwab 140 0.71% 0.52% 0.7% 0.17% T22
46 IRL Paul Dunne 140 0.71% 0.52% 0.42% -0.11% MC
47 CHN Wu Ashun 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.95% 0.46% MC
48 ENG Robert Rock 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.8% 0.31% MC
49 USA Sean Crocker 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.79% 0.3% MC
50 ENG Sam Horsfield 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.62% 0.13% T32
51 IND Shubhankar Sharma 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.58% 0.09% MC
52 SWE Marcus Kinhult 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.55% 0.06% MC
53 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.53% 0.04% T32
54 KOR Jeunghun Wang 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.46% -0.03% MC
55 RSA George Coetzee 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.45% -0.04% MC
56 ENG Oliver Fisher 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.34% -0.15% MC
57 ENG Andrew Johnston 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.59% 0.13% MC
58 RSA Richard Sterne 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.31% -0.15% 2
59 SCO David Drysdale 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.72% 0.3% MC
60 FIN Mikko Korhonen 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.46% 0.04% MC
61 ESP Jorge Campillo 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.43% 0.01% T54
62 RSA Thomas Aiken 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.78% 0.41% MC
63 SCO Scott Jamieson 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.78% 0.41% T11
64 ENG Matthew Southgate 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.65% 0.28% T42
65 ESP Adria Arnaus 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.62% 0.25% T22
66 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.59% 0.23% 5
67 RSA Zander Lombard 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.55% 0.18% 70
68 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.13% T32
69 RSA Haydn Porteous 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.4% 0.03% MC
70 RSA Darren Fichardt 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.62% 0.29% T32
71 ITA Renato Paratore 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.66% 0.37% T54
72 JPN Hideto Tanihara 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.65% 0.36% MC
73 SCO Stephen Gallacher 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.63% 0.33% MC
74 ENG Paul Waring 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.56% 0.26% T6
75 FRA Benjamin Hebert 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% T27
76 WAL Bradley Dredge 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.45% 0.16% T54
77 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.12% MC
78 FRA Romain Wattel 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.08% MC
79 MAS Gavin Green 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.36% 0.07% T32
80 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.36% 0.06% MC
81 SCO Richie Ramsay 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.34% 0.04% 69
82 ENG Ashley Chesters 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.33% 0.04% MC
83 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.33% 0.03% MC
84 GER Maximilian Kieffer 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.24% -0.06% T22
85 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.73% 0.49% MC
86 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.63% 0.38% MC
87 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.55% 0.3% MC
88 AUS Wade Ormsby 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.49% 0.25% MC
89 SWE Joakim Lagergren 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.44% 0.2% MC
90 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.37% 0.12% T27
91 THA Thongchai Jaidee 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.8% 0.58% MC
92 ENG Lee Slattery 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.78% 0.57% MC
93 FIN Kim Koivu 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% MC
94 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.54% 0.33% T63
95 ENG Callum Shinkwin 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% T54
96 ITA Nino Bertasio 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% 71
97 SWE Peter Hanson 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% MC
98 AUS Scott Hend 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% T27
99 ENG David Horsey 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.3% 0.09% T11
100 ARG Andres Romero 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.47% 0.28% T49
101 SCO Robert MacIntyre 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.91% 0.76% T63
102 RSA Trevor Immelman 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.69% 0.55% MC
103 SCO Grant Forrest 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.55% 0.4% T42
104 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% MC
105 FIN Kalle Samooja 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% MC
106 ENG Jack Singh Brar 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% T32
107 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% T65
108 SWE Robert Karlsson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% MC
109 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% T22
110 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.24% MC
111 AUS Sam Brazel 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T42
112 ENG Steven Brown 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
113 ENG James Morrison 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T32
114 RSA Justin Walters 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T42
115 AUS Minwoo Lee 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
116 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.04% MC
117 GER Marcel Siem 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.41% 0.29% MC
118 SCO David Law 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% MC
119 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.31% 0.18% MC
120 WAL Stuart Manley 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
121 ITA Edoardo Molinari 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.47% 0.37% T49
122 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
123 SWE Jens Dantorp 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% MC
124 SCO Liam Johnston 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.43% 0.36% MC
125 SWE Pelle Edberg 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.2% MC
126 GER Dominic Foos 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.2% T11
127 ESP Jose M Olazabal 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.18% 0.15% MC
128 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.56% 0% MC
129 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.53% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...