Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 85.6

Total Profit: -14.5

RBC Canadian Open

06/06/2019 - 09/06/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 5 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 16.67% 12.5% 4.99% -7.5% T20
2 USA Brooks Koepka 7 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 12.5% 9.37% 3.43% -5.94% T50
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 9 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 10% 7.5% 5.44% -2.06% 1
4 USA Justin Thomas 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.41% 2.76% -1.65% T20
5 USA Webb Simpson 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.57% 1.6% -1.97% T2
6 USA Matt Kuchar 22 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.26% 3.22% -0.04% T4 (tied w/2) 14.82 +48.2
7 USA Scott Piercy 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.21% 1.89% -0.31% MC
8 USA Bubba Watson 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.21% 1.8% -0.41% T63
9 SWE Henrik Stenson 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.68% -0.53% T8
10 ESP Sergio Garcia 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.67% -0.53% MC
11 IRL Shane Lowry 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 2.11% 0.28% T2 (tied w/2) 8.32 +37.4
12 USA Jim Furyk 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 2.01% 0.19% T27 8.32
13 USA Brandt Snedeker 40 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.83% 1.22% -0.6% T4
14 USA Bud Cauley 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 0.97% -0.5% MC
15 USA Ryan Palmer 60 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 1.06% -0.17% T35
16 USA Keegan Bradley 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.22% 0.1% T44 5.09
17 USA Aaron Wise 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.01% -0.11% MC 5.09
18 CAN Adam Hadwin 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.93% -0.19% 6
19 USA Daniel Berger 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.21% 0.28% T35 4.21
20 USA Jimmy Walker 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.2% 0.27% T35 4.21
21 SWE Alexander Noren 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.03% 0.11% T63 4.21
22 USA Brian Harman 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.94% 0.01% T50 4.21
23 RSA Erik van Rooyen 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.68% -0.14% T20 3.75
24 SWE Jonas Blixt 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.61% -0.21% T44
25 NIR Graeme McDowell 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.41% 0.66% T8 3.38
26 CAN Corey Conners 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.26% 0.52% MC 3.38
27 KOR Sungjae Im 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.17% 0.43% 7 3.38
28 USA Nick Watney 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.14% 0.39% MC 3.38
29 USA Zach Johnson 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.12% 0.37% T35 3.38
30 ENG Danny Willett 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.85% 0.11% T8 3.38
31 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.85% 0.1% MC 3.38
32 USA Austin Cook 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.63% -0.11% MC 3.38
33 USA Kevin Tway 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.57% -0.17% T44
34 CHI Joaquin Niemann 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.55% -0.2% T31
35 USA J.B. Holmes 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.85% 0.25% MC 2.71
36 USA Russell Henley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.75% 0.16% MC 2.71
37 USA Peter Uihlein 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.63% 0.04% T44 2.71
38 USA Trey Mullinax 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.61% 0.01% MC 2.71
39 USA Brian Gay 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.12% 0.62% T63
40 USA Peter Malnati 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.97% 0.48% T31
41 NZL Danny Lee 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.84% 0.34% T20
42 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.72% 0.22% T14
43 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.66% 0.16% T50
44 RSA Dylan Frittelli 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.62% 0.12% 59
45 COL Sebastian Munoz 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.6% 0.11% T11
46 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% MC
47 USA Ryan Armour 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.57% 0.07% MC
48 USA Kramer Hickok 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.39% -0.11% MC
49 USA Matt Every 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.81% 0.38% MC
50 USA Ollie Schniederjans 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.74% 0.31% MC
51 USA Harris English 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.7% 0.28% T20
52 USA Harold Varner III 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.66% 0.23% T35
53 USA Shawn Stefani 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.57% 0.14% MC
54 USA Denny McCarthy 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.48% 0.05% MC
55 CAN Nick Taylor 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.42% 0% T27
56 USA Talor Gooch 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.71% 0.34% T35
57 USA Cameron Tringale 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% T11
58 USA Bill Haas 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.52% 0.15% MC
59 USA J.J Spaun 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.07% T44
60 ENG Luke Donald 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.87% 0.58% MC
61 USA Nate Lashley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.69% 0.39% MC
62 USA Scott Brown 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.66% 0.36% T31
63 USA Adam Schenk 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.48% 0.19% T56
64 USA Tyler Duncan 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% T60
65 CAN Roger Sloan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.35% 0.05% T56
66 USA Josh Teater 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% T63
67 USA Roberto Castro 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% T35
68 USA Brandon Harkins 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.22% -0.07% MC
69 USA Kelly Kraft 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.86% 0.61% 71
70 MEX Carlos Ortiz 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.52% 0.27% MC
71 AUT Sepp Straka 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.17% T60
72 USA Brice Garnett 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% MC
73 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% T14
74 USA Richy Werenski 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
75 USA Hudson Swafford 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.64% 0.43% MC
76 SWE David Lingmerth 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.64% 0.42% MC
77 USA Chris Stroud 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.55% 0.33% MC
78 USA Wyndham Clark 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.22% MC
79 AUS Curtis Luck 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.43% 0.21% MC
80 IRL Seamus Power 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% MC
81 USA Johnson Wagner 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
82 IRL Padraig Harrington 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% MC
83 CAN Benjamin Silverman 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% T20
84 AUS Cameron Davis 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.34% 0.12% MC
85 USA Brendon Todd 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% MC
86 USA Jim Knous 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.09% T56
87 CAN David Hearn 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.3% 0.08% MC
88 USA Dominic Bozzelli 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.29% 0.08% 68
89 USA D.J. Trahan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.05% T63
90 USA Alex Prugh 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% MC
91 USA Zack Sucher 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% MC
92 USA Robert Streb 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.21% -0.01% T35
93 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.54% 0.39% T14
94 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% MC
95 MEX Roberto Diaz 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% MC
96 USA Sam Saunders 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
97 ARG Julian Etulain 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
98 USA Ben Crane 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% T44
99 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% T27
100 USA Chad Campbell 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
101 USA Brady Schnell 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
102 USA Billy Hurley III 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
103 USA Ricky Barnes 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
104 USA Tom Hoge 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.2% MC
105 USA J.J. Henry 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
106 GER Alex Cejka 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
107 GER Stephan Jaeger 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T14
108 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
109 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
110 USA Colt Knost 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T50
111 USA Scott Langley 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T50
112 CAN Adam Svensson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
113 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
114 USA Wes Roach 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% T11
115 USA Joey Garber 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% T27
116 USA Chase Wright 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
117 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% T14
118 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
119 USA Chris Thompson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% T31
120 CAN Austin Connelly 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.02% MC
121 USA Jim Herman 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.44% 0.32% MC
122 USA Martin Piller 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.14% MC
123 USA Tom Lovelady 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.25% 0.13% MC
124 USA Seth Reeves 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.17% 0.05% MC
125 USA Anders Albertson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.17% 0.04% MC
126 FRA Paul Barjon 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.16% 0.04% T20
127 CAN Michael Gligic 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.09% -0.04% MC
128 USA Martin Trainer 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
129 AUS Rod Pampling 750 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% T35
130 USA George McNeill 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% T60
131 USA Chad Collins 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.18% MC
132 USA Kyle Jones 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% MC
133 CAN Albin Choi 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.09% -0.01% MC
134 USA Cody Gribble 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.37% T50
135 USA Derek Fathauer 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.21% MC
136 AUS Robert Allenby 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
137 USA John Chin 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.13% MC
138 CAN Mike Weir 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.13% MC
139 USA Will Claxton 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.1% MC
140 CAN Richard T Lee 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.1% MC
141 CAN Ryan Yip 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.02% MC
142 CAN Drew Nesbitt 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.01% MC
143 USA Zac Blair 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.25% MC
145 USA Collin Morikawa 0% 0% 0.48% 0% T14
146 USA Jake Knappe 0% 0% 0.13% 0% 70
147 CAN Sunil Richard Jung Bell 0% 0% 0.1% 0% 69

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...