Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 42.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 10.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 78.1

Total Profit: -22



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 8 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.79% 6.14% -1.65% MC
2 USA Tiger Woods 12 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.39% 2.69% -2.7% T9
3 ENG Justin Rose 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.12% 1.82% -2.3% 13
4 USA Patrick Cantlay 16 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.12% 1.41% -2.71% 1
5 USA Matt Kuchar 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.69% 2.58% -1.11% MC
6 USA Justin Thomas 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.69% 1.93% -1.76% MC
7 USA Rickie Fowler 20 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.34% 1.51% -1.82% T14
8 AUS Jason Day 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.05% 2.09% -0.96% MC
9 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 22 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.05% 1.5% -1.55% 6
10 USA Jordan Spieth 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.05% 1.47% -1.58% T7
11 USA Tony Finau 22 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.05% 1.08% -1.96% MC
12 USA Xander Schauffele 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.7% 1.91% -0.79% T14
13 AUS Adam Scott 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.06% 2.24% 0.18% 2 20.54 +78.1
14 USA Bryson DeChambeau 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.06% 1.47% -0.59% T22 20.54
15 USA Gary Woodland 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.95% 2.76% 0.82% T52 19.4
16 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 1.65% 0.28% T57 13.69
17 SWE Henrik Stenson 55 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.25% 1.02% -0.23% T37
18 USA Phil Mickelson 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 1.2% 0.15% MC
19 SVK Rory Sabbatini 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 0.95% -0.1% T27
20 ARG Emiliano Grillo 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 1.08% 0.1% T9
21 USA Jason Kokrak 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 1% 0.01% T62
22 USA Kyle Stanley 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 0.71% -0.27% MC
23 USA Jim Furyk 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.82% 0.96% T33 8.62
24 USA Billy Horschel 80 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.43% 0.56% T9 8.62
25 USA Lucas Glover 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.23% 0.37% T52 8.62
26 AUS Marc Leishman 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.23% 0.36% 5
27 USA Kevin Kisner 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.1% 0.24% T41
28 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.87% 0.99% 0.13% T33
29 USA Luke List 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.76% -0.11% MC
30 USA Keegan Bradley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.72% -0.15% MC
31 USA Peter Uihlein 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.46% -0.41% MC
32 CHN Li Haotong 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 1.12% 0.35% T37
33 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 1.1% 0.33% T68
34 KOR Sunghoon Kang 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.77% 1.07% 0.3% MC
35 USA Charley Hoffman 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.95% 0.26% MC
36 USA Charles Howell III 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.91% 0.22% MC
37 KOR Byeong Hun An 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.69% 0.68% -0.01% T17
38 USA Aaron Wise 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.69% 0.68% -0.02% MC
39 USA Andrew Putnam 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.4% -0.3% T17
40 USA Jason Dufner 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% 0.55% -0.08% T7
41 SCO Russell Knox 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.48% 0.92% T27
42 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 1.07% 0.52% MC
43 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.8% 0.24% T41
44 MEX Abraham Ancer 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.67% 0.12% T65
45 USA Kevin Streelman 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.66% 0.1% 4
46 USA Ryan Moore 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.64% 0.08% T33
47 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.62% 0.06% T52
48 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.48% -0.08% T17
49 CAN Corey Conners 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.85% 0.38% T65
50 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.82% 0.35% MC
51 USA Nick Watney 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.79% 0.33% T22
52 USA Joel Dahmen 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% 0.78% 0.32% T68
53 SWE Alexander Noren 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.77% 0.3% T41
54 USA Pat Perez 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.76% 0.3% T57
55 USA Sam Burns 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.68% 0.21% WD
56 USA J.B. Holmes 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.64% 0.18% MC
57 KOR Siwoo Kim 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% 0.64% 0.17% T41
58 USA Keith Mitchell 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% 0.59% 0.13% T48
59 KOR Sungjae Im 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.57% 0.11% T57
60 USA Matt Every 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.55% 0.09% MC
61 AUS Cameron Smith 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% 0.5% 0.04% MC
62 CHI Joaquin Niemann 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.44% 0.36% -0.07% T27
63 GER Martin Kaymer 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 1.08% 0.69% 3
64 USA Brian Harman 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.61% 0.21% T27
65 USA Beau Hossler 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.59% 0.2% MC
66 USA Bud Cauley 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.47% 0.08% T9
67 USA Austin Cook 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.39% -0.01% T27
68 NED Joost Luiten 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.82% 0.47% T62
69 USA JT Poston 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.81% 0.46% T52
70 USA Max Homa 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.8% 0.45% T37
71 AUS Matt Jones 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.79% 0.44% T41
72 USA Brian Stuard 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.67% 0.32% T33
73 ENG Danny Willett 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.64% 0.29% T27
74 NZL Danny Lee 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.48% 0.13% MC
75 USA Harold Varner III 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.43% 0.09% MC
76 USA Bill Haas 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.4% 0.05% MC
77 USA Cameron Champ 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.26% -0.09% MC
78 USA Brian Gay 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.6% 0.29% MC
79 USA Talor Gooch 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.41% 0.1% MC
80 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.88% 0.6% T48
81 USA David Lipsky 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.78% 0.5% T48
82 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.63% 0.35% T37
83 USA Scott Stallings 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.58% 0.3% T48
84 USA Steve Stricker 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.55% 0.28% T22
85 ENG Luke Donald 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% T57
86 AUS Aaron Baddeley 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% T22
87 USA Chesson Hadley 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.32% 0.05% MC
88 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.21% -0.07% T52
89 USA Adam Long 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.72% 0.49% MC
90 USA Patton Kizzire 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.7% 0.47% MC
91 USA Michael Thompson 300 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.69% 0.46% T14
92 USA Andrew Landry 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.55% 0.31% MC
93 USA Scott Brown 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.54% 0.3% MC
94 USA Robert Streb 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.52% 0.29% MC
95 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.48% 0.25% T65
96 USA Kelly Kraft 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.43% 0.2% MC
97 USA Peter Malnati 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.37% 0.13% T17
98 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.32% 0.09% T57
99 USA J.J Spaun 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.31% 0.08% MC
100 USA Troy Merritt 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.3% 0.06% T17
101 DEN Oliver Suhr 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.08% -0.15% MC
102 USA Ryan Armour 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.46% 0.26% T22
103 NZL Ryan Fox 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% MC
104 USA Brendan Steele 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% T41
105 SWE David Lingmerth 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.29% 0.09% T41
106 MEX Carlos Ortiz 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.36% 0.18% MC
107 USA Bronson Burgoon 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.31% 0.13% MC
108 USA Brice Garnett 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.28% 0.11% MC
109 IND Shubhankar Sharma 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% T62
110 RSA Ernie Els 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.74% 0.6% WD
111 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% 73
112 KOR K.J. Choi 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% T71
113 USA Boo Weekley 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% T71
114 USA Martin Trainer 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
115 KOR Meenwhee Kim 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.23% 0.13% MC
116 USA Norman Xiong 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% T68
117 RSA Jovan Rebula 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.13% 0.07% MC
118 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% MC
119 USA Will Grimmer 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.11% MC
120 MEX Alvaro Ortiz Becerra 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.08% 0.03% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 42.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.1 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...