Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 241.4

Total Profit: +141.2

AT&T Byron Nelson

09/05/2019 - 12/05/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Brooks Koepka 7 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.83% 3.71% -6.12% 4
2 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.63% 1.67% -2.95% T23
3 USA Jordan Spieth 22 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.42% 1.93% -1.49% T29
4 SWE Henrik Stenson 25 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.02% 2.71% -0.31% T20
5 USA Aaron Wise 25 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.02% 1.07% -1.95% T43
6 USA Keith Mitchell 30 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.54% 1.54% -1% T59
7 USA Patrick Reed 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.31% 2.2% -0.11% T63 10.01
8 RSA Branden Grace 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.31% 1.42% -0.89% T63
9 USA Charles Howell III 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 2.31% 0.39% WD 8.3
10 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 1.68% -0.24% T53
11 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 1.09% -0.83% 83
12 USA Scott Piercy 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.71% 1.47% -0.24% T2
13 USA Kevin Na 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.71% 0.79% -0.91% T35
14 SVK Rory Sabbatini 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% 0.98% -0.57% T5
15 USA Ryan Moore 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% 0.94% -0.6% T69
16 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 55 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.4% 1.04% -0.36% MC
17 USA Ryan Palmer 60 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.29% 0.91% -0.38% T43
18 MEX Abraham Ancer 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% 1.56% 0.39% T59 5.08
19 SWE Alexander Noren 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.12% -0.05% T35 5.08
20 BEL Thomas Pieters 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.04% -0.13% T23 5.08
21 SCO Russell Knox 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.02% -0.16% T43
22 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.97% -0.2% MC
23 USA Pat Perez 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.78% -0.39% T12
24 USA Scottie Scheffler 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.4% -0.78% T35
25 USA Brian Stuard 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 1.13% 0.16% T59 4.21
26 TPE C.T. Pan 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.89% -0.08% T35 4.21
27 USA Daniel Berger 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.69% -0.28% T23
28 USA Kevin Tway 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.65% -0.32% T53
29 USA Jimmy Walker 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.63% -0.34% MC
30 IRL Seamus Power 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.59% -0.39% T79
31 USA Trey Mullinax 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.55% -0.42% MC
32 USA J.J Spaun 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.3% -0.67% T59
33 AUS Matt Jones 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% 0.95% 0.09% T5 (tied w/5) 3.74 +21.3
34 RSA Justin Harding 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 2.03% 1.25% T10 3.37
35 RSA Dylan Frittelli 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.1% 0.33% T67 3.37
36 USA JT Poston 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.04% 0.26% MC 3.37
37 USA Brian Gay 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.02% 0.24% T69 3.37
38 USA Nick Watney 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.02% 0.24% MC 3.37
39 USA Brian Harman 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.83% 0.05% MC 3.37
40 USA Adam Schenk 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.8% 0.02% MC 3.37
41 USA Bud Cauley 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.73% -0.05% T43 3.37
42 USA Michael Thompson 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.81% 0.1% T53 3.07
43 KOR Sunghoon Kang 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 1.23% 0.61% 1 2.71 +206
44 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.94% 0.31% T5 (tied w/5) 2.71 +14.1
45 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.84% 0.21% T72 2.71
46 SCO Martin Laird 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.78% 0.16% T35 2.71
47 CAN Nick Taylor 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.74% 0.12% MC 2.71
48 USA Scott Stallings 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.72% 0.1% MC 2.71
49 USA Sam Burns 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.63% 0.01% T72 2.71
50 USA Russell Henley 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.61% -0.01% T35 2.71
51 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.53% -0.09% T23 2.71
52 USA Ollie Schniederjans 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.46% -0.16% T69
53 USA Beau Hossler 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.44% -0.19% T43
54 USA Austin Cook 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.35% -0.28% MC
55 ENG Luke Donald 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 1.02% 0.5% MC
56 USA Vaughn Taylor 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.99% 0.47% T17
57 USA Peter Malnati 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.87% 0.35% T72
58 USA Wyndham Clark 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.82% 0.3% MC
59 USA Shawn Stefani 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.63% 0.11% T20
60 USA Roberto Castro 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.38% -0.14% MC
61 USA Ryan Blaum 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.69% 0.24% MC
62 USA Troy Merritt 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.61% 0.16% T53
63 USA Bill Haas 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.4% -0.04% T53
64 USA Harris English 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.7% 0.3% T43
65 USA Peter Uihlein 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.53% 0.14% T5
66 USA Mackenzie Hughes 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.49% 0.1% MC
67 USA Kramer Hickok 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.41% 0.02% T17
68 USA Hank Lebioda 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.34% -0.05% MC
69 AUS Curtis Luck 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.29% -0.1% T43
70 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.96% 0.65% MC
71 SWE Jonas Blixt 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.82% 0.51% T20
72 USA Chris Stroud 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.8% 0.48% MC
73 USA Jonathan Byrd 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.77% 0.45% MC
74 IRL Padraig Harrington 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.72% 0.4% T12
75 USA Brendon Todd 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.57% 0.25% MC
76 USA Johnson Wagner 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.56% 0.25% T43
77 USA Cameron Tringale 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.44% 0.13% T23
78 SWE David Lingmerth 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.34% 0.02% T43
79 USA Sam Saunders 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.31% 0% MC
80 USA Hudson Swafford 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.78% 0.52% MC
81 RSA Ernie Els 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.76% 0.5% MC
82 USA Matt Every 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.72% 0.46% T2
83 CAN David Hearn 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.57% 0.31% MC
84 MEX Carlos Ortiz 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.57% 0.31% T12
85 ARG Fabian Gomez 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.55% 0.29% MC
86 USA Nate Lashley 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.23% T29
87 USA Cody Gribble 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% MC
88 ARG Julian Etulain 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.15% MC
89 USA Robert Streb 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.15% MC
90 USA Ben Crane 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% T72
91 USA Dominic Bozzelli 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.11% MC
92 USA Brandon Harkins 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.08% T53
93 USA Jim Knous 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% MC
94 COL Sebastian Munoz 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.03% T10
95 AUS Cameron Davis 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.23% -0.03% T35
96 USA Doug Ghim 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.2% -0.06% T12
97 USA D.J. Trahan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.5% 0.28% WD
98 USA Colt Knost 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.38% 0.15% MC
99 USA Alex Prugh 375 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.27% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% T79
100 ARG Andres Romero 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% MC
101 KOR Sangmoon Bae 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% MC
102 USA Billy Hurley III 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.17% MC
103 USA Chase Wright 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.35% 0.16% T72
104 AUT Sepp Straka 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.35% 0.15% T29
105 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% MC
106 GER Stephan Jaeger 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.26% 0.06% T17
107 USA Derek Fathauer 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.18% -0.01% MC
108 USA George McNeill 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.6% 0.44% MC
109 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.59% 0.43% MC
110 USA Tom Hoge 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.58% 0.42% T67
111 AUS John Senden 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.54% 0.39% MC
112 SWE Freddie Jacobson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.48% 0.33% MC
113 USA Martin Trainer 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.48% 0.32% WD
114 USA Michael Kim 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.42% 0.27% MC
115 CAN Benjamin Silverman 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% MC
116 USA Josh Teater 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% MC
117 USA Zack Fischer 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.22% MC
118 CAN Roger Sloan 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.22% T79
119 CAN Adam Svensson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
120 MEX Roberto Diaz 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.2% T43
121 USA Morgan Hoffmann 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.19% T29
122 USA Chad Campbell 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.17% T72
123 USA J.J. Henry 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.17% MC
124 USA Roland Thatcher 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
125 USA Zack Sucher 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% T35
126 USA Ricky Barnes 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
127 USA Martin Piller 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
128 USA Wes Roach 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% T72
129 USA Jim Herman 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.13% MC
130 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.09% MC
131 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% T12
132 USA Brady Schnell 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% T23
133 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% T5
134 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% MC
135 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% MC
136 USA Tom Lovelady 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.21% 0.05% MC
137 USA Seth Reeves 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% T63
138 USA Anders Albertson 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.18% 0.02% MC
139 AUS Rod Pampling 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
140 USA Joey Garber 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% T29
141 USA John Chin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.13% MC
142 USA Kyle Jones 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% MC
143 USA Chris Thompson 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
144 USA Will Mackenzie 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.58% 0.47% MC
145 USA Chad Collins 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.19% T79
146 MEX Alvaro Ortiz Becerra 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.11% 0.01% MC
147 USA Smylie Kaufman 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
148 USA Will Claxton 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
149 USA Kris Blanks 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
150 SWE Daniel Chopra 0% 0% 0.3% 0% T63
151 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...