Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 55.7

Total Profit: -44.4

WGC - Mexico Championship

21/02/2019 - 24/02/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 10 9.09% 6.85% 2.73% -4.12% 9
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 11 8.33% 6.28% 3.17% -3.11% 2
3 USA Dustin Johnson 11 8.33% 6.28% 2.41% -3.87% 1
4 ESP Jon Rahm 16 5.88% 4.43% 1.74% -2.7% T45
5 USA Bryson DeChambeau 18 5.26% 3.97% 4.01% 0.04% T56
6 USA Rickie Fowler 18 5.26% 3.97% 2.43% -1.54% T36
7 USA Brooks Koepka 20 4.76% 3.59% 2.39% -1.19% T27
8 USA Tiger Woods 20 4.76% 3.59% 2.28% -1.31% T10
9 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 28 3.45% 2.6% 2.5% -0.1% T19
10 USA Xander Schauffele 28 3.45% 2.6% 2.19% -0.41% T14
11 USA Phil Mickelson 28 3.45% 2.6% 2.18% -0.42% T39
12 USA Tony Finau 30 3.23% 2.43% 1.9% -0.53% T25
13 AUS Marc Leishman 33 2.94% 2.22% 2.4% 0.18% T62 9.28
14 ENG Paul Casey 33 2.94% 2.22% 1.59% -0.63% T3
15 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 35 2.78% 2.09% 2.08% -0.02% T19
16 USA Jordan Spieth 35 2.78% 2.09% 0.84% -1.25% T54
17 USA Bubba Watson 40 2.44% 1.84% 2.48% 0.64% T27 7.7
18 USA Gary Woodland 40 2.44% 1.84% 2.35% 0.51% T17 7.7
19 USA Patrick Cantlay 40 2.44% 1.84% 1.5% -0.34% T6
20 USA Webb Simpson 40 2.44% 1.84% 1.4% -0.44% T39
21 ESP Sergio Garcia 45 2.17% 1.64% 1.47% -0.17% T6
22 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 50 1.96% 1.48% 2.02% 0.54% T19 6.19
23 USA Charles Howell III 50 1.96% 1.48% 1.92% 0.44% T14 6.19
24 ITA Francesco Molinari 50 1.96% 1.48% 1.02% -0.46% T17
25 USA Matt Kuchar 55 1.79% 1.35% 2.06% 0.71% 50 5.64
26 USA Patrick Reed 55 1.79% 1.35% 1.89% 0.55% T14 5.64
27 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 66 1.49% 1.12% 1.76% 0.63% T25 4.71
28 ENG Ian Poulter 66 1.49% 1.12% 1.46% 0.34% T3 (tied w/3) 4.71 +33.4
29 CHN Li Haotong 66 1.49% 1.12% 1.42% 0.29% T19 4.71
30 AUS Cameron Smith 67 1.47% 1.11% 1.66% 0.55% T6 (tied w/3) 4.64 +22.3
31 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 70 1.41% 1.06% 1.05% -0.01% T19
32 SWE Henrik Stenson 70 1.41% 1.06% 1.03% -0.03% T54
33 ENG Lee Westwood 80 1.23% 0.93% 1.69% 0.76% T33 3.9
34 ENG Matt Wallace 80 1.23% 0.93% 1.41% 0.48% T33 3.9
35 USA Billy Horschel 80 1.23% 0.93% 1.34% 0.41% T45 3.9
36 SWE Alexander Noren 80 1.23% 0.93% 1.32% 0.39% T62 3.9
37 IRL Shane Lowry 80 1.23% 0.93% 1.24% 0.31% T62 3.9
38 ARG Emiliano Grillo 80 1.23% 0.93% 1.11% 0.18% T58
39 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 80 1.23% 0.93% 1.07% 0.14% T27
40 SCO Russell Knox 100 0.99% 0.75% 1.01% 0.26% T39 3.13
41 RSA Branden Grace 100 0.99% 0.75% 0.91% 0.16% T33
42 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 100 0.99% 0.75% 0.88% 0.14% T45
43 NED Joost Luiten 100 0.99% 0.75% 0.73% -0.02% T10
44 USA Keegan Bradley 110 0.9% 0.68% 1.92% 1.24% T10 2.85
45 ENG Danny Willett 125 0.79% 0.6% 1.33% 0.73% T27 2.51
46 USA Chez Reavie 125 0.79% 0.6% 1.19% 0.59% T65 2.51
47 USA Kevin Kisner 125 0.79% 0.6% 1.09% 0.49% T27 2.51
48 ENG Tom Lewis 150 0.66% 0.5% 1.69% 1.19% T65
49 MEX Abraham Ancer 150 0.66% 0.5% 1.11% 0.61% T39
50 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.54% 0.04% T3
51 USA Kevin Na 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.95% 0.52% T36
52 ENG Eddie Pepperell 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.94% 0.51% T67
53 NZL Ryan Fox 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.87% 0.44% T67
54 USA Aaron Wise 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.6% 0.17% T19
55 USA Patton Kizzire 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.53% 0.1% T27
56 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.83% 0.45% 69
57 ENG Aaron Rai 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% T51
58 IND Shubhankar Sharma 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.49% 0.16% T60
59 ESP Adrian Otaegui 250 0.4% 0.3% 1.01% 0.71% T60
60 USA Kyle Stanley 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.79% 0.49% T58
61 RSA Richard Sterne 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.68% 0.38% T51
62 SWE Alexander Bjork 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.66% 0.36% T39
63 USA David Lipsky 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.88% 0.66% T10
64 JPN Shugo Imahira 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.57% 0.35% T39
65 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.72% 0.53% T51
66 RSA Erik van Rooyen 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.56% 0.38% T36
67 RSA George Coetzee 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.25% 0.07% T56
68 RSA Shaun Norris 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.68% 0.53% 71
69 KOR Sanghyun Park 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.64% 0.49% WD
70 AUS Jake McLeod 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% T45
71 AUS Matthew Millar 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% 70
72 KOR Byeong Hun An 0% 0% 1.19% 0% T45

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...