Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 65.5

Total Profit: -34.7

Waste Management Phoenix Open

31/01/2019 - 03/02/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 7 12.5% 8.67% 2.43% -6.24% T10
2 USA Justin Thomas 10 9.09% 6.31% 2.4% -3.91% 3
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 12 7.69% 5.34% 2.05% -3.29% T15
4 USA Xander Schauffele 18 5.26% 3.65% 3.98% 0.33% T10
5 USA Gary Woodland 20 4.76% 3.3% 3.47% 0.16% T7
6 USA Tony Finau 20 4.76% 3.3% 2.5% -0.81% MC
7 USA Rickie Fowler 20 4.76% 3.3% 1.67% -1.63% 1
8 USA Webb Simpson 22 4.35% 3.02% 2.12% -0.9% T20
9 USA Phil Mickelson 22 4.35% 3.02% 1.93% -1.09% MC
10 USA Matt Kuchar 28 3.45% 2.39% 1.4% -0.99% T4
11 AUS Cameron Smith 33 2.94% 2.04% 1.98% -0.06% T15
12 USA Billy Horschel 40 2.44% 1.69% 2.8% 1.1% T39 7.53
13 CAN Adam Hadwin 40 2.44% 1.69% 1.17% -0.52% T44
14 KOR Byeong Hun An 50 1.96% 1.36% 1.75% 0.39% T20 6.06
15 USA Bubba Watson 50 1.96% 1.36% 1.56% 0.2% T4 (tied w/3) 6.06 +33.3
16 USA Chez Reavie 50 1.96% 1.36% 1.17% -0.19% T4
17 USA Daniel Berger 50 1.96% 1.36% 0.81% -0.55% MC
18 USA Cameron Champ 50 1.96% 1.36% 0.68% -0.68% T67
19 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 66 1.49% 1.04% 1.67% 0.64% T15 4.61
20 ARG Emiliano Grillo 66 1.49% 1.04% 1.26% 0.23% T33 4.61
21 USA Brandt Snedeker 66 1.49% 1.04% 1.21% 0.17% T55 4.61
22 SWE Alexander Noren 66 1.49% 1.04% 0.99% -0.05% T44 4.61
23 USA Andrew Putnam 66 1.49% 1.04% 0.78% -0.25% MC
24 USA Keegan Bradley 70 1.41% 0.98% 1.67% 0.7% T67 4.35
25 USA Luke List 70 1.41% 0.98% 0.85% -0.13% MC
26 USA Zach Johnson 75 1.32% 0.91% 0.87% -0.04% T39 4.07
27 MEX Abraham Ancer 80 1.23% 0.86% 1.27% 0.41% MC 3.82
28 USA Lucas Glover 80 1.23% 0.86% 1.13% 0.28% MC 3.82
29 USA Kevin Tway 80 1.23% 0.86% 1.05% 0.2% MC 3.82
30 USA Ryan Palmer 80 1.23% 0.86% 0.95% 0.1% T60 3.82
31 SCO Martin Laird 80 1.23% 0.86% 0.37% -0.48% T26
32 USA Jason Kokrak 90 1.1% 0.76% 1.01% 0.25% T20 3.4
33 USA Talor Gooch 90 1.1% 0.76% 0.67% -0.09% MC
34 KOR Sungjae Im 90 1.1% 0.76% 0.59% -0.17% T7
35 KOR Siwoo Kim 100 0.99% 0.69% 1.07% 0.39% MC 3.06
36 USA Kyle Stanley 100 0.99% 0.69% 1.05% 0.37% MC 3.06
37 RSA Branden Grace 100 0.99% 0.69% 0.98% 0.3% 2 3.06 +32.1
38 USA Scott Piercy 100 0.99% 0.69% 0.96% 0.28% T20 3.06
39 USA J.B. Holmes 100 0.99% 0.69% 0.68% -0.01% T26 3.06
40 USA Brendan Steele 100 0.99% 0.69% 0.54% -0.15% MC
41 USA Austin Cook 100 0.99% 0.69% 0.47% -0.21% MC
42 USA Beau Hossler 100 0.99% 0.69% 0.39% -0.29% T39
43 GER Martin Kaymer 125 0.79% 0.55% 1.33% 0.78% MC 2.46
44 USA Kevin Na 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.83% 0.28% T60 2.46
45 SCO Russell Knox 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.79% 0.24% T10 2.46
46 USA Patton Kizzire 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.75% 0.2% MC 2.46
47 USA Kevin Kisner 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.73% 0.18% T26 2.46
48 USA Peter Uihlein 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.61% 0.06% WD 2.46
49 USA Ryan Moore 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.58% 0.03% MC 2.46
50 USA J.J Spaun 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.52% -0.03% T50 2.46
51 USA Bud Cauley 140 0.71% 0.49% 0.31% -0.18% T26
52 TPE C.T. Pan 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.92% 0.46% T60
53 USA Harold Varner III 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.63% 0.17% T10
54 USA Joel Dahmen 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.62% 0.16% MC
55 USA JT Poston 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.53% 0.07% T26
56 USA Andrew Landry 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.43% -0.03% T60
57 USA Trey Mullinax 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.39% -0.07% T15
58 CHI Joaquin Niemann 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.31% -0.15% MC
59 USA Jimmy Walker 160 0.62% 0.43% 0.57% 0.14% T44
60 RSA Charl Schwartzel 160 0.62% 0.43% 0.49% 0.05% MC
61 NZL Danny Lee 175 0.57% 0.39% 1.12% 0.72% T44
62 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.79% 0.4% T33
63 USA Keith Mitchell 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.75% 0.36% 73
64 KOR Sunghoon Kang 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.68% 0.29% MC
65 USA Nick Watney 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.67% 0.27% T39
66 USA Charley Hoffman 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.53% 0.13% T20
67 AUS Aaron Baddeley 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.43% 0.03% MC
68 USA Harris English 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.4% 0% MC
69 USA Sam Burns 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.35% -0.05% MC
70 USA Steve Stricker 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.94% 0.59% MC
71 USA Chris Kirk 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.81% 0.47% T50
72 USA Brian Gay 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.7% 0.35% T55
73 USA Ryan Armour 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.67% 0.33% MC
74 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.67% 0.33% MC
75 USA Sam Ryder 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.58% 0.24% T60
76 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.5% 0.16% T10
77 USA Vaughn Taylor 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.5% 0.16% MC
78 USA Chesson Hadley 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.45% 0.11% T20
79 USA Russell Henley 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.44% 0.09% T15
80 USA Bill Haas 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.37% 0.02% MC
81 USA Scott Stallings 200 0.5% 0.35% 0.33% -0.01% MC
82 USA Kevin Streelman 225 0.44% 0.31% 0.57% 0.26% T50
83 USA Stewart Cink 225 0.44% 0.31% 0.49% 0.18% T50
84 USA Anders Albertson 225 0.44% 0.31% 0.46% 0.15% MC
85 USA James Hahn 225 0.44% 0.31% 0.37% 0.07% T67
86 USA Brian Stuard 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.74% 0.46% T55
87 USA Robert Streb 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.57% 0.29% MC
88 USA Hunter Mahan 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.52% 0.25% T33
89 CAN Nick Taylor 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% MC
90 USA Brian Harman 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% T39
91 USA Richy Werenski 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.37% 0.09% T60
92 USA John Huh 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.33% 0.06% T70
93 USA Ollie Schniederjans 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.26% -0.01% T33
94 USA Denny McCarthy 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.23% -0.05% T33
95 USA Brice Garnett 275 0.36% 0.25% 0.61% 0.36% MC
96 USA Adam Schenk 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.28% 0.05% T55
97 USA Bronson Burgoon 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.53% 0.33% MC
98 SVK Rory Sabbatini 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.38% 0.19% MC
99 USA Sean O'Hair 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.34% 0.15% MC
100 USA Adam Long 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% MC
101 USA Mackenzie Hughes 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% MC
102 USA Brandon Hagy 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% MC
103 SWE Jonas Blixt 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.52% 0.34% MC
104 USA Chris Stroud 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.43% 0.25% T7
105 USA Ryan Blaum 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.39% 0.22% MC
106 MEX Carlos Ortiz 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.33% 0.15% T60
107 CAN David Hearn 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% T33
108 GER Stephan Jaeger 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
109 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.59% 0.46% 72
110 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% MC
111 USA John Catlin 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% T44
112 USA Brandon Harkins 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% T26
113 USA Michael Kim 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
114 GER Alex Cejka 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
115 USA Chase Wright 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
116 USA Morgan Hoffmann 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.12% MC
117 USA Tom Hoge 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% T44
118 USA Kelly Kraft 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% MC
119 USA Grayson Murray 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% 59
120 USA Jim Herman 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% MC
121 USA Tyler Duncan 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
122 IRL Seamus Power 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.07% MC
123 KOR K.J. Choi 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.94% 0.87% MC
124 USA Cody Gribble 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% MC
125 USA Kenny Perry 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.15% MC
126 USA Max Homa 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% T26
127 USA Colt Knost 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
128 CAN Blair Hamilton 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.08% 0.03% MC
129 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.56% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...