Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 9.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 137.4

Total Profit: +37.4

Italian Open

12/10/2017 - 15/10/2017

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 6 14.29% 10.81% 2.98% -7.83% T15
2 ITA Francesco Molinari 16 5.88% 4.45% 2.49% -1.96% T6
3 ESP Sergio Garcia 17 5.56% 4.2% 1.38% -2.82% T30
4 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 18 5.26% 3.98% 1.35% -2.63% 1
5 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 21 4.55% 3.44% 1.62% -1.82% T15
6 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 23 4.17% 3.15% 2.48% -0.67% T6
7 SWE Alexander Noren 26 3.7% 2.8% 1.85% -0.96% T38
8 IRL Shane Lowry 29 3.33% 2.52% 1.25% -1.27% MC
9 ENG Ross Fisher 31 3.13% 2.37% 1.71% -0.65% T2 (tied w/2) 25.93 +93.4
10 IRL Paul Dunne 37 2.63% 1.99% 1.77% -0.22% T26 21.84
11 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 37 2.63% 1.99% 1.68% -0.32% T45 21.84
12 SWE David Lingmerth 46 2.13% 1.61% 1.49% -0.12% MC 17.66
13 GER Martin Kaymer 46 2.13% 1.61% 1.27% -0.34% MC
14 ENG Eddie Pepperell 55 1.79% 1.35% 1.33% -0.02% T10
15 ENG Lee Westwood 55 1.79% 1.35% 1.26% -0.09% T58
16 FRA Alexander Levy 58 1.69% 1.28% 1.04% -0.24% T26
17 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 58 1.69% 1.28% 0.73% -0.55% MC
18 RSA George Coetzee 60 1.64% 1.24% 1.03% -0.21% T6
19 FRA Victor Dubuisson 60 1.64% 1.24% 0.71% -0.54% WD
20 SCO Marc Warren 61 1.61% 1.22% 0.82% -0.4% T10
21 NIR Graeme McDowell 63 1.56% 1.18% 1.06% -0.12% 65
22 ENG David Horsey 64 1.54% 1.16% 1.67% 0.5% T6 (tied w/4) 12.77 +44.1
23 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 67 1.47% 1.11% 1.35% 0.24% T32
24 NED Joost Luiten 67 1.47% 1.11% 0.73% -0.38% T32
25 ENG Luke Donald 71 1.39% 1.05% 1.01% -0.04% T50
26 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 73 1.35% 1.02% 1.13% 0.1% T2
27 ENG Andy Sullivan 79 1.25% 0.95% 1% 0.06% MC
28 ESP Nacho Elvira 84 1.18% 0.89% 0.72% -0.18% T40
29 SWE Joakim Lagergren 85 1.16% 0.88% 0.43% -0.45% T40
30 FRA Romain Wattel 87 1.14% 0.86% 0.76% -0.1% MC
31 JPN Hideto Tanihara 87 1.14% 0.86% 0.55% -0.31% MC
32 SCO Richie Ramsay 91 1.09% 0.82% 1.2% 0.38% T40
33 ENG Danny Willett 97 1.02% 0.77% 0.42% -0.36% MC
34 USA Julian Suri 98 1.01% 0.76% 0.91% 0.14% MC
35 ENG Graeme Storm 100 0.99% 0.75% 0.99% 0.25% MC
36 RSA Richard Sterne 101 0.98% 0.74% 1.03% 0.29% T32
37 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 108 0.92% 0.69% 0.99% 0.3% MC
38 NZL Ryan Fox 111 0.89% 0.68% 0.93% 0.26% MC
39 SCO Stephen Gallacher 114 0.87% 0.66% 0.95% 0.29% MC
40 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 114 0.87% 0.66% 0.77% 0.11% T15
41 KOR Byeong Hun An 114 0.87% 0.66% 0.57% -0.08% T21
42 FIN Mikko Ilonen 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.77% 0.14% MC
43 ENG Jordan L Smith 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.74% 0.11% T21
44 FRA Gregory Bourdy 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.68% 0.06% T30
45 ENG Robert Rock 130 0.76% 0.58% 1.03% 0.45% MC
46 RSA Haydn Porteous 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.72% 0.14% MC
47 IRL Padraig Harrington 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.68% 0.1% MC
48 RSA Brandon Stone 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.63% 0.05% MC
49 BEL Thomas Detry 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.53% -0.05% MC
50 KOR Jeunghun Wang 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.31% -0.27% T21
51 ITA Nino Bertasio 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.91% 0.4% T10
52 ENG Andrew Johnston 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.55% 0.05% MC
53 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.99% 0.52% T10
54 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.99% 0.52% MC
55 ENG Lee Slattery 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.96% 0.49% MC
56 SWE Alexander Bjork 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.95% 0.48% T40
57 GER Marcel Siem 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.9% 0.43% MC
58 RSA Dylan Frittelli 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.88% 0.41% MC
59 FIN Mikko Korhonen 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.68% 0.21% MC
60 ENG Chris Hanson 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.62% 0.15% T50
61 RSA Dean Burmester 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.61% 0.14% T58
62 WAL Bradley Dredge 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.55% 0.08% MC
63 ENG Callum Shinkwin 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.63% 0.21% MC
64 ESP Adrian Otaegui 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.95% 0.55% T45
65 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.87% 0.47% T10
66 ENG Matt Wallace 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.81% 0.42% 4
67 ENG Chris Paisley 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.66% 0.26% T58
68 FRA Benjamin Hebert 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.64% 0.24% T15
69 AUS Jason Scrivener 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.62% 0.22% MC
70 ESP Jorge Campillo 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.61% 0.21% T40
71 THA Thongchai Jaidee 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% MC
72 GER Florian Fritsch 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.54% 0.14% T38
73 SWE Peter Hanson 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.53% 0.14% MC
74 WAL Jamie Donaldson 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.92% 0.55% T26
75 ITA Matteo Manassero 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.73% 0.35% MC
76 ENG James Morrison 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.65% 0.27% MC
77 CAN Austin Connelly 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.58% 0.2% T21
78 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.51% 0.13% MC
79 ENG Richard Bland 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.31% -0.07% T50
80 ENG Oliver Fisher 210 0.47% 0.36% 1.01% 0.65% MC
81 SWE Robert Karlsson 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.96% 0.6% T32
82 ARG Andres Romero 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% MC
83 POR Ricardo Gouveia 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.54% 0.19% T56
84 ESP Alejandro Canizares 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.53% 0.17% T15
85 ENG Matthew Southgate 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.51% 0.15% MC
86 SCO David Drysdale 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.55% 0.21% T26
87 RSA Darren Fichardt 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.54% 0.2% T32
88 ITA Renato Paratore 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.55% 0.24% MC
89 SCO Scott Jamieson 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.52% 0.22% MC
90 RSA Thomas Aiken 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.54% 0.25% MC
91 GER Maximilian Kieffer 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.35% 0.06% T15
92 AUS Wade Ormsby 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.28% -0.01% T63
93 FRA Gregory Havret 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% T21
94 CHI Felipe Aguilar 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.46% 0.18% T32
95 FRA Julien Quesne 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.63% 0.36% T50
96 FRA Matthieu Pavon 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.49% 0.22% T63
97 ENG Paul Waring 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% MC
98 AUS Andrew Dodt 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.99% 0.73% MC
99 USA Daniel Im 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.52% 0.26% MC
100 AUS Marcus Fraser 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.67% 0.48% 5
101 FRA Gary Stal 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.59% 0.41% MC
102 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% MC
103 ESP Alvaro Quiros 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% MC
104 USA Paul Peterson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.49% 0.31% MC
105 RSA Justin Walters 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.27% MC
106 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% MC
107 AUS Brett Rumford 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% T45
108 ENG David Howell 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.2% T58
109 SWE Johan Carlsson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T56
110 ITA Edoardo Molinari 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
111 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.73% 0.58% MC
112 DEN Anders Hansen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% MC
113 DEN Lasse Jensen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% MC
114 ENG Daniel Brooks 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% T45
115 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
116 KOR Soomin Lee 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T50
117 ITA Andrea Pavan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T50
118 AUS Sam Brazel 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% 66
119 SWE Magnus A Carlsson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% MC
120 THA Panuphol Pittayarat 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% MC
121 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.46% 0.38% MC
122 AUS Nathan Holman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
123 FRA Sebastien Gros 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
124 ITA Alessandro Tadini 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.1% MC
125 ITA Enrico Di Nitto 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.04% T45
126 ITA Federico Maccario 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.04% MC
127 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 1.16% 0% MC
128 SWE Niclas Fasth 0% 0% 0.4% 0% MC
129 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 0% 0% 0.35% 0% T58
130 ITA Luca Cianchetti 0% 0% 0.13% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...