Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 33.4

Total Profit: -66.8

Dubai Duty Free Irish Open Hosted by the Rory Foundation

06/07/2017 - 09/07/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 7 12.5% 9.46% 2.19% -7.28% MC
2 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 10 9.09% 6.88% 1.81% -5.07% T14
3 ESP Jon Rahm 15 6.25% 4.73% 3.85% -0.88% 1
4 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 16 5.88% 4.45% 4.04% -0.41% T10
5 ENG Justin Rose 16 5.88% 4.45% 2.92% -1.53% T4
6 BEL Thomas Pieters 24 4% 3.03% 1.63% -1.4% MC
7 IRL Shane Lowry 28 3.45% 2.61% 1.46% -1.15% T20
8 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 30 3.23% 2.44% 0.82% -1.62% T48
9 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 31 3.13% 2.37% 1.57% -0.8% MC
10 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 32 3.03% 2.29% 1.33% -0.96% MC
11 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 37 2.63% 1.99% 1.72% -0.27% T54
12 ENG Andy Sullivan 38 2.56% 1.94% 1.07% -0.87% T20
13 ENG Lee Westwood 46 2.13% 1.61% 1.9% 0.29% MC 6.87
14 USA Peter Uihlein 47 2.08% 1.58% 1.34% -0.23% T14 6.72
15 NIR Graeme McDowell 50 1.96% 1.48% 1.39% -0.09% MC 6.33
16 NED Joost Luiten 55 1.79% 1.35% 1.24% -0.11% T54 5.76
17 IRL Paul Dunne 57 1.72% 1.31% 0.9% -0.41% T54
18 ENG Ian Poulter 61 1.61% 1.22% 1.19% -0.03% T42 5.21
19 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 67 1.47% 1.11% 0.75% -0.37% T62
20 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 69 1.43% 1.08% 1.24% 0.16% MC 4.61
21 IRL Padraig Harrington 69 1.43% 1.08% 0.74% -0.34% T42
22 ENG Andrew Johnston 71 1.39% 1.05% 0.65% -0.4% MC
23 RSA Dylan Frittelli 72 1.37% 1.04% 1.06% 0.02% MC 4.42
24 RSA George Coetzee 73 1.35% 1.02% 0.84% -0.18% MC 4.36
25 FRA Alexander Levy 82 1.2% 0.91% 1.16% 0.25% MC 3.89
26 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 84 1.18% 0.89% 0.68% -0.21% MC 3.8
27 WAL Jamie Donaldson 90 1.1% 0.83% 0.71% -0.13% WD 3.55
28 SWE Alexander Bjork 92 1.08% 0.81% 1.11% 0.3% MC 3.47
29 WAL Bradley Dredge 99 1% 0.76% 0.66% -0.09% 13 3.23
30 ENG Jordan L Smith 100 0.99% 0.75% 0.94% 0.19% T20 3.2
31 ITA Renato Paratore 101 0.98% 0.74% 0.83% 0.09% MC 3.17
32 THA Thongchai Jaidee 101 0.98% 0.74% 0.73% -0.01% MC 3.17
33 SWE Joakim Lagergren 101 0.98% 0.74% 0.58% -0.16% MC 3.17
34 ENG David Horsey 102 0.97% 0.73% 0.55% -0.18% T48 3.14
35 RSA Brandon Stone 104 0.95% 0.72% 0.8% 0.08% MC 3.08
36 FRA Victor Dubuisson 105 0.94% 0.71% 0.56% -0.16% MC 3.05
37 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 107 0.93% 0.7% 0.66% -0.04% MC 2.99
38 USA David Lipsky 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.94% 0.32% MC 2.67
39 NZL Ryan Fox 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.69% 0.06% T4 (tied w/4) 2.67 +33.4
40 ENG Danny Willett 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.6% -0.03% WD 2.67
41 ENG Graeme Storm 130 0.76% 0.58% 1.04% 0.46% MC 2.47
42 RSA Thomas Aiken 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.83% 0.25% MC 2.47
43 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.73% 0.23% MC
44 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.69% 0.19% T30
45 RSA Dean Burmester 160 0.62% 0.47% 1.19% 0.72% T58
46 ENG James Morrison 160 0.62% 0.47% 1.02% 0.55% MC
47 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.88% 0.41% WD
48 JPN Hideto Tanihara 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.73% 0.26% T10
49 SWE Rikard Karlberg 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.64% 0.17% T54
50 NIR Michael Hoey 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.46% -0.01% T30
51 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 180 0.55% 0.42% 1.26% 0.84% T42
52 KOR Jeunghun Wang 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.77% 0.35% MC
53 GER Marcel Siem 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.62% 0.2% MC
54 FRA Gregory Bourdy 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.45% 0.04% T30
55 SWE Peter Hanson 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.38% -0.04% T14
56 ENG Paul Waring 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.29% -0.13% MC
57 RSA Richard Sterne 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.21% -0.2% MC
58 ESP Jorge Campillo 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% MC
59 ARG Andres Romero 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.69% 0.3% T42
60 SCO Scott Jamieson 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.69% 0.29% T14
61 SCO Richie Ramsay 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.54% 0.14% T2
62 ENG Richard Bland 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.49% 0.09% MC
63 AUS Scott Hend 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.45% 0.05% T20
64 ENG Matt Wallace 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.76% 0.39% MC
65 ITA Matteo Manassero 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% T48
66 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.4% 0.02% MC
67 ENG Robert Rock 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.32% -0.05% MC
68 FIN Mikko Ilonen 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.48% 0.12% MC
69 SCO Stephen Gallacher 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.37% 0.03% T36
70 ESP Adrian Otaegui 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.33% -0.01% T20
71 SCO Paul Lawrie 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.6% 0.27% MC
72 ESP Nacho Elvira 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.54% 0.21% MC
73 ENG Anthony Wall 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.37% 0.05% T20
74 ESP Alvaro Quiros 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.81% 0.52% MC
75 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.5% 0.21% MC
76 SWE Johan Carlsson 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% MC
77 AUS Marcus Fraser 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.59% 0.31% T36
78 ENG Oliver Fisher 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.68% 0.41% T10
79 SCO Marc Warren 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.55% 0.28% MC
80 FRA Benjamin Hebert 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.54% 0.27% T8
81 CHI Felipe Aguilar 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.5% 0.23% T48
82 AUS Andrew Dodt 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% T20
83 SCO David Drysdale 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% T4
84 FRA Gregory Havret 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.61% 0.35% MC
85 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% MC
86 ESP Alejandro Canizares 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% MC
87 FRA Julien Quesne 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% T8
88 ENG Ashley Chesters 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% T20
89 GER Florian Fritsch 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.27% 0.01% MC
90 DEN Thomas Bjorn 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.73% 0.48% MC
91 ITA Edoardo Molinari 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.69% 0.44% MC
92 DEN Lasse Jensen 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.59% 0.34% MC
93 RSA Hennie Otto 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.51% 0.26% MC
94 AUS Jason Scrivener 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.24% MC
95 ITA Nino Bertasio 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.48% 0.23% MC
96 AUS Brett Rumford 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.46% 0.21% MC
97 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.45% 0.2% MC
98 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.14% T42
99 ENG Chris Hanson 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% T36
100 USA Daniel Im 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.32% 0.07% T4
101 FRA Romain Wattel 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.06% MC
102 ESP Pep Angles Ros 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.05% MC
103 ENG David Howell 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% MC
104 ENG Matthew Southgate 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% T2
105 ENG Mark Foster 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.27% 0.02% MC
106 ENG Callum Shinkwin 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.86% 0.67% T30
107 SWE Robert Karlsson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.61% 0.42% T30
108 SWE Niclas Fasth 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% MC
109 ENG Lee Slattery 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% T30
110 RSA Darren Fichardt 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% MC
111 SWE Jens Fahrbring 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.2% MC
112 FRA Gary Stal 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
113 AUS Wade Ormsby 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% T14
114 ENG Nathan Kimsey 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T58
115 SWE Magnus A Carlsson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
116 ENG Daniel Brooks 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.6% 0.45% MC
117 RSA Justin Walters 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% MC
118 ENG Chris Paisley 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
119 GER Bernd Ritthammer 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
120 AUS Sam Brazel 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T62
121 KOR Soomin Lee 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.14% T58
122 USA Paul Peterson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T48
123 NIR Darren Clarke 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
124 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
125 ENG Simon Khan 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
126 GER Sebastian Heisele 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.13% MC
127 FRA Sebastien Gros 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.1% MC
128 FRA Damien Perrier 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.25% MC
129 WAL Stuart Manley 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
130 ENG Marcus Armitage 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% T36
131 ENG Simon Dyson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% 64
132 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
133 ENG Richard Finch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.15% MC
134 IRL Paul McGinley 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.1% MC
135 RSA Trevor Immelman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
136 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0.93% 0% T36
137 RSA Haydn Porteous 0% 0% 0.54% 0% T36
138 BEL Thomas Detry 0% 0% 0.5% 0% T48
139 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.48% 0% MC
140 FRA Matthieu Pavon 0% 0% 0.4% 0% T42
141 FRA Joel Stalter 0% 0% 0.38% 0% MC
142 FRA Romain Langasque 0% 0% 0.38% 0% T58
143 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.35% 0% MC
144 ENG Sam Walker 0% 0% 0.29% 0% T20
145 TPE Chan Shih-chang 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
146 IRL Gavin Moynihan 0% 0% 0.16% 0% T14
147 IRL Gary Hurley 0% 0% 0.13% 0% MC
148 IRL Neil O'Briain 0% 0% 0.09% 0% MC
149 NIR Dermot McElroy 0% 0% 0.09% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...