Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 77.7

Total Profit: -22.5

BMW International Open

22/06/2017 - 25/06/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Sergio Garcia 7 12.5% 9.73% 4.27% -5.46% T2
2 SWE Henrik Stenson 8 11.11% 8.65% 2.79% -5.86% T10
3 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 15 6.25% 4.86% 3.64% -1.23% T20
4 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 21 4.55% 3.54% 3.44% -0.1% T6 (tied w/2) 15.82 +41.1
5 GER Martin Kaymer 22 4.35% 3.38% 2.43% -0.96% MC
6 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 22 4.35% 3.38% 2.24% -1.15% T26
7 NED Joost Luiten 29 3.33% 2.59% 1.4% -1.2% T14
8 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 29 3.33% 2.59% 1.2% -1.39% T14
9 ENG Andy Sullivan 35 2.78% 2.16% 1.05% -1.12% T51
10 RSA Dylan Frittelli 41 2.38% 1.85% 1.07% -0.78% T14
11 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 41 2.38% 1.85% 0.8% -1.05% T34
12 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 46 2.13% 1.66% 0.88% -0.77% T12
13 RSA George Coetzee 46 2.13% 1.66% 0.79% -0.86% T14
14 ENG David Horsey 56 1.75% 1.37% 1.39% 0.02% T75 6.11
15 THA Thongchai Jaidee 60 1.64% 1.28% 0.93% -0.34% MC
16 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 60 1.64% 1.28% 0.91% -0.37% T26
17 FRA Victor Dubuisson 61 1.61% 1.26% 1.02% -0.23% T34
18 ENG Jordan L Smith 61 1.61% 1.26% 0.86% -0.39% T44
19 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 62 1.59% 1.24% 0.96% -0.28% T67
20 RSA Brandon Stone 64 1.54% 1.2% 0.99% -0.21% T31
21 RSA Dean Burmester 67 1.47% 1.14% 1.39% 0.25% T82 5.12
22 ENG James Morrison 78 1.27% 0.99% 0.8% -0.18% T34 4.41
23 USA David Lipsky 80 1.23% 0.96% 1.01% 0.05% T10 4.3
24 ITA Renato Paratore 82 1.2% 0.94% 0.85% -0.09% T6 (tied w/2) 4.2 +36.5
25 FIN Mikko Korhonen 83 1.19% 0.93% 1.07% 0.15% T75 4.15
26 ENG Eddie Pepperell 87 1.14% 0.88% 0.98% 0.09% MC 3.96
27 GER Marcel Siem 89 1.11% 0.86% 1.23% 0.37% MC 3.87
28 ENG Graeme Storm 90 1.1% 0.86% 0.97% 0.12% T67 3.83
29 SWE Peter Hanson 90 1.1% 0.86% 0.74% -0.11% T44 3.83
30 RSA Jbe Kruger 93 1.06% 0.83% 0.7% -0.13% T79 3.71
31 SCO Scott Jamieson 97 1.02% 0.79% 0.82% 0.02% MC 3.55
32 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 97 1.02% 0.79% 0.77% -0.02% T20 3.55
33 RSA Ernie Els 98 1.01% 0.79% 1.1% 0.32% T59 3.52
34 SWE Alexander Bjork 105 0.94% 0.73% 1.34% 0.61% T34 3.29
35 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 108 0.92% 0.71% 0.62% -0.09% T59 3.2
36 WAL Jamie Donaldson 111 0.89% 0.69% 0.56% -0.14% T14 3.11
37 FRA Benjamin Hebert 120 0.83% 0.64% 1.14% 0.5% MC 2.88
38 ITA Matteo Manassero 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.98% 0.34% MC 2.88
39 SWE Johan Carlsson 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.53% -0.11% T67 2.88
40 ESP Alvaro Quiros 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.79% 0.19% MC 2.66
41 FRA Romain Wattel 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.55% -0.05% T51 2.66
42 GER Maximilian Kieffer 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.54% -0.06% T82 2.66
43 ESP Jorge Campillo 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.95% 0.44% T20
44 SCO Stephen Gallacher 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.65% 0.13% MC
45 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.62% 0.1% MC
46 AUS Marcus Fraser 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.59% 0.07% MC
47 ENG Max Orrin 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.43% -0.09% MC
48 RSA Richard Sterne 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.35% -0.17% T34
49 RSA Zander Lombard 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.54% 0.06% T67
50 ENG Oliver Fisher 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.91% 0.48% T79
51 SWE Rikard Karlberg 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.7% 0.27% 5
52 NZL Ryan Fox 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.65% 0.22% T26
53 IND Shiv Kapur 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.53% 0.1% T34
54 CHI Felipe Aguilar 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.47% 0.04% MC
55 ITA Edoardo Molinari 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.71% 0.3% T73
56 ENG Chris Paisley 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.46% 0.06% MC
57 SCO Paul Lawrie 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.46% 0.05% T44
58 FIN Mikko Ilonen 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.44% 0.03% MC
59 GER Florian Fritsch 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.36% -0.04% T51
60 FRA Julien Quesne 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.57% 0.18% T82
61 ESP Nacho Elvira 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.61% 0.24% T8
62 ESP Alejandro Canizares 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.56% 0.19% MC
63 SCO Marc Warren 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.52% 0.15% MC
64 SWE Robert Karlsson 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.45% 0.09% MC
65 ITA Nino Bertasio 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.43% 0.06% T34
66 ENG Mark Foster 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.29% -0.08% T51
67 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.84% 0.48% MC
68 ENG Tom Lewis 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.66% 0.32% T44
69 DEN Lasse Jensen 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.56% 0.23% MC
70 RSA Darren Fichardt 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.56% 0.22% MC
71 ENG Anthony Wall 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.48% 0.14% T31
72 AUS Brett Rumford 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.8% 0.49% T34
73 KOR Soomin Lee 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.62% 0.31% MC
74 AUS Jason Scrivener 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.55% 0.24% 85
75 DEN Thomas Bjorn 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.51% 0.2% MC
76 ENG David Howell 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.44% 0.13% WD
77 ENG Chris Hanson 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.44% 0.13% MC
78 ENG Richard Bland 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.34% 0.03% T2
79 ENG Lee Slattery 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.55% 0.25% MC
80 ESP Pep Angles Ros 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.41% 0.11% MC
81 RSA Haydn Porteous 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.86% 0.57% MC
82 USA Paul Peterson 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% MC
83 SWE Joakim Lagergren 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% T14
84 SCO David Drysdale 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% MC
85 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.47% 0.19% T26
86 GER Bernd Ritthammer 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% MC
87 AUS Richard Green 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.41% 0.12% T75
88 RSA Justin Walters 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.88% 0.6% MC
89 FRA Gregory Havret 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.61% 0.34% T44
90 ENG Richard McEvoy 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% T59
91 POR Ricardo Gouveia 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% MC
92 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.28% 0% MC
93 RSA Hennie Otto 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.55% 0.28% T8
94 USA Daniel Im 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% T59
95 ARG Andres Romero 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.29% 0.02% 1
96 DEN Jeff Winther 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.23% -0.03% T44
97 ENG Matthew Southgate 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.66% 0.41% T51
98 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.52% 0.26% MC
99 GER Sebastian Heisele 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.23% T73
100 AUS Sam Brazel 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% MC
101 AUS Wade Ormsby 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.16% T44
102 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% T20
103 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% MC
104 ENG Steve Webster 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.03% MC
105 SWE Jens Fahrbring 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.26% 0% T34
106 SWE Jens Dantorp 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.2% -0.06% T34
107 ESP Adrian Otaegui 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.6% 0.41% T51
108 WAL Stuart Manley 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% MC
109 ARG Ricardo Gonzalez 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.17% MC
110 ENG Callum Shinkwin 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% WD
111 ENG Nathan Kimsey 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
112 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.04% MC
113 SWE Anton Karlsson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.19% 0% MC
114 RSA Jaco Ahlers 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.18% -0.01% T59
115 ENG Daniel Brooks 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.66% 0.51% T67
116 ENG Simon Khan 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.28% MC
117 ENG Robert Dinwiddie 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.16% MC
118 IND Jeev Milkha Singh 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.15% MC
119 ENG Marcus Armitage 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
120 ARG Rafael Echenique 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
121 ENG Simon Dyson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
122 ENG James Heath 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
123 ENG Paul Maddy 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% T59
124 SWE Pontus Widegren 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% T59
125 SWE Niclas Fasth 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% T20
126 ESP Jose M Olazabal 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.22% MC
127 FRA Damien Perrier 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.13% MC
128 ENG Matthew Nixon 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
129 ENG Jamie Rutherford 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.04% T51
130 ENG Richard Finch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
131 THA Pavit Tangkamolprasert 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
132 ENG John Parry 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.2% MC
133 ENG Steven Tiley 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
134 GER Max Kramer 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% T67
135 FRA Matthieu Pavon 0% 0% 0.8% 0% MC
136 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.67% 0% MC
137 GER Max Schmitt 0% 0% 0.58% 0% T59
138 FRA Romain Langasque 0% 0% 0.53% 0% T31
139 BEL Thomas Detry 0% 0% 0.42% 0% T2
140 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 0% 0% 0.4% 0% T20
141 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 0% 0% 0.37% 0% T26
142 FRA Joel Stalter 0% 0% 0.31% 0% T51
143 ENG Ben Evans 0% 0% 0.3% 0% MC
144 ENG Sam Walker 0% 0% 0.3% 0% MC
145 USA Sean Crocker 0% 0% 0.27% 0% 78
146 ENG Laurie Canter 0% 0% 0.19% 0% T79
147 TPE Chan Shih-chang 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC
148 GER Max Rottluff 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
149 SWE Niclas Johansson 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
150 GER Jonas Kolbing 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
151 GER Hinrich Arkenau 0% 0% 0.12% 0% MC
152 ENG Gary King 0% 0% 0.11% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...