Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 37.1

Total Profit: -63

BMW PGA Championship

25/05/2017 - 28/05/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Justin Rose 13 7.14% 5.71% 2.33% -3.37% T12
2 SWE Henrik Stenson 14 6.67% 5.33% 3.31% -2.02% T3
3 ITA Francesco Molinari 18 5.26% 4.2% 2.13% -2.08% 2
4 SWE Alexander Noren 22 4.35% 3.47% 1.16% -2.31% 1
5 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 24 4% 3.2% 2.46% -0.73% T30
6 KOR Byeong Hun An 24 4% 3.2% 1.62% -1.57% T24
7 BEL Thomas Pieters 25 3.85% 3.07% 0.98% -2.09% T14
8 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 27 3.57% 2.85% 1.6% -1.25% T30
9 GER Martin Kaymer 30 3.23% 2.58% 1.81% -0.77% MC
10 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 32 3.03% 2.42% 3.45% 1.03% MC 10.89
11 RSA Branden Grace 37 2.63% 2.1% 1.7% -0.41% T9
12 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 44 2.22% 1.78% 0.97% -0.81% T12
13 ENG Lee Westwood 44 2.22% 1.78% 0.88% -0.89% T14
14 ENG Ross Fisher 46 2.13% 1.7% 1.79% 0.09% T9 7.65
15 ENG Ian Poulter 49 2% 1.6% 1.68% 0.08% T40 7.19
16 IRL Shane Lowry 50 1.96% 1.57% 1.35% -0.22% T6
17 FRA Alexander Levy 55 1.79% 1.43% 0.88% -0.54% T51
18 ENG Luke Donald 56 1.75% 1.4% 1.19% -0.21% 65 6.31
19 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 59 1.67% 1.33% 1.1% -0.23% T24
20 ENG Andy Sullivan 61 1.61% 1.29% 1.09% -0.2% T30 5.8
21 NED Joost Luiten 61 1.61% 1.29% 0.75% -0.53% T24
22 SCO Russell Knox 67 1.47% 1.17% 0.81% -0.36% MC
23 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 67 1.47% 1.17% 0.67% -0.5% T30
24 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 80 1.23% 0.99% 0.67% -0.32% MC
25 USA Peter Uihlein 81 1.22% 0.97% 1% 0.03% T30 4.39
26 RSA George Coetzee 86 1.15% 0.92% 1.07% 0.15% MC 4.13
27 RSA Dylan Frittelli 88 1.12% 0.9% 0.78% -0.12% MC 4.04
28 THA Thongchai Jaidee 90 1.1% 0.88% 1.06% 0.18% T54 3.95
29 RSA Thomas Aiken 97 1.02% 0.82% 0.92% 0.1% MC 3.67
30 USA David Lipsky 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.93% 0.14% MC 3.56
31 IRL Paul Dunne 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.71% -0.08% T30 3.56
32 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 101 0.98% 0.78% 0.54% -0.24% MC
33 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 102 0.97% 0.78% 0.5% -0.28% T14
34 ENG Jordan L Smith 104 0.95% 0.76% 0.75% -0.01% T40 3.43
35 FRA Victor Dubuisson 104 0.95% 0.76% 0.55% -0.21% T24
36 ENG Andrew Johnston 105 0.94% 0.75% 0.39% -0.36% T21
37 RSA Brandon Stone 110 0.9% 0.72% 0.9% 0.18% MC 3.24
38 ENG Danny Willett 114 0.87% 0.69% 0.87% 0.18% T58 3.13
39 KOR Jeunghun Wang 114 0.87% 0.69% 0.45% -0.24% MC
40 JPN Hideto Tanihara 120 0.83% 0.66% 0.79% 0.13% T3 (tied w/3) 2.97 +37.1
41 ITA Matteo Manassero 120 0.83% 0.66% 0.67% 0.01% T30 2.97
42 ESP Alvaro Quiros 130 0.76% 0.61% 1.27% 0.66% MC 2.75
43 RSA Dean Burmester 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.97% 0.36% T9 2.75
44 ENG James Morrison 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.74% 0.13% MC 2.75
45 ESP Jorge Campillo 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.73% 0.12% T40 2.75
46 SWE Rikard Karlberg 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.66% 0.05% MC 2.75
47 SWE Peter Hanson 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.57% -0.04% T21 2.75
48 FRA Julien Quesne 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.5% -0.11% MC 2.75
49 IRL Padraig Harrington 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.77% 0.24% MC
50 ENG David Horsey 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.71% 0.18% T51
51 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.64% 0.11% T14
52 AUS Scott Hend 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.46% -0.04% T24
53 FRA Gregory Bourdy 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.43% -0.07% T62
54 RSA Richard Sterne 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.77% 0.33% MC
55 FRA Benjamin Hebert 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.47% 0.03% T58
56 FRA Romain Wattel 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.47% 0.03% 66
57 SCO Marc Warren 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.36% -0.08% MC
58 AUS Marcus Fraser 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.82% 0.4% MC
59 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.68% 0.26% MC
60 ITA Renato Paratore 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.49% 0.08% MC
61 ESP Alejandro Canizares 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.46% 0.04% MC
62 ESP Nacho Elvira 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.45% 0.03% MC
63 RSA Ernie Els 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.56% 0.16% T51
64 GER Marcel Siem 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.55% 0.15% MC
65 ENG Matt Wallace 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.54% 0.15% MC
66 AUS Jason Scrivener 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.51% 0.12% MC
67 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.48% 0.08% MC
68 KOR Soomin Lee 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.39% -0.01% MC
69 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.39% -0.01% T3
70 SWE Alexander Bjork 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.75% 0.37% T14
71 SCO Richie Ramsay 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.72% 0.34% T30
72 ESP Pep Angles Ros 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.47% 0.09% MC
73 FIN Mikko Korhonen 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.72% 0.36% MC
74 WAL Bradley Dredge 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.48% 0.12% T40
75 FIN Mikko Ilonen 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.46% 0.1% T62
76 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.42% 0.06% MC
77 SCO Paul Lawrie 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.38% 0.02% MC
78 SCO Scott Jamieson 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.72% 0.37% T14
79 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.62% 0.27% MC
80 SCO Stephen Gallacher 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.52% 0.17% T21
81 RSA Zander Lombard 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.42% 0.08% MC
82 ENG Paul Waring 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.75% 0.43% MC
83 NZL Ryan Fox 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.49% 0.17% MC
84 DEN Thomas Bjorn 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.47% 0.15% 57
85 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.47% 0.15% MC
86 AUS Brett Rumford 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.85% 0.54% WD
87 ENG Robert Rock 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.55% 0.25% MC
88 ENG Oliver Fisher 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.55% 0.24% T40
89 ENG Anthony Wall 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.37% 0.07% T40
90 SWE Robert Karlsson 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.37% 0.06% MC
91 ENG Richard Bland 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.31% 0.01% MC
92 ENG Graeme Storm 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.54% 0.24% T6
93 ENG Chris Hanson 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.41% 0.11% MC
94 POR Ricardo Gouveia 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.36% 0.07% MC
95 USA Daniel Im 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.61% 0.33% MC
96 RSA Haydn Porteous 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.55% 0.26% MC
97 FRA Gregory Havret 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.37% 0.09% MC
98 WAL Jamie Donaldson 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.29% 0% MC
99 ITA Edoardo Molinari 290 0.34% 0.27% 1.37% 1.09% MC
100 ENG Lee Slattery 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.41% 0.14% MC
101 SWE Joakim Lagergren 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.39% 0.12% MC
102 GER Maximilian Kieffer 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.27% 0% T24
103 AUS Sam Brazel 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.63% 0.37% MC
104 ENG Matthew Southgate 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.56% 0.29% MC
105 RSA Darren Fichardt 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.54% 0.28% MC
106 AUS Andrew Dodt 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.49% 0.22% T6
107 SWE Johan Carlsson 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.21% T58
108 ESP Carlos Pigem 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.19% MC
109 RSA Justin Walters 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.18% MC
110 ENG Chris Paisley 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.41% 0.15% MC
111 USA Paul Peterson 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% T40
112 SCO David Drysdale 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.35% 0.08% T49
113 AUS Wade Ormsby 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.26% 0% MC
114 GER Florian Fritsch 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.22% -0.05% T30
115 SWE Magnus A Carlsson 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.55% 0.35% MC
116 RSA Hennie Otto 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% MC
117 ENG David Howell 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% 48
118 DEN Lasse Jensen 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% MC
119 ESP Adrian Otaegui 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% MC
120 CHI Felipe Aguilar 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% MC
121 GER Bernd Ritthammer 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% T40
122 ENG Daniel Brooks 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% T54
123 SWE Pelle Edberg 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.17% MC
124 ENG Callum Shinkwin 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% DQ
125 ITA Nino Bertasio 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% T14
126 FRA Gary Stal 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.37% 0.26% MC
127 SUI Robert Coles 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.34% 0.23% MC
128 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% MC
129 FRA Sebastien Gros 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% 64
130 NIR Darren Clarke 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
131 SWE Niclas Fasth 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% T54
132 AUS Nathan Holman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% WD
133 RSA Trevor Immelman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
134 ENG Simon Dyson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
135 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 1.18% 0% T30
136 ENG Chris Wood 0% 0% 1.16% 0% T49
137 FRA Romain Langasque 0% 0% 0.56% 0% MC
138 FRA Matthieu Pavon 0% 0% 0.55% 0% MC
139 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.42% 0% T58
140 ENG Sam Walker 0% 0% 0.42% 0% MC
141 ENG Chris Gane 0% 0% 0.12% 0% MC
142 ENG Matthew Cort 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC
143 IRL Neil O'Briain 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...