Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 315.1

Total Profit: +215

DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI

17/11/2016 - 20/11/2016

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 3 25% 20.6% 7.37% -13.23% T9
2 SWE Henrik Stenson 5 16.67% 13.73% 5.45% -8.28% T9
3 SWE Alexander Noren 16 5.88% 4.85% 4.67% -0.18% T23
4 ENG Andy Sullivan 22 4.35% 3.58% 2.25% -1.33% T40
5 RSA Branden Grace 22 4.35% 3.58% 1.92% -1.66% T27
6 ITA Francesco Molinari 27 3.57% 2.94% 3.42% 0.48% T4 (tied w/5) 12.65 +32.4
7 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 27 3.57% 2.94% 2.62% -0.32% T46
8 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 27 3.57% 2.94% 2.3% -0.65% T4
9 RSA Charl Schwartzel 32 3.03% 2.5% 2.62% 0.12% 3
10 BEL Thomas Pieters 32 3.03% 2.5% 1.65% -0.85% T40
11 KOR Byeong Hun An 32 3.03% 2.5% 1.35% -1.15% T13
12 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 45 2.17% 1.79% 2.53% 0.73% 2 7.7 +38.5
13 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 45 2.17% 1.79% 1.93% 0.14% T23 7.7
14 ENG Danny Willett 45 2.17% 1.79% 1.93% 0.13% T50 7.7
15 FRA Victor Dubuisson 45 2.17% 1.79% 1.15% -0.64% T4
16 GER Martin Kaymer 57 1.72% 1.42% 3.6% 2.18% T19 6.11
17 ENG Ross Fisher 57 1.72% 1.42% 1.7% 0.28% T17 6.11
18 NED Joost Luiten 57 1.72% 1.42% 1.51% 0.08% T13
19 ENG Lee Westwood 67 1.47% 1.21% 2.11% 0.9% T13 5.21
20 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 67 1.47% 1.21% 1.62% 0.4% 1 5.21 +214.7
21 ENG Chris Wood 67 1.47% 1.21% 1.41% 0.2% T35 5.21
22 THA Thongchai Jaidee 67 1.47% 1.21% 1.35% 0.14% T40 5.21
23 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 67 1.47% 1.21% 1.2% -0.01% T19
24 IRL Shane Lowry 67 1.47% 1.21% 1.15% -0.06% T19
25 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 92 1.08% 0.89% 2.07% 1.18% T4 (tied w/5) 3.81 +29.6
26 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 92 1.08% 0.89% 1.52% 0.64% T9 3.81
27 ENG Richard Bland 92 1.08% 0.89% 1.25% 0.36% T54 3.81
28 RSA George Coetzee 92 1.08% 0.89% 1.12% 0.24% T30 3.81
29 KOR Jeunghun Wang 92 1.08% 0.89% 1.09% 0.2% T17 3.81
30 ENG Andrew Johnston 115 0.86% 0.71% 1.67% 0.96% 60 3.06
31 ENG David Horsey 115 0.86% 0.71% 1.62% 0.91% T13 3.06
32 FRA Alexander Levy 115 0.86% 0.71% 1.01% 0.3% T27 3.06
33 ESP Alejandro Canizares 115 0.86% 0.71% 0.97% 0.26% T40 3.06
34 CHN Li Haotong 115 0.86% 0.71% 0.74% 0.03% T30
35 IRL Padraig Harrington 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.97% 1.42% T46
36 AUS Scott Hend 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.78% 1.23% T40
37 RSA Richard Sterne 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.48% 0.94% T30
38 USA David Lipsky 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.36% 0.81% T35
39 SWE Joakim Lagergren 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.32% 0.77% T40
40 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.1% 0.56% T35
41 WAL Bradley Dredge 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.98% 0.44% T57
42 POR Ricardo Gouveia 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.96% 0.42% T46
43 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.93% 0.38% T4
44 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.87% 0.33% T35
45 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 180 0.55% 0.46% 1.37% 0.91% T52
46 ESP Nacho Elvira 180 0.55% 0.46% 1.26% 0.81% T30
47 FRA Gregory Bourdy 180 0.55% 0.46% 1.12% 0.66% T35
48 FIN Mikko Ilonen 180 0.55% 0.46% 1.06% 0.6% T50
49 ITA Renato Paratore 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.86% 0.41% T30
50 SWE Rikard Karlberg 230 0.43% 0.36% 1.14% 0.78% T23
51 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.92% 0.57% 49
52 ENG Matthew Southgate 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.96% 0.68% T54
53 ESP Jorge Campillo 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.8% 0.51% T9
54 FRA Romain Wattel 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% T57
55 CHI Felipe Aguilar 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.8% 0.53% T27
56 FRA Julien Quesne 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.66% 0.38% T23
57 RSA Brandon Stone 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.59% 0.31% 59
58 KOR Soomin Lee 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% 56
59 AUS Marcus Fraser 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.44% 0.16% T52
60 ESP Sergio Garcia 0% 0% 2.41% 0% T19

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...