Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 30.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 259.7

Total Profit: +159.6



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Adria Arnaus 16 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.43% 2.31% -2.12%
2 RSA Dean Burmester 20 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 4.76% 3.59% 1.68% -1.91% 2
3 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.27% 0.96% -2.31% MC
4 RSA George Coetzee 22 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.27% 0.64% -2.64% T25
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 23 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 4.17% 3.14% 3.33% 0.19% T16 7.02
6 FRA Romain Langasque 30 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.43% 1% -1.43% T8
7 ENG Marcus Armitage 30 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.43% 0.64% -1.79% T40
8 FRA Matthieu Pavon 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 2.35% 0.14% T48 9.91
9 RSA Oliver Bekker 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.65% -0.56% T3
10 IND Shubhankar Sharma 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.57% -0.64% MC
11 RSA Justin Harding 33 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.21% 0.79% -1.42% MC
12 ENG Laurie Canter 35 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.09% 1.92% -0.18% T57
13 FRA Julien Brun 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 2.03% 0.19% MC 8.22
14 USA Johannes Veerman 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.84% 1.75% -0.08% MC
15 RSA JC Ritchie 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 0.9% -0.93% MC
16 RSA Brandon Stone 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 0.45% -1.39% MC
17 ARG Daniel Vancsik 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 0.22% -1.62%
18 RSA Wilco Nienaber 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.64% 0.92% -0.72% T10
19 ENG Ross Fisher 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.64% 0.78% -0.86% MC
20 RSA Thriston Lawrence 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.48% 1.76% 0.28% T8 6.61
21 FRA Antoine Rozner 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.34% 0.69% -0.65% T25
22 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.34% 0.65% -0.69%
23 CHN Wu Ashun 56 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.75% 1.32% 2.31% 0.99% T25 2.96
24 ENG Daniel Gavins 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 1.4% 0.17% T40 5.52
25 ITA Francesco Laporta 60 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 0.91% -0.33% MC
26 RSA Zander Lombard 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 0.48% -0.76% MC
27 GER Hurly Long 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.98% 0.86% T21 5.03
28 RSA Shaun Norris 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 1.66% 0.54% 1 5.03 +212.5
29 DEN Joachim B Hansen 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.16% 0.03% T5 (tied w/3) 5.03 +23.8
30 RSA Louis de Jager 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 0.8% -0.32% MC
31 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.57% -0.56% T48
32 ESP Santiago Tarrio 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.22% -0.91%
33 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 70 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 1.67% 0.61% T25 4.75
34 SCO Connor Syme 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.06% 0.91% -0.15% T21
35 FRA Julien Guerrier 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.99% 1.65% 0.66% MC 4.43
36 THA Jazz Janewattananond 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.99% 0.67% -0.32% T16
37 ENG Andy Sullivan 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.99% 0.49% -0.5% 72
38 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.16% 0.23% MC 4.16
39 AUS Jason Scrivener 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.36% -0.57% T64
40 USA Sean Crocker 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.6% -0.23% MC
41 NED Joost Luiten 90 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.27% -0.56% T10
42 SCO Richie Ramsay 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.15% 0.41% 3.34
43 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.13% 0.39% T5 (tied w/3) 3.34 +23.4
44 ESP Jorge Campillo 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.02% 0.28% T25 3.34
45 RSA Neil Schietekat 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.92% 0.17% MC 3.34
46 FIN Mikko Korhonen 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.81% 0.07% T10 3.34
47 ESP Nacho Elvira 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.8% 0.06% T48 3.34
48 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.31% -0.43% T10
49 RSA Richard Sterne 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.27% -0.47% T60
50 RSA Tristen Strydom 100 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.24% -0.51% MC
51 ITA Edoardo Molinari 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 1.1% 0.42% 71 3.04
52 FIN Kalle Samooja 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.76% 0.08% T60 3.04
53 SCO David Law 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.63% -0.05% MC
54 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 110 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.4% -0.27% MC
55 AUT Lukas Nemecz 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.42% 0.82% T48 2.68
56 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.64% 0.04% T64 2.68
57 RSA Jbe Kruger 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.63% 0.03% MC
58 GER Yannik Paul 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.51% -0.08% T37
59 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.25% -0.35% T21
60 RSA Jaco Ahlers 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.21% -0.38% T16
61 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.18% -0.36% T60
62 SCO Ewen Ferguson 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.83% 1.33% T40
63 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.15% 0.65% T48
64 ITA Nino Bertasio 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.78% 0.28% T25
65 FRA Frederic LaCroix 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.68% 0.19% MC
66 SCO Craig Howie 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.66% 0.16% T37
67 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.63% 0.14% MC
68 RSA Keenan Davidse 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.26% -0.23% T48
69 CHI Hugo Leon 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.21% -0.29% T57
70 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.99% 0.56% T10
71 ENG James Morrison 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.71% 0.29% MC
72 WAL Jamie Donaldson 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.44% 0.01% T40
73 NOR Espen Kofstad 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.34% -0.09% T40
74 RSA Bryce Easton 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.23% 0.85% MC
75 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 1.06% 0.69% WD
76 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.82% 0.44% T73
77 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.6% 0.22% MC
78 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.75% 0.41% MC
79 ESP Alejandro Canizares 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.59% 0.26% T60
80 RSA Darren Fichardt 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.51% 0.18% MC
81 AUS Maverick Antcliff 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.51% 0.21% T64
82 USA Chase Hanna 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% MC
83 FIN Sami Valimaki 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T16
84 ENG Andrew Wilson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.21% -0.09% MC
85 RSA Jacques Blaauw 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.82% 0.55% T37
86 ENG Steven Brown 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% MC
87 GER Marcel Schneider 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
88 NED Darius Van Driel 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.2% -0.05% T64
89 RSA Deon Germishuys 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.79% 0.58% MC
90 ENG Chris Wood 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% MC
91 SCO David Drysdale 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.29% 0.07% WD
92 ENG Dale Whitnell 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% T10
93 NED Daan Huizing 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.23% 0.01% MC
94 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 400 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 1.05% 0.86% T48
95 RSA MJ Viljoen 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.76% 0.57% T73
96 ITA Andrea Pavan 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.25% T40
97 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.25% MC
98 AUS Scott Hend 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% MC
99 RSA Luke Jerling 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.08% MC
100 RSA Ockie Strydom 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 1% 0.85% T25
101 RSA Dylan Naidoo 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% T68
102 RSA Martin Rohwer 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
103 ENG Chris Paisley 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
104 ENG Jack Singh Brar 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% MC
105 SWE Rikard Karlberg 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
106 WAL Rhys Enoch 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T48
107 RSA Alex Haindl 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.79% 0.67% WD
108 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.14% MC
109 RSA Michael Palmer 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T33
110 RSA Louis Albertse 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
111 SWE Anton Karlsson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
112 RSA Haydn Porteous 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.32% 0.22% T40
113 BRA Adilson da Silva 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.22% 0.12% T68
114 RSA Keith Horne 854 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.09% 2.25% 2.16% MC
115 SCO Stephen Gallacher 854 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
116 RSA CJ du Plessis 892 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 1.55% 1.47% T57
117 RSA Luke Brown 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.76% 0.68% MC
118 RSA Hennie Otto 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% DQ
119 RSA Lyle Rowe 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% MC
120 RSA JJ Senekal 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% MC
121 POR Stephen Ferreira 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% MC
122 RSA Estiaan Conradie 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% T33
123 RSA Jake Redman 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% T48
124 RSA Anthony Michael 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
125 RSA Ruan Conradie 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.21% 0.15% MC
126 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.18% 0.12% T5
127 RSA Jean Hugo 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.45% 0.4% MC
128 RSA Ulrich Van Den Berg 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
129 RSA Jake Roos 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
130 RSA James Kingston 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21%
131 RSA Callum Mowat 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
132 RSA Daniel Greene 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
133 SWE Philip Eriksson 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% MC
134 RSA Christiaan Basson 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.23% MC
135 ENG Steve Surry 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.23% MC
136 RSA Toto Thimba 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.19% MC
137 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.16% MC
138 RSA Merrick Bremner 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.23% MC
139 RSA Ruan de Smidt 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.23% T68
140 ENG Oliver Wilson 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
141 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T16
142 ENG Ross McGowan 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
143 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 GRE Peter Karmis 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
145 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 RSA Divan Van Den Heever 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 FRA Robin Roussel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 RSA Combrinck Smit 0% 0% 0% 0% T40
149 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
150 RSA Dylan Mostert 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA Pieter Moolman 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
152 RSA Matthew Spacey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 RSA Hennie O'Kennedy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 RSA Byron Coetzee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T3
157 RSA Stefan Wears Taylor 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 RSA Adriel Poonan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 USA Tyler Koivisto 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 RSA Nikhil Rama 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 RSA Thanda Mavundla 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 RSA Siyanda Mwandla 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42.7% 25.7%
2 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 45.8% 30.9%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 59.9% 31.8%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 61.9% 33.4%
5 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 63.5% 34.6%
6 Coral 7 @ 1/5 63.5% 34.6%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 63.6% 34.8%
8 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 36.2%
9 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 37.1%
10 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 37.1%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 37.2%
12 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 55.3% 39.4%
13 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 57.9% 41.7%
14 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 58.5% 42.3%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 58.9% 42.6%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 63.5% 44.1%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 63.5% 44.1%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.7% 45.2%
19 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 69.3% 49.3%
20 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 56.2% 56.2%
21 VBet 5 @ 1/4 78.6% 57.4%