Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 5.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 34.3

Total Profit: -65.9

European Open

02/06/2022 - 05/06/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 12 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.82% 3.24% -3.58% T10
2 SCO Robert MacIntyre 22 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.86% 2.23% -1.63% MC
3 POL Adrian Meronk 25 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.41% 3.11% -0.3% MC
4 ENG Jordan L Smith 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.41% 2.75% -0.66% T10
5 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.06% 1.12% -1.94% T51
6 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.61% 1.79% -0.82% T16
7 FRA Victor Perez 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.61% 1.04% -1.57% T3
8 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 35 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.46% 2.06% -0.4% MC
9 ENG Marcus Armitage 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.16% 0.87% -1.29% T64
10 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.93% 1.22% -0.71% T40
11 FIN Mikko Korhonen 50 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.74% 0.91% -0.83% T40
12 ENG Richard Mansell 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.74% 0.68% -1.06% T3
13 BEL Thomas Detry 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.74% 0.55% -1.19% T29
14 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.64% 1.79% 0.14% T51 7.29
15 ITA Edoardo Molinari 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.45% 0.89% -0.56% T5
16 ESP Adrian Otaegui 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.39% 1.54% 0.16% T18 6.15
17 SWE Alexander Bjork 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.39% 0.86% -0.52% T25
18 ENG Matt Wallace 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.39% 0.75% -0.64% T18
19 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 2.04% 0.71% WD 5.88
20 GER Marcel Schneider 66 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 0.85% -0.48% T5
21 USA Sean Crocker 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 0.69% -0.64% T51
22 GER Martin Kaymer 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 0.47% -0.85%
23 GER Hurly Long 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.25% 1.93% 0.69% T47 5.55
24 CHN Li Haotong 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.25% 1.49% 0.24% T18 5.55
25 USA John Catlin 70 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.25% 1.21% -0.04% T25 5.55
26 SWE Henrik Stenson 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.14% 0.51% -0.63% T34
27 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 1.23% 0.13% 4.86
28 AUT Lukas Nemecz 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 0.97% -0.13% T29 4.86
29 SCO Richie Ramsay 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 1.01% 0.85% -0.16% WD 4.48
30 ITA Guido Migliozzi 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.97% 0.76% -0.22% MC 4.33
31 ENG Matthew Jordan 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.95% 0.98% 0.02% MC 4.24
32 GER Yannik Paul 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.95% 0.76% -0.19% T18 4.24
33 FRA Julien Brun 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.91% 1.18% 0.28% T34 4.02
34 RSA Thriston Lawrence 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 1.3% 0.42% T18 3.9
35 ENG Callum Shinkwin 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.88% 0.6% -0.28% WD
36 USA Johannes Veerman 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.56% -0.32% T10
37 ESP Jorge Campillo 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.82% 0.84% 0.01% MC 3.65
38 NED Wil Besseling 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.75% 0.7% -0.05% 2 3.34 +34.3
39 FRA Antoine Rozner 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.75% 0.62% -0.13% T51 3.34
40 RSA JC Ritchie 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.75% 0.47% -0.28% MC 3.34
41 FRA Matthieu Pavon 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 0.99% 0.29% T47 3.13
42 SCO Ewen Ferguson 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.76% 0.06% WD 3.13
43 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.35% -0.35% T34
44 SCO Scott Jamieson 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.7% 1% 0.31% T34 3.1
45 SCO Connor Syme 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.7% 0.93% 0.23% T51 3.1
46 AUS Jason Scrivener 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.7% 0.58% -0.12% T25 3.1
47 USA Chase Hanna 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.65% 1.44% 0.79% MC
48 CHN Wu Ashun 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.65% 0.92% 0.27% T51
49 ENG Ross Fisher 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.65% 0.7% 0.05% T29
50 GER Maximilian Kieffer 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.65% 0.54% -0.11% MC
51 NED Joost Luiten 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.65% 0.35% -0.3% WD
52 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.6% 0.89% 0.29% T64
53 SCO Grant Forrest 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.6% 0.59% -0.01% WD
54 IND Shubhankar Sharma 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 1.2% 0.61% MC
55 POR Ricardo Gouveia 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.66% 0.08% T70
56 RSA Wilco Nienaber 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.55% 0.64% 0.09% T40
57 RSA Justin Walters 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.53% 1.21% 0.68% T16
58 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.53% 0.81% 0.28% T5
59 ENG Dale Whitnell 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.53% 0.66% 0.13% MC
60 SCO David Law 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.53% 0.56% 0.03% MC
61 ARG Daniel Vancsik 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.53% 0.22% -0.32%
62 ESP Nacho Elvira 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.64% 0.14% MC
63 ENG Ashley Chesters 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 0.49% -0.02% MC
64 DEN Jeff Winther 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 0.44% -0.06% 63
65 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.33% -0.18% T10
66 FRA Julien Guerrier 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.48% 0.79% 0.31% T10
67 ENG Eddie Pepperell 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.48% 0.44% -0.04% MC
68 ITA Francesco Laporta 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.45% 0.97% 0.52% MC
69 ENG Andy Sullivan 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.45% 0.46% 0.01% MC
70 ENG Jack Senior 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.66% 0.22% T51
71 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.62% 0.18% T47
72 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.27% -0.18% T40
73 ENG David Horsey 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.39% 0.71% 0.32% MC
74 ENG Daniel Gavins 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.39% 0.7% 0.31% WD
75 FIN Kalle Samooja 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.46% 0.1% 1
76 NOR Espen Kofstad 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.44% 0.08% T40
77 CAN Aaron Cockerill 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 1.39% 1.04% T70
78 GER Max Schmitt 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.56% 0.2% MC
79 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% MC
80 RSA Brandon Stone 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.54% 0.19% T5
81 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.52% 0.17% MC
82 SWE Niklas Lemke 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.35% 0% MC
83 NED Darius Van Driel 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.27% -0.09% MC
84 ITA Nino Bertasio 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.48% 0.15% WD
85 FRA Frederic LaCroix 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.45% 0.13% MC
86 ESP Santiago Tarrio 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.22% -0.11%
87 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.95% 0.66% DQ
88 GER Marcel Siem 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.44% 0.15% T18
89 ENG Paul Waring 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.84% 0.55% MC
90 RSA Darren Fichardt 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.37% 0.08% T40
91 GER Nick Bachem 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.22% -0.08% MC
92 ENG Matthew Southgate 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.55% 0.28% T34
93 RSA Zander Lombard 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.22% -0.05% T59
94 WAL Jamie Donaldson 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% T70
95 RSA Richard Sterne 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.43% 0.17% T40
96 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.76% 0.51% WD
97 ENG Garrick Porteous 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% MC
98 WAL Oliver Farr 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.63% 0.39% 69
99 GER Sebastian Heisele 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.37% 0.13% MC
100 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.37% 0.15% T18
101 FRA Benjamin Hebert 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.22% 0.5% 0.29% MC
102 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% MC
103 SCO Craig Howie 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.52% 0.34% MC
104 ITA Andrea Pavan 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.36% 0.18% T64
105 ESP Alejandro Canizares 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.22% 0.04% WD
106 CHI Hugo Leon 518 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.22% 0.05% T59
107 SWE Joakim Lagergren 548 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.8/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.51% 0.35% T5
108 AUS Maverick Antcliff 567 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.5/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.56% 0.4% MC
109 GER Bernd Ritthammer 567 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.5/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% MC
110 POR Ricardo Santos 597 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.2/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% T47
111 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.27% 0.13% MC
112 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.15% 0.22% 0.08% MC
113 SCO Stephen Gallacher 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% MC
114 ENG Steven Brown 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.15% 0.02% MC
115 ENG Andrew Wilson 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.39% 0.26% MC
116 USA Julian Suri 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
117 ESP Pep Angles Ros 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.32% 0.2% T29
118 ITA Renato Paratore 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% MC
119 ESP Alvaro Quiros 754 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.8/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.25% 0.13% T29
120 NED Daan Huizing 754 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.8/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% T10
121 SCO David Drysdale 754 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.8/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% WD
122 ENG Ross McGowan 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.37% 0.25% MC
123 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% MC
124 SWE Joel Sjoholm 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% T64
125 ENG Toby Tree 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.21% 0.1% MC
126 CZE Ondrej Lieser 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% MC
127 ENG Jack Singh Brar 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.52% 0.43% 73
128 SCO Marc Warren 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
129 FRA Robin Roussel 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% MC
130 ENG David Coupland 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
131 ENG Chris Wood 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22%
132 FRA Joel Stalter 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
133 ENG Chris Paisley 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
134 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
135 SWE Rikard Karlberg 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
136 ENG Oliver Fisher 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% WD
137 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1000 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
138 AUS Zach Murray 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% MC
139 SWE Peter Hanson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
140 RSA Haydn Porteous 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.36% 0.3% MC
141 CHN Zhang Huilin 1500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.3% 0.24% MC
142 ENG Graeme Storm 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.28% 0.22% MC
143 ESP Carlos Pigem 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.26% 0.2% T59
144 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.23% 0.17% MC
145 GER Jannik De Bruyn 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.22% 0.16% MC
146 USA Jordan Gumberg 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.22% 0.16% MC
147 FRA Gregory Havret 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.21% 0.15% MC
148 ENG David Howell 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
149 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T59
151 IRL Niall Kearney 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 GER Max Rottluff 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 GER Benedict Staben 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
155 SWE Jesper Kennegard 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
156 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T34
157 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% T51
158 GER Philipp Katich 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 GER Anton Albers 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 GER Yannick Schutz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 5.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 7.1% 7.1%
2 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 31.5% 15.9%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 32.6% 16.9%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.4% 17.7%
5 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 39.5% 23%
6 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 39.5% 23%
7 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 62.6% 23.9%
8 Coral 8 @ 1/5 62.6% 23.9%
9 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 24.7%
10 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 41.8% 25.1%
11 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 52.9% 26.1%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 43.6% 29%
13 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 72.3% 31.2%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 46.6% 31.8%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 60.1% 32%
16 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 50% 34.8%
17 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 64.4% 35.6%
18 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 65.2% 36.3%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 36.4%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57.5% 41.5%
21 VBet 5 @ 1/4 60.5% 41.6%