Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 11.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 91.4

Total Profit: -8.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Kevin Streelman 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.81% 2.12% -1.68% 2
2 USA Mark Hubbard 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.37% 1.68% -1.68% 3
3 CAN Adam Svensson 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.37% 1.47% -1.89% 6
4 USA Patton Kizzire 33 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.57% 1.8% -0.78% MC
5 CAN Taylor Pendrith 35 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.43% 3.35% 0.92% T13 10.76
6 USA John Huh 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.13% 1.33% -0.8% MC
7 USA Chesson Hadley 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.13% 1.2% -0.94% T68
8 USA Sam Ryder 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.13% 1.19% -0.94% MC
9 USA Hayden Buckley 40 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.13% 0.98% -1.16% T63
10 USA Hank Lebioda 40 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.13% 0.91% -1.23% T41
11 USA Ryan Armour 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.9% 1% -0.91%
12 USA Lee Hodges 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.72% 1.53% -0.18% MC
13 USA Kelly Kraft 50 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.72% 1.07% -0.65% MC
14 USA Ryan Moore 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.72% 1.01% -0.7% T54
15 USA Taylor Moore 50 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.72% 0.87% -0.84% T21
16 USA Greyson Sigg 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 1.99% 0.68% T27 5.79
17 USA Austin Smotherman 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 1.54% 0.23% T54 5.79
18 FRA Julien Brun 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 1.35% 0.05% T27 5.79
19 USA Michael Thompson 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 1.25% -0.06% MC 5.79
20 USA Vincent Whaley 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 1.14% -0.17% 5 5.79 +41.1
21 USA Kramer Hickok 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 0.73% -0.57% T13
22 RSA George Coetzee 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 0.71% -0.59% WD
23 USA Vaughn Taylor 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 0.56% -0.74% MC
24 USA Tyler Duncan 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.23% 1.17% -0.07% T13 5.46
25 CAN Michael Gligic 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.23% 1.05% -0.18% T21 5.46
26 USA James Hahn 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.23% 0.82% -0.42% T27
27 USA Austin Cook 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.23% 0.76% -0.48% T27
28 USA Andrew Novak 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.15% 0.66% -0.49%
29 GER Marcel Schneider 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 1.61% 0.53% MC 4.79
30 GER Hurly Long 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.08% 0.99% -0.09% 4 4.79 +50.3
31 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.08% 0.98% -0.1% T47 4.79
32 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.08% 0.68% -0.4% T27
33 USA Josh Teater 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 0.24% -0.84% T63
34 ENG Dale Whitnell 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.96% 1.33% 0.37% MC 4.26
35 AUT Lukas Nemecz 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 1.31% 0.44% T41 3.84
36 RSA Justin Walters 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 1.05% 0.18% T63 3.84
37 USA Chase Seiffert 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.65% -0.21% MC
38 USA Bo Hoag 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 0.62% -0.25% MC
39 NOR Espen Kofstad 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.48% -0.39% T13
40 USA Jim Herman 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.45% -0.42% T78
41 USA Michael Kim 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.24% -0.62% 7
42 ESP Santiago Tarrio 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 0.24% -0.62%
43 USA Jacob Bridgeman 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 0.24% -0.63% T78
44 USA Justin Lower 117 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.85% 0.74% 0.8% 0.06% T8 1.65
45 GER Yannik Paul 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 1.2% 0.51% 20 3.08
46 USA Bill Haas 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 1.17% 0.48% MC 3.08
47 SWE David Lingmerth 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 1.04% 0.34% MC 3.08
48 USA Patrick Flavin 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 0.99% 0.3% T21 3.08
49 USA Doc Redman 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 0.93% 0.23% T21 3.08
50 USA Brice Garnett 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 0.7% 0.01% MC 3.08
51 USA Grayson Murray 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 0.62% -0.08% WD 3.08
52 USA Scott Brown 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 0.24% -0.45% T54
53 ARG Fabian Gomez 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.24% -0.46% MC
54 USA Brandt Snedeker 136 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.73% 0.64% 0.87% 0.23%
55 USA Jonathan Byrd 136 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.73% 0.64% 0.57% -0.07% T41
56 USA Sean O'Hair 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.62% 0.59% -0.03% T8
57 USA Kevin Chappell 146 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.68% 0.6% 0.81% 0.22% T21
58 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 146 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.68% 0.6% 0.79% 0.2% T8
59 USA Brian Stuard 146 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.68% 0.6% 0.72% 0.13% MC
60 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 1.44% 0.86% MC
61 AUS Aaron Baddeley 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 1.03% 0.45% T41
62 USA Harry Higgs 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.92% 0.35% MC
63 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.87% 0.29% T54
64 ENG Tom Lewis 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.65% 0.07% T50
65 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.65% 0.07% T27
66 USA Ben Martin 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.25% -0.33% MC
67 SWE Henrik Norlander 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.22% -0.36% MC
68 GER Marcel Siem 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% T81
69 KOR Seungyul Noh 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.58% 0.08% T41
70 AUS Cameron Percy 195 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.51% 0.45% 0.24% -0.21% T41
71 USA Conrad Shindler 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 1.78% 1.35% T60
72 USA Chase Hanna 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 1.04% 0.61% T68
73 USA William McGirt 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.83% 0.4% T50
74 FRA Paul Barjon 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.74% 0.31% T54
75 USA Trey Mullinax 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.71% 0.27% 1
76 USA Kevin Tway 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.65% 0.22% T50
77 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.63% 0.2% T68
78 USA Dylan Wu 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.56% 0.12% T21
79 USA Brandon Hagy 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.55% 0.11% T27
80 CAN Roger Sloan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.55% 0.11% MC
81 POR Ricardo Gouveia 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.57% 0.19% T8
82 CAN Aaron Cockerill 244 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.41% 0.36% 1.23% 0.87% T60
83 USA Wesley Bryan 244 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% MC
84 USA Scott Gutschewski 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.65% 0.3% MC
85 COL Camilo Villegas 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.58% 0.23% T13
86 USA Curtis Thompson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.51% 0.16% WD
87 USA Ben Kohles 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.37% 0.02% T13
88 USA Chris Stroud 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.23% -0.11% T27
89 KOR Sunghoon Kang 300 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.74% 0.45% MC
90 ENG Oliver Wilson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.69% 0.39% MC
91 USA Seth Reeves 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.37% 0.08% T27
92 RSA Richard Sterne 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.36% 0.07%
93 ENG David Skinns 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% T68
94 USA Tommy Gainey 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.29% 0% MC
95 NZL Josh Geary 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% T50
96 CAN David Hearn 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.25% -0.04% T68
97 ARG Andres Romero 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.25% -0.04% MC
98 USA Jim Knous 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% 77
99 USA Jason Dufner 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.35% 0.07% T27
100 SWE Niklas Lemke 342 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.5% 0.24% MC
101 MAS Gavin Green 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.96% 0.71% MC
102 USA Martin Trainer 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.7% 0.45% MC
103 USA Robert Garrigus 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.67% 0.43% MC
104 ENG Richard McEvoy 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.58% 0.33% MC
105 USA Richy Werenski 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.44% 0.19% WD
106 SWE Jonas Blixt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.43% 0.18% MC
107 FRA Benjamin Hebert 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% MC
108 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% T27
109 USA Julian Suri 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.27% 0.02% MC
110 USA Ryan Brehm 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.27% 0.02% T81
111 USA Jared Wolfe 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 1.14% 0.92% MC
112 USA Max McGreevy 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.66% 0.44% T13
113 ESP Alejandro Canizares 400 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.41% 0.19% MC
114 ITA Renato Paratore 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.32% 0.1% MC
115 ENG Garrick Porteous 440 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% MC
116 CHI Hugo Leon 440 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% T27
117 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.46% 0.28% T74
118 RSA Dawie van der Walt 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.13% T74
119 AUS Jake McLeod 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08%
120 USA Ricky Barnes 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08% MC
121 SWE Richard S. Johnson 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08% T68
122 SWE Joel Sjoholm 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% MC
123 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T54
124 AUS Brett Drewitt 675 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.43% 0.31% MC
125 USA Joshua Creel 675 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.43% 0.31% MC
126 USA D.J. Trahan 734 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
127 SCO David Drysdale 920 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% WD
128 FRA Robin Roussel 920 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T27
129 ENG Andrew Wilson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% WD
130 ENG Chris Paisley 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.24% MC
131 USA Bo Van Pelt 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% T27
132 FRA Joel Stalter 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% MC
133 USA Ben Crane 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.17% T63
134 AUS Greg Chalmers 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.17% T47
135 USA D.A. Points 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.17% MC
136 IND Arjun Atwal 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% T63
137 PHI Miguel Tabuena 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
138 USA Omar Uresti 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% MC
139 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
140 ENG Brian Davis 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.17% MC
141 USA Andrew Stephens 1000 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.16% MC
142 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
143 USA John Merrick 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% T81
144 USA Johnson Wagner 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14%
145 USA Matt Every 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
146 KOR Sangmoon Bae 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 USA Jason Bohn 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0% 0% T74
150 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Derek Ernst 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
153 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA George McNeill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Derek Lamely 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Gunner Wiebe 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
157 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T8
158 USA Daniel Wetterich 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 0% 0% 0% 0% T78
160 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 USA Nathan Petronzio 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 USA Maclain Huge 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
163 USA Matthew Harris 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 11.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 32.6% 16.8%
2 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 34.8% 18.8%
3 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 32.7% 19.1%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 35.9% 19.8%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.9% 22.4%
6 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 39.3% 22.8%
7 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 36.9% 23%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 49.9% 23.5%
9 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 40.1% 23.5%
10 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 50.8% 24.2%
11 Coral 6 @ 1/5 40.1% 25.9%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 41.4% 27%
13 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 49.4% 31.7%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 64.3% 35.4%
15 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 64.3% 35.4%
16 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 41.8% 41.8%