Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 4.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -8.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 105.4

Total Profit: +5.4

RBC Canadian Open

09/06/2022 - 12/06/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 9 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 10% 8.96% 7.14% -1.82% T18
2 USA Justin Thomas 10 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 8.14% 7.53% -0.61% 3
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 10 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 8.14% 3.84% -4.3% 1
4 AUS Cameron Smith 12 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.89% 4.1% -2.79% T48
5 USA Sam Burns 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.97% 2.63% -3.34% T4
6 IRL Shane Lowry 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.71% 2.69% -2.02% T10
7 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.71% 2.38% -2.34% T10
8 CAN Corey Conners 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.89% 3.02% -0.87% 6 16.24 +43.9
9 USA Tony Finau 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.09% 1.54% -1.55% 2
10 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.89% 3.3% 0.41% MC 12.05
11 USA Harold Varner III 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.63% 1.8% -0.83% T13 10.99
12 CAN Adam Hadwin 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.18% 1.79% -0.39% T35 9.11
13 USA Chris Kirk 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.95% 1.79% -0.16% T7 (tied w/3) 8.12 +27.1
14 USA Patrick Reed 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.95% 1.19% -0.76% 8.12
15 COL Sebastian Munoz 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.76% 1.66% -0.1% T25 7.33
16 USA Keith Mitchell 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.6% 1.78% 0.19% T7 6.67
17 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.26% 1.01% -0.25% T53 5.26
18 USA Sahith Theegala 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.11% 1.29% 0.18% T53 4.62
19 USA Mackenzie Hughes 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.96% 1.03% 0.06% T28 4.02
20 ENG Justin Rose 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.91% 0.76% -0.16% T4 (tied w/2) 3.82 +34.5
21 USA Brendon Todd 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.89% 0.97% 0.09% T13 3.7
22 USA Adam Long 140 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.64% 0.9% 0.26% T21
23 ENG Aaron Rai 140 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.64% 0.66% 0.03% T13
24 RSA Dylan Frittelli 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.61% 0.94% 0.33% T61
25 USA Cameron Champ 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.61% 0.89% 0.28% MC
26 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.57% 1% 0.43% MC
27 USA Pat Perez 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.54% 1.77% 1.24%
28 USA J.J Spaun 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.54% 0.98% 0.45% MC
29 USA Tyler Duncan 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.51% 0.71% 0.2% MC
30 CAN Nick Taylor 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.51% 0.64% 0.13% T28
31 USA Adam Schenk 175 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.51% 0.56% 0.05%
32 USA Doug Ghim 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.51% 0.5% -0.01% T18
33 ARG Emiliano Grillo 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.46% 0.39% -0.07% T28
34 USA JT Poston 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.45% 0.82% 0.38% MC
35 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.45% 0.8% 0.36% T18
36 USA David Lipsky 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 1.11% 0.7% MC
37 USA Austin Smotherman 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.55% 0.14% T44
38 USA Alex Smalley 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.38% 0.58% 0.2% T21
39 USA Mark Hubbard 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.37% 0.64% 0.27% T44
40 CAN Adam Svensson 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.36% 1.09% 0.74% T21
41 RSA Dean Burmester 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.36% 0.48% 0.13% MC
42 USA Vincent Whaley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.36% 0.38% 0.02% T35
43 USA Ryan Armour 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.36% 0.37% 0.01% T35
44 AUT Matthias Schwab 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.33% 0.5% 0.18% MC
45 USA Nate Lashley 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.32% 0.44% 0.13%
46 USA Brandon Wu 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.64% 0.33%
47 GER Stephan Jaeger 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.54% 0.24% MC
48 ENG Matt Wallace 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.49% 0.19% T35
49 USA Brian Stuard 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
50 SCO Martin Laird 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.55% 0.25% MC
51 ENG Danny Willett 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.29% 0.58% 0.29% T28
52 SVK Rory Sabbatini 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.7% 0.43% MC
53 USA Wyndham Clark 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.55% 0.29% T7
54 MEX Carlos Ortiz 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.48% 0.21% T46
55 USA Lee Hodges 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.64% 0.38% T48
56 USA Peter Malnati 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.58% 0.32% MC
57 USA Harry Higgs 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.47% 0.21% MC
58 USA John Huh 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% T25
59 NZL Danny Lee 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% T10
60 USA Joseph Bramlett 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.36% 0.1% MC
61 USA Scott Piercy 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% T21
62 USA Kramer Hickok 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.44% 0.2% T61
63 USA Nick Hardy 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.15% -0.1% T35
64 USA Hank Lebioda 381 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.7/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.4% 0.17% T28
65 USA Trey Mullinax 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.46% 0.23% 69
66 USA Andrew Novak 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.31% 0.08% T64
67 USA Greyson Sigg 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.22% 0.55% 0.33% MC
68 USA Brandt Snedeker 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.22% 0.45% 0.23% T48
69 USA Sam Ryder 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
70 USA Robert Streb 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% T53
71 ENG Luke Donald 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.56% 0.37% MC
72 USA Brice Garnett 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.68% 0.49% MC
73 USA Chase Seiffert 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.4% 0.22% T28
74 USA Scott Gutschewski 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.35% 0.17% MC
75 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.47% 0.29% WD
76 USA Martin Trainer 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.42% 0.25% MC
77 COL Camilo Villegas 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% MC
78 FRA Paul Barjon 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% T46
79 USA Ben Martin 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.12% -0.06% T53
80 USA Vaughn Taylor 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% T48
81 USA Charley Hoffman 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% T35
82 USA Sean O'Hair 518 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.45% 0.27% T64
83 USA Jonathan Byrd 558 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.7/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% MC
84 USA Wesley Bryan 567 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.5/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
85 SWE Henrik Norlander 567 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.5/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.23% 0.08% MC
86 USA Bill Haas 577 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.4/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% MC
87 USA Justin Lower 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T35
88 USA Hayden Buckley 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
89 USA Max McGreevy 616 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.9/1) 0.16% 0.15% 0.29% 0.15% MC
90 CAN Roger Sloan 656 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.4/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
91 USA Seth Reeves 705 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 82.6/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.18% 0.05% MC
92 KOR Sunghoon Kang 773 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.4/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.19% 0.08% MC
93 USA Ryan Moore 793 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.07% T35
94 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 901 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% T64
95 CAN Aaron Cockerill 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.55% 0.46% T48
96 USA Nick Watney 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.35% MC
97 USA Jared Wolfe 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.43% 0.34%
98 CAN Michael Gligic 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% WD
99 USA Robert Garrigus 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.37% 0.28% MC
100 USA Ben Kohles 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% MC
101 USA Dylan Wu 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
102 ENG Callum Tarren 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
103 USA Brandon Hagy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% T64
104 SWE David Lingmerth 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
105 USA Kelly Kraft 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T13
106 USA Jason Dufner 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
107 USA Austin Cook 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% T13
108 USA Bo Hoag 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
109 ENG David Skinns 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.18% 0.08% T64
110 USA Jim Herman 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
111 KOR Seungyul Noh 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% T35
112 ARG Fabian Gomez 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06%
113 USA Scott Brown 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
114 RSA Dawie van der Walt 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% 70
115 USA Curtis Thompson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
116 CAN Albin Choi 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
117 USA Trevor Werbylo 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
118 AUS Cameron Percy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.03% T59
119 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% T28
120 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% T53
121 USA Jim Knous 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T25
122 CAN David Hearn 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
123 USA Ben Crane 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% 63
124 AUS Greg Chalmers 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% WD
125 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
126 USA D.A. Points 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
127 SWE Richard S. Johnson 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
128 AUS Brett Drewitt 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% T53
129 USA Joshua Creel 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
130 USA Johnson Wagner 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
131 CAN Wes Heffernan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
132 USA Michael D. Smith(Dec1985) 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04%
133 CAN Myles Creighton 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
134 CAN Stuart MacDonald 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
135 CAN Mike Weir 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
136 USA Tommy Gainey 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.12% 0.04% MC
137 AUS Mark Hensby 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.12% 0.03% MC
138 CHN Cao Yi 1500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.13% 0.07% MC
139 USA Kevin Stadler 0% 0% 0% 0% DQ
140 USA Matt Every 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 KOR Sangmoon Bae 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 USA Jason Bohn 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 ENG Brian Davis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0% 0% T59
145 USA John Merrick 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 USA John Rollins 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 CAN Martin du Toit 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 USA Braden Thornberry 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Jeffrey Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA George McNeill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 USA Patrick Flavin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Ted Purdy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Brad Adamonis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA John Huston 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Jonathan Kaye 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 CAN A.J. Ewart 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 USA Joseph Deraney 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 CAN Max Sekulic 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 CAN Brendan Leonard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 CAN Johnny Travale 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
163 CAN Callum Davison 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
164 USA William Buhl 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 4.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -8.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 6.7% 6.7%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 45.2% 11%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 48.3% 13.5%
4 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 52.3% 16.4%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 32% 16.7%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 56.2% 19.5%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 56.2% 19.5%
8 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 56.6% 19.9%
9 Coral 8 @ 1/5 56.6% 19.9%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 47.6% 22.1%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 24.7%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 24.7%
13 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 41.4% 25%
14 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 25.7%
15 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 25.7%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 39.9% 26%
17 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 64.9% 26.2%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 27.6%
19 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 42.3% 28.1%
20 VBet 5 @ 1/4 48.7% 31.5%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 46.1% 31.6%