Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 25.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 7.5 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) 11.76% 10.61% 8.23% -2.38% 18
2 USA Collin Morikawa 8 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) 11.11% 10.02% 10.85% 0.83% T5
3 USA Justin Thomas 10 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) 9.09% 8.2% 6.28% -1.92% T5
4 NOR Viktor Hovland 11 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) 8.33% 7.51% 7.21% -0.31% 1
5 USA Bryson DeChambeau 12 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.94% 4.62% -2.32% T14
6 USA Xander Schauffele 14 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 6.67% 6.01% 5.27% -0.74% T12
7 USA Jordan Spieth 14.2 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 6.58% 5.93% 5.37% -0.56% 20
8 USA Sam Burns 16 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.3% 7.01% 1.7% T3
9 USA Scottie Scheffler 18 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 5.26% 4.75% 5.71% 0.97% 2
10 USA Tony Finau 18 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.75% 5.14% 0.39% T7
11 USA Daniel Berger 20 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.29% 3.38% -0.91% T7
12 MEX Abraham Ancer 23 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 4.17% 3.76% 6.32% 2.56% T14 10.68
13 USA Webb Simpson 23 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 4.17% 3.76% 3.27% -0.49% 17 10.68
14 USA Brooks Koepka 25 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.47% 2.03% -1.44% T9 19.72
15 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 28 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 3.45% 3.11% 4.56% 1.45% T12 17.68
16 ENG Justin Rose 30 (Sporting Index: 4 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.91% 2.29% -0.62% T9 16.54
17 USA Patrick Reed 31 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 3.13% 2.82% 2.56% -0.26% T3 8.01
18 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 35 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.78% 2.5% 2.73% 0.22% T9 7.12
19 USA Harris English 37 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.63% 2.37% 6.01% 3.64% T14 6.75
20 SWE Henrik Stenson 89 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.11% 1% 1.16% 0.16% 19 2.85

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 VBet 4 @ 1/4 14.6% 7.2%
2 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9.4% 9.4%
3 William Hill 5 @ 1/5 22.5% 12.1%
4 Bet365 4 @ 1/4 20.1% 12.3%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 5 @ 1/5 24.5% 14%
6 Paddy Power 5 @ 1/5 24.5% 14%
7 Skybet 4 @ 1/4 23.1% 15.1%
8 Betfred 4 @ 1/4 23.8% 15.7%
9 Bet Victor 4 @ 1/4 24.5% 16.4%
10 Parimatch 4 @ 1/4 24.5% 16.4%
11 Betway 4 @ 1/4 26.2% 18%
12 Sporting Index 4 @ 1/4 28% 19.7%
13 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 44.9% 20.6%
14 Spreadex 4 @ 1/4 31.2% 22.8%
15 Unibet 4 @ 1/4 31.8% 23.3%
16 QuinnBet 4 @ 1/5 22.8% 25.2%
17 10Bet 4 @ 1/5 24.4% 26.7%
18 Sport Nation 4 @ 1/5 24.4% 26.7%
19 Mansion Bet 4 @ 1/5 24.4% 26.7%
20 888Sport 4 @ 1/5 25.2% 27.5%