Market Analysis
Bookie Overround: 21.5 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 21.5 %
Total Probability Staked: 24.8 %
Results
Total Staked: 100.0
Total Won: 234.9
Total Profit: +134.9
| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | Pos. Pos. | Stake | Returns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Jon Rahm | 7 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 12.5% | 10.29% | 5.62% | -4.67% | T1 | |||
| 2 |
| Rory McIlroy | 11 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 8.33% | 6.86% | 4.15% | -2.71% | 14 | |||
| 3 |
| Xander Schauffele | 12 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 7.69% | 6.33% | 3.99% | -2.34% | 3 | |||
| 4 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 14 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 6.67% | 5.49% | 3.68% | -1.8% | T11 | |||
| 5 |
| Justin Thomas | 14 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 6.67% | 5.49% | 3.43% | -2.06% | T4 | |||
| 6 |
| Dustin Johnson | 14 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) | 6.67% | 5.49% | 2.08% | -3.41% | T8 | |||
| 7 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 16 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 5.88% | 4.84% | 5.28% | 0.44% | T4 | |||
| 8 |
| Jordan Spieth | 22 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) | 4.35% | 3.58% | 4.28% | 0.71% | T24 | 14.46 | ||
| 9 |
| Tony Finau | 22 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 4.35% | 3.58% | 3.39% | -0.19% | T24 | |||
| 10 |
| Brooks Koepka | 22 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) | 4.35% | 3.58% | 3.04% | -0.54% | 30 | |||
| 11 |
| Collin Morikawa | 25 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.85% | 3.17% | 5.27% | 2.11% | 28 | 12.79 | ||
| 12 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 25 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 3.17% | 3.05% | -0.12% | T17 | |||
| 13 |
| Cameron Smith | 25 (Betway: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.85% | 3.17% | 2.64% | -0.52% | T17 | |||
| 14 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 28 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) | 3.45% | 2.84% | 5.51% | 2.67% | 15 | 11.47 | ||
| 15 |
| Daniel Berger | 28 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.45% | 2.84% | 2.47% | -0.37% | T8 | |||
| 16 |
| Abraham Ancer | 30 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 3.23% | 2.66% | 5.73% | 3.07% | T11 | 10.73 | ||
| 17 |
| Viktor Hovland | 30 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 3.23% | 2.66% | 3.66% | 1.01% | T4 (tied w/3) | 10.73 | +25 | |
| 18 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 30 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.23% | 2.66% | 2.79% | 0.14% | T26 | |||
| 19 |
| Sam Burns | 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.42% | 4.02% | 1.6% | T17 | 9.78 | ||
| 20 |
| Sungjae Im | 33 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.42% | 2.56% | 0.14% | 23 | |||
| 21 |
| Harris English | 35 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 2.78% | 2.29% | 3.55% | 1.26% | T17 | 9.24 | ||
| 22 |
| Corey Conners | 40 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 2.01% | 3.45% | 1.44% | T17 | 8.11 | ||
| 23 |
| Sergio Garcia | 40 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 2.01% | 1.9% | -0.11% | 10 | |||
| 24 |
| Patrick Reed | 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 2.01% | 1.85% | -0.16% | T17 | |||
| 25 |
| Jason Kokrak | 45 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.79% | 2.23% | 0.44% | T11 | |||
| 26 |
| Joaquin Niemann | 45 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.79% | 2.19% | 0.4% | 29 | |||
| 27 |
| Erik van Rooyen | 55 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.47% | 1.93% | 0.46% | 16 | |||
| 28 |
| Kevin Na | 70 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.16% | 1.88% | 0.72% | T1 (tied w/2) | 4.69 | +209.9 | |
| 29 |
| Billy Horschel | 75 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 1.32% | 1.08% | 2.19% | 1.1% | 7 | 4.38 | ||
| 30 |
| Stewart Cink | 90 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.18% | 1.27% | T26 | 3.66 | ||
Market Analysis
Overround of best available: 21.5 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 21.5 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 4 @ 1/4 | 26.2% | 26.2% |
| 2 | Betway | 4 @ 1/4 | 27% | 27% |
| 3 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/5 | 29.6% | 29.6% |
| 4 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/5 | 30.9% | 30.9% |
| 5 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/5 | 32.5% | 32.5% |
| 6 | Betfair Sportsbook | 5 @ 1/5 | 39.7% | 39.7% |
| 7 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/5 | 39.7% | 39.7% |