Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Cazoo Open supported by Gareth Bale

22/07/2021 - 25/07/2021

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Matt Wallace 9 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 10% 7.71% 2.47% -5.24% T8
2 ENG Sam Horsfield 14 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 6.67% 5.14% 2.67% -2.47% T6
3 RSA Justin Harding 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.54% 3.35% -1.19% 2
4 ENG Aaron Rai 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.54% 2.02% -2.51% 63
5 ENG Laurie Canter 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.67% 1.3% -2.37% T40
6 ENG Jordan L Smith 25 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.97% 1.32% -1.65% T47
7 ESP Adrian Otaegui 25 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.97% 1.03% -1.93% MC
8 SCO Calum Hill 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.27% 3.13% 0.86% 62 9.93
9 ENG Matthew Jordan 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.27% 1.23% -1.04% MC
10 SCO Richie Ramsay 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.14% 2.19% 0.04% T25 9.38
11 SCO Connor Syme 35 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.14% 2.05% -0.1% T18
12 FIN Mikko Korhonen 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.14% 1.29% -0.85% 3
13 ENG Matthew Southgate 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.14% 1.16% -0.98% MC
14 USA Chan Kim 40 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 1.75% -0.13% MC
15 NED Wil Besseling 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 1.49% -0.39% T18
16 USA John Catlin 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.88% 0.95% -0.93% T32
17 SWE Vincent Norrman 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.68% 1.49% -0.19% T10
18 AUS Wade Ormsby 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 1.82% 0.31% T10 6.62
19 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 50 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.51% 0.87% -0.64% 5
20 ENG Ross Fisher 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.38% 1.39% 0.02% MC 6.03
21 ENG Dale Whitnell 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 1.48% 0.21% MC 5.54
22 ENG Richard Mansell 60 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.26% 0.95% -0.31% T32
23 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 66 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% 2.9% 1.75% T10 5.04
24 FRA Matthieu Pavon 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.39% 0.24% MC 5.04
25 NZL Josh Geary 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.12% -0.03% MC 5.04
26 RSA Justin Walters 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1% -0.15% MC
27 ENG James Morrison 66 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% 0.96% -0.19% T40
28 USA Paul Peterson 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.36% -0.79% MC
29 GER Matthias Schmid 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 0.99% -0.09% T47
30 AUS Maverick Antcliff 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.53% 0.57% T40 4.17
31 AUS Scott Hend 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.18% 0.22% T64 4.17
32 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.14% 0.19% MC 4.17
33 ENG Jack Senior 80 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.12% 0.17% MC 4.17
34 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.11% 0.16% T14 4.17
35 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.03% 0.08% T52 4.17
36 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.85% 0.49% -0.36% T18
37 GER Sebastian Heisele 95 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.04% 0.8% 0.74% -0.06% MC
38 GER Marcel Schneider 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.03% 0.27% MC 3.35
39 ENG Robert Rock 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.58% -0.18% T64
40 AUS Bryden MacPherson 100 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.32% -0.44% T47
41 ENG David Horsey 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 0.89% 0.19% MC 3.04
42 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.2% 0.59% T25 2.68
43 IRL Niall Kearney 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.95% 0.34% T40 2.68
44 ITA Nino Bertasio 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.86% 0.25% MC 2.68
45 SCO David Law 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.82% 0.2% T18 2.68
46 ENG Steven Brown 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.74% 0.12% T47 2.68
47 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.7% 0.08% T40 2.68
48 USA Sihwan Kim 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.45% -0.16% T10
49 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.43% -0.18% 4
50 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.66% 0.15% T18
51 ENG Ashley Chesters 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.59% 0.08% T18
52 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.39% -0.12% T52
53 CHI Hugo Leon 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.32% -0.19% T14
54 SCO Marc Warren 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.24% -0.27% T47
55 NIR Cormac Sharvin 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 1.09% 0.61% MC
56 ENG Matthew Baldwin 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 1.02% 0.58% MC
57 ENG David Coupland 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 1% 0.56% MC
58 SWE Niklas Lemke 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.51% 0.08% MC
59 USA Julian Suri 200 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 1.39% 1.01% MC
60 ENG Chris Wood 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.77% 0.39% T32
61 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.71% 0.33% T32
62 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.55% 0.17% T14
63 AUS Brad Kennedy 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.35% -0.04% T52
64 AUS Elvis Smylie 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.32% -0.06% MC
65 WAL Rhys Enoch 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.47% 0.13% MC
66 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.86% 0.55% MC
67 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.64% 0.33% T25
68 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.62% 0.31% MC
69 ENG Joe Long 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.5% 0.19% MC
70 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.46% 0.16% MC
71 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.46% 0.16% 1
72 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.44% 0.13% T40
73 GER Bernd Ritthammer 250 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.43% 0.13% MC
74 SCO David Drysdale 250 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.41% 0.1% T32
75 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.28% -0.03% T52
76 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.95% 0.7% MC
77 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.72% 0.47% T32
78 ENG Toby Tree 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.09% T57
79 FRA Adrien Saddier 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.09% MC
80 ENG Oliver Fisher 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.61% 0.39% T18
81 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.43% 0.21% MC
82 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.37% 0.15% MC
83 WAL Bradley Dredge 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.36% 0.14% T28
84 FRA Gregory Bourdy 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.34% 0.12% MC
85 IRL James Sugrue 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.32% 0.1% MC
86 IRL John Murphy 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.32% 0.1% MC
87 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.3% 0.09% MC
88 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 400 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 1.09% 0.89% MC
89 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.49% 0.3% T14
90 RSA Haydn Porteous 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.48% 0.29% MC
91 IRL Paul Dunne 400 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.48% 0.29% MC
92 ENG Ben Evans 400 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.46% 0.26% T57
93 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% T40
94 ENG Nicholas Poppleton 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% MC
95 ENG Matt Ford 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.12% MC
96 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% 67
97 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.63% 0.47% T32
98 IMN Tom Gandy 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% MC
99 NED Lars Van Meijel 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% MC
100 ENG David Howell 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% T57
101 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% MC
102 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
103 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T57
104 ENG David Dixon 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% T28
105 RSA Bryce Easton 500 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% T8
106 FRA Romain Wattel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T28
107 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% T57
108 USA Berry Henson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.14% MC
109 ENG Ross McGowan 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.54% 0.41% MC
110 SCO Liam Johnston 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.48% 0.35% MC
111 AUS Deyen Lawson 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.45% 0.32% T32
112 IRL Gavin Moynihan 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% MC
113 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.24% MC
114 ENG Sean Towndrow 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
115 SCO Euan Walker 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
116 ITA Aron Zemmer 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.52% 0.42% MC
117 USA Tyler Koivisto 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.53% 0.45% MC
118 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.52% 0.44% T28
119 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.5% 0.42% MC
120 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.34% MC
121 SCO Daniel Young 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
122 FRA Damien Perrier 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
123 ENG Tim Dykes 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.32% 0.29% MC
124 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
125 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
126 ENG Graeme Storm 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
127 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% 0% 0% T6
128 USA Matt Davidson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 0% 0% 0% 0% T52
130 WAL Archie Davies 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
131 USA Eric Bae 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 WAL James Ashfield 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 WAL Matt Roberts 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 26.8%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 55.3% 30.1%
3 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 55.3% 30.1%
4 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 32.2%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.7% 32.6%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 51.1% 34.8%
7 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 51.6% 35.2%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.6% 35.2%
9 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51.6% 35.2%
10 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.6% 35.2%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 49.7% 36.5%
12 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 50% 36.8%
13 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 65.2% 38.5%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 39%
15 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 53.6% 40%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56.6% 42.8%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.5% 43.6%
18 Betway 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 45.6%