Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 34.8

Total Profit: -65.3



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.99% 1.52% -2.47% 13
2 BEL Thomas Detry 20 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.61% 1.58% -2.03% T9
3 FRA Antoine Rozner 22 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.3% 3.16% -0.14% 1
4 ENG Andy Sullivan 25 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.92% 1.5% -1.42% T19
5 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.92% 1.19% -1.73% 71
6 RSA George Coetzee 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% 1.4% -1.21% MC
7 ENG Aaron Rai 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 2.99% 0.76% MC 9.75
8 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 2.51% 0.28% WD 9.75
9 ENG Laurie Canter 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 1.73% -0.5% MC
10 USA Kurt Kitayama 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 1.17% -1.06% T9
11 FIN Kalle Samooja 40 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.85% 1.45% -0.4% T28
12 NED Joost Luiten 40 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.39% -0.47% MC
13 RSA Dean Burmester 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 0.81% -1.04% WD
14 RSA Brandon Stone 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 3.32% 1.67% T7 7.21
15 USA Sean Crocker 45 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.38% -0.27% T35
16 RSA Justin Harding 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.1% -0.55% MC
17 SCO Calum Hill 50 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 1.66% 0.18% MC 6.5
18 ENG Matthew Jordan 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.17% -0.32% WD
19 ENG Richard Bland 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 1.7% 0.57% MC 4.95
20 ENG Chris Paisley 66 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.35% 0.22% T7 4.95
21 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.85% -0.28% MC
22 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.82% -0.31% T64
23 FRA Romain Langasque 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.62% -0.51% T50
24 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.46% 0.52% T28 4.09
25 ENG Marcus Armitage 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.38% 0.45% T47 4.09
26 WAL Jamie Donaldson 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.35% 0.41% T5 (tied w/2) 4.09 +34.8
27 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.27% 0.33% MC 4.09
28 SCO Marc Warren 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.23% 0.3% WD 4.09
29 SCO Scott Jamieson 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.22% 0.29% T42 4.09
30 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.19% 0.26% T50 4.09
31 RSA Shaun Norris 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.15% 0.21% T14 4.09
32 SWE Niklas Lemke 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.12% 0.18% T9 4.09
33 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.1% 0.16% T47
34 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.77% -0.16% T14
35 THA Jazz Janewattananond 80 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.76% -0.17% T50
36 USA Johannes Veerman 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.76% -0.18% T14
37 ENG Jordan L Smith 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.62% -0.32% T19
38 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.53% -0.41% T19
39 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.32% -0.62% MC
40 DEN Jeff Winther 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 1.24% 0.4% T14 3.65
41 DEN Joachim B Hansen 90 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.98% 0.15% T9
42 ENG Eddie Pepperell 90 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.8% -0.04% T64
43 RSA Garrick Higgo 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.78% -0.06% T19
44 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.81% 0.06% MC
45 ITA Guido Migliozzi 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.66% -0.09% T2
46 SCO Stephen Gallacher 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.54% -0.21% MC
47 MAS Gavin Green 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.53% -0.22% MC
48 FRA Benjamin Hebert 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.51% -0.24% T58
49 RSA Darren Fichardt 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.49% -0.26% T2
50 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.39% -0.36% MC
51 ESP Jorge Campillo 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.33% -0.42% T28
52 AUS Maverick Antcliff 110 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.68% 1.35% 0.67% T19 2.99
53 ENG Steven Brown 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 1.35% 0.67% T68 2.99
54 SWE Marcus Kinhult 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.63% 0.52% -0.11% T68
55 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.17% 0.57% MC 2.63
56 ENG Robert Rock 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.13% 0.52% T50 2.63
57 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.08% 0.48% MC 2.63
58 POL Adrian Meronk 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.93% 0.33% MC 2.63
59 USA John Catlin 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.76% 0.16% T42
60 SWE Joakim Lagergren 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.64% 0.04% T42
61 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.59% -0.01% MC
62 RSA Louis de Jager 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.59% -0.01% T42
63 ITA Francesco Laporta 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.32% -0.28% 72
64 CHN Li Haotong 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.28% -0.32% MC
65 GER Sebastian Heisele 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.37% -0.16% MC
66 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.67% 0.17% MC
67 ENG James Morrison 150 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.66% 0.16% MC
68 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.64% 0.14% MC
69 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% T19
70 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.4% -0.1% T68
71 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.36% -0.15% T58
72 SCO Connor Syme 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.34% -0.16% T62
73 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.29% -0.22% MC
74 SWE Rikard Karlberg 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.54% 0.07% MC
75 GER Maximilian Kieffer 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.45% -0.02% T50
76 FRA Clement Sordet 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.27% -0.2% MC
77 IND Shubhankar Sharma 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.97% 0.54% T28
78 NIR Cormac Sharvin 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.74% 0.31% T64
79 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.68% 0.25% T19
80 USA Julian Suri 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.44% 0.01% T50
81 FRA Matthieu Pavon 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.27% -0.16% T35
82 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.63% 0.25% MC
83 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.42% 0.04% T35
84 ENG David Coupland 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.38% 0.01% T62
85 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.3% -0.07% T19
86 KOR Kyongjun Moon 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.2% -0.18% MC
87 FRA Adrien Saddier 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 1.08% 0.74% MC
88 SCO David Drysdale 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.4% 0.07% T28
89 USA Sihwan Kim 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.2% -0.14% MC
90 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.09% 0.79% MC
91 ENG Dale Whitnell 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.81% 0.51% T28
92 SCO Ewen Ferguson 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.79% 0.49% MC
93 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.35% 0.05% MC
94 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.27% -0.03% T50
95 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% -0.1% MC
96 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.19% -0.11% T47
97 ENG Jack Senior 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.17% -0.14% T35
98 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.16% -0.14% T58
99 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.02% T28
100 KOR Taehee Lee 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% MC
101 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.2% -0.05% T42
102 NED Darius Van Driel 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.19% -0.06% MC
103 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.59% 0.38% MC
104 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.59% 0.37% MC
105 POR Pedro Figueiredo 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.48% 0.26% T50
106 AUS Scott Hend 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.44% 0.23% MC
107 FRA Joel Stalter 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.44% 0.22% MC
108 FRA Robin Roussel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.35% 0.14% MC
109 ENG Chris Wood 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.28% 0.07% T64
110 RSA Zander Lombard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.26% 0.05% MC
111 NED Lars Van Meijel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.24% 0.02% T14
112 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.22% 0.01% MC
113 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.19% -0.02% MC
114 ITA Edoardo Molinari 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.19% -0.03% MC
115 ENG Oliver Wilson 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
116 SCO David Law 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% T35
117 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.56% 0.4% MC
118 ENG Toby Tree 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.55% 0.4% T58
119 ENG Garrick Porteous 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% MC
120 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% T5
121 NED Daan Huizing 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% MC
122 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
123 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% MC
124 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
125 ENG Oliver Fisher 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
126 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
127 KOR Yikeun Chang 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.02% T19
128 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.02% T2
129 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.4% 0.28% MC
130 POR Ricardo Santos 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.15% T35
131 RSA Haydn Porteous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.19% 0.07% MC
132 ENG David Howell 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
133 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.16% T35
134 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
135 MAR Ayoub Lguirati 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.16% MC
136 JOR Shergo Kurdi 3000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.03% 0.21% 0.18% MC
137 QAT Saleh Musbah Al Kaabi 3000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
138 GER Bernd Ritthammer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 QAT Ali Abdullah Al Bishi(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 RSA Ruan Jordaan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 QAT Jaham Jassim Al Kuwari 0% 0% 0% 0% DQ

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 53.5% 28.4%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 53.5% 28.4%
3 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 53.6% 28.5%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 54.3% 29.1%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 30.9%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 33%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.4% 33.1%
8 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 50.6% 34.2%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 51.4% 34.9%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 53.1% 36.4%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.5%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.6%
13 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.4%
14 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 42.3%