Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 68.1

Total Profit: -32

Austrian Open

09/07/2020 - 12/07/2020

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NED Joost Luiten 6 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.51% 1.78% -8.73% T18
2 BEL Thomas Detry 7 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.2% 3.36% -5.84% T8
3 ESP Adria Arnaus 16 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.33% 4.44% 0.11% T62
4 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.2% 1.75% -1.45% MC
5 ITA Renato Paratore 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.83% 1.37% -1.46% 15
6 SCO Connor Syme 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.83% 0.86% -1.97% T4
7 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.37% 2.33% -0.05% 25 10.55
8 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 7.33% 5.16% 8 9.62
9 FIN Sami Valimaki 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.16% 4.88% 2.71% MC 9.62
10 FRA Antoine Rozner 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 1.41% -0.76% T44
11 RSA Haydn Porteous 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 0.43% -1.74% WD
12 GER Sebastian Heisele 40 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.8% 1.65% -0.14% MC 7.98
13 SWE Rikard Karlberg 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.09% -0.71% T34
14 GER Maximilian Kieffer 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.8% 0.44% -1.35% 55
15 ITA Francesco Laporta 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 2.36% 0.76% T55 7.11
16 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 45 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.64% 0.04% MC 7.11
17 POL Adrian Meronk 45 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.07% -0.53% MC
18 ZIM Scott Vincent 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 0.46% -1.14% T25
19 FRA Adrien Saddier 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 4.29% 2.84% T18 6.41
20 NED Wil Besseling 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.31% 0.46% -0.86% 3
21 USA John Catlin 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 0.5% -0.6% T8
22 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.44% -0.66% 34
23 SWE Oscar Lengden 66 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 0.44% -0.66% T8
24 ENG Ben Stow 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% 0.46% -0.5% MC
25 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 3.51% 2.61% MC 4.04
26 FRA Robin Roussel 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.59% 0.68% T62 4.04
27 NED Darius Van Driel 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.8% -0.11% T4 (tied w/4) 4.04 +34.3
28 FRA Gregory Bourdy 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.44% -0.47% T44
29 SWE Anton Karlsson 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.44% -0.47% T55
30 ENG Matthew Baldwin 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.44% -0.37% T31
31 NED Daan Huizing 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.44% -0.37% T25
32 SWE Jens Dantorp 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.46% -0.27% MC 3.24
33 GER Bernd Ritthammer 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.44% -0.29% T18
34 ENG Ryan Evans 100 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.44% -0.29% MC
35 POR Ricardo Gouveia 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.44% -0.23% MC 2.95
36 SWE Joel Sjoholm 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.46% -0.13% T44 2.6
37 FIN Roope Kakko 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.15% 31 2.6
38 GER Marcel Schneider 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.15% 2 2.6 +33.8
39 ESP Pep Angles Ros 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.15% MC 2.6
40 IRL Gavin Moynihan 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.15% T55 2.6
41 SCO Ewen Ferguson 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.15% MC 2.6
42 ENG Richard Mansell 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.15% MC 2.6
43 ENG Todd Clements 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.15% T44 2.6
44 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.15% T72 2.6
45 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.8% 0.31% 4
46 NED Lars Van Meijel 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0.01% MC
47 SCO Marc Warren 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% 1
48 ESP Pedro Oriol 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% 39
49 WAL Rhys Enoch 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% MC
50 FRA Damien Perrier 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% MC
51 ENG Andrew Wilson 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% MC
52 GER Marcel Siem 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.46% 0.04% 23
53 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.44% 0.02% MC
54 FRA Mathieu Fenasse 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.44% 0.02% MC
55 SWE Mikael Lundberg 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% MC
56 WAL Stuart Manley 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% MC
57 ENG Ross McGowan 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% MC
58 SCO Scott Henry 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% 71
59 ENG Matt Ford 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% 18
60 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% T15
61 GER Max Schmitt 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% T67
62 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% T39
63 ESP Carlos Pigem 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.05% T23
64 GER Moritz Lampert 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% T44
65 FRA Julien Quesne 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% MC
66 FRA Jerome Lando-Casanova 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% 67
67 ENG Steven Tiley 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% MC
68 GER Dominic Foos 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% MC
69 BEL Christopher Mivis 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% T8
70 AUT Lukas Nemecz 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% T34
71 SWE Per Langfors 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% T62
72 AUS Deyen Lawson 250 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% T31
73 SWE Henric Sturehed 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% T55
74 ENG Jonathan Thomson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% T25
75 FIN Kim Koivu 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% MC
76 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% MC
77 ENG Daniel Gavins 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% MC
78 SUI Raphael De Sousa 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% 62
79 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 250 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.41% 0.12% T34
80 SWE Jens Fahrbring 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% T44
81 ITA Enrico Di Nitto 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% T67
82 ENG Nick McCarthy 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% MC
83 FIN Oliver Lindell 300 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% T25
84 GER Allen John 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% T8
85 SWE Philip Eriksson 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% T8
86 ENG Alfie Plant 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% MC
87 SWE Fredrik Nilehn 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% MC
88 WAL David Boote 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% T44
89 ENG Bradley Moore 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% MC
90 FRA Victor Riu 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
91 DEN Mark F Haastrup 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
92 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
93 FRA Joel Stalter 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% T15
94 SWE Robin Petersson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
95 SCO Craig Ross 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% T39
96 AUT Markus Brier 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
97 COL Alvaro Jose Arizabaleta 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
98 FIN Janne Kaske 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.5% 0.32% MC
99 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
100 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
101 IRL Niall Kearney 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
102 FRA Clement Berardo 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
103 SUI Joel Girrbach 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% T67
104 ITA Federico Maccario 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
105 FRA Ugo Coussaud 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
106 FIN Antti Ahokas 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
107 SCO Chris Robb 400 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
108 GER Jonas Kolbing 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
109 ESP Scott Fernandez 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
110 SCO Craig Howie 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% T4
111 CZE Ondrej Lieser 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% T44
112 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% T25
113 DEN Nicolai B Kristensen 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
114 ENG Scott Gregory 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
115 GER Hurly Long 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% T34
116 FRA Frederic LaCroix 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
117 IRL Robin Dawson 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.25% MC
118 FRA Gary Stal 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
119 SWE Pelle Edberg 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% 44
120 SUI Benjamin Rusch 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
121 AUT Martin Wiegele 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
122 DEN Martin Ovesen 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
123 NED Robbie Van West 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% 72
124 ISL Haraldur Magnus 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
125 ESP David Borda Antonana 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% 61
126 FRA Felix Mory 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% T18
127 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
128 ITA Aron Zemmer 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% T39
129 AUT Niklas Regner 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
130 CZE Stanislav Matus 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.44% 0.31% MC
131 GER Hinrich Arkenau 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.44% 0.34% MC
132 AUT Lukas Lipold 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.44% 0.34% MC
133 SWE Jesper Sandborg 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.44% 0.34% MC
134 AUT Markus Habeler 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.36% T44
135 AUT Timon Baltl 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.36% MC
136 AUT Leonhard Astl 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.36% MC
137 AUT Gerold Folk 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.36% MC
138 AUT Sebastian Wittmann 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.36% MC
139 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
140 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% 0% 0% T39
141 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T44
142 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T62
143 AUT Maximilian Steinlechner 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 AUT Laurenz Kubin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Coral 7 @ 1/5 57.2% 31.9%
2 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 48.4% 32.6%
3 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 32.9%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 32.9%
5 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 50.5% 34.4%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 60.3% 34.6%
7 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 60.3% 34.6%
8 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 52.6% 36.3%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.5% 36.4%
10 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 50.2% 37.1%
11 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 53.9% 37.5%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.9% 37.5%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 53.9% 37.5%
14 Spreadex 5 @ 1/4 55.2% 38.7%
15 Betway 5 @ 1/4 56% 39.3%
16 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56.9% 40.2%
17 GentingBet 5 @ 1/4 57.5% 40.7%
18 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 56.6% 42.9%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 60% 46%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 60.6% 46.6%