Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 34.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 82.5

Total Profit: -17.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 11 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.08% 2.86% -3.21% MC
2 GER Martin Kaymer 16 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.29% 1.48% -2.81% T10
3 BEL Thomas Detry 20 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.47% 1.28% -2.19% T36
4 NED Joost Luiten 22 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.17% 2.19% -0.98% T10
5 ESP Adria Arnaus 25 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.8% 1.42% -1.39% MC
6 MAS Gavin Green 28 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.51% 1.28% -1.24% T18
7 AUS Minwoo Lee 30 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.35% 1.35% -1% MC
8 ENG Paul Waring 33 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 1.85% -0.29% T25
9 CHN Li Haotong 33 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.14% 0.69% -1.46% T18
10 ENG Ross Fisher 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.78% 1.53% -0.25% T10
11 FRA Benjamin Hebert 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.78% 1.41% -0.37% T43
12 ENG Andy Sullivan 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.78% 1.04% -0.74% T77
13 ENG Jordan L Smith 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.78% 1.01% -0.77% T6
14 RSA Shaun Norris 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 2.96% 1.53% T18 6.25
15 RSA Dean Burmester 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 1.34% -0.09% T67
16 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 1.17% -0.26% MC
17 AUS Jason Scrivener 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 1.11% -0.32% MC
18 RSA George Coetzee 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 0.85% -0.58% T6
19 FRA Victor Dubuisson 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 0.76% -0.67% T43
20 ENG Sam Horsfield 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.09% 1.22% 0.13% MC 4.76
21 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.09% 1.1% 0.01% MC 4.76
22 RSA Justin Harding 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.09% 1.01% -0.08% MC
23 FRA Matthieu Pavon 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.09% 0.61% -0.48% MC
24 AUS Travis Smyth 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 1.53% 0.63% MC 3.94
25 CHN Wu Ashun 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.16% 0.26% MC 3.94
26 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 1.15% 0.25% T25 3.94
27 ITA Renato Paratore 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.02% 0.12% T74 3.94
28 DEN Joachim B Hansen 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.86% -0.04% MC 3.94
29 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.86% -0.04% MC 3.94
30 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.86% -0.04% T4 (tied w/2) 3.94 +41.4
31 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.85% -0.05% T65 3.94
32 ESP Jorge Campillo 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.69% -0.21% MC
33 RSA Brandon Stone 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.66% -0.24% 2
34 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.62% -0.28% MC
35 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.47% -0.43% T43
36 RSA Darren Fichardt 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.29% -0.61% T65
37 FRA Clement Sordet 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.22% -0.68% T10
38 ENG Aaron Rai 90 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.81% 0% MC 3.51
39 ENG Jack Senior 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.36% 0.63% MC 3.16
40 ENG Jack Singh Brar 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.89% 0.16% T67 3.16
41 FIN Kalle Samooja 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.84% 0.12% T30 3.16
42 ITA Guido Migliozzi 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.79% 0.07% T4 (tied w/2) 3.16 +41.1
43 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.69% -0.03% T10 3.16
44 USA Johannes Veerman 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.69% -0.03% T60 3.16
45 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.63% -0.09% T50
46 SCO Grant Forrest 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.54% -0.18% T10
47 ESP Adrian Otaegui 100 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.52% -0.21% T30
48 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.51% -0.21% T25
49 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.13% 0.55% MC 2.53
50 ZIM Scott Vincent 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.07% 0.49% MC 2.53
51 ITA Francesco Laporta 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.06% 0.48% MC 2.53
52 SWE Joakim Lagergren 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.97% 0.39% MC 2.53
53 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.92% 0.34% T18 2.53
54 POL Adrian Meronk 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.92% 0.34% T54 2.53
55 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.85% 0.28% T43 2.53
56 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.69% 0.12% MC 2.53
57 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.65% 0.07% T50 2.53
58 SCO Calum Hill 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.62% 0.04% T54 2.53
59 USA Sean Crocker 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.59% 0.01% 71 2.53
60 ENG Chris Paisley 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.56% -0.01% T43 2.53
61 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.52% -0.06% MC
62 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.49% -0.09% T67
63 ENG Matthew Jordan 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.3% -0.28% T18
64 ENG Matthew Southgate 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.6% 0.08% MC
65 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.12% 0.64% MC
66 ITA Edoardo Molinari 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 1.04% 0.56% T50
67 GER Sebastian Heisele 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.96% 0.47% MC
68 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.87% 0.39% MC
69 ITA Andrea Pavan 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.75% 0.26% 73
70 KOR Jeunghun Wang 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.74% 0.26% T43
71 AUS Jake McLeod 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.68% 0.2% MC
72 SCO Stephen Gallacher 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.67% 0.19% T30
73 USA Sihwan Kim 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.52% 0.04% MC
74 WAL Bradley Dredge 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.37% -0.11% MC
75 RSA Wilco Nienaber 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.24% -0.25% MC
76 ITA Nino Bertasio 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.68% 0.23% MC
77 AUS Scott Hend 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.84% 0.43% T67
78 CHI Hugo Leon 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.8% 0.38% MC
79 SWE Niklas Lemke 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.56% 0.15% MC
80 ESP Alejandro Canizares 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.48% 0.06% T6
81 GER Maximilian Kieffer 175 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.32% -0.09% T30
82 SWE Peter Hanson 175 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.19% -0.22% T77
83 ENG Steven Brown 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 1.22% 0.86% T60
84 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 1.1% 0.73% MC
85 NED Wil Besseling 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.68% 0.32% MC
86 FRA Antoine Rozner 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.61% 0.25% T10
87 ENG Marcus Armitage 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.53% 0.17% T36
88 ENG Oliver Fisher 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.51% 0.15% MC
89 SWE Rikard Karlberg 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.51% 0.14% T36
90 WAL Jamie Donaldson 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.49% 0.13% T50
91 ENG James Morrison 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.47% 0.11% T54
92 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.47% 0.1% 3
93 NIR Cormac Sharvin 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.36% 0% T36
94 ENG Robert Rock 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.27% -0.09% T36
95 ENG Richard Bland 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.24% -0.12% T54
96 RSA Justin Walters 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.71% 0.42% T30
97 FIN Sami Valimaki 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.61% 0.32% 1
98 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.61% 0.32% MC
99 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% MC
100 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% T10
101 ENG Lee Slattery 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.35% 0.06% T74
102 ENG Garrick Porteous 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% MC
103 ENG David Horsey 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% MC
104 KOR Kyongjun Moon 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.95% 0.71% MC
105 FRA Robin Roussel 300 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.7% 0.46% T18
106 AUS Maverick Antcliff 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.66% 0.42% T43
107 ENG Ben Stow 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.45% 0.21% T54
108 ENG Toby Tree 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.19% -0.05% MC
109 ENG Laurie Canter 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.89% 0.68% MC
110 RSA Bryce Easton 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.62% 0.41% T74
111 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.55% 0.35% 72
112 ENG Richard McEvoy 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.45% 0.24% T30
113 ENG Callum Shinkwin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% T25
114 CAN Aaron Cockerill 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.18% T62
115 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% MC
116 POR Ricardo Santos 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.11% MC
117 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.29% 0.08% MC
118 SCO David Law 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
119 WAL Oliver Farr 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.5% 0.31% MC
120 KOR Jinho Choi 400 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% MC
121 ENG David Howell 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.65% 0.51% MC
122 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
123 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
124 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.27% MC
125 NED Darius Van Driel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.25% T36
126 KOR Taehee Lee 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T18
127 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.17% MC
128 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.08% MC
129 ENG Bailey Gill 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.05% MC
130 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% MC
131 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.3% 0.17% MC
132 NED Lars Van Meijel 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% T62
133 ENG Graeme Storm 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
134 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.07% T77
135 ENG David Coupland 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% MC
136 ENG Dale Whitnell 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.51% 0.42% MC
137 SCO Paul Lawrie 750 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
138 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
139 RSA Louis de Jager 0% 0% 0% 0% T36
140 SWE Joel Sjoholm 0% 0% 0% 0% T62
141 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T6
144 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
145 IRL James Sugrue 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 OMA Azaan Al Rumhy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 34.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 51.4% 21.7%
2 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 68.1% 30.1%
3 Coral 7 @ 1/5 56.5% 31%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.1% 32%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.3% 32.5%
6 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 45.9% 32.9%
7 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 33.6%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 61.7% 35.3%
9 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 49.4% 36.1%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.6%
11 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 63.6% 36.9%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 51.2% 37.7%
13 VBet 5 @ 1/4 55.3% 38.4%
14 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 56.4% 42.5%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.7% 43.6%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.7% 43.7%
17 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 61.9% 44.3%
18 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 61.9% 44.3%