Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 25.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 84.5

Total Profit: -15.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 8 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 11.11% 8.88% 4.66% -4.21% T6
2 SWE Henrik Stenson 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.33% 4.99% -0.33% T17
3 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.33% 4.07% -1.26% 1
4 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.33% 3.86% -1.47% T10
5 RSA Erik van Rooyen 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.2% 4.06% -0.14% T30
6 SCO Robert MacIntyre 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.47% 3.22% -0.25% T8
7 ENG Matt Wallace 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.07% 3.37% 0.3% T44 13.29
8 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.07% 2.71% -0.37% T17
9 SWE Alexander Noren 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.07% 2.01% -1.06% T44
10 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 28 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.75% 5.31% 2.55% T3 (tied w/3) 11.91 +39.3
11 USA Kurt Kitayama 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.75% 1.79% -0.96% T30
12 CHN Li Haotong 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.75% 0.87% -1.88% T52
13 BEL Thomas Pieters 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.35% 2.03% -0.32% T30
14 ENG Paul Waring 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.35% 1.39% -0.96% T24
15 ENG Lee Westwood 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.35% 1.36% -0.99% T6
16 NED Joost Luiten 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.95% 2.13% 0.18% T10 8.43
17 GER Martin Kaymer 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.95% 1.83% -0.12% T21
18 ENG Ian Poulter 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.95% 1.71% -0.24% T39
19 ITA Andrea Pavan 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 3.82% 2.25% 62 6.78
20 IND Shubhankar Sharma 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 1.55% -0.01% 56
21 RSA George Coetzee 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 1.23% -0.34% T30
22 BEL Thomas Detry 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% 0.77% -0.79% T3
23 RSA Branden Grace 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 0.46% -1.1% T39
24 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 55 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.43% 2.04% 0.62% T24 6.17
25 FRA Romain Langasque 60 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.31% 1.91% 0.6% T30 5.67
26 ENG Jordan L Smith 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.31% 1.06% -0.25% T48
27 SWE Marcus Kinhult 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 1.45% 0.26% 2 5.16 +45.2
28 ENG Tom Lewis 66 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 1.17% -0.03% T13
29 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.8% -0.39% T24
30 RSA Justin Harding 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.13% 0.91% -0.22% T48
31 FRA Benjamin Hebert 80 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 1.71% 0.73% T24 4.27
32 ESP Adria Arnaus 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 1.68% 0.69% T30 4.27
33 ITA Guido Migliozzi 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 1.62% 0.63% T21 4.27
34 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.92% -0.07% T42
35 ENG Aaron Rai 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 0.84% -0.15% T13
36 ENG Chris Paisley 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 1.44% 0.56% T44 3.8
37 DEN Joachim B Hansen 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 1.26% 0.39% T17 3.8
38 FIN Mikko Korhonen 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.78% -0.09% T24
39 AUS Jason Scrivener 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.66% -0.22% T3
40 ENG Matthew Southgate 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 1.27% 0.48% T52 3.42
41 ENG Andy Sullivan 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 1.17% 0.38% 61 3.42
42 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 1.03% 0.24% T44 3.42
43 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.98% 0.19% T30 3.42
44 NZL Ryan Fox 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 0.82% 0.03% 57
45 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 0.6% -0.19% 63
46 FIN Kalle Samooja 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.72% 0.92% 0.2% T10 3.12
47 RSA Richard Sterne 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 1.05% 0.42% 60 2.75
48 ESP Jorge Campillo 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.88% 0.25% T13 2.75
49 SWE Joakim Lagergren 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.24% 0.71% T39
50 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.85% 0.32% T48
51 MAS Gavin Green 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.73% 0.21% T21
52 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 1.17% 0.71% 59
53 RSA Zander Lombard 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 1.12% 0.67% T8
54 USA David Lipsky 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.58% 0.13% 58
55 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 2.24% 1.84% T30
56 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.11% 20
57 ENG Steven Brown 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.89% 0.57% T42
58 RSA Ernie Els 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.26% -0.06% T52
59 AUS Scott Hend 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% T48
60 ESP Nacho Elvira 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.31% 0.05% T13
61 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.59% 0.36% T30
62 ESP Alvaro Quiros 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.93% 0.73% T24
63 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% T52

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 25.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 43.4% 20.3%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.3% 20.8%
3 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 35.7% 21.2%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 45.6% 22.1%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 48% 24.2%
6 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 37.5% 25.4%
7 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 40.5% 25.5%
8 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 40.5% 25.5%
9 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 41.6% 26.5%
10 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 43% 27.8%
11 Coral 5 @ 1/4 43% 27.8%
12 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 43.6% 28.3%
13 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 28.8%
14 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 28.8%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 28.8%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 42.8% 30.3%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 33%