Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 28.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 320.2

Total Profit: +220.1



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Erik van Rooyen 12 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.86% 6.52% 0.66% MC
2 SWE Alexander Noren 12 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.86% 1.47% -4.39% T18
3 AUT Matthias Schwab 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.48% 2.51% -1.98% MC
4 NED Joost Luiten 16 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.48% 1.95% -2.53% T11
5 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.01% 3.04% -0.97% T26
6 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.63% 1.32% -2.31% T54
7 SWE Marcus Kinhult 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.93% 1.77% -1.16% T11
8 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% 1.09% -1.15% T8
9 ENG Ross Fisher 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% 0.94% -1.3% MC
10 USA Kurt Kitayama 40 (SkyBet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 1.96% 0.1% 4 8.13 +36.6
11 GER Martin Kaymer 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.86% 1.63% -0.22% T5
12 ENG Sam Horsfield 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 1.09% -0.77% T14
13 USA Julian Suri 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 1.07% -0.79% WD
14 FRA Victor Perez 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 0.82% -1.04% T16
15 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.66% 2.16% 0.51% T18 7.25
16 ENG Aaron Rai 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.66% 1.12% -0.54% MC
17 ITA Guido Migliozzi 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.82% 0.33% MC 6.54
18 USA Stewart Cink 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.11% -0.38% T48
19 IND Shubhankar Sharma 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 0.97% -0.4% T40
20 ENG Andy Sullivan 60 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.25% 1.61% 0.37% T23 5.47
21 NZL Ryan Fox 60 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 0.92% -0.33% T18
22 ENG Callum Shinkwin 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 0.81% -0.44% T48
23 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 2.31% 1.17% MC 4.98
24 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.7% 0.56% T5 (tied w/3) 4.98 +35.4
25 DEN Joachim B Hansen 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.01% -0.12% 2 4.98 +35.4
26 AUS Jason Scrivener 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.87% -0.27% T26
27 FRA Alexander Levy 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.86% -0.27% MC
28 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 0.82% -0.32% T14
29 FRA Victor Dubuisson 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.63% -0.51% T61
30 KOR Jeunghun Wang 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.5% -0.64% T48
31 ITA Edoardo Molinari 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.46% 0.52% MC 4.12
32 MAS Gavin Green 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.39% 0.44% T48 4.12
33 FRA Benjamin Hebert 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.18% 0.24% T16 4.12
34 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 1.11% 0.17% MC 4.12
35 WAL Jamie Donaldson 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.97% 0.03% T23 4.12
36 ENG Ashley Chesters 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.74% -0.2% T54 4.12
37 RSA George Coetzee 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.69% -0.25% 3
38 ESP Adrian Otaegui 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.51% -0.43% MC
39 ENG Chris Paisley 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.06% 0.31% T8 (tied w/3) 3.3 +11.6
40 ENG James Morrison 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.85% 0.09% T57 3.3
41 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.8% 0.04% 1 3.3 +201.3
42 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.73% -0.03% MC 3.3
43 ENG David Horsey 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.67% -0.08% T32 3.3
44 ENG Lee Slattery 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.61% -0.15% T32 3.3
45 RSA Haydn Porteous 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.11% 0.51% T57 2.65
46 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.94% 0.34% T40 2.65
47 FIN Kalle Samooja 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.83% 0.22% T18 2.65
48 USA David Lipsky 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.82% 0.22% T29 2.65
49 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.74% 0.13% 65 2.65
50 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.38% -0.23% MC
51 USA Hudson Swafford 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.25% -0.29% T29
52 WAL Bradley Dredge 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.87% 0.37% T48
53 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.82% 0.31% T73
54 ENG Jack Singh Brar 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.81% 0.3% MC
55 RSA Justin Walters 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.74% 0.24% T61
56 SWE Niklas Lemke 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.61% 0.11% T32
57 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.59% 0.09% T26
58 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.43% -0.08% MC
59 ENG Chris Wood 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.4% -0.1% MC
60 CHI Hugo Leon 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.94% 0.51% T8
61 ENG Oliver Fisher 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.74% 0.31% 72
62 SCO Stephen Gallacher 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.37% -0.07% T32
63 ENG Oliver Wilson 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.99% 0.61% MC
64 FRA Matthieu Pavon 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.97% 0.59% T57
65 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.87% 0.5% MC
66 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.8% 0.42% T61
67 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.73% 0.35% T40
68 IRL Paul Dunne 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% MC
69 FRA Clement Sordet 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.43% 0.05% MC
70 FRA Romain Wattel 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.92% 0.61% T40
71 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.91% 0.61% MC
72 RSA Louis de Jager 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.73% 0.43% MC
73 JPN Hideto Tanihara 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.69% 0.38% MC
74 SWE Robert Karlsson 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.65% 0.35% MC
75 POR Ricardo Gouveia 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.64% 0.34% T69
76 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.64% 0.33% MC
77 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.61% 0.31% WD
78 RSA Darren Fichardt 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.58% 0.27% T66
79 ENG Steven Brown 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% T11
80 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.09% T32
81 ENG Ben Evans 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.37% 0.07% T40
82 AUS Jake McLeod 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% 71
83 USA Charlie Saxon 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.24% -0.06% T40
84 FRA Gregory Bourdy 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 1.25% 1% T29
85 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.8% 0.55% T32
86 NOR Espen Kofstad 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.8% 0.55% MC
87 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.72% 0.46% T18
88 GER Max Schmitt 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.6% 0.35% T69
89 IRL Gavin Moynihan 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% T5
90 SWE Per Langfors 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.32% 0.06% MC
91 FRA Adrien Saddier 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% T32
92 FRA Cyril Bouniol 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% MC
93 POR Pedro Figueiredo 350 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 1.29% 1.07% DQ
94 GER Marcel Siem 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.62% 0.4% DQ
95 SWE Anton Karlsson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.51% 0.29% MC
96 SCO Liam Johnston 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.71% 0.52% T61
97 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.6% 0.41% T54
98 AUS Sam Brazel 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% MC
99 AUS Nick Cullen 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
100 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
101 WAL Stuart Manley 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
102 SCO Marc Warren 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% 75
103 FRA Julien Quesne 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% 76
104 SCO David Law 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
105 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.24% MC
106 AUS Deyen Lawson 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T40
107 RSA Trevor Immelman 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T23
108 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T66
109 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T57
110 DEN Thomas Bjorn 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.46% 0.33% MC
111 FRA Frederic LaCroix 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% T40
112 FRA Jerome Lando-Casanova 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% T32
113 ENG David Howell 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
114 FRA Charles Larcelet 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T73
115 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% MC
116 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
117 KOR Hyowon Park 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
118 ENG Daniel Gavins 0% 0% 0% 0% DQ
119 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T66
120 FRA David Ravetto 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 28.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.8 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 41.1% 18.2%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 52.7% 18.3%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 54.8% 19.9%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 60.9% 24.7%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 27.1%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 53.1% 28.2%
7 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 43.8% 31%
8 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 43.8% 31%
9 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 48.1% 32.1%
10 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
11 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
13 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
14 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
16 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
17 Coral 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 32.5%
18 Betway 6 @ 1/5 46.9% 33.9%
19 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.7%
20 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 51% 37.6%