Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 32.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 65.9

Total Profit: -34.2



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 3 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 25% 18.84% 8.22% -10.61% 1
2 ESP Sergio Garcia 6 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.76% 2.17% -8.6% T7
3 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 12 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 7.69% 5.8% 3.65% -2.14% 2
4 CHN Li Haotong 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.43% 3.67% -0.76% MC
5 ITA Andrea Pavan 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.97% 3.28% -0.69% T12
6 ESP Adria Arnaus 30 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.43% 1.56% -0.87% T4
7 ENG Ross Fisher 45 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.64% 0.92% -0.72% T17
8 ESP Jorge Campillo 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.48% 2.15% 0.68% MC 6.7
9 FIN Mikko Korhonen 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 1.38% -0.1% T17
10 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 1.21% -0.27% T33
11 SWE Alexander Bjork 55 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.35% 2.06% 0.71% MC 6.11
12 RSA Justin Harding 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.37% 0.24% T7 (tied w/5) 5.1 +7.2
13 AUS Wade Ormsby 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 1.36% 0.24% MC 5.1
14 ESP Nacho Elvira 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.78% -0.35% T37
15 SWE Rikard Karlberg 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.68% -0.44% T33
16 SCO Calum Hill 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 1.95% 1.02% T17 4.22
17 ITA Renato Paratore 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.18% 0.25% MC 4.22
18 USA Julian Suri 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.66% -0.27% T55
19 ENG Lee Slattery 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.65% -0.28% T37
20 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.58% -0.35% T15
21 DEN Jeff Winther 90 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 1.01% 0.18% T4 (tied w/3) 3.76 +29.5
22 RSA Dean Burmester 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.98% 0.15% T37 3.76
23 KOR Jeunghun Wang 90 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.57% -0.26% MC
24 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.5% 0.75% T33 3.39
25 ITA Edoardo Molinari 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.13% 0.39% T23 3.39
26 WAL Jamie Donaldson 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.05% 0.31% T23 3.39
27 ENG Oliver Wilson 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.04% 0.29% MC 3.39
28 USA Sean Crocker 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.91% 0.17% MC 3.39
29 ESP Alvaro Quiros 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.89% 0.14% MC 3.39
30 ENG James Morrison 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.75% 0% T15 3.39
31 CHN Wu Ashun 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.66% -0.09% T30 3.39
32 ENG David Horsey 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.55% -0.2% T45
33 ARG Andres Romero 110 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 1.26% 0.58% T45 3.08
34 USA David Lipsky 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.83% 0.15% T51 3.08
35 SWE Niklas Lemke 110 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.79% 0.11% MC 3.08
36 AUS Jason Scrivener 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.6% -0.08% T7 3.08
37 ITA Nino Bertasio 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.43% 0.83% T23 2.72
38 ESP Adrian Otaegui 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.19% 0.59% T61 2.72
39 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.08% 0.48% T7 2.72
40 CHI Hugo Leon 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.04% 0.44% MC 2.72
41 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.83% 0.24% MC 2.72
42 FRA Romain Wattel 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.72% 0.12% MC 2.72
43 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.65% 0.05% T12 2.72
44 DEN Joachim B Hansen 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.55% -0.05% T4 (tied w/3) 2.72 +29.2
45 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.41% -0.19% T17
46 USA Sihwan Kim 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.23% 0.73% T37
47 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.08% 0.58% MC
48 USA John Catlin 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.91% 0.41% T63
49 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.48% -0.02% T37
50 USA Johannes Veerman 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.37% -0.13% T45
51 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.34% -0.16% T49
52 USA Charlie Saxon 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.25% -0.25% MC
53 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 1.15% 0.73% MC
54 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 1.05% 0.62% T61
55 IRL Paul Dunne 175 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.73% 0.31% MC
56 ENG Jack Singh Brar 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.7% 0.27% T23
57 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.86% 0.48% T51
58 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.84% 0.46% WD
59 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.75% 0.38% 68
60 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.69% 0.32% T7
61 SCO Liam Johnston 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.6% 0.23% MC
62 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.11% MC
63 POR Ricardo Gouveia 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.47% 0.09% MC
64 RSA Thomas Aiken 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.25% -0.12% T23
65 GER Max Schmitt 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.73% 0.43% MC
66 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.67% 0.37% T17
67 ENG Steven Brown 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.61% 0.31% T37
68 ENG Ben Evans 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.54% 0.24% T37
69 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% T55
70 THA Thongchai Jaidee 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.41% 0.11% MC
71 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% T63
72 NOR Espen Kofstad 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% MC
73 POR Pedro Figueiredo 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% T33
74 IRL Gavin Moynihan 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.37% 0.07% MC
75 DEN Lasse Jensen 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.43% 0.18% MC
76 ENG Matthew Nixon 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% 67
77 USA Samuel Del Val 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% 3
78 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
79 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.57% 0.36% MC
80 ENG Max Orrin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.57% 0.36% MC
81 FIN Kim Koivu 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.29% MC
82 SWE Anton Karlsson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% T63
83 FRA Adrien Saddier 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.22% MC
84 FRA Gregory Bourdy 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.16% MC
85 ENG Ross McGowan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% MC
86 WAL Stuart Manley 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.13% MC
87 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% MC
88 AUS Marcus Fraser 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.05% MC
89 AUS Jake McLeod 350 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.03% T49
90 ENG Daniel Gavins 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.9% 0.71% MC
91 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% T23
92 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% T12
93 AUS Nick Cullen 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
94 ENG Scott Gregory 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% DQ
95 GER Marcel Siem 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% T63
96 ESP Pedro Oriol 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
97 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
98 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% T51
99 AUS Deyen Lawson 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T55
100 ESP Scott Fernandez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
101 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
102 SWE Per Langfors 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% T37
103 KOR Jinho Choi 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
104 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T55
105 AUS Brett Rumford 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T30
106 CHI Nicolas Geyger 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% DQ
107 ITA Matteo Manassero 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
108 ESP David Borda Antonana 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
109 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T51
110 ESP Carlos del Moral 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
111 NED Koen Kouwenaar 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
112 NIR Michael Hoey 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
113 CAN Austin Connelly 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.1% MC
114 ENG Chris Hanson 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% T30
115 ENG Tom Murray 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.2% MC
116 ENG David Howell 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% MC
117 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.58% 0.48% MC
118 DEN Nicolai Tinning 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
119 SUI Joel Girrbach 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% T55
120 ENG Nick McCarthy 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% T17
121 ESP Daniel Berna Manzanares 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
122 ENG Jamie Abbott 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
123 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.21% MC
124 ESP Victor Pastor Rufian 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.21% MC
125 USA David Cooke 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
126 ESP Alvaro Velasco 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% MC
127 ESP Jose Luis Adarraga Gomez 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
128 NZL Michael Campbell 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% MC
129 ESP Jacobo Pastor Lopez 1000 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
130 ESP Javier Colomo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
131 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
132 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% T23
133 ESP Carlos Aguilar 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 ESP Antonio Hortal 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 SCO Ryan Lumsden 0% 0% 0% 0% T45
137 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 ESP Juan Salama 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.6 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 44.1% 29.2%
2 Coral 7 @ 1/5 53.3% 29.4%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 30.6%
4 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 46.4% 31.2%
5 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 46.6% 31.4%
6 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 31.9%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 56.7% 32.1%
8 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58.5% 33.7%
9 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 34.3%
10 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 34.3%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 34.3%
12 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 34.3%
13 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 34.3%
14 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 34.3%
15 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 50.2% 34.7%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 50.4% 37.6%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 37.8%
18 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 37.9%
19 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.7% 37.9%
20 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.4% 39.3%
21 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 54.4% 41.3%
22 Betway 5 @ 1/4 58.3% 41.9%