Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 36.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 20.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 44.8

Total Profit: -55.4



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NED Joost Luiten 10 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.64% 1.87% -4.77% T12
2 BEL Thomas Pieters 12 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.62% 1.46% -4.16% T6
3 FRA Alexander Levy 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.18% 1.31% -1.87% WD
4 ENG Ross Fisher 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.81% 1.27% -1.54% MC
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.81% 1.24% -1.57% T12
6 RSA Justin Harding 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.15% 1.67% -0.48% MC
7 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.15% 0.88% -1.27% T40
8 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% 1.1% -0.68% T27
9 USA David Lipsky 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% 1% -0.78% MC
10 IRL Paul Dunne 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.78% 0.91% -0.87% T58
11 SWE Marcus Kinhult 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% 0.9% -0.88% MC
12 AUS Minwoo Lee 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% 0.76% -1.02% MC
13 AUT Matthias Schwab 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.59% 0.98% -0.61% MC
14 AUS Lucas Herbert 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 1.09% -0.35% MC
15 ENG Chris Wood 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 1.04% -0.39% MC
16 FRA Victor Dubuisson 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 0.98% -0.45% T12
17 ENG Paul Waring 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 0.94% -0.49% MC
18 FRA Clement Sordet 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 0.92% -0.51% T2
19 ENG Andy Sullivan 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 0.91% -0.52% 70
20 ESP Jorge Campillo 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 0.89% -0.54% T2
21 FRA Romain Langasque 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 1.48% 0.18% T45 5.79
22 FRA Victor Perez 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.3% 1.02% -0.28% T61
23 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.3% 0.87% -0.43% T2
24 ENG Chris Paisley 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 0.84% -0.46% T9
25 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.2% 1.45% 0.25% MC 5.32
26 RSA Dean Burmester 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.2% 0.63% -0.57% MC
27 ITA Andrea Pavan 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.37% 0.28% T31 4.84
28 ENG Matthew Southgate 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 0.55% -0.54% T63
29 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.12% 0.22% T40 4.01
30 AUS Scott Hend 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.09% 0.19% T31 4.01
31 ENG Robert Rock 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 1.04% 0.14% MC 4.01
32 ZIM Scott Vincent 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.91% 0% T63 4.01
33 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.85% -0.06% T45 4.01
34 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.79% -0.11% WD 4.01
35 FRA Matthieu Pavon 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.68% -0.23% MC 4.01
36 WAL Bradley Dredge 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.62% -0.28% T45
37 FIN Mikko Korhonen 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 1.01% 0.21% T31 3.57
38 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.99% 0.19% T27 3.57
39 ESP Adria Arnaus 90 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.86% 0.06% T45 3.57
40 MAS Gavin Green 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.65% -0.15% MC 3.57
41 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 90 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.45% -0.36% MC
42 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.09% 0.37% T9 3.22
43 RSA Brandon Stone 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.9% 0.17% T31 3.22
44 IND Shubhankar Sharma 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.84% 0.11% T67 3.22
45 DEN Joachim B Hansen 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.7% -0.03% T6 (tied w/3) 3.22 +11.3
46 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.53% -0.19% T12 3.22
47 USA Sihwan Kim 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.37% -0.36% MC
48 ESP Alvaro Quiros 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.99% 0.41% MC 2.58
49 SCO David Drysdale 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.93% 0.35% T23 2.58
50 RSA George Coetzee 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.81% 0.23% MC 2.58
51 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.73% 0.15% MC 2.58
52 SCO Stephen Gallacher 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.7% 0.12% MC 2.58
53 ENG Max Orrin 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.67% 0.09% MC 2.58
54 CHN Wu Ashun 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.65% 0.07% T67 2.58
55 RSA Haydn Porteous 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.63% 0.05% WD 2.58
56 RSA Thomas Aiken 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.62% 0.04% T31 2.58
57 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.47% -0.11% T2 (tied w/4) 2.58 +33.5
58 FRA Benjamin Hebert 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.55% 0.04% T18
59 SCO Robert MacIntyre 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.16% 0.68% T45
60 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.1% 0.61% T40
61 ENG David Horsey 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.93% 0.45% T12
62 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.64% 0.16% T18
63 RSA Justin Walters 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.62% 0.13% T31
64 FRA Romain Wattel 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.48% -0.01% MC
65 POR Ricardo Gouveia 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.44% -0.05% MC
66 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.43% -0.05% MC
67 ENG Ashley Chesters 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.58% 0.12% T9
68 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.81% 0.39% MC
69 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.58% 0.16% MC
70 SCO Richie Ramsay 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.55% 0.13% MC
71 KOR Jeunghun Wang 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.53% 0.11% T45
72 SCO Marc Warren 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.49% 0.08% MC
73 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.47% 0.06% T61
74 AUS Nick Cullen 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.42% 0% T31
75 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.41% -0.01% MC
76 SWE Jens Dantorp 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.37% -0.04% MC
77 ENG Oliver Wilson 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 1.65% 1.28% T56
78 USA Kurt Kitayama 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.74% 0.37% 1
79 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.7% 0.34% MC
80 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.61% 0.25% MC
81 ENG Lee Slattery 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% MC
82 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.52% 0.15% T45
83 ENG Oliver Fisher 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.41% 0.05% MC
84 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.48% 0.16% MC
85 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.9% 0.6% T45
86 THA Thongchai Jaidee 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.84% 0.55% T18
87 SWE Anton Karlsson 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.84% 0.55% MC
88 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.8% 0.5% T56
89 JPN Hideto Tanihara 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.75% 0.46% T23
90 FIN Kim Koivu 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.74% 0.45% MC
91 SWE Niklas Lemke 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.71% 0.42% MC
92 FIN Kalle Samooja 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.71% 0.42% MC
93 ENG Ben Evans 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.68% 0.39% MC
94 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.67% 0.38% MC
95 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.63% 0.34% T67
96 SCO David Law 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% MC
97 AUS Deyen Lawson 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T27
98 ENG Matthew Baldwin 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.5% 0.21% T45
99 SWE Peter Hanson 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% T6
100 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.36% 0.07% T63
101 RSA Louis de Jager 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% T23
102 ITA Matteo Manassero 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.34% 1.1% T45
103 SWE Robert Karlsson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.04% 0.79% MC
104 AUS Sam Brazel 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.75% 0.51% MC
105 DEN Thomas Bjorn 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.74% 0.5% MC
106 USA John Catlin 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.73% 0.49% T58
107 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.61% 0.36% T31
108 SCO Paul Lawrie 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.6% 0.36% MC
109 ENG James Morrison 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.53% 0.29% 71
110 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.48% 0.24% T21
111 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.47% 0.22% MC
112 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.46% 0.22% MC
113 SWE Joakim Lagergren 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.45% 0.21% MC
114 FRA Adrien Saddier 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% T31
115 IRL Gavin Moynihan 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.1% T12
116 GER Bernd Ritthammer 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.3% 0.06% MC
117 ENG Tom Murray 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.54% 0.34% MC
118 GER Marcel Siem 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.46% 0.25% WD
119 SWE Per Langfors 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.67% 0.49% MC
120 WAL Stuart Manley 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.59% 0.41% DQ
121 SCO Liam Johnston 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.57% 0.38% MC
122 ENG David Howell 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.43% 0.24% MC
123 KOR Hyowon Park 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% MC
124 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.24% T58
125 CHN Jin Cheng 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
126 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
127 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T27
128 CHI Hugo Leon 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T21
129 ENG Daniel Gavins 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.09% MC
130 ENG Scott Gregory 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
131 ITA Guido Migliozzi 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.28% 0.15% T63
132 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.09% MC
133 ESP David Borda Antonana 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.17% 0.05% T23
134 NOR Espen Kofstad 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.12% T45
135 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.26% T40
136 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.33% 0.26% MC
137 USA Jordan Mullaney 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.24% 0.21% MC
138 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.65% 0% MC
139 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.6% 0% WD
140 SCO Connor Syme 0% 0% 0.45% 0% MC
141 KOR Jinho Choi (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0% 0% 0.26% 0% T40

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 36.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 20.6 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...