Betting Market Analysis for Genesis Championship
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 8 months ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 10/1 | 6.02% | -3.45% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 21/1 | 4.73% | 0.24% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 26/1 | 2.09% | -1.61% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 30/1 | 1.42% | -1.85% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 33/1 | 2.62% | -0.32% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 33/1 | 2.28% | -0.66% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 33/1 | 2.21% | -0.73% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 41/1 | 2.38% | 0.02% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 41/1 | 1.7% | -0.67% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 41/1 | 1.17% | -1.19% | |
| 11 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 1.73% | -0.34% | |
| 12 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 1.63% | -0.45% | |
| 13 |
| Calum Hill | 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 2.08% ≈ 47/1 | 1.5% | -0.58% | |
| 14 |
| Gavin Green | 45 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.85% ≈ 53/1 | 1.16% | -0.69% | |
| 15 |
| Tom Vaillant | 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.85% ≈ 53/1 | 1.08% | -0.78% | |
| 16 |
| Yubin Jang(Am) | 50 (LiveScore Bet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.67% ≈ 59/1 | 1.8% | 0.13% | |
| 17 |
| Aaron Cockerill | 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.67% ≈ 59/1 | 1.31% | -0.36% | |
| 18 |
| Francesco Laporta | 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.67% ≈ 59/1 | 1.01% | -0.66% | |
| 19 |
| Yubin Jung | 55 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.52% ≈ 65/1 | 0% | -1.52% | |
| 20 |
| Daniel Hillier | 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 1.62% | 0.35% | |
| 21 |
| Adrien Saddier | 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 1.29% | 0.02% | |
| 22 |
| Richie Ramsay | 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 1.23% | -0.05% | |
| 23 |
| Netipong Sritonginn | 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 0.17% | -1.11% | |
| 24 |
| Scott Jamieson | 70 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 1.2% ≈ 82/1 | 1.01% | -0.19% | |
| 25 |
| Ross Fisher | 70 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.2% ≈ 82/1 | 0.75% | -0.45% | |
| 26 |
| Inhoi Hur | 75 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.32% | 1.12% ≈ 88/1 | 0.97% | -0.15% | |
| 27 |
| Shubhankar Sharma | 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.71% | 0.65% | |
| 28 |
| David Micheluzzi | 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.27% | 0.22% | |
| 29 |
| Pablo Larrazabal | 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.24% | 0.19% | |
| 30 |
| Todd Clements | 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.2% | 0.15% | |
| 31 |
| Casey Jarvis | 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 0.98% | -0.07% | |
| 32 |
| Wooyoung Cho(Am) | 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 0.63% | -0.43% | |
| 33 |
| Alejandro Del Rey | 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.94% ≈ 106/1 | 1.17% | 0.23% | |
| 34 |
| Junghwan Lee | 90 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.94% ≈ 106/1 | 0.95% | 0.01% | |
| 35 |
| Jason Scrivener | 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.94% ≈ 106/1 | 0.88% | -0.05% | |
| 36 |
| Kyungnam Kang | 90 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.94% ≈ 106/1 | 0.7% | -0.23% | |
| 37 |
| Andrea Pavan | 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 118/1 | 1.17% | 0.33% | |
| 38 |
| Maximilian Kieffer | 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 118/1 | 1.02% | 0.18% | |
| 39 |
| Marcus Kinhult | 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 118/1 | 0.93% | 0.08% | |
| 40 |
| Andrew Wilson | 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 118/1 | 0.78% | -0.07% | |
| 41 |
| Callum Shinkwin | 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 118/1 | 0.76% | -0.08% | |
| 42 |
| David Law | 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 118/1 | 0.76% | -0.09% | |
| 43 |
| Nacho Elvira | 125 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 1.9% | 1.22% | |
| 44 |
| Minkyu Kim | 125 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 1.46% | 0.79% | |
| 45 |
| Marcel Schneider | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.84% | 0.16% | |
| 46 |
| Thomas Aiken | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.8% | 0.12% | |
| 47 |
| Jacques Kruyswijk | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.79% | 0.12% | |
| 48 |
| Sanghee Lee | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.58% | -0.1% | |
| 49 |
| Wu Ashun | 125 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.54% | -0.14% | |
| 50 |
| Hanbyeol Kim | 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.46% | -0.21% | |
| 51 |
| Marcus Armitage | 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 1.08% | 0.52% | |
| 52 |
| Jeong Weon Ko | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.99% | 0.42% | |
| 53 |
| Seungtaek Lee | 150 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.86% | 0.29% | |
| 54 |
| Jeongu Ham | 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.85% | 0.28% | |
| 55 |
| Matthias Schwab | 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.64% | 0.08% | |
| 56 |
| Taehoon Ok | 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.61% | 0.05% | |
| 57 |
| Galam Jeon | 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.58% | 0.02% | |
| 58 |
| Marco Penge | 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.62% | 0.53% ≈ 188/1 | 0.76% | 0.23% | |
| 59 |
| Jens Dantorp | 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.48% ≈ 206/1 | 1.03% | 0.55% | |
| 60 |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.48% ≈ 206/1 | 1.02% | 0.54% | |
| 61 |
| Eddie Pepperell | 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.48% ≈ 206/1 | 0.75% | 0.27% | |
| 62 |
| Matthew Southgate | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.42% ≈ 235/1 | 1.11% | 0.69% | |
| 63 |
| Adria Arnaus | 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.42% ≈ 235/1 | 0.72% | 0.29% | |
| 64 |
| Matthis Besard | 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.42% ≈ 235/1 | 0.47% | 0.04% | |
| 65 |
| Louis de Jager | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.75% | 0.41% | |
| 66 |
| Hurly Long | 250 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.73% | 0.39% | |
| 67 |
| Daan Huizing | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.65% | 0.31% | |
| 68 |
| Oliver Wilson | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.65% | 0.31% | |
| 69 |
| Filippo Celli | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.57% | 0.23% | |
| 70 |
| Rafael Cabrera Bello | 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.54% | 0.2% | |
| 71 |
| Ricardo Gouveia | 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.53% | 0.19% | |
| 72 |
| Jens Fahrbring | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.51% | 0.17% | |
| 73 |
| Sam Jones | 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.37% | 0.03% | |
| 74 |
| James Nicholas | 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.36% | 0.02% | |
| 75 |
| Lauri Ruuska | 250 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0.32% | -0.02% | |
| 76 |
| C. M. Chong | 250 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 294/1 | 0% | -0.34% | |
| 77 |
| Edoardo Molinari | 275 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.36% | 0.31% ≈ 323/1 | 0.53% | 0.22% | |
| 78 |
| Manuel Elvira | 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 0.74% | 0.45% | |
| 79 |
| James Morrison | 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 0.69% | 0.41% | |
| 80 |
| Lukas Nemecz | 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 0.68% | 0.4% | |
| 81 |
| Gunner Wiebe | 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 0.55% | 0.26% | |
| 82 |
| Clement Sordet | 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 0.33% | 0.05% | |
| 83 |
| Kristoffer Broberg | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.24% ≈ 411/1 | 0.44% | 0.2% | |
| 84 |
| Eunshin Park | 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.24% ≈ 411/1 | 0.41% | 0.16% | |
| 85 |
| Doyeob Mun | 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.24% ≈ 411/1 | 0.33% | 0.09% | |
| 86 |
| Taehee Lee | 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.21% ≈ 470/1 | 0.43% | 0.22% | |
| 87 |
| Sebastian Friedrichsen | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.21% ≈ 470/1 | 0.42% | 0.21% | |
| 88 |
| Hanmil Jung | 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.21% ≈ 470/1 | 0.39% | 0.18% | |
| 89 |
| Dongkyu Jang | 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.21% ≈ 470/1 | 0.31% | 0.1% | |
| 90 |
| Sunghoon Kang | 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.21% ≈ 470/1 | 0.29% | 0.07% | |
| 91 |
| Santiago Tarrio | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.21% ≈ 470/1 | 0.19% | -0.02% | |
| 92 |
| Benjamin Rusch | 400 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.21% ≈ 470/1 | 0.18% | -0.03% | |
| 93 |
| Joel Girrbach | 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.73% | 0.56% | |
| 94 |
| Seungsu Han | 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.69% | 0.52% | |
| 95 |
| Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.44% | 0.27% | |
| 96 |
| Yeongsu Kim | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.39% | 0.22% | |
| 97 |
| Pedro Figueiredo | 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.36% | 0.19% | |
| 98 |
| Haydn Barron | 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.21% | 0.04% | |
| 99 |
| Nicolo Galletti | 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.21% | 0.04% | |
| 100 |
| Nick Bachem | 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.14% ≈ 705/1 | 0.83% | 0.68% | |
| 101 |
| Renato Paratore | 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.14% ≈ 705/1 | 0.46% | 0.32% | |
| 102 |
| Chase Hanna | 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.14% ≈ 705/1 | 0.28% | 0.14% | |
| 103 |
| Guntaek Koh | 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.11% ≈ 881/1 | 1.05% | 0.93% | |
| 104 |
| Lorenzo Scalise | 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.11% ≈ 881/1 | 0.48% | 0.37% | |
| 105 |
| Soren Kjeldsen | 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.11% ≈ 881/1 | 0.33% | 0.21% | |
| 106 |
| Jonas Blixt | 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.11% ≈ 881/1 | 0.24% | 0.13% | |
| 107 |
| Joshua Berry | 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.11% ≈ 881/1 | 0.16% | 0.05% | |
| 108 |
| Alexander Knappe | 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.09% ≈ 1174/1 | 0.22% | 0.13% | |
| 109 |
| Tom Power Horan | 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.09% ≈ 1174/1 | 0.17% | 0.09% | |
| 110 |
| Seunghyuk Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 111 |
| Hao Tong Li | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 112 |
| Sanghyun Park | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 113 |
| Woohyun Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 114 |
| Pablo Martin Benavides | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 115 |
| Soomin Lee | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 116 |
| Jinho Choi | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 117 |
| Max Rottluff | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 118 |
| Jungho Yoon | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 119 |
| Hongtaek Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 120 |
| Ivan Cantero Gutierrez | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 121 |
| Alfredo Garcia-Heredia | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 122 |
| Chanwoo Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 123 |
| Toru Nakajima | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 124 |
| Tom Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 125 |
| Taeho Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 126 |
| Frederik Schott | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 127 |
| KIM Bael Jun | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 128 |
| Heemin Chang | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 129 |
| Gyumin Lee | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 10.0 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: -3.5 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ladbrokes | 8 @ 1/5 | 40.1% | 6.7% |
| 2 | Coral | 8 @ 1/5 | 40.5% | 7% |
| 3 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 20% | 7.7% |
| 4 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 20.4% | 8% |
| 5 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 25.3% | 10.4% |
| 6 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 25.2% | 12.4% |
| 7 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 29% | 13.6% |
| 8 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 29.5% | 14.1% |
| 9 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 28.6% | 15.4% |
| 10 | BetGoodwin | 6 @ 1/5 | 28.6% | 15.4% |
| 11 | BoyleSports | 8 @ 1/5 | 51.7% | 15.5% |
| 12 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 29.4% | 16.1% |
| 13 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 30% | 16.6% |
| 14 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 32.1% | 18.5% |
| 15 | LiveScore Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 32.5% | 18.8% |
| 16 | VBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 32.5% | 18.9% |
| 17 | BetUK | 6 @ 1/5 | 32.7% | 19% |
| 18 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 32.7% | 19.1% |
| 19 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 33.1% | 19.4% |
| 20 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 33.1% | 19.4% |
| 21 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 34.3% | 20.4% |
| 22 | Paddy Power | 6 @ 1/5 | 36.1% | 22.1% |
| 23 | Betfair Sportsbook | 6 @ 1/5 | 37.6% | 23.5% |