Betting Market Analysis for Open de Espana

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 14 hours ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 4/1 1.68% -16.56%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 12/1 1.22% -6.48%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 2.6% -1.47%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 2.31% -0.99%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 0.82% -2.48%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 3.93% 0.92%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 2.11% -0.9%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 1.86% -1.15%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.13% -1.26%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 2.01% -0.03%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.69% -0.35%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.58% -0.45%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.16% -0.87%
14 ESP Sergio Garcia 40 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.69% ≈ 58/1 0.31% -1.38%
15 THA Netipong Sritonginn 50 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% ≈ 73/1 0.09% -1.27%
16 ENG John Parry 60 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 1.95% 0.81%
17 BEL Thomas Detry 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 2.75% 1.72%
18 ENG Daniel A Brown 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 1.72% 0.68%
19 FIN Oliver Lindell 66 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 1.09% 0.05%
20 ENG Todd Clements 66 (Betway: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 0.94% -0.1%
21 ITA Francesco Laporta 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 0.87% -0.16%
22 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 70 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.97% -0.01%
23 RSA Thriston Lawrence 80 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 116/1 2.27% 1.42%
24 SWE Joakim Lagergren 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 116/1 1.38% 0.52%
25 ENG Richard Mansell 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 116/1 1.09% 0.24%
26 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 116/1 1.04% 0.19%
27 NED Joost Luiten 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 0.92% 0.16%
28 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 90 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 0.81% 0.04%
29 ENG Laurie Canter 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 145/1 1.59% 0.9%
30 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 100 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 145/1 0.91% 0.23%
31 FRA Julien Guerrier 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 145/1 0.88% 0.19%
32 Jose Luis Ballester 100 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 145/1 0% -0.69%
33 SCO Ewen Ferguson 110 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 1.17% 0.55%
34 DEN Jacob Skov Olesen 110 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.77% 0.15%
35 SWE Mikael Lindberg 110 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.63% 0%
36 CHN Ding Wenyi 115 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.86% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.47% -0.13%
37 FRA Romain Langasque 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 181/1 1.14% 0.59%
38 ITA Guido Migliozzi 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 181/1 0.94% 0.39%
39 NZL Daniel Hillier 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 181/1 0.85% 0.3%
40 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 181/1 0.63% 0.08%
41 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 181/1 0.51% -0.04%
42 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 1.05% 0.52%
43 USA Johannes Veerman 140 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.49% ≈ 202/1 0.91% 0.42%
44 FRA Tom Vaillant 140 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.71% 0.49% ≈ 202/1 0.54% 0.05%
45 Martin Couvra 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 1.36% 0.9%
46 ENG Matthew Jordan 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 1.05% 0.6%
47 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 1% 0.54%
48 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 150 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 0.95% 0.49%
49 ENG Dan Bradbury 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 0.8% 0.34%
50 FRA Ugo Coussaud 150 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 0.72% 0.27%
51 RSA Zander Lombard 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 0.28% -0.18%
52 ESP Jorge Campillo 155 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.64% 0.44% ≈ 224/1 1.18% 0.73%
53 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.82% 0.43%
54 ENG Sam Bairstow 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.8% 0.41%
55 GER Marcel Schneider 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.79% 0.39%
56 FRA Frederic LaCroix 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.73% 0.34%
57 DEN Jeff Winther 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.68% 0.29%
58 RSA Richard Sterne 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.56% 0.17%
59 ENG Andy Sullivan 180 (Unibet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.38% ≈ 260/1 1.03% 0.65%
60 NZL Kazuma Kobori 180 (Unibet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.38% ≈ 260/1 1% 0.61%
61 SCO Calum Hill 180 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.55% 0.38% ≈ 260/1 0.92% 0.54%
62 RSA Brandon Stone 180 (Unibet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.38% ≈ 260/1 0.68% 0.29%
63 NED Darius Van Driel 200 (Unibet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 289/1 0.79% 0.44%
64 ESP Manuel Elvira 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 289/1 0.7% 0.36%
65 USA Sean Crocker 200 (Unibet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 289/1 0.62% 0.27%
66 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 289/1 0.47% 0.12%
67 SCO Connor Syme 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 325/1 0.98% 0.67%
68 GER Marcel Siem 225 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 325/1 0.68% 0.38%
69 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 325/1 0.66% 0.35%
70 SCO Richie Ramsay 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 325/1 0.56% 0.26%
71 ENG Ben Schmidt 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 325/1 0.51% 0.2%
72 FRA Clement Sordet 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 325/1 0.4% 0.1%
73 ENG Nathan Kimsey 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 325/1 0.28% -0.03%
74 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 361/1 0.76% 0.48%
75 FRA David Ravetto 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 361/1 0.67% 0.4%
76 AUS Jason Scrivener 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 361/1 0.65% 0.37%
77 SCO Scott Jamieson 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 361/1 0.55% 0.27%
78 ENG Danny Willett 275 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.25% ≈ 397/1 0.47% 0.22%
79 ESP Adrian Otaegui 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.58% 0.35%
80 ITA Andrea Pavan 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.55% 0.32%
81 ENG Jack Senior 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.53% 0.3%
82 SWE Niklas Lemke 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.41% 0.18%
83 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 350 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.67% 0.47%
84 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.57% 0.37%
85 CHN Wu Ashun 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.54% 0.34%
86 AUS David Micheluzzi 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.53% 0.34%
87 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.53% 0.34%
88 CAN Aaron Cockerill 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.49% 0.29%
89 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 350 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.44% 0.24%
90 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 350 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.42% 0.22%
91 ESP Nacho Elvira 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 578/1 0.64% 0.47%
92 SWE Marcus Kinhult 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 578/1 0.55% 0.37%
93 ENG Andrew Wilson 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 578/1 0.34% 0.16%
94 GER Maximilian Kieffer 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 578/1 0.33% 0.16%
95 ENG Callum Shinkwin 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 578/1 0.18% 0.01%
96 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.15% ≈ 650/1 0.48% 0.33%
97 SUI Joel Girrbach 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.15% ≈ 650/1 0.4% 0.24%
98 ENG Robin Williams 500 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.55% 0.41%
99 RSA Darren Fichardt 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.5% 0.37%
100 RSA Casey Jarvis 500 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.5% 0.36%
101 DEN Hamish Brown 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.49% 0.35%
102 POR Ricardo Gouveia 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.44% 0.3%
103 FRA Benjamin Hebert 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.4% 0.27%
104 MAS Gavin Green 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.39% 0.25%
105 ENG Callum Tarren 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.33% 0.19%
106 GER Yannik Paul 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 866/1 0.61% 0.49%
107 SWE Jens Dantorp 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 866/1 0.48% 0.36%
108 IRL Conor Purcell 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 866/1 0.46% 0.35%
109 GER Jannik De Bruyn 600 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 866/1 0.29% 0.17%
110 FRA Alexander Levy 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 866/1 0.29% 0.17%
111 ENG Ross Fisher 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 866/1 0.24% 0.12%
112 Luis MASAVEU 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 866/1 0.14% 0.03%
113 USA Ryggs Johnston 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1083/1 0.41% 0.31%
114 RSA Dylan Frittelli 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1083/1 0.4% 0.3%
115 USA Brandon Wu 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1083/1 0.33% 0.24%
116 SWE Simon Forsstrom 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1083/1 0.25% 0.15%
117 ESP Santiago Tarrio 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1083/1 0.1% 0.01%
118 RSA Dylan Naidoo 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1443/1 0.58% 0.51%
119 ESP Joel Moscatel Nachshon 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1443/1 0.34% 0.28%
120 RSA Thomas Aiken 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1443/1 0.31% 0.24%
121 AUT Matthias Schwab 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1443/1 0.19% 0.12%
122 USA Harrison Endycott 1000 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1443/1 0.09% 0.02%
123 IND Shubhankar Sharma 1250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1804/1 0.33% 0.27%
124 ENG Matthew Baldwin 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2165/1 0.33% 0.29%
125 ENG Dale Whitnell 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.03% ≈ 2887/1 0.25% 0.21%
126 USA Jordan Gumberg 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3608/1 0.22% 0.19%
127 GER Alexander Knappe 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4330/1 0.08% 0.06%
128 USA Martin Trainer 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7216/1 0.1% 0.09%
129 MAS C. M. Chong 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7216/1 0% -0.01%
130 ESP Juan Salama 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7216/1 0% -0.01%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 47.3% 30.4%
2 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 32.1%
3 Coral 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 32.1%
4 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 49.2% 32.1%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 51.6% 34.2%
6 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 49.1% 34.4%
7 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 49.1% 34.4%
8 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.3% 36.2%
9 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 51.3% 36.2%
10 BoyleSports 10 @ 1/5 104% 36.4%
11 Unibet 1 @ 1/1 37.6% 37.6%
12 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 57.2% 41.6%
13 Virgin Bet 6 @ 1/5 57.2% 41.6%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.3% 41.7%
15 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 58% 42.3%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 60.1% 44.2%
17 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 60.8% 44.9%
18 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 57.7% 57.7%