Betting Market Analysis for Australian PGA Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 7 months ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 3.18% -1.62%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 2.29% -1.93%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 1.75% -2.48%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 2.41% -1.36%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 1.59% -2.17%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 2.91% 0.07%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 2.79% -0.04%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 0.24% -2.59%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.21% -0.37%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 1.61% -0.98%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 1.35% -1.09%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 3.34% 1.21%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 2.07% -0.06%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 0.92% -1.21%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 0.48% -1.66%
16 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 1.9% ≈ 52/1 1.19% -0.71%
17 NZL Kazuma Kobori 90 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 1.9% ≈ 52/1 1.08% -0.82%
18 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 100 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 1.71% ≈ 57/1 1.11% -0.6%
19 KOR Minkyu Kim 125 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 1.37% ≈ 72/1 2.54% 1.17%
20 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 1.37% ≈ 72/1 2.3% 0.92%
21 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 1.37% ≈ 72/1 1.89% 0.52%
22 ENG Marco Penge 125 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.79% 1.37% ≈ 72/1 1.37% 0%
23 ENG Matthew Southgate 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.89% 0.74%
24 POR Ricardo Gouveia 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.39% 0.25%
25 ENG Jack Senior 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.25% 0.1%
26 ITA Filippo Celli 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.02% -0.12%
27 NZL Nick Voke 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 0.43% -0.72%
28 DEN Jacob Skov Olesen 150 (Ladbrokes: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 0.38% -0.77%
29 USA Ryggs Johnston 150 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 0.28% -0.87%
30 AUS Aldrich Potgieter 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 1.25% 0.27%
31 AUT Lukas Nemecz 175 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 1.15% 0.17%
32 NOR Andreas Halvorsen 175 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.94% -0.04%
33 AUS Cameron John 175 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.32% -0.66%
34 RSA Justin Harding 175 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.28% -0.7%
35 CHI Cristobal Del Solar 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 2.71% 1.84%
36 ESP Joel Moscatel Nachshon 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.78% 0.92%
37 KOR Inhoi Hur 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.7% 0.84%
38 GER Jannik De Bruyn 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.29% 0.42%
39 SWE Bjorn Akesson 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.26% 0.39%
40 FRA Pierre Pineau 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.02% 0.16%
41 CHN Wu Ashun 200 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.92% 0.06%
42 AUS Jack Buchanan 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.52% -0.35%
43 Phoenix Campbell 225 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.77% ≈ 130/1 0.43% -0.33%
44 AUS Haydn Barron 225 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.77% ≈ 130/1 0.35% -0.42%
45 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.75% 1.06%
46 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.73% 1.04%
47 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.42% 0.73%
48 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.29% 0.6%
49 ESP Manuel Elvira 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.28% 0.59%
50 SUI Joel Girrbach 250 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.27% 0.58%
51 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.91% 0.22%
52 SWE Jens Fahrbring 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.9% 0.21%
53 Sam Jones 250 (Ladbrokes: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.64% -0.05%
54 AUS Daniel Gale 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.44% -0.25%
55 AUS Brett Coletta 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.42% -0.27%
56 ENG James Morrison 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 1.19% 0.61%
57 RSA Louis Albertse 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.95% 0.38%
58 ITA Renato Paratore 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.76% 0.18%
59 AUS Hayden Hopewell 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.55% -0.02%
60 NZL Josh Geary 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.25% -0.32%
61 AUS Brett Drewitt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.49% ≈ 202/1 0.56% 0.07%
62 USA Jordan Gumberg 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.43% ≈ 231/1 1.22% 0.79%
63 USA Gunner Wiebe 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.43% ≈ 231/1 0.93% 0.5%
64 Alexander George Frances 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.43% ≈ 231/1 0.59% 0.16%
65 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 1.36% 1.02%
66 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.76% 0.41%
67 Jak Carter 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.39% 0.05%
68 AUS Matias Sanchez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.24% -0.1%
69 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.3% 0.01%
70 DEN Jonathan Goth-Rasmussen 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 1.08% 0.85%
71 AUS Todd Sinnott 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.38% 0.15%
72 AUS Jordan Zunic 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.32% 0.09%
73 AUS Brett Rankin 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.28% 0.05%
74 AUS Adam Bland 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.28% 0.04%
75 AUS Nathan Barbieri 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.25% 0.02%
76 AUS Andrew Campbell 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0% -0.23%
77 Ryan Ang 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0% -0.23%
78 BRA Fred Biondi 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.61% 0.43%
79 IRL Gary Hurley 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.52% 0.35%
80 AUS Anthony Quayle 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.43% 0.25%
81 AUS Blake Windred 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.36% 0.19%
82 AUS Josh Younger 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.36% 0.19%
83 AUS Tom Power Horan 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.32% 0.14%
84 AUS Matthew Griffin 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.31% 0.14%
85 AUS Josh Armstrong 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.29% 0.12%
86 AUS Andrew Martin 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.29% 0.12%
87 USA Corey Shaun 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.29% 0.12%
88 AUS James Marchesani 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.29% 0.11%
89 AUS Matthew Millar 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.28% 0.11%
90 AUS Harrison Crowe 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.28% 0.11%
91 AUS Kade McBride 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.27% 0.1%
92 AUS Ben Eccles 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.25% 0.08%
93 AUS Jake McLeod 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.25% 0.08%
94 AUS Connor McKinney 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.25% 0.07%
95 AUS Andrew Kelly 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.23% 0.06%
96 AUS Cory Crawford 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.21% 0.04%
97 NZL Denzel Ieremia 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.2% 0.03%
98 AUS Michael Wright 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.2% 0.02%
99 AUS Rod Pampling 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.1% -0.08%
100 AUS Blake Proverbs 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.07% -0.1%
101 AUS Brett Rumford 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.07% -0.11%
102 AUS Corey Lamb 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0% -0.17%
103 AUS Kyle Michel 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0% -0.17%
104 Kerry Mountcastle 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0% -0.17%
105 Joshua Greer 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0% -0.17%
106 AUS Aaron Pike 1250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.31% 0.17%
107 AUS Lawry Flynn 1250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.29% 0.15%
108 AUS Tim Hart 1250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.14% ≈ 722/1 0.27% 0.14%
109 AUS Samuel Eaves 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.12% ≈ 866/1 0.16% 0.04%
110 AUS Gavin Fairfax 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.12% ≈ 866/1 0.16% 0.04%
111 AUS Lincoln Tighe 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.12% ≈ 866/1 0.11% 0%
112 AUS Christopher Wood 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.09% ≈ 1155/1 0.3% 0.21%
113 AUS Jack Munro 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.09% ≈ 1155/1 0.15% 0.07%
114 AUS Ryan Peake 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.09% ≈ 1155/1 0% -0.09%
115 AUS Simon Hawkes 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.07% ≈ 1444/1 0.14% 0.07%
116 Darcy Brereton 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.07% ≈ 1444/1 0% -0.07%
117 Lachlan Barker 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.07% ≈ 1444/1 0% -0.07%
118 AUS James Gibellini 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.06% ≈ 1733/1 0% -0.06%
119 USA Tyler Duncan 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.04% ≈ 2311/1 2.18% 2.14%
120 AUS Jay Mackenzie 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.04% ≈ 2311/1 0.28% 0.24%
121 AUS John Senden 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.04% ≈ 2311/1 0.1% 0.06%
122 AUS Louis Dobbelaar 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.03% ≈ 2889/1 0.31% 0.27%
123 AUS Ben Wharton 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.03% ≈ 2889/1 0.29% 0.25%
124 AUS Austin Bautista 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.03% ≈ 2889/1 0.29% 0.25%
125 AUS Peter Lonard 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.03% ≈ 2889/1 0.06% 0.03%
126 James Mee 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.03% ≈ 2889/1 0% -0.03%
127 AUS Jason Day 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
128 AUS Marc Leishman 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
129 AUS Cameron Smith 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
130 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
131 BRA Rafael Becker 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
132 AUS Steven Conran 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
133 ENG Jordan L Smith 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
134 USA Chris Crabtree 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
135 AUS Cameron Davis 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
136 AUS Lucas Herbert 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
137 FRA Victor Perez 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
138 AUS Minwoo Lee 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
139 GER Yannik Paul 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
140 ENG Jamie Rutherford 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
141 AUS Matt Docking 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
142 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
143 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
144 AUS Quinnton Croker 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
145 AUS Jordan Doull 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
146 AUS William Bruyeres 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
147 AUS Siddharth Nadimpalli 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
148 AUS Tyler Duncan(Oct2001) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
149 NZL James Hydes 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
150 AUS Daniel List 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
151 AUS Adam Brady 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
152 AUS Charlie Robbins 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
153 AUS Nathan Page 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
154 AUS Wil DAIBARRA 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
155 NZL Tyler Wood 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
156 AUS Max Charles 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
157 AUS Bradley Kivimets 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: -43.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -50.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.1% 29.3%
2 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 71.1% 31.3%
3 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 50.1% 32.8%
4 VBet 6 @ 1/5 48.9% 34.2%
5 Ladbrokes 6 @ 1/5 49% 34.3%
6 Coral 6 @ 1/5 49% 34.3%
7 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 50.3% 35.6%
8 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 53% 37.9%
9 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.5% 39.3%
10 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 54.5% 39.3%
11 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 54.5% 39.3%
12 PricedUp 6 @ 1/5 54.7% 39.5%
13 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 55.2% 39.9%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 58.5% 42.8%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 59.1% 43.5%
16 AK Bets 5 @ 1/5 45.8% 44.1%
17 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 63.1% 44.4%
18 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 60.2% 44.5%
19 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 61.8% 45.8%
20 Betway 6 @ 1/5 63.9% 47.8%