Betting Market Analysis for Ras Al Khaimah Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one year ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 2.45% -3.88%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 2.19% -2.33%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 2.16% -1.97%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 1.78% -1.87%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 1.92% -1.47%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 1.9% -0.98%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 1.07% -1.72%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.33% -0.99%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.13% -1.19%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 51/1 0.97% -0.97%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 1.63% -0.23%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 1.45% -0.41%
13 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 50 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.86% ≈ 53/1 0.97% -0.89%
14 CHN Shao Yong-liang 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.86% ≈ 53/1 0.23% -1.63%
15 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.76% ≈ 56/1 1.69% -0.07%
16 FRA Julien Guerrier 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.48% ≈ 66/1 1.16% -0.33%
17 ENG Dan Bradbury 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.48% ≈ 66/1 0.96% -0.53%
18 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.48% ≈ 66/1 0.88% -0.6%
19 USA Sean Crocker 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.42% ≈ 70/1 1.19% -0.23%
20 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 70 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 1.73% 0.4%
21 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 0.98% -0.31%
22 SCO Grant Forrest 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.22% ≈ 81/1 1.25% 0.03%
23 RSA Louis de Jager 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 0.89% -0.28%
24 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 80 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 0.7% -0.47%
25 SCO Ewen Ferguson 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.14% ≈ 86/1 2.25% 1.1%
26 SCO Connor Syme 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.14% ≈ 86/1 1.67% 0.53%
27 ESP Adrian Otaegui 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.14% ≈ 86/1 1.48% 0.33%
28 GER Marcel Siem 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.14% ≈ 86/1 0.86% -0.28%
29 ESP Jorge Campillo 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 1.56% 0.48%
30 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 0.79% -0.29%
31 ENG Callum Shinkwin 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 1.39% 0.35%
32 ENG Nathan Kimsey 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.61% 0.59%
33 FRA Frederic LaCroix 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 0.8% -0.22%
34 SCO Calum Hill 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.78% 0.81%
35 NZL Daniel Hillier 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.66% -0.31%
36 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.48% 0.54%
37 CAN Aaron Cockerill 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.06% 0.12%
38 ENG Marco Penge 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.85% -0.09%
39 USA Johannes Veerman 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.77% -0.18%
40 SWE Jesper Svensson 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.23% -0.71%
41 ITA Guido Migliozzi 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 0.64% -0.24%
42 DEN Jeff Winther 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.8% ≈ 123/1 1.05% 0.25%
43 ENG Paul Waring 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.8% ≈ 123/1 0.66% -0.15%
44 SCO Scott Jamieson 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.8% ≈ 123/1 0.56% -0.25%
45 SCO David Law 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.9% 0.15%
46 ENG Matthew Jordan 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.35% -0.4%
47 ENG Ross Fisher 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.69% ≈ 143/1 0.5% -0.19%
48 AUS Jason Scrivener 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.65% ≈ 154/1 1.37% 0.73%
49 ESP Adria Arnaus 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.65% ≈ 154/1 0.76% 0.11%
50 IRL Padraig Harrington 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.65% ≈ 154/1 0.53% -0.12%
51 ESP Manuel Elvira 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 0.65% 0.02%
52 SCO Richie Ramsay 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.6% ≈ 164/1 1.1% 0.5%
53 AUS David Micheluzzi 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.57% ≈ 175/1 0.69% 0.12%
54 MAS Gavin Green 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.57% ≈ 175/1 0.47% -0.09%
55 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.64% 0.1%
56 ENG Daniel A Brown 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 1.61% 1.09%
57 ENG Andy Sullivan 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.94% 0.43%
58 FRA Adrien Saddier 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.74% 0.23%
59 GER Nick Bachem 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.56% 0.05%
60 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.48% ≈ 205/1 1.15% 0.67%
61 IND Shubhankar Sharma 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.48% ≈ 205/1 0.72% 0.24%
62 GER Hurly Long 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.88% 0.41%
63 NED Daan Huizing 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.85% 0.38%
64 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.7% 0.23%
65 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.45% -0.03%
66 GER Marcel Schneider 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.44% ≈ 226/1 0.63% 0.19%
67 ENG Marcus Armitage 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.44% ≈ 226/1 0.4% -0.04%
68 ENG Matthew Southgate 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 0.71% 0.29%
69 AUT Lukas Nemecz 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.42% ≈ 237/1 0.46% 0.04%
70 GER Maximilian Kieffer 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.4% ≈ 246/1 0.41% 0.01%
71 RSA Casey Jarvis 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.67% 0.3%
72 ENG Tom Lewis 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.25% -0.12%
73 AUT Matthias Schwab 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.83% 0.49%
74 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.53% 0.19%
75 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 275 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.66% 0.31%
76 ENG Eddie Pepperell 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.33% ≈ 298/1 1.07% 0.73%
77 ESP Nacho Elvira 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.33% ≈ 298/1 0.8% 0.47%
78 ENG Matthew Baldwin 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.33% ≈ 298/1 0.72% 0.39%
79 ITA Andrea Pavan 300 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.68% 0.36%
80 ITA Francesco Laporta 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.4% 0.09%
81 ENG Dale Whitnell 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.35% 0.03%
82 FRA Tom Vaillant 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.34% 0.02%
83 FRA Julien Brun 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 1.17% 0.86%
84 SWE Marcus Kinhult 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.39% 0.08%
85 RSA Brandon Stone 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.3% ≈ 330/1 0.28% -0.03%
86 FRA Ugo Coussaud 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.45% 0.17%
87 ENG Todd Clements 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.26% ≈ 391/1 0.9% 0.64%
88 ENG Sam Bairstow 381 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.7/1) 0.26% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.92% 0.67%
89 FRA Clement Sordet 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.24% ≈ 421/1 0.94% 0.7%
90 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.24% ≈ 421/1 0.63% 0.39%
91 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.24% ≈ 421/1 0.43% 0.2%
92 WAL Jamie Donaldson 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.24% ≈ 421/1 0.43% 0.19%
93 ESP Santiago Tarrio 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.24% ≈ 421/1 0.23% -0.01%
94 RSA Darren Fichardt 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.21% ≈ 474/1 0.68% 0.47%
95 CHN Wu Ashun 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.21% ≈ 474/1 0.6% 0.39%
96 SWE Simon Forsstrom 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.21% ≈ 474/1 0.42% 0.21%
97 ENG James Morrison 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.19% ≈ 527/1 0.76% 0.57%
98 Sam Jones 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.19% ≈ 527/1 0.4% 0.21%
99 POR Ricardo Gouveia 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.19% ≈ 527/1 0.27% 0.08%
100 ITA Matteo Manassero 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.16% ≈ 639/1 0.63% 0.48%
101 KOR Sunghoon Kang 665 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.2/1) 0.15% 0.14% ≈ 700/1 0.35% 0.21%
102 SWE Jens Dantorp 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.14% ≈ 721/1 0.67% 0.53%
103 USA Chase Hanna 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.13% ≈ 790/1 0.41% 0.28%
104 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.13% ≈ 790/1 0.39% 0.26%
105 SCO Stephen Gallacher 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.13% ≈ 790/1 0.37% 0.25%
106 RSA Ockie Strydom 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.13% ≈ 790/1 0.29% 0.17%
107 ITA Filippo Celli 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.12% ≈ 825/1 0.25% 0.13%
108 ENG Oliver Wilson 920 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 100.4/1) 0.11% 0.1% ≈ 969/1 0.35% 0.25%
109 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.1% ≈ 1031/1 0.45% 0.35%
110 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.1% ≈ 1031/1 0.26% 0.16%
111 DEN Sebastian Friedrichsen 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.1% ≈ 1031/1 0.25% 0.15%
112 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.1% ≈ 1031/1 0.24% 0.14%
113 SWE Adam Blomme 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.1% ≈ 1031/1 0.23% 0.13%
114 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1053/1 0.49% 0.4%
115 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1053/1 0.39% 0.29%
116 ENG Daniel Gavins 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1053/1 0.34% 0.25%
117 ENG Will Enefer 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1053/1 0.32% 0.22%
118 NOR Espen Kofstad 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1053/1 0.3% 0.21%
119 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1053/1 0.24% 0.15%
120 IND Om Prakash Chouhan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1053/1 0.23% 0.14%
121 Matthis Besard 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.05% ≈ 2106/1 0.33% 0.28%
122 WAL Stuart Manley 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.05% ≈ 2106/1 0.27% 0.22%
123 USA Gunner Wiebe 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2633/1 0.38% 0.34%
124 SUI Joel Girrbach 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2633/1 0.26% 0.22%
125 CHN Chen Guxin 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2633/1 0.23% 0.19%
126 JPN Toru Nakajima 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
127 ENG Joshua Grenville-Wood 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
128 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 2.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 5.4% 7.4%
2 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 68.1% 27.8%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 46.2% 28.7%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 29.8%
5 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 47.9% 30.2%
6 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 48.4% 30.6%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.1% 30.8%
8 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 59.7% 31.3%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 59.7% 31.3%
10 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 60.3% 31.8%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 33.4%
12 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 50% 34.4%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 35.8%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.6% 35.9%
15 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 52% 36.2%
16 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 52% 36.2%
17 VBet 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 36.5%
18 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 37.8%
19 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 37.8%
20 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 67.9% 38.1%
21 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 67.9% 38.1%
22 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.4%
23 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.4%
24 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.4%