Betting Market Analysis for Golf in Dubai Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 4.19% 1.12%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 3.35% -1.35%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 3.23% -2.1%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 3.17% -0.3%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 2.56% -2.77%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 2.52% 0.17%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 2.44% -3.71%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 313/1 2.27% 1.95%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 2.23% 0.28%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 2.03% -0.32%
11 ENG Callum Shinkwin 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.95% ≈ 50/1 2% 0.05%
12 ENG Andrew Wilson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 626/1 1.95% 1.79%
13 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 1.82% 0.25%
14 ITA Renato Paratore 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.75% 0.55%
15 ENG Robert Rock 66 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.74% 0.55%
16 ENG David Horsey 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% ≈ 125/1 1.67% 0.88%
17 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.35% ≈ 42/1 1.63% -0.72%
18 BEL Thomas Detry 16 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.7% ≈ 20/1 1.6% -3.1%
19 ENG Danny Willett 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.35% ≈ 42/1 1.55% -0.8%
20 SCO Marc Warren 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 1.55% 1.02%
21 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 1.48% 0.5%
22 SWE Joakim Lagergren 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 1.44% 0.56%
23 SWE Marcus Kinhult 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 1.29% -0.02%
24 NED Wil Besseling 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 1.27% -0.3%
25 ENG Jordan L Smith 60 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 1.26% -0.05%
26 FIN Kalle Samooja 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.26% 0.06%
27 ENG Eddie Pepperell 45 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.74% ≈ 57/1 1.24% -0.5%
28 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.21% ≈ 23/1 1.19% -3.01%
29 SCO Craig Howie 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 438/1 1.18% 0.95%
30 FRA Antoine Rozner 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 1.09% -0.22%
31 THA Jazz Janewattananond 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.08% -0.11%
32 ENG Sam Horsfield 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 1.06% -0.51%
33 ENG Steven Brown 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.5% ≈ 200/1 1.01% 0.52%
34 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 1.01% 0.48%
35 AUS Scott Hend 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 376/1 0.98% 0.71%
36 ESP Jorge Campillo 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.97% -0.02%
37 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.96% 0.24%
38 ENG Matthew Jordan 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 0.94% -0.62%
39 FRA Alexander Levy 50 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 0.92% -0.65%
40 SWE Oscar Lengden 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.5% ≈ 200/1 0.89% 0.4%
41 SWE Alexander Bjork 60 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 0.87% -0.44%
42 MAS Gavin Green 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.43% ≈ 69/1 0.87% -0.56%
43 SCO Grant Forrest 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.5% ≈ 200/1 0.86% 0.37%
44 ENG David Coupland 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.84% 0.52%
45 GER Sebastian Heisele 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% ≈ 125/1 0.82% 0.02%
46 SWE Niklas Lemke 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 0.82% 0.18%
47 FRA Joel Stalter 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 438/1 0.81% 0.58%
48 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 438/1 0.79% 0.56%
49 SCO Ewen Ferguson 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 251/1 0.78% 0.38%
50 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1252/1 0.78% 0.7%
51 ENG James Morrison 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 0.78% 0.14%
52 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 626/1 0.76% 0.6%
53 SWE Rikard Karlberg 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.73% 0.41%
54 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 626/1 0.71% 0.55%
55 SWE Jens Fahrbring 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 501/1 0.71% 0.51%
56 FRA Benjamin Hebert 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% ≈ 88/1 0.71% -0.42%
57 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 251/1 0.7% 0.3%
58 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 0.68% -0.63%
59 GER Bernd Ritthammer 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 282/1 0.68% 0.33%
60 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.67% -0.32%
61 CHN Li Haotong 66 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 0.63% -0.56%
62 ENG Jack Senior 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 282/1 0.62% 0.26%
63 ENG Paul Waring 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 0.61% -0.58%
64 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.61% -0.38%
65 GER Marcel Schneider 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.61% 0.29%
66 ITA Guido Migliozzi 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.6% -0.38%
67 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.6% 0.28%
68 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.58% 0.26%
69 FRA Romain Wattel 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 251/1 0.58% 0.18%
70 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1252/1 0.56% 0.48%
71 GER Hurly Long 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 438/1 0.56% 0.33%
72 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 0.56% 0.03%
73 SCO Liam Johnston 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 751/1 0.55% 0.41%
74 ENG Oliver Fisher 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 438/1 0.52% 0.29%
75 ENG Matthew Baldwin 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 251/1 0.51% 0.12%
76 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.45% 0.13%
77 ENG Steven Tiley 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 751/1 0.45% 0.31%
78 ITA Francesco Laporta 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.41% 0.09%
79 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.38% 0.06%
80 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 626/1 0.37% 0.21%
81 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 626/1 0.35% 0.19%
82 FRA Damien Perrier 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 438/1 0.34% 0.12%
83 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1877/1 0.32% 0.26%
84 SCO Daniel Young 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1252/1 0.32% 0.24%
85 ESP Pedro Oriol 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 438/1 0.31% 0.09%
86 ITA Nino Bertasio 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 438/1 0.31% 0.08%
87 ENG Chris Wood 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.3% -0.02%
88 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 626/1 0.29% 0.13%
89 GER Max Schmitt 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 751/1 0.29% 0.15%
90 FRA Gary Stal 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1252/1 0.28% 0.2%
91 IRL Gavin Moynihan 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 939/1 0.28% 0.17%
92 IND Shiv Kapur 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 626/1 0.27% 0.11%
93 SCO Euan Walker 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1252/1 0.26% 0.18%
94 EGY Issa Abou El Ela 3000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3755/1 0.25% 0.23%
95 UAE Ahmed Skaik 3000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3755/1 0.25% 0.23%
96 DEN John Axelsen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 626/1 0.25% 0.09%
97 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 251/1 0.25% -0.14%
98 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.25% -0.07%
99 ENG Daniel Gavins 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 751/1 0.25% 0.12%
100 IRL Niall Kearney 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 751/1 0.23% 0.1%
101 SWE Robin Petersson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 626/1 0.23% 0.08%
102 SCO Stephen Gallacher 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 376/1 0.23% -0.04%
103 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
104 MAS Nicholas Fung 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
105 RSA Mathiam KEYSER 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
106 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
107 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 22.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 30.4% 16.3%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 40.4% 17.7%
3 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 40.4% 17.7%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 53.2% 18.8%
5 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 37.9% 25.7%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 42.3% 26.9%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 40.2% 27.9%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 41.3% 28.9%
9 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 45.2% 29.5%
10 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 45.2% 29.5%
11 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 45.2% 29.5%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.5% 29.8%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 43.9% 31.2%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 43.9% 31.2%
15 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 45.3% 32.5%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 46.1% 33.2%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 47.3% 34.4%