Betting Market Analysis for Cyprus Open
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 3 years ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 19/1 | 4.67% | -0.25% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 34/1 | 1.59% | -1.25% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 34/1 | 1.28% | -1.56% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 34/1 | 1.16% | -1.68% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 38/1 | 2.08% | -0.47% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 41/1 | 2.25% | -0.13% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 41/1 | 0.87% | -1.51% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 45/1 | 3.72% | 1.55% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 45/1 | 1.32% | -0.85% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 45/1 | 1.16% | -1.02% | |
| 11 |
| Robert MacIntyre | 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.94% | 2.17% ≈ 45/1 | 1.05% | -1.12% | |
| 12 |
| Gavin Green | 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.94% | 2.17% ≈ 45/1 | 0.56% | -1.61% | |
| 13 |
| Jordan L Smith | 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 2.78% | 2.05% ≈ 48/1 | 1.76% | -0.29% | |
| 14 |
| Garrick Higgo | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.8% ≈ 55/1 | 3.02% | 1.22% | |
| 15 |
| Matthew Jordan | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.8% ≈ 55/1 | 1.85% | 0.05% | |
| 16 |
| Li Haotong | 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.8% ≈ 55/1 | 1.56% | -0.24% | |
| 17 |
| Joakim Lagergren | 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.8% ≈ 55/1 | 1.48% | -0.32% | |
| 18 |
| Wilco Nienaber | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.8% ≈ 55/1 | 1.34% | -0.46% | |
| 19 |
| Nicolas Colsaerts | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.8% ≈ 55/1 | 1.2% | -0.6% | |
| 20 |
| Marcus Armitage | 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.6% ≈ 61/1 | 1.7% | 0.1% | |
| 21 |
| Romain Langasque | 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.6% ≈ 61/1 | 1.64% | 0.03% | |
| 22 |
| Matthew Southgate | 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.6% ≈ 61/1 | 1.44% | -0.16% | |
| 23 |
| Benjamin Hebert | 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.6% ≈ 61/1 | 0.94% | -0.66% | |
| 24 |
| Paul Waring | 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.6% ≈ 61/1 | 0.55% | -1.06% | |
| 25 |
| Wil Besseling | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.32% ≈ 75/1 | 1.72% | 0.4% | |
| 26 |
| Connor Syme | 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.32% ≈ 75/1 | 1.22% | -0.1% | |
| 27 |
| Jorge Campillo | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.21% ≈ 82/1 | 1.6% | 0.39% | |
| 28 |
| David Horsey | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.21% ≈ 82/1 | 1.55% | 0.34% | |
| 29 |
| Sebastian Heisele | 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 1.48% | 0.38% | |
| 30 |
| Johannes Veerman | 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 1.22% | 0.12% | |
| 31 |
| Alexander Bjork | 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 1.08% | -0.02% | |
| 32 |
| Chris Paisley | 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 1.01% | -0.09% | |
| 33 |
| Shubhankar Sharma | 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 0.85% | -0.25% | |
| 34 |
| Pablo Larrazabal | 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 0.72% | -0.38% | |
| 35 |
| Ross Fisher | 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 0.62% | -0.48% | |
| 36 |
| Richie Ramsay | 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 0.6% | -0.5% | |
| 37 |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 0.59% | -0.52% | |
| 38 |
| Mikko Korhonen | 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 0.47% | -0.63% | |
| 39 |
| Masahiro Kawamura | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.04% ≈ 95/1 | 1.29% | 0.25% | |
| 40 |
| Sebastian Soderberg | 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.32% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 0.97% | 0% | |
| 41 |
| Jamie Donaldson | 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.32% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 0.92% | -0.05% | |
| 42 |
| Kalle Samooja | 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.32% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 0.64% | -0.33% | |
| 43 |
| Ben Stow | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 1.29% | 0.37% | |
| 44 |
| Calum Hill | 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 0.92% | 0.01% | |
| 45 |
| Grant Forrest | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 0.82% | -0.09% | |
| 46 |
| Adrian Meronk | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 0.68% | -0.23% | |
| 47 |
| Jonathan Caldwell | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.81% ≈ 122/1 | 1.67% | 0.86% | |
| 48 |
| Matthieu Pavon | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.81% ≈ 122/1 | 1.13% | 0.31% | |
| 49 |
| Jason Scrivener | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.81% ≈ 122/1 | 1.05% | 0.24% | |
| 50 |
| Alexander Levy | 95 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.04% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 0.67% | -0.1% | |
| 51 |
| Maverick Antcliff | 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.73% ≈ 136/1 | 1.29% | 0.56% | |
| 52 |
| Adrien Saddier | 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.73% ≈ 136/1 | 1.09% | 0.36% | |
| 53 |
| Richard Bland | 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.73% ≈ 136/1 | 1.06% | 0.33% | |
| 54 |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.73% ≈ 136/1 | 0.88% | 0.15% | |
| 55 |
| Louis de Jager | 100 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.73% ≈ 136/1 | 0.86% | 0.13% | |
| 56 |
| Jack Senior | 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.73% ≈ 136/1 | 0.68% | -0.05% | |
| 57 |
| Rikard Karlberg | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.66% ≈ 149/1 | 0.77% | 0.11% | |
| 58 |
| Steven Brown | 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 170/1 | 1.32% | 0.73% | |
| 59 |
| Bryce Easton | 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 170/1 | 0.86% | 0.28% | |
| 60 |
| Ewen Ferguson | 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 170/1 | 0.76% | 0.17% | |
| 61 |
| Callum Shinkwin | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 170/1 | 0.7% | 0.11% | |
| 62 |
| Julian Suri | 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 170/1 | 0.48% | -0.11% | |
| 63 |
| Jeff Winther | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.66% | 0.14% | |
| 64 |
| Scott Vincent | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.53% | 0.01% | |
| 65 |
| Nacho Elvira | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 204/1 | 0.79% | 0.3% | |
| 66 |
| Lorenzo Gagli | 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 204/1 | 0.71% | 0.22% | |
| 67 |
| James Morrison | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 204/1 | 0.62% | 0.13% | |
| 68 |
| Oliver Farr | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.46% ≈ 217/1 | 1.02% | 0.56% | |
| 69 |
| Maximilian Kieffer | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.46% ≈ 217/1 | 0.71% | 0.25% | |
| 70 |
| Dale Whitnell | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 237/1 | 1.03% | 0.62% | |
| 71 |
| Garrick Porteous | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 237/1 | 0.71% | 0.29% | |
| 72 |
| Clement Sordet | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 237/1 | 0.69% | 0.27% | |
| 73 |
| Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano | 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 237/1 | 0.68% | 0.26% | |
| 74 |
| Joel Sjoholm | 175 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 237/1 | 0.53% | 0.11% | |
| 75 |
| Aaron Cockerill | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 237/1 | 0.5% | 0.08% | |
| 76 |
| Tapio Pulkkanen | 175 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 237/1 | 0.49% | 0.07% | |
| 77 |
| Niklas Lemke | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 237/1 | 0.42% | 0% | |
| 78 |
| Toby Tree | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 237/1 | 0.27% | -0.15% | |
| 79 |
| David Coupland | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 271/1 | 0.74% | 0.37% | |
| 80 |
| Wu Ashun | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 271/1 | 0.65% | 0.28% | |
| 81 |
| Robin Sciot-Siegrist | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 271/1 | 0.39% | 0.03% | |
| 82 |
| Joel Stalter | 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.44% | 0.33% ≈ 305/1 | 0.7% | 0.38% | |
| 83 |
| Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 339/1 | 1.22% | 0.93% | |
| 84 |
| Damien Perrier | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 339/1 | 0.69% | 0.4% | |
| 85 |
| Alejandro Canizares | 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 339/1 | 0.29% | -0.01% | |
| 86 |
| Bernd Ritthammer | 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.36% | 0.27% ≈ 373/1 | 0.87% | 0.6% | |
| 87 |
| Lars Van Meijel | 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.36% | 0.27% ≈ 373/1 | 0.28% | 0.01% | |
| 88 |
| Robin Roussel | 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.25% ≈ 407/1 | 0.36% | 0.12% | |
| 89 |
| Alvaro Quiros | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.21% ≈ 475/1 | 0.47% | 0.26% | |
| 90 |
| Cormac Sharvin | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.21% ≈ 475/1 | 0.32% | 0.11% | |
| 91 |
| Pedro Figueiredo | 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 542/1 | 0.51% | 0.33% | |
| 92 |
| Ricardo Santos | 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 542/1 | 0.4% | 0.22% | |
| 93 |
| Gregory Havret | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 542/1 | 0.31% | 0.12% | |
| 94 |
| Will Enefer | 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 542/1 | 0.29% | 0.11% | |
| 95 |
| Mitch Waite | 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 542/1 | 0.29% | 0.1% | |
| 96 |
| Carlos Pigem | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 678/1 | 0.67% | 0.52% | |
| 97 |
| David Drysdale | 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 678/1 | 0.49% | 0.34% | |
| 98 |
| Richard McEvoy | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 678/1 | 0.35% | 0.2% | |
| 99 |
| Oliver Wilson | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 678/1 | 0.33% | 0.19% | |
| 100 |
| Haydn Porteous | 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 678/1 | 0.29% | 0.15% | |
| 101 |
| Jack Harrison | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 678/1 | 0.29% | 0.14% | |
| 102 |
| David Howell | 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.12% | 0.09% ≈ 1084/1 | 0.38% | 0.28% | |
| 103 |
| Michael Campbell | 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1355/1 | 0.36% | 0.29% | |
| 104 |
| S.S.P. Chawrasia | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 105 |
| Yikeun Chang | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 35.1 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.7 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 40% | 24.8% |
| 2 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.1% | 31.1% |
| 3 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 59.6% | 33.6% |
| 4 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 59.8% | 33.8% |
| 5 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 60% | 33.9% |
| 6 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 47.4% | 34.3% |
| 7 | Bet Victor | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.8% | 35.3% |
| 8 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 54% | 37.3% |
| 9 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 54% | 37.3% |
| 10 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 54% | 37.3% |
| 11 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 54% | 37.3% |
| 12 | GentingBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 51.4% | 38% |
| 13 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 51.7% | 38.2% |
| 14 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.3% | 38.7% |
| 15 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.4% | 43.4% |
| 16 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.4% | 43.4% |
| 17 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.7% | 43.7% |
| 18 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 59.1% | 45% |