Betting Market Analysis for Cyprus Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 19/1 4.67% -0.25%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 3.72% 1.55%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 55/1 3.02% 1.22%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 2.25% -0.13%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.08% -0.47%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 55/1 1.85% 0.05%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.76% -0.29%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 75/1 1.72% 0.4%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 61/1 1.7% 0.1%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 122/1 1.67% 0.86%
11 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% ≈ 61/1 1.64% 0.03%
12 ESP Jorge Campillo 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 1.6% 0.39%
13 BEL Thomas Detry 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.84% ≈ 34/1 1.59% -1.25%
14 CHN Li Haotong 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% ≈ 55/1 1.56% -0.24%
15 ENG David Horsey 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 1.55% 0.34%
16 SWE Joakim Lagergren 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% ≈ 55/1 1.48% -0.32%
17 GER Sebastian Heisele 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.48% 0.38%
18 ENG Matthew Southgate 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% ≈ 61/1 1.44% -0.16%
19 RSA Wilco Nienaber 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.8% ≈ 55/1 1.34% -0.46%
20 USA Sean Crocker 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% ≈ 45/1 1.32% -0.85%
21 ENG Steven Brown 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 1.32% 0.73%
22 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 1.29% 0.25%
23 AUS Maverick Antcliff 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 1.29% 0.56%
24 ENG Ben Stow 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 1.29% 0.37%
25 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.84% ≈ 34/1 1.28% -1.56%
26 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 1.22% 0.93%
27 SCO Connor Syme 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.32% ≈ 75/1 1.22% -0.1%
28 USA Johannes Veerman 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.22% 0.12%
29 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.8% ≈ 55/1 1.2% -0.6%
30 NED Joost Luiten 25 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.84% ≈ 34/1 1.16% -1.68%
31 FRA Antoine Rozner 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% ≈ 45/1 1.16% -1.02%
32 FRA Matthieu Pavon 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% ≈ 122/1 1.13% 0.31%
33 FRA Adrien Saddier 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 1.09% 0.36%
34 SWE Alexander Bjork 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.08% -0.02%
35 ENG Richard Bland 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 1.06% 0.33%
36 SCO Robert MacIntyre 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.17% ≈ 45/1 1.05% -1.12%
37 AUS Jason Scrivener 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% ≈ 122/1 1.05% 0.24%
38 ENG Dale Whitnell 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 237/1 1.03% 0.62%
39 WAL Oliver Farr 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 1.02% 0.56%
40 ENG Chris Paisley 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.01% -0.09%
41 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.97% 0%
42 FRA Benjamin Hebert 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% ≈ 61/1 0.94% -0.66%
43 SCO Calum Hill 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.92% 0.01%
44 WAL Jamie Donaldson 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.92% -0.05%
45 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.88% 0.15%
46 ENG Sam Horsfield 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.38% ≈ 41/1 0.87% -1.51%
47 GER Bernd Ritthammer 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% ≈ 373/1 0.87% 0.6%
48 RSA Bryce Easton 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.86% 0.28%
49 RSA Louis de Jager 100 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.86% 0.13%
50 IND Shubhankar Sharma 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.85% -0.25%
51 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.82% -0.09%
52 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.79% 0.3%
53 SWE Rikard Karlberg 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% ≈ 149/1 0.77% 0.11%
54 SCO Ewen Ferguson 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.76% 0.17%
55 ENG David Coupland 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.74% 0.37%
56 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.72% -0.38%
57 ENG Garrick Porteous 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 237/1 0.71% 0.29%
58 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.71% 0.22%
59 GER Maximilian Kieffer 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 0.71% 0.25%
60 FRA Joel Stalter 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% ≈ 305/1 0.7% 0.38%
61 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.7% 0.11%
62 FRA Damien Perrier 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.69% 0.4%
63 FRA Clement Sordet 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 237/1 0.69% 0.27%
64 POL Adrian Meronk 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.68% -0.23%
65 ENG Jack Senior 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.68% -0.05%
66 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 237/1 0.68% 0.26%
67 FRA Alexander Levy 95 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.04% 0.77% ≈ 129/1 0.67% -0.1%
68 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.67% 0.52%
69 DEN Jeff Winther 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.66% 0.14%
70 CHN Wu Ashun 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.65% 0.28%
71 FIN Kalle Samooja 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.64% -0.33%
72 ENG Ross Fisher 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.62% -0.48%
73 ENG James Morrison 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.62% 0.13%
74 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.6% -0.5%
75 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.59% -0.52%
76 MAS Gavin Green 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.17% ≈ 45/1 0.56% -1.61%
77 ENG Paul Waring 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% ≈ 61/1 0.55% -1.06%
78 ZIM Scott Vincent 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.53% 0.01%
79 SWE Joel Sjoholm 175 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 237/1 0.53% 0.11%
80 POR Pedro Figueiredo 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 542/1 0.51% 0.33%
81 CAN Aaron Cockerill 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 237/1 0.5% 0.08%
82 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 237/1 0.49% 0.07%
83 SCO David Drysdale 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.49% 0.34%
84 USA Julian Suri 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.48% -0.11%
85 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.47% -0.63%
86 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 475/1 0.47% 0.26%
87 SWE Niklas Lemke 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 237/1 0.42% 0%
88 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 542/1 0.4% 0.22%
89 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.39% 0.03%
90 ENG David Howell 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% ≈ 1084/1 0.38% 0.28%
91 FRA Robin Roussel 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.36% 0.12%
92 NZL Michael Campbell 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1355/1 0.36% 0.29%
93 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.35% 0.2%
94 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.33% 0.19%
95 NIR Cormac Sharvin 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 475/1 0.32% 0.11%
96 FRA Gregory Havret 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 542/1 0.31% 0.12%
97 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.29% 0.15%
98 ENG Will Enefer 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 542/1 0.29% 0.11%
99 ENG Jack Harrison 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.29% 0.14%
100 ENG Mitch Waite 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 542/1 0.29% 0.1%
101 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.29% -0.01%
102 NED Lars Van Meijel 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% ≈ 373/1 0.28% 0.01%
103 ENG Toby Tree 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 237/1 0.27% -0.15%
104 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
105 KOR Yikeun Chang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40% 24.8%
2 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.1%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 59.6% 33.6%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 59.8% 33.8%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 60% 33.9%
6 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 47.4% 34.3%
7 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 51.8% 35.3%
8 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 54% 37.3%
9 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 54% 37.3%
10 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 54% 37.3%
11 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 54% 37.3%
12 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 38%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 38.2%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 38.7%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.4% 43.4%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.4% 43.4%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 57.7% 43.7%
18 Betway 6 @ 1/5 59.1% 45%