Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 29.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 250.0

Total Profit: +149.9

Steyn City Championship

17/03/2022 - 20/03/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Adria Arnaus 16 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.48% 2.34% -2.14%
2 RSA Dean Burmester 20 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.7/1) 4.76% 3.63% 1.7% -1.93% 2
3 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.31% 0.97% -2.34% MC
4 RSA George Coetzee 22 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.31% 0.64% -2.67% T25
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 23 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.2/1) 4.17% 3.17% 3.37% 0.19% T16 14.18
6 FRA Romain Langasque 30 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.46% 1.01% -1.45% T8
7 ENG Marcus Armitage 30 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.46% 0.65% -1.81% T40
8 FRA Matthieu Pavon 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% 2.38% 0.14% T48 10.01
9 RSA Oliver Bekker 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% 1.67% -0.57% T3
10 IND Shubhankar Sharma 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% 1.59% -0.65% MC
11 RSA Justin Harding 33 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.24% 0.8% -1.44% MC
12 ENG Laurie Canter 35 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.12% 1.94% -0.18% T57
13 FRA Julien Brun 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 2.05% 0.2% MC 8.3
14 USA Johannes Veerman 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.86% 1.77% -0.09% MC
15 RSA JC Ritchie 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 0.91% -0.94% MC
16 RSA Brandon Stone 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 0.45% -1.4% MC
17 ARG Daniel Vancsik 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 0.22% -1.64%
18 RSA Wilco Nienaber 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.66% 0.93% -0.72% T10
19 ENG Ross Fisher 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.66% 0.78% -0.87% MC
20 RSA Thriston Lawrence 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.78% 0.29% T8 6.68
21 FRA Antoine Rozner 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 0.7% -0.66% T25
22 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 0.66% -0.7%
23 CHN Wu Ashun 56 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.5/1) 1.75% 1.34% 2.34% 1% T25 5.97
24 ENG Daniel Gavins 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 1.42% 0.17% T40 5.58
25 ITA Francesco Laporta 60 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.25% 0.92% -0.33% MC
26 RSA Zander Lombard 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 0.48% -0.77% MC
27 GER Hurly Long 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 2.01% 0.87% T21 5.08
28 RSA Shaun Norris 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 1.68% 0.55% 1 5.08 +214.6
29 RSA Louis de Jager 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 0.81% -0.32% MC
30 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.57% -0.56% T48
31 ESP Santiago Tarrio 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.22% -0.92%
32 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 70 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 1.69% 0.62% T25 4.8
33 SCO Connor Syme 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.07% 0.92% -0.15% T21
34 FRA Julien Guerrier 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1% 1.67% 0.67% MC 4.48
35 THA Jazz Janewattananond 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1% 0.67% -0.33% T16
36 ENG Andy Sullivan 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1% 0.49% -0.51% 72
37 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.17% 0.23% MC 4.21
38 AUS Jason Scrivener 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.36% -0.58% T64
39 USA Sean Crocker 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.61% -0.23% MC
40 NED Joost Luiten 90 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% 0.28% -0.56% T10
41 SCO Richie Ramsay 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.17% 0.41% 3.37
42 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.14% 0.39% T5 (tied w/2) 3.37 +35.4
43 ESP Jorge Campillo 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.03% 0.28% T25 3.37
44 RSA Neil Schietekat 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.93% 0.17% MC 3.37
45 FIN Mikko Korhonen 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.82% 0.07% T10 3.37
46 ESP Nacho Elvira 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.81% 0.06% T48
47 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.32% -0.44% T10
48 RSA Richard Sterne 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.27% -0.48% T60
49 RSA Tristen Strydom 100 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.24% -0.51% MC
50 ITA Edoardo Molinari 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 1.11% 0.42% 71 3.07
51 FIN Kalle Samooja 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 0.77% 0.08% T60 3.07
52 SCO David Law 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 0.63% -0.05% MC
53 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 110 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 0.41% -0.28% MC
54 AUT Lukas Nemecz 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.44% 0.83% T48 2.71
55 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.65% 0.04% T64
56 RSA Jbe Kruger 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.63% 0.03% MC
57 GER Yannik Paul 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.52% -0.09% T37
58 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.25% -0.35% T21
59 RSA Jaco Ahlers 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.22% -0.39% T16
60 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.18% -0.36% T60
61 SCO Ewen Ferguson 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.85% 1.35% T40
62 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.16% 0.66% T48
63 ITA Nino Bertasio 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.79% 0.28% T25
64 FRA Frederic LaCroix 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.69% 0.19% MC
65 SCO Craig Howie 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.67% 0.16% T37
66 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.64% 0.14% MC
67 RSA Keenan Davidse 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.27% -0.24% T48
68 CHI Hugo Leon 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.21% -0.3% T57
69 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 1% 0.57% T10
70 ENG James Morrison 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.72% 0.29% MC
71 WAL Jamie Donaldson 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.44% 0.01% T40
72 NOR Espen Kofstad 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.35% -0.09% T40
73 RSA Bryce Easton 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 1.24% 0.86% MC
74 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 1.08% 0.7% WD
75 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.83% 0.45% T73
76 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.61% 0.23% MC
77 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.76% 0.42% MC
78 ESP Alejandro Canizares 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.6% 0.26% T60
79 RSA Darren Fichardt 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.52% 0.18% MC
80 AUS Maverick Antcliff 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.52% 0.21% T64
81 USA Chase Hanna 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% MC
82 FIN Sami Valimaki 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.31% 0% T16
83 ENG Andrew Wilson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.21% -0.1% MC
84 RSA Jacques Blaauw 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.83% 0.55% T37
85 ENG Steven Brown 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.3% 0.04% MC
86 GER Marcel Schneider 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
87 NED Darius Van Driel 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.2% -0.05% T64
88 RSA Deon Germishuys 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.8% 0.58% MC
89 ENG Chris Wood 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.51% 0.29% MC
90 SCO David Drysdale 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% WD
91 ENG Dale Whitnell 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.25% 0.04% T10
92 NED Daan Huizing 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.23% 0.01% MC
93 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 400 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 1.06% 0.87% T48
94 RSA MJ Viljoen 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.77% 0.58% T73
95 ITA Andrea Pavan 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.26% T40
96 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.25% MC
97 AUS Scott Hend 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% MC
98 RSA Luke Jerling 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
99 RSA Ockie Strydom 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 1.01% 0.86% T25
100 RSA Dylan Naidoo 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% T68
101 RSA Martin Rohwer 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
102 ENG Chris Paisley 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
103 ENG Jack Singh Brar 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% MC
104 SWE Rikard Karlberg 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
105 WAL Rhys Enoch 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T48
106 RSA Alex Haindl 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.8% 0.67% WD
107 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
108 RSA Michael Palmer 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% T33
109 RSA Louis Albertse 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
110 SWE Anton Karlsson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
111 RSA Haydn Porteous 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% T40
112 BRA Adilson da Silva 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T68
113 RSA Keith Horne 854 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.1/1) 0.12% 0.09% 2.28% 2.19% MC
114 SCO Stephen Gallacher 854 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.1/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
115 RSA CJ du Plessis 892 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 1.57% 1.49% T57
116 RSA Luke Brown 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.77% 0.69% MC
117 RSA Hennie Otto 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% DQ
118 RSA Lyle Rowe 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
119 RSA JJ Senekal 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
120 POR Stephen Ferreira 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
121 RSA Estiaan Conradie 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T33
122 RSA Jake Redman 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T48
123 RSA Anthony Michael 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
124 RSA Ruan Conradie 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.22% 0.16% MC
125 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.19% 0.13% T5
126 RSA Jean Hugo 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.45% 0.4% MC
127 RSA Ulrich Van Den Berg 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
128 RSA Jake Roos 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
129 RSA James Kingston 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22%
130 RSA Callum Mowat 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
131 RSA Daniel Greene 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
132 SWE Philip Eriksson 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.23% 0.18% MC
133 RSA Christiaan Basson 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.27% 0.23% MC
134 ENG Steve Surry 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.27% 0.23% MC
135 RSA Toto Thimba 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.2% MC
136 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.16% MC
137 RSA Merrick Bremner 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
138 RSA Ruan de Smidt 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% T68
139 ENG Oliver Wilson 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
140 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T16
141 ENG Ross McGowan 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
142 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 GRE Peter Karmis 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
144 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 RSA Divan Van Den Heever 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 FRA Robin Roussel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 RSA Combrinck Smit 0% 0% 0% 0% T40
148 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
149 RSA Dylan Mostert 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 RSA Pieter Moolman 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
151 RSA Matthew Spacey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 RSA Hennie O'Kennedy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 RSA Byron Coetzee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T3
156 RSA Stefan Wears Taylor 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 RSA Adriel Poonan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA Tyler Koivisto 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 RSA Nikhil Rama 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 RSA Thanda Mavundla 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 RSA Siyanda Mwandla 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 29.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42.7% 25.7%
2 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 45.8% 30.9%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 59.9% 31.8%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 61.9% 33.4%
5 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 63.5% 34.6%
6 Coral 7 @ 1/5 63.5% 34.6%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 63.6% 34.8%
8 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 36.2%
9 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 37.1%
10 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 37.1%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 37.2%
12 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 55.3% 39.4%
13 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 57.9% 41.7%
14 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 58.5% 42.3%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 58.9% 42.6%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 63.5% 44.1%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 63.5% 44.1%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.7% 45.2%
19 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 69.3% 49.3%
20 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 56.2% 56.2%
21 VBet 5 @ 1/4 78.6% 57.4%