Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 26.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 37.3

Total Profit: -62.8

Austrian Golf Open

15/04/2021 - 18/04/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Detry 10 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.16% 2.53% -4.63% T71
2 ENG Sam Horsfield 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.63% 1.11% -3.52% T15
3 RSA Justin Harding 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.14% 2.87% -1.28% MC
4 AUT Matthias Schwab 18 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.14% 2.35% -1.8% T7
5 USA Kurt Kitayama 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.75% 3.7% -0.05% T15
6 GER Martin Kaymer 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.75% 1.37% -2.38% 3
7 NED Joost Luiten 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.42% 1.38% -2.04% T12
8 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.32% 2.38% 0.06% MC 10.3
9 RSA Dean Burmester 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.32% 1.84% -0.47% MC
10 USA Sean Crocker 33 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.32% 1.28% -1.03% T47
11 RSA Garrick Higgo 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 0.86% -1.06% T4
12 ENG Callum Shinkwin 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.71% 2.84% 1.13% T68 7.62
13 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.77% 0.23% T7 6.87
14 SCO Scott Jamieson 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.7% 0.15% MC 6.87
15 SWE Niklas Lemke 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.53% -0.01% WD 6.87
16 ENG Matthew Jordan 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.47% -0.08% MC 6.87
17 CHN Wu Ashun 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.11% -0.43% T33
18 ENG Marcus Armitage 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% 1.27% -0.13% T4
19 SWE Alexander Bjork 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% 1.05% -0.36% MC
20 NED Wil Besseling 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.29% 1.86% 0.57% T4 (tied w/3) 5.74 +37.3
21 DEN Jeff Winther 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.29% 1.44% 0.14% T28 5.74
22 ENG David Horsey 60 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% 1.31% 0.02% WD 5.74
23 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.29% 1.23% -0.07% T33 5.74
24 USA John Catlin 60 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% 0.39% -0.9% 1
25 ITA Nino Bertasio 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% 1.35% 0.18% MC 5.23
26 ENG Ross Fisher 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% 0.69% -0.48% T47
27 RSA Louis de Jager 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% 0.64% -0.53% MC
28 ITA Renato Paratore 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% 0.61% -0.57% T12
29 RSA Justin Walters 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.83% -0.14% T21
30 FRA Benjamin Hebert 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% 0.42% -0.45% T33
31 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.14% 0.36% MC 3.47
32 AUS Maverick Antcliff 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.57% -0.21% T53
33 NED Darius Van Driel 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.37% -0.41% T56
34 ENG Richard Bland 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 2.02% 1.31% MC 3.16
35 POL Adrian Meronk 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 1.56% 0.85% T56 3.16
36 GER Maximilian Kieffer 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 0.61% -0.1% 2
37 ENG Jack Senior 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 0.37% -0.34% MC
38 ENG Dale Whitnell 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 1.47% 0.85% T15 2.78
39 ESP Pep Angles Ros 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 1.35% 0.72% T33 2.78
40 SCO Grant Forrest 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 1.09% 0.46% T61 2.78
41 IND Shubhankar Sharma 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 1.07% 0.44% T61 2.78
42 ENG James Morrison 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.98% 0.35% 70 2.78
43 ENG Richard McEvoy 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.73% 0.1% T33 2.78
44 FRA Matthieu Pavon 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.47% -0.16% MC
45 GER Marcel Schneider 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.36% -0.26% T53
46 GER Sebastian Heisele 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% 0.63% 0.07% MC
47 RSA Bryce Easton 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 1.34% 0.82% MC
48 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 1.15% 0.63% MC
49 GER Bernd Ritthammer 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 1.12% 0.6% T33
50 SCO Craig Howie 150 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.9% 0.38% T24
51 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.82% 0.3% MC
52 USA Julian Suri 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.77% 0.25% 67
53 SCO David Drysdale 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.56% 0.04% T61
54 FRA Clement Sordet 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.4% -0.12% MC
55 ENG Toby Tree 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.36% -0.17% MC
56 ENG Ashley Chesters 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.33% -0.19% T33
57 CZE Ondrej Lieser 150 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.31% -0.21% MC
58 AUS Jake McLeod 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.31% -0.21% MC
59 FRA Julien Guerrier 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% 0.31% -0.17% T45
60 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.43% -0.02% T15
61 AUS Deyen Lawson 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.31% -0.14% T33
62 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 175 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.3% -0.15% T45
63 NED Lars Van Meijel 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.06% 0.67% MC
64 NIR Cormac Sharvin 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.87% 0.48% T28
65 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.66% 0.27% T61
66 SWE Rikard Karlberg 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.61% 0.22% T47
67 SWE Joel Sjoholm 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.55% 0.16% WD
68 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.38% -0.01% MC
69 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.31% -0.08% MC
70 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 1.21% 0.89% T28
71 GER Hurly Long 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.78% 0.47% MC
72 ENG David Coupland 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.53% 0.21% MC
73 ENG Garrick Porteous 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.45% 0.14% T15
74 ENG Chris Wood 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.39% 0.08% T21
75 ENG Ben Evans 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% MC
76 ENG Matthew Baldwin 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.34% 0.02% T53
77 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.34% 0.02% T24
78 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.33% 0.02% MC
79 ENG Matt Ford 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.31% 0% MC
80 ENG Richard Mansell 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.31% 0% T28
81 USA Berry Henson 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.31% -0.01% T56
82 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.31% -0.01% T24
83 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.29% -0.02% T7
84 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.29% -0.02% MC
85 WAL Oliver Farr 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% 0.94% 0.66% MC
86 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 275 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% WD
87 USA Sihwan Kim 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% 0.33% 0.05% T47
88 SWE Philip Eriksson 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% 0.3% 0.02% MC
89 FRA Damien Perrier 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.79% 0.52% MC
90 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.72% 0.45% MC
91 SCO David Law 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.38% 0.12% MC
92 SCO Liam Johnston 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% MC
93 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% T56
94 AUT Lukas Nemecz 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% MC
95 ITA Edoardo Molinari 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.04% MC
96 POR Ricardo Santos 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.04% T28
97 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 1.15% 0.92% T33
98 FRA Adrien Saddier 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.48% 0.25% T33
99 ESP Pedro Oriol 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.1% T33
100 ENG Lee Slattery 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.26% 0.03% WD
101 FRA Robin Roussel 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.48% 0.28% MC
102 CZE Stanislav Matus 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
103 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% T61
104 SCO Ewen Ferguson 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% MC
105 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.91% 0.75% MC
106 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.77% 0.61% T47
107 KOR Yikeun Chang 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.56% 0.4% MC
108 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% MC
109 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.23% T24
110 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% 73
111 FIN Janne Kaske 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.36% 0.2% MC
112 SWE Anton Karlsson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.36% 0.2% MC
113 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.2% T15
114 SCO Daniel Young 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.18% MC
115 ENG Daniel Gavins 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% T21
116 SCO Euan Walker 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% T47
117 ITA Aron Zemmer 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% MC
118 IMN Tom Gandy 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% MC
119 AUS Austin Bautista 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% T7
120 FRA David Ravetto 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% T68
121 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% T33
122 AUT Martin Wiegele 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
123 AUT Timon Baltl 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% T71
124 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% MC
125 ENG David Howell 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.24% MC
126 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.22% MC
127 AUT Alexander Kopp 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.2% MC
128 IRL Gavin Moynihan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.29% MC
129 USA Tyler Koivisto 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% T56
130 AUT Niklas Regner 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
131 AUT Laurenz Kubin 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
132 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
133 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 AUT Bernard Neumayer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T12
137 ENG Hugo Dobson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 ENG Todd Clements 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T7
140 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 ENG Sam Broadhurst 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 AUT Maximilian Lechner 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 AUT Christoph Bleier 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 ENG Thomas Thurloway 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 26.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 VBet 5 @ 1/4 39.3% 24.2%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.4% 24.3%
3 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 51% 26.5%
4 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44% 28.4%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 54.3% 29.2%
6 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 45.5% 29.8%
7 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.5% 29.8%
8 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 29.9%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 55.2% 30%
10 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 55.2% 30%
11 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.8% 30.1%
12 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 48% 32.1%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 44.9% 32.1%
14 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 48.4% 32.4%
15 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 47.9% 34.8%
16 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 76.9% 37.2%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 58.1% 44.2%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 58.4% 44.4%