Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 32.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Garrick Higgo 12 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 7.69% 5.75% 2.58% -3.17% 1
2 RSA Dean Burmester 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 3.93% 2.59% -1.34% T4
3 RSA Justin Harding 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.56% 2.13% -1.43% T38
4 ESP Adria Arnaus 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.88% 2.28% -0.6% T4
5 FIN Kalle Samooja 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.88% 1.69% -1.19% T9
6 ENG Laurie Canter 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.88% 1.09% -1.79% T40
7 ITA Guido Migliozzi 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.58% 2.24% -0.34% MC 29.96
8 FRA Victor Dubuisson 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.58% 2.16% -0.41% T61
9 USA Sean Crocker 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.58% 1.97% -0.6% MC
10 FIN Sami Valimaki 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.58% 1.39% -1.18% T27
11 SCO Calum Hill 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.41% 2.27% -0.14% T12 28.03
12 POL Adrian Meronk 40 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.82% 2.79% 0.96% MC 21.19
13 SCO Connor Syme 40 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 2.08% 0.26% T12
14 ENG Chris Paisley 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.55% 0.08% MC
15 USA Johannes Veerman 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.49% 0.02% T45
16 ESP Pep Angles Ros 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.47% 1.25% -0.22% 70
17 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.47% 0.67% -0.79% T66
18 ESP Adrian Otaegui 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% 0.72% -0.61% T34
19 ENG Paul Waring 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.34% 0.61% -0.73% MC
20 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% 0.49% -0.85% T23
21 ENG Eddie Pepperell 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.34% 0.36% -0.98% T12
22 ITA Nino Bertasio 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 1.2% -0.03% T51
23 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 0.98% -0.25% T51
24 RSA Louis de Jager 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 0.76% -0.47% T12
25 AUS Scott Hend 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 0.75% -0.47% T51
26 ENG Andrew Johnston 60 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 0.45% -0.78% T4
27 CHN Wu Ashun 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.71% 0.59% MC
28 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.31% 0.19% T27
29 ITA Renato Paratore 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.61% -0.51% WD
30 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.48% -0.64% T23
31 ENG Matthew Jordan 66 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 0.46% -0.66% T66
32 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.05% 3.1% 2.04% MC 12.24
33 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.05% 1.08% 0.03% MC
34 ESP Alejandro Canizares 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 0.76% -0.29% MC
35 GER Marcel Schneider 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 1.01% 0.09% MC
36 NED Darius Van Driel 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.85% -0.07% MC
37 FRA Matthieu Pavon 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.79% -0.13% T27
38 AUS Maverick Antcliff 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.71% -0.21% 2
39 RSA Justin Walters 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.64% -0.28% T51
40 MAS Gavin Green 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.4% -0.52% MC
41 ENG David Horsey 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 1.3% 0.48% MC
42 FRA Alexander Levy 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 1.17% 0.35% MC
43 SWE Joakim Lagergren 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0.87% 0.05% MC
44 ENG Jack Senior 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0.69% -0.13% T34
45 ENG Richard Bland 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 2.91% 2.17% T27 8.61
46 SCO Grant Forrest 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.66% -0.08% T23
47 CAN Aaron Cockerill 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.61% -0.13% T34
48 ENG Richard Mansell 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.34% -0.4% T12
49 ESP Pedro Oriol 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 1.6% 0.93% MC
50 ENG Garrick Porteous 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0.67% -0.01% T40
51 ENG Dale Whitnell 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0.65% -0.03% T56
52 USA Sihwan Kim 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0.4% -0.27% T45
53 USA Paul Peterson 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0.3% -0.37% T45
54 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.93% 0.34% T20
55 ITA Francesco Laporta 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.83% 0.23% T27
56 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.56% -0.03% T40
57 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.55% -0.04% T56
58 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.43% -0.16% T20
59 ESP Jorge Campillo 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.37% -0.22% T61
60 GER Sebastian Heisele 125 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.35% -0.24% T9
61 AUS Austin Bautista 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 1.75% 1.22% MC
62 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.53% 1.04% T9
63 FRA Clement Sordet 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.89% 0.4% MC
64 USA Julian Suri 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.61% 0.11% T27
65 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.48% -0.01% MC
66 ESP Eduard Rousaud 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.4% -0.1% T34
67 ARG Alejandro Tosti 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.3% -0.2% MC
68 NED Lars Van Meijel 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.87% 0.44% T66
69 GER Bernd Ritthammer 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.81% 0.38% T20
70 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.54% 0.11% T12
71 IND Shubhankar Sharma 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.5% 0.08% 69
72 WAL Rhys Enoch 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.33% -0.09% T23
73 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1% 0.62% MC
74 ENG Richard McEvoy 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.89% 0.52% MC
75 ESP Nacho Elvira 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.75% 0.38% MC
76 IRL Niall Kearney 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.5% 0.12% T4
77 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.11% T45
78 ENG Toby Tree 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.46% 0.09% MC
79 NIR Cormac Sharvin 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% MC
80 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.34% -0.03% T12
81 ENG Matt Ford 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.34% -0.03% MC
82 CZE Ondrej Lieser 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.34% -0.03% T71
83 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.34% 0.01% T45
84 GER Max Schmitt 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.62% 0.33% 77
85 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% T75
86 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.33% 0.04% MC
87 POR Ricardo Santos 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.33% 0.04% T40
88 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 1.03% 0.78% T38
89 ENG David Coupland 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.12% T51
90 IND Shiv Kapur 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% MC
91 ESP Scott Fernandez 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% T56
92 USA Berry Henson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% MC
93 AUS Jake McLeod 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% MC
94 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.74% 0.53% T61
95 FRA Robin Roussel 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% MC
96 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.62% 0.44% 3
97 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.15% MC
98 FRA Gregory Bourdy 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
99 ENG Scott Gregory 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
100 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
101 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% T61
102 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% T61
103 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
104 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% T71
105 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T45
106 ESP Jacobo Pastor Lopez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
107 ENG Oliver Fisher 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T12
108 ITA Andrea Pavan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
109 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% 74
110 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% MC
111 NIR Tom McKibbin 750 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
112 ESP Alvaro Hernandez Cabezuela(Am 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
113 ENG Steven Tiley 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
114 ESP Oscar Sanchez 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% MC
115 ESP David Borda Antonana 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
116 USA Samuel Del Val 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% MC
117 ESP Carlos Pigem 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T75
118 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.56% 0.49% T40
119 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.39% 0.31% T56
120 ENG Sam Broadhurst 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.37% 0.29% MC
121 ENG David Howell 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.36% 0.29% MC
122 ENG Thomas Plumb 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% T56
123 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% MC
124 IMN Tom Gandy 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.26% T27
125 USA Tyler Koivisto 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.26% MC
126 ESP Carl Suneson 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.31% 0.26% MC
127 ESP Carlos Aguilar 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 KOR Yikeun Chang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T4
131 ESP Luis Claverie 0% 0% 0% 0% T71

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42% 26.6%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 56.9% 31.3%
3 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 56.9% 31.3%
4 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 48.9% 32.7%
5 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 34%
6 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 51.5% 35%
7 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.5% 35%
8 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51.5% 35%
9 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.5% 35%
10 VBet 5 @ 1/4 52.9% 36.3%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.7% 36.4%
12 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.6% 38.2%
13 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 52% 38.5%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 39.3%
15 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.5%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 54.6% 40.9%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.7% 40.9%
18 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 68.6% 41.2%