Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 30.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 42.9

Total Profit: -57.2

the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide

03/06/2021 - 06/06/2021

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 9 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 10% 7.11% 2.76% -4.35% WD
2 USA Jordan Spieth 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.74% 2.24% -2.5% T18
3 USA Justin Thomas 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.74% 2.19% -2.56% T42
4 NIR Rory McIlroy 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.74% 1.84% -2.9% T18
5 USA Bryson DeChambeau 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.74% 1.45% -3.29% T18
6 USA Collin Morikawa 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.18% 2.91% -1.27% 2
7 NOR Viktor Hovland 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.74% 2% -1.74% T47
8 USA Patrick Cantlay 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.09% 1.85% -1.24% 1
9 USA Xander Schauffele 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.09% 1.75% -1.34% T11
10 USA Tony Finau 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.74% 1.72% -1.02% T32
11 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.74% 1.25% -1.49% T62
12 CAN Corey Conners 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.09% 2% -0.09% T53
13 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 35 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.98% 2.07% 0.09% MC 8.57
14 USA Patrick Reed 35 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.98% 1.71% -0.27% 5
15 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% 2.31% 0.58% T18 7.53
16 USA Scottie Scheffler 40 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% 1.37% -0.36% 3
17 AUS Cameron Smith 50 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 2.32% 0.92% MC 6.05
18 USA Charley Hoffman 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 1.74% 0.34% T57 6.05
19 USA Sam Burns 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 1.61% 0.21% T50 6.05
20 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 1.48% 0.08% MC
21 IRL Shane Lowry 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 2.16% 0.89% T6 (tied w/3) 5.51 +11
22 USA Billy Horschel 60 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 1.7% 0.54% 67 5.06
23 USA Keegan Bradley 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.17% 1.58% 0.42% MC 5.06
24 USA Kevin Streelman 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 0.92% -0.25% T13
25 USA Rickie Fowler 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 0.68% -0.48% T11
26 KOR Sungjae Im 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 2.24% 1.18% MC 4.61
27 USA Gary Woodland 66 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.06% 0.71% -0.35% MC
28 ARG Emiliano Grillo 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% 1.64% 0.63% MC 4.35
29 AUS Marc Leishman 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% 1.41% 0.41% T57 4.35
30 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 1.27% 0.39% T37 3.81
31 AUS Adam Scott 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.61% -0.27% T16
32 USA Bubba Watson 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.92% 0.14% WD 3.39
33 AUS Matt Jones 100 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 1.77% 1.06% MC 3.06
34 USA Cameron Tringale 100 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 1.19% 0.48% T26 3.06
35 ENG Matt Wallace 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.7% 1.07% 0.37% MC 3.06
36 USA Russell Henley 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.8% 0.09% MC 3.06
37 USA Brendon Todd 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.66% -0.04% T53
38 USA Matt Kuchar 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% 0.76% 0.12% WD 2.78
39 USA Chris Kirk 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 2.42% 1.85% T26 2.45
40 USA Stewart Cink 125 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 1.73% 1.17% T47 2.45
41 USA Max Homa 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.29% 0.73% T6 (tied w/3) 2.45 +31.9
42 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.09% 0.52% MC 2.45
43 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 1.06% 0.5% T9 2.45
44 USA Troy Merritt 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.75% 0.19% T50 2.45
45 COL Sebastian Munoz 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.56% 0% MC
46 USA Harold Varner III 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.89% 0.42% T47
47 MEX Carlos Ortiz 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.77% 0.3% T16
48 USA Talor Gooch 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.77% 0.3% T18
49 USA Lucas Glover 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.67% 0.2% T37
50 SWE Alexander Noren 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.67% 0.2% T13
51 USA Doug Ghim 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.62% 0.15% MC
52 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.6% 0.12% 4
53 USA Kyle Stanley 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.54% 0.07% T42
54 RSA Charl Schwartzel 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.47% 0% T53
55 USA Charles Howell III 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.39% -0.08% MC
56 USA Aaron Wise 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.28% -0.19% T9
57 CAN Adam Hadwin 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% MC
58 USA Luke List 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.57% 0.17% MC
59 TPE C.T. Pan 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.42% 0.02% T57
60 USA Joel Dahmen 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.42% 0.01% T32
61 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.87% 0.51% T65
62 USA Lanto Griffin 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.68% 0.32% MC
63 SCO Martin Laird 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.57% 0.22% T53
64 SCO Russell Knox 200 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.27% -0.08% T57
65 USA Brendan Steele 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 1.06% 0.77% T37
66 FRA Victor Perez 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.97% 0.69% MC
67 USA Mackenzie Hughes 250 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.62% 0.34% MC
68 USA Michael Thompson 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.62% 0.33% 64
69 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.49% 0.2% MC
70 USA Harry Higgs 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.19% 68
71 USA Matthew NeSmith 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.47% 0.19% MC
72 ENG Danny Willett 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.47% 0.18% T26
73 USA Richy Werenski 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% MC
74 AUT Sepp Straka 250 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.24% -0.04% MC
75 USA Patrick Rodgers 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.23% -0.05% MC
76 USA Doc Redman 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.22% -0.06% T42
77 USA Cameron Champ 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.22% -0.07% WD
78 FRA Antoine Rozner 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.87% 1.63% T18
79 IRL Padraig Harrington 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.62% 0.38% MC
80 USA JT Poston 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.57% 0.33% T65
81 SWE Henrik Norlander 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.46% 0.23% MC
82 USA Denny McCarthy 300 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.2% MC
83 USA Tom Hoge 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.4% 0.17% MC
84 USA James Hahn 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.15% MC
85 KOR Byeong Hun An 300 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.14% MC
86 RSA Dylan Frittelli 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.14% MC
87 USA Adam Long 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.28% 0.05% T26
88 USA Jason Dufner 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.26% 0.02% T37
89 NZL Danny Lee 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% MC
90 COL Camilo Villegas 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% MC
91 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.4% 0.19% T37
92 CAN Nick Taylor 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% T42
93 USA Mark Hubbard 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.28% 0.11% T42
94 USA Robert Streb 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% MC
95 USA Peter Malnati 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.24% 0.06% MC
96 JPN Takumi Kanaya 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.52% 0.38% MC
97 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.38% 0.24% T50
98 USA Hudson Swafford 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T62
99 USA Tyler McCumber 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% MC
100 USA Vaughn Taylor 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% T18
101 USA Bo Hoag 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% T13
102 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
103 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% T32
104 AUS Lucas Herbert 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% T18
105 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0.01% T6
106 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.14% 0% MC
107 CHN Li Haotong 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.12% -0.02% MC
108 USA J.B. Holmes 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.12% -0.02% WD
109 SWE David Lingmerth 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.09% -0.06% MC
110 USA Sahith Theegala 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.08% -0.06% T32
111 USA Brian Gay 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.54% 0.42% MC
112 USA Robby Shelton 600 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% T32
113 USA Jim Herman 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.17% 0.07% T26
114 USA William McGirt 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.08% -0.02% MC
115 CHN Zhang Xinjun 1000 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.12% 0.05% T26
116 USA Chase Johnson 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.08% 0.03% MC
117 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
118 AUS Cameron Davis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
119 ENG Joe Long 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
120 USA Ty Strafaci 0% 0% 0% 0% T57

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 52% 17.9%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 52.9% 18.5%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 56.2% 21.1%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60% 24.1%
5 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 39.8% 24.7%
6 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 89.4% 27.9%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.7% 30%
8 VBet 5 @ 1/4 45.7% 30%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 56.2% 30.9%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.3%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.3%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.3%
13 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.3%
14 Betway 7 @ 1/5 60.8% 34.7%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.6% 43.7%
16 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 61.3% 43.9%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 61.2% 47%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 63.5% 49.1%