Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship

25/03/2021 - 28/03/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Charley Hoffman 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.13% 3.05% -1.07% T34
2 ARG Emiliano Grillo 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.73% 2.59% -1.14% T6
3 BEL Thomas Pieters 20 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.73% 1.71% -2.02% T13
4 BEL Thomas Detry 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.02% 3.58% 0.57% T13 13.5
5 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.7% 1.82% -0.88% T18
6 USA Charles Howell III 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.53% 3.25% 0.72% T28 11.33
7 USA Luke List 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.53% 1.16% -1.37% WD
8 USA Brandon Wu 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.31% 0.93% -1.38% MC
9 USA Nate Lashley 35 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.18% 1.61% -0.56% T28
10 AUT Sepp Straka 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 2.22% 0.3% T9 8.57
11 ENG Danny Willett 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 1.58% -0.33% 8
12 USA Lee Hodges 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 1.54% -0.37% T63
13 USA Sam Ryder 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 0.98% -0.93% T2
14 USA Patrick Rodgers 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.91% 0.79% -1.12% T43
15 USA Brice Garnett 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.7% 1.45% -0.25% T9
16 ENG Tom Lewis 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.7% 1.11% -0.59% T56
17 USA Brandon Hagy 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.99% 0.46% MC 6.89
18 CAN Roger Sloan 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.68% 0.14% T22 6.89
19 USA William Gordon 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.07% -0.47% T34
20 USA Joel Dahmen 50 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 0.75% -0.79% 1
21 GER Stephan Jaeger 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 0.29% -1.25% T48
22 CAN Taylor Pendrith 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 0.29% -1.25% T34
23 USA Chase Seiffert 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.4% 1.71% 0.31% T18 6.27
24 USA Tyler McCumber 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.4% 1.26% -0.14% T18
25 USA Adam Schenk 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.4% 0.91% -0.49% T56
26 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.52% 0.35% T22 5.24
27 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.05% -0.12% MC
28 USA Peter Uihlein 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.36% -0.81% T22
29 USA Pat Perez 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.1% 0.98% -0.12% T48
30 COL Camilo Villegas 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 1.99% 1.02% MC 4.34
31 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 1.15% 0.19% MC 4.34
32 USA Joseph Bramlett 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.68% -0.28% T13
33 USA Scott Harrington 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 0.61% -0.36% T63
34 CHN Zhang Xinjun 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.35% -0.61% MC
35 USA Greyson Sigg 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.29% -0.68% T9
36 USA Bronson Burgoon 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% 0.88% 0.02% T28
37 USA Rob Oppenheim 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% 0.86% 0% MC
38 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% 0.82% -0.04% MC
39 AUS Aaron Baddeley 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% 0.36% -0.51% T48
40 IRL Padraig Harrington 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.94% 1.17% T56 3.48
41 USA Josh Teater 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.16% 0.38% T34 3.48
42 USA Tyler Duncan 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.13% 0.36% T48 3.48
43 USA Robby Shelton 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.12% 0.35% T43 3.48
44 USA Vaughn Taylor 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 1.05% 0.28% WD 3.48
45 USA Grayson Murray 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.93% 0.15% T69 3.48
46 USA Vincent Whaley 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.92% 0.15% T28 3.48
47 NZL Tim Wilkinson 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.89% 0.11% T34
48 USA Ted Potter-jr 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.85% 0.08% MC
49 USA Scott Brown 100 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.8% 0.02% T43
50 NIR Graeme McDowell 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.67% -0.11% T4
51 USA J.B. Holmes 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.43% -0.35% MC
52 USA Kelly Kraft 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.25% -0.52% MC
53 USA Beau Hossler 110 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 0.67% -0.04% MC
54 USA Chesson Hadley 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.64% -0.06% T13
55 IRL Seamus Power 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.54% -0.16% T54
56 USA Ben Martin 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 0.43% -0.28% T9
57 USA D.J. Trahan 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.4% -0.31% T52
58 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 1.55% 0.93% MC 2.79
59 USA Brian Stuard 125 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.92% 0.29% T69 2.79
60 USA Ryan Brehm 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.78% 0.16% T34 2.79
61 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.74% 0.11% MC
62 USA Bill Haas 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.73% 0.11% MC
63 USA Hank Lebioda 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.58% -0.04% MC
64 ARG Fabian Gomez 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% 1.03% 0.47% T56
65 USA Troy Merritt 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.75% 0.23% T34
66 PUR Rafael Campos 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.75% 0.23% T2
67 USA Hudson Swafford 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.57% 0.05% T6
68 USA Jonathan Byrd 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.37% -0.15% T63
69 USA Zack Sucher 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.36% -0.16% MC
70 USA Roberto Castro 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.34% -0.18% T18
71 RSA MJ Daffue 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 1.12% 0.68% MC
72 CAN David Hearn 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.57% 0.12% T13
73 KOR K.J. Choi 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.47% 0.03% MC
74 FRA Paul Barjon 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.29% -0.16% MC
75 USA Wes Roach 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.86% 0.47% T34
76 AUS Rhein Gibson 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.72% 0.33% T63
77 ENG Luke Donald 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.54% 0.15% MC
78 USA Alex Smalley 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.28% -0.11% T22
79 USA J.J Spaun 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.28% -0.11% T67
80 USA Andy Ogletree 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 1.29% 0.98% MC
81 ARG Nelson Ledesma 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.7% 0.39% MC
82 USA Mark Anderson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.4% 0.09% T43
83 KOR Sangmoon Bae 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% T67
84 USA Ryan Blaum 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% MC
85 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.34% 0.03% T34
86 USA George McNeill 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.29% -0.02% MC
87 SWE David Lingmerth 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.29% -0.03% T28
88 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 1.13% 0.87% T4
89 USA Chris Baker 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% MC
90 RSA Retief Goosen 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.28% 0.02% T56
91 USA Bo Van Pelt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 1.06% 0.84% T56
92 AUS Greg Chalmers 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.85% 0.63% MC
93 ENG Benjamin Taylor 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.48% 0.25% T54
94 USA Michael Gellerman 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.48% 0.25% MC
95 USA Nick Watney 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.44% 0.22% MC
96 USA Matt Every 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.42% 0.2% MC
97 USA Michael Kim 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.39% 0.17% MC
98 USA Shawn Stefani 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.36% 0.14% MC
99 USA Johnson Wagner 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.11% MC
100 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.31% 0.08% MC
101 USA Eric Cole 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.28% 0.09% T22
102 AUS John Senden 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.5% 0.34% MC
103 USA Ricky Barnes 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.36% 0.21% MC
104 USA Dominic Bozzelli 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.36% 0.21% MC
105 GER Alex Cejka 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% T43
106 USA Robert Garrigus 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.14% MC
107 IND Arjun Atwal 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.14% MC
108 SWE Carl Pettersson 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% MC
109 USA Hunter Mahan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
110 USA Davis Love III 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
111 USA J.J. Henry 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.18% MC
112 USA Andrew Yun 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.18% T22
113 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.31% T56
114 USA John Merrick 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
115 SWE Richard S. Johnson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% T52
116 SWE Daniel Chopra 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
117 USA Parker McLachlin 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% 71
118 DOM Juan Jose Guerra 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
119 USA Chris Wiatr 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
120 USA Dicky Pride 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.29% 0.23% MC
121 USA Omar Uresti 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.29% 0.23% MC
122 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.25% WD
123 USA Ted Purdy 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.25% MC
124 USA John Rollins 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.29% 0.26% MC
125 ARG Manuel Relancio 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.28% 0.25% MC
126 USA Alexander Beach 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.28% 0.25% MC
127 DOM Hiram Silfa 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.28% 0.25% MC
128 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T28
129 DOM Guillermo Pumarol 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 DOM Rhadames Pena 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 URU Cledy Cordoba 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 USA Justin McCarraher 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 50.4% 25.9%
2 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 52.2% 27.3%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 30.1%
4 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.2% 31.1%
5 GentingBet 5 @ 1/4 48.6% 32.5%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 59.2% 33.1%
7 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 59.2% 33.1%
8 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 47.4% 34.3%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.1% 34.9%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 53% 36.3%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 53% 36.3%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 53% 36.3%
13 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 53% 36.3%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 36.8%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 52.6% 39.1%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 56.8% 42.8%