Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 24.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

English Championship

06/08/2020 - 09/08/2020

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Detry 12 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 7.69% 6.14% 2.14% -4% T56
2 ENG Sam Horsfield 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.2% 2.63% -1.58% MC
3 ENG Lee Westwood 20 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.8% 2.57% -1.23% T34
4 ENG Andy Sullivan 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.8% 1.46% -2.34% 1
5 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.47% 2.75% -0.72% T19
6 ITA Renato Paratore 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.07% 3.06% -0.01% T34 13.2
7 MAS Gavin Green 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.75% 1.96% -0.8% MC
8 RSA Justin Harding 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.22% 2.13% -0.09% T53 9.54
9 FRA Matthieu Pavon 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.22% 2.12% -0.09% MC 9.54
10 ENG Chris Paisley 35 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.22% 2.05% -0.17% T19 9.54
11 ENG Ross Fisher 35 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.22% 0.87% -1.35% MC
12 ENG Aaron Rai 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.95% 1.3% -0.65% T44
13 SCO Scott Jamieson 45 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.74% 1.35% -0.38% T9
14 ENG Jordan L Smith 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 1.11% -0.45% T14
15 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 50 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 1.1% -0.46% T65
16 SCO Richie Ramsay 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 0.46% -1.11% T34
17 FIN Kalle Samooja 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.43% 1.44% 0.02% T65 6.13
18 ENG Ashley Chesters 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.43% 0.58% -0.84% MC
19 ENG Matthew Jordan 60 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.31% 0.59% -0.72% MC
20 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 66 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 1.18% -0.01% T34 5.13
21 FRA Antoine Rozner 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 1.16% -0.03% T26 5.13
22 ENG Andrew Johnston 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.27% -0.92% T19
23 FRA Romain Langasque 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 0.26% -0.93% T26
24 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.12% 0.29% -0.83% T34
25 ITA Guido Migliozzi 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.05% 1.76% 0.71% MC 4.52
26 AUS Jason Scrivener 75 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.05% 0.52% -0.53% T14
27 ENG Jack Singh Brar 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 0.82% -0.16% MC 4.24
28 GER Maximilian Kieffer 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.71% -0.27% MC
29 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 0.46% -0.53% 61
30 USA Johannes Veerman 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 0.31% -0.68% T34
31 ENG David Horsey 90 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.88% 0.58% -0.29% MC
32 ENG Callum Shinkwin 90 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.88% 0.55% -0.33% T71
33 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 90 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.88% 0.48% -0.39% T44
34 USA Sean Crocker 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.88% 0.42% -0.46% T9
35 ENG Richard Bland 90 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.88% 0.41% -0.47% T56
36 RSA Brandon Stone 100 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 2.57% 1.78% T6 3.4
37 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 1.44% 0.65% T19 3.4
38 ENG Jack Senior 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 0.9% 0.11% T44 3.4
39 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.51% -0.28% T9
40 AUS Minwoo Lee 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.26% -0.53% T6
41 RSA JC Ritchie 100 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 0.26% -0.53% MC
42 FRA Adrien Saddier 110 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.72% 2% 1.28% MC 3.1
43 ENG Oliver Fisher 110 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.72% 1.98% 1.26% T26 3.1
44 ENG Marcus Armitage 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.72% 1.44% 0.72% T14 3.1
45 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 110 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.72% 0.26% -0.45% MC
46 NED Wil Besseling 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 1.51% 0.87% T63 2.73
47 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 1.04% 0.41% MC 2.73
48 ENG Ben Stow 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.72% 0.09% T26 2.73
49 FRA Joel Stalter 125 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.47% -0.16% MC 2.73
50 SWE Rikard Karlberg 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.44% -0.19% MC 2.73
51 ENG Laurie Canter 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.57% 0.63% 0.06% T34
52 SCO Marc Warren 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 3.28% 2.75% T34
53 WAL Oliver Farr 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 1.95% 1.42% MC
54 WAL Jamie Donaldson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.42% -0.11% T14
55 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.42% -0.11% T56
56 USA Julian Suri 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.3% -0.23% MC
57 ESP Adrian Otaegui 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.26% -0.26% 2
58 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.26% -0.27% MC
59 ZIM Scott Vincent 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.23% -0.3% T9
60 SWE Oscar Lengden 160 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.5% 1.47% 0.98% T19
61 SWE Niklas Lemke 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.5% 1.44% 0.95% MC
62 RSA Dean Burmester 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.5% 0.26% -0.23% T6
63 ENG Dale Whitnell 175 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 1.41% 0.96% MC
64 POL Adrian Meronk 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.81% 0.36% T34
65 ENG Lee Slattery 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.3% -0.15% T65
66 IRL Paul Dunne 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.3% -0.15% MC
67 ESP Nacho Elvira 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.26% -0.19% MC
68 NIR Cormac Sharvin 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.26% -0.19% T19
69 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 1.52% 1.13% MC
70 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 1.11% 0.72% T44
71 FRA Robin Roussel 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.83% 0.43% T26
72 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.44% 0.05% MC
73 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% -0.09% T14
74 ITA Andrea Pavan 200 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.29% -0.1% T34
75 NED Daan Huizing 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.27% -0.13% MC
76 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.26% -0.13% T44
77 ENG Steven Brown 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.26% -0.13% 5
78 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.24% -0.15% MC
79 ITA Francesco Laporta 225 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% 0.29% -0.06% MC
80 SCO David Drysdale 250 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 2.48% 2.16% T56
81 GER Bernd Ritthammer 250 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 1.6% 1.28% T71
82 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 1.03% 0.71% MC
83 SWE Joel Sjoholm 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.48% 0.16% MC
84 ENG Garrick Porteous 250 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.46% 0.14% MC
85 ENG David Coupland 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.42% 0.1% T9
86 RSA Haydn Porteous 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.29% -0.03% MC
87 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.26% -0.05% 62
88 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.24% -0.07% T63
89 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% MC
90 GER Marcel Schneider 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 2.27% 2% T53
91 ENG James Morrison 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.54% 0.27% MC
92 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.3% 0.03% MC
93 FRA Damien Perrier 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.27% 0% MC
94 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.26% 0% MC
95 RSA Justin Walters 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.26% 0% MC
96 ENG Toby Tree 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.26% 0% T44
97 FRA Romain Wattel 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.26% 0% T44
98 RSA Wilco Nienaber 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.25% -0.01% 4
99 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 1.05% 0.82% MC
100 ENG Graeme Storm 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 1% 0.77% MC
101 ENG Ben Evans 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.3% 0.07% MC
102 AUS Scott Hend 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.29% 0.07% T44
103 ENG Matthew Baldwin 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.28% 0.05% MC
104 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.26% 0.04% MC
105 SCO David Law 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.26% 0.04% T71
106 POR Pedro Figueiredo 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.26% 0.04% MC
107 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% MC
108 AUS Jake McLeod 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.26% 0.07% MC
109 AUS Maverick Antcliff 400 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.26% 0.07% MC
110 ESP Carlos Pigem 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.24% 0.05% MC
111 RSA Bryce Easton 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% T56
112 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
113 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% MC
114 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
115 ENG Steven Tiley 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
116 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
117 WAL Rhys Enoch 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% T68
118 SCO Ewen Ferguson 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% T19
119 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% T26
120 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.11% MC
121 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.11% T44
122 CAN Aaron Cockerill 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.11% T26
123 SCO Daniel Young 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.1% MC
124 IMN Tom Gandy 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.1% MC
125 NED Lars Van Meijel 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.09% MC
126 NZL Michael Campbell 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% MC
127 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 800 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.12% 0.1% 0.28% 0.18% 70
128 ENG David Howell 800 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.12% 0.1% 0.26% 0.17% T68
129 ENG James Ruebotham 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.22% MC
130 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% 3
131 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T26

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 24.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 50.7% 21.2%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 37.1% 22.2%
3 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 41.7% 26.3%
4 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 39.5% 27.1%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 52.5% 27.6%
6 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 52.5% 27.6%
7 VBet 5 @ 1/4 43.4% 27.9%
8 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 40.8% 28.3%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.4% 28.7%
10 Betway 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 30%
11 GentingBet 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.2%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 45% 32.1%
13 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 59% 33.1%
14 Unibet 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38%
15 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38%
16 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 38.9%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 613.2% 562.5%