Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 28.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 242.5

Total Profit: +142.4

Hero Indian Open

28/03/2019 - 31/03/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 THA Jazz Janewattananond 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.58% 2.48% -2.1% MC
2 IND Anirban Lahiri 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.58% 1.35% -3.23% MC
3 ESP Jorge Campillo 18 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.1% 1.71% -2.39% 3
4 GER Maximilian Kieffer 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.99% 1.15% -1.84% MC
5 USA Julian Suri 25 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.99% 0.99% -2% T4
6 RSA Erik van Rooyen 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.68% 1.88% -0.81% T6
7 ESP Nacho Elvira 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.68% 1.14% -1.55% T6
8 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 30 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.51% 1.48% -1.03% T39
9 RSA George Coetzee 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.29% 1.74% -0.55% T6
10 FRA Victor Dubuisson 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.29% 1.55% -0.74% T10
11 ENG Aaron Rai 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.29% 1.51% -0.77% T32
12 AUT Matthias Schwab 33 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.29% 0.83% -1.46% T18
13 MAS Gavin Green 35 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.16% 1.1% -1.06% T58
14 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.9% 1.46% -0.43% T39
15 ESP Adrian Otaegui 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.69% 1.46% -0.23% T10 7.19
16 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 45 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.69% 1% -0.7% T4
17 RSA Dean Burmester 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 0.99% -0.53% T64
18 AUS Wade Ormsby 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 0.9% -0.63% MC
19 AUS Scott Hend 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.39% 1.37% -0.02% T35 5.9
20 FIN Mikko Korhonen 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.39% 0.98% -0.41% T10
21 USA Paul Peterson 60 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.28% 0.86% -0.42% MC
22 ITA Andrea Pavan 66 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% 1.15% -0.01% T27 4.93
23 ENG David Horsey 66 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 0.93% -0.24% T58
24 ENG Oliver Fisher 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 0.81% -0.36% MC
25 THA Poom Saksansin 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 0.7% -0.46% T35
26 THA Prom Meesawat 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% 0.56% -0.6% T45
27 ENG Robert Rock 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.02% 1.2% 0.17% T18 4.35
28 RSA Brandon Stone 80 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 1.73% 0.76% MC 4.08
29 USA Johannes Veerman 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% 1.43% 0.47% MC 4.08
30 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 1.02% 0.06% 68 4.08
31 ENG Chris Wood 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.98% 0.02% MC 4.08
32 RSA Justin Walters 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.98% 0.02% T45 4.08
33 ENG Ashley Chesters 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% 0.85% -0.11% T25 4.08
34 ENG Jack Singh Brar 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.84% -0.12% T39 4.08
35 USA Sihwan Kim 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.83% -0.13% T10 4.08
36 JPN Hideto Tanihara 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.82% -0.14% T45 4.08
37 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% 0.73% -0.24% T23
38 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.69% -0.27% T6
39 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 1.46% 0.69% 2 3.28 +34.4
40 AUS Marcus Fraser 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 1.08% 0.31% T35 3.28
41 IND Chikkarangappa S 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 1.02% 0.25% T10 3.28
42 FIN Kalle Samooja 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.96% 0.18% T18 3.28
43 RSA Haydn Porteous 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.94% 0.17% T27 3.28
44 RSA Shaun Norris 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.89% 0.12% MC 3.28
45 ZIM Scott Vincent 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.46% -0.32% T35
46 CHN Wu Ashun 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.7% 0.75% 0.05% MC 2.98
47 BRA Adilson da Silva 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 1.23% 0.62% T64 2.63
48 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 1.1% 0.48% WD 2.63
49 SCO Stephen Gallacher 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.97% 0.36% 1 2.63 +208.1
50 KOR Jeunghun Wang 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.8% 0.19% T58 2.63
51 ENG James Morrison 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.76% 0.15% T18 2.63
52 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.73% 0.11% MC 2.63
53 POR Ricardo Gouveia 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.51% -0.11% MC 2.63
54 IND Rashid Khan 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.34% -0.27% T10
55 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.31% -0.31% T54
56 THA Panuphol Pittayarat 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.3% -0.32% T25
57 IND Khalin Joshi 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.55% 0.64% 0.09% MC
58 SWE Robert Karlsson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 1.35% 0.83% T45
59 BAN Siddikur Rahman 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 1.03% 0.51% MC
60 ESP Alvaro Quiros 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.83% 0.32% MC
61 SCO Marc Warren 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.78% 0.27% MC
62 ITA Matteo Manassero 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.73% 0.21% MC
63 USA Berry Henson 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.67% 0.16% T39
64 IND Shiv Kapur 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.55% 0.04% MC
65 KOR Yikeun Chang 150 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.52% 0% MC
66 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.46% -0.06% T54
67 USA John Catlin 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.48% 0.65% 0.16% T45
68 THA Prayad Marksaeng 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 1.09% 0.65% T23
69 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.83% 0.39% MC
70 ITA Nino Bertasio 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.57% 0.13% T18
71 RSA Keith Horne 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.48% 0.04% T10
72 THA Danthai Boonma 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.33% -0.11% MC
73 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.59% 1.2% MC
74 MAS Nicholas Fung 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 1.12% 0.73% WD
75 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.04% 0.65% T27
76 FRA Romain Wattel 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.93% 0.54% MC
77 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.61% 0.22% T32
78 AUS Terry Pilkadaris 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.54% 0.15% 63
79 SWE Jens Dantorp 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.51% 0.12% 62
80 RSA Jbe Kruger 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.88% 0.57% T58
81 CHN Liang Wen-chong 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.73% 0.42% T39
82 USA Micah Shin 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.59% 0.28% MC
83 ENG Steven Brown 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.5% 0.19% T54
84 NZL Ben Campbell 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.49% 0.18% T32
85 WAL Stuart Manley 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.46% 0.15% WD
86 USA Jarin Todd 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.45% 0.14% T10
87 THA Pavit Tangkamolprasert 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% MC
88 KOR Hyowon Park 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.65% 0.37% MC
89 THA Chapchai Nirat 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.66% 0.4% MC
90 IND Shamim Khan 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% MC
91 IND Viraj Madappa 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% MC
92 JPN Daisuke Kataoka 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.15% T64
93 AUS Jake Higginbottom 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.11% T27
94 IND Karandeep Kochhar 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.03% MC
95 SCO David Law 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.9% 0.68% MC
96 AUS Sam Brazel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.69% 0.47% T45
97 POR Pedro Figueiredo 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.34% 0.12% MC
98 IND Udayan Mane 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.11% MC
99 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.91% 0.72% MC
100 AUS Jason Norris 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.53% 0.34% MC
101 IND Jyoti Randhawa 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.25% MC
102 THA Tirawat Kaewsiribandit 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.25% 67
103 IND M. Dharma 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.1% MC
104 SRI N Thangaraja 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.92% 0.76% MC
105 AUS Daniel Nisbet 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.67% 0.51% T54
106 ENG David Howell 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.64% 0.49% MC
107 SGP Mardan Mamat 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.63% 0.47% MC
108 CAN Richard T Lee 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.57% 0.41% WD
109 SRI Mithun Perera 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.48% 0.32% MC
110 KOR Rahil Gangjee 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.45% 0.29% T69
111 THA Natipong Srithong 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% MC
112 KOR Minchel Choi 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
113 IND Shankar Das 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% MC
114 IND Om Prakash Chouhan 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% MC
115 BAN MD Zamal Hossain Mollah 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% MC
116 SRI Anura Rohana 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.2% 0.04% MC
117 AUS David Gleeson 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.47% 0.34% MC
118 TPE Chan Shih-chang 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.44% 0.31% MC
119 IND Mukesh Kumar 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
120 SWE Malcolm Kokocinski 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
121 IND Matloob Ahmed 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.71% 0.64% MC
122 IND Kapil Kumar 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
123 IND Divyanshu Bajaj 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.23% 0.16% MC
124 IND Shubhankar Sharma 0% 0% 0.79% 0% T27
125 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.6% 0% T45
126 THA Rattanon Wannasrichan 0% 0% 0.58% 0% T45
127 IND Honney Baisoya 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC
128 IND Chiragh Kumar 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 28.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...