Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 37.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 19.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 211.7

Total Profit: +111.6

Qatar Masters

07/03/2019 - 10/03/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 11 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.05% 2.41% -3.64% MC
2 ENG Tom Lewis 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.46% 3.24% -0.21% MC
3 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.46% 1.25% -2.2% T62
4 SWE Alexander Bjork 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 1.8% -0.7% T48
5 FRA Victor Dubuisson 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 0.98% -1.52% WD
6 ENG Ross Fisher 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 1.61% -0.52% T55
7 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.13% 1.02% -1.12% T2
8 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 0.9% -1.23% T11
9 ESP Jorge Campillo 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.13% 0.8% -1.34% T2
10 ENG Chris Paisley 40 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.77% 1.45% -0.32% T48
11 ENG Aaron Rai 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.17% -0.6% MC
12 BEL Thomas Detry 40 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 0.67% -1.1% T11
13 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.58% 1.38% -0.2% MC
14 ESP Adrian Otaegui 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 1.33% -0.24% T38
15 FRA Clement Sordet 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 0.93% -0.65% MC
16 RSA Justin Harding 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.72% 0.3% 1 6.23 +193.1
17 USA Kurt Kitayama 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.55% 0.13% T20 6.23
18 ENG Chris Wood 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% 1.41% -0.02% MC 6.23
19 USA David Lipsky 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.08% -0.34% MC
20 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.08% -0.35% T27
21 ITA Andrea Pavan 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 0.93% -0.49% MC
22 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.08% 1.28% 0.2% T48 4.74
23 AUT Matthias Schwab 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.17% 0.09% T31 4.74
24 ENG Andy Sullivan 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.08% -0.01% T11 4.74
25 FRA Victor Perez 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.97% -0.11% MC 4.74
26 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.9% -0.18% T38
27 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.88% -0.2% MC
28 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.88% -0.21% T27
29 USA Sean Crocker 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.85% -0.24% MC
30 WAL Bradley Dredge 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.84% -0.24% T18
31 RSA Zander Lombard 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.81% -0.28% MC
32 RSA George Coetzee 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.74% -0.34% T2
33 SWE Marcus Kinhult 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.72% -0.36% MC
34 AUS Minwoo Lee 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.7% -0.38% T20
35 RSA Brandon Stone 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.62% -0.46% T69
36 GER Maximilian Kieffer 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.08% 0.61% -0.48% T14
37 RSA Erik van Rooyen 70 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 0.88% -0.14% T2 (tied w/9) 4.47 +18.6
38 AUS Scott Hend 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.99% 0.1% MC 3.92
39 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.91% 0.02% T31 3.92
40 ESP Adria Arnaus 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.91% 0.02% T14 3.92
41 ENG David Horsey 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.89% -0.01% T72 3.92
42 RSA Thomas Aiken 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.79% -0.11% T48 3.92
43 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.72% -0.18% T18 3.92
44 RSA Dean Burmester 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.67% -0.22% MC
45 ENG Paul Waring 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.54% -0.35% T55
46 FRA Benjamin Hebert 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.89% 0.09% MC 3.49
47 ENG Robert Rock 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.85% 0.05% T55 3.49
48 ENG Ashley Chesters 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.65% -0.14% T62 3.49
49 ENG Matthew Southgate 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.57% -0.23% T42
50 JPN Hideto Tanihara 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.94% 0.22% MC 3.15
51 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.52% -0.2% T55
52 MAS Gavin Green 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.39% -0.33% T31
53 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.35% -0.37% T14
54 SWE Peter Hanson 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% 1.09% 0.44% MC 2.86
55 SCO David Drysdale 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% 0.95% 0.3% WD 2.86
56 THA Thongchai Jaidee 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.16% 0.58% T72 2.52
57 FRA Matthieu Pavon 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.7% 0.13% MC 2.52
58 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.59% 0.02% MC 2.52
59 ESP Alvaro Quiros 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.55% -0.03% MC 2.52
60 KOR Jeunghun Wang 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.46% -0.12% MC 2.52
61 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.14% MC 2.52
62 FRA Romain Wattel 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.9% 0.42% MC
63 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.75% 0.27% T20
64 AUS Jake McLeod 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.74% 0.26% T20
65 SCO Robert MacIntyre 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.7% 0.22% T31
66 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.66% 0.18% MC
67 SCO Marc Warren 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.54% 0.06% MC
68 ENG Oliver Fisher 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.5% 0.02% T31
69 RSA Justin Walters 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.48% 0% T27
70 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.25% -0.23% T2
71 RSA Haydn Porteous 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.69% 0.24% MC
72 AUS Nick Cullen 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.44% -0.01% T14
73 ENG Oliver Wilson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 1.03% 0.62% T2
74 IRL Gavin Moynihan 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% MC
75 ITA Nino Bertasio 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.35% -0.06% MC
76 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.73% 0.36% T2
77 AUS Deyen Lawson 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.59% 0.23% T55
78 POR Ricardo Gouveia 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.51% 0.15% MC
79 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.49% 0.13% T55
80 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% MC
81 SCO Richie Ramsay 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.45% 0.08% T69
82 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.32% -0.04% T42
83 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.86% 0.54% MC
84 SCO Grant Forrest 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.65% 0.33% T69
85 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.4% 0.08% T42
86 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 250 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.86% 0.57% T20
87 SWE Niklas Lemke 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.71% 0.42% MC
88 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.65% 0.36% MC
89 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T48
90 ENG Lee Slattery 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.56% 0.27% T31
91 SWE Anton Karlsson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.54% 0.25% T2
92 ENG Jack Singh Brar 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% MC
93 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.46% 0.17% MC
94 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.43% 0.14% T20
95 FRA Adrien Saddier 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.41% 0.12% T27
96 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% MC
97 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% T38
98 ESP Scott Fernandez 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.31% 0.03% MC
99 USA Charlie Saxon 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.14% -0.15% MC
100 SCO Paul Lawrie 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 3.18% 2.94% MC
101 SWE Robert Karlsson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.85% 0.61% T62
102 ITA Edoardo Molinari 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.63% 0.39% MC
103 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.6% 0.36% MC
104 FIN Kim Koivu 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.56% 0.32% T62
105 FIN Kalle Samooja 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.52% 0.28% T48
106 KOR Jinho Choi 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.47% 0.22% T2
107 DEN Thomas Bjorn 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.83% 0.62% T42
108 SCO David Law 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.72% 0.51% MC
109 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% MC
110 ENG Ben Evans 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.55% 0.34% MC
111 ENG Steven Brown 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.47% 0.27% MC
112 CHI Hugo Leon 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% T42
113 ENG Tom Murray 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.48% 0.3% T42
114 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.38% 0.2% T20
115 AUS Sam Brazel 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.59% 0.44% MC
116 GER Bernd Ritthammer 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% MC
117 ENG David Howell 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.37% 0.22% MC
118 SWE Per Langfors 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.2% MC
119 KOR Hyowon Park 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.2% MC
120 NOR Espen Kofstad 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.14% MC
121 WAL Stuart Manley 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.12% T62
122 POL Adrian Meronk 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.17% 0.03% MC
123 SCO Liam Johnston 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.66% 0.54% T38
124 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.53% 0.41% T55
125 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.45% 0.33% T62
126 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.36% 0.24% 68
127 ENG Daniel Gavins 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.13% MC
128 ESP David Borda Antonana 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.07% MC
129 ITA Guido Migliozzi 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
130 ENG Scott Gregory 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.08% MC
131 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% MC
132 SCO Sam Locke 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
133 SWE Niclas Johansson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.05% T31
134 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.35% 0.3% MC
135 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.83% 0% MC
136 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.41% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 37.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 19.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...