Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 99.6

Total Profit: -.5

John Deere Classic

11/07/2019 - 14/07/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NOR Viktor Hovland 20 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.62% 1.29% -2.33% T16
2 USA Collin Morikawa 20 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.62% 0.9% -2.73% T4
3 KOR Sungjae Im 25 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.93% 1.56% -1.36% T26
4 USA Brian Harman 25 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.93% 1.28% -1.65% T26
5 CHI Joaquin Niemann 25 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.93% 1.16% -1.77% T10
6 USA Matthew Wolff 25 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.93% 0.97% -1.96% T37
7 USA Lucas Glover 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% 1.98% -0.64% T10
8 USA Charles Howell III 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% 1.43% -1.19% T6
9 USA Daniel Berger 30 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.45% 1.38% -1.07% T33
10 USA Ryan Moore 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.24% 1.4% -0.84% T18
11 USA Zach Johnson 33 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.24% 1.07% -1.16% T37
12 USA Kyle Stanley 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.33% -0.33% T18
13 USA Sam Burns 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 1.23% -0.42% MC
14 USA Wyndham Clark 45 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 0.97% -0.69% T71
15 USA Bud Cauley 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.07% -0.42% T18
16 USA Kevin Tway 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.78% -0.71% MC
17 USA Scott Brown 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% 1.02% -0.34% MC
18 USA Troy Merritt 60 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 0.83% -0.42% MC
19 USA Vaughn Taylor 66 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 1.28% 0.14% T6 (tied w/4) 5.02 +11
20 USA Cameron Tringale 66 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 1.21% 0.07% T16 5.02
21 SCO Martin Laird 66 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 1.19% 0.06% T37 5.02
22 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.12% -0.01% T37 5.02
23 USA JT Poston 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.01% -0.13% MC
24 USA Joel Dahmen 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 0.86% -0.28% MC
25 USA Sam Ryder 66 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 0.72% -0.42% T18
26 USA Bronson Burgoon 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.54% -0.6% T47
27 USA Ryan Palmer 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 1.27% 0.2% T18 4.73
28 USA Jason Dufner 70 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.07% 1.26% 0.19% MC 4.73
29 USA Nate Lashley 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.07% 1.03% -0.04% T26 4.73
30 USA Denny McCarthy 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.8% -0.27% MC
31 NZL Danny Lee 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.31% 0.37% MC 4.15
32 USA Peter Malnati 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.26% 0.32% T56 4.15
33 USA Beau Hossler 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.08% 0.14% T26 4.15
34 USA Nick Watney 80 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.98% 0.05% T6 (tied w/4) 4.15 +10.9
35 USA Mackenzie Hughes 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.89% -0.05% MC 4.15
36 USA Pat Perez 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.82% -0.12% T37
37 USA Harold Varner III 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.71% -0.23% T53
38 RSA Dylan Frittelli 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.65% -0.28% 1
39 AUT Sepp Straka 85 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.16% 0.88% 0.63% -0.26% T26
40 CAN Nick Taylor 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 1.22% 0.38% T33 3.7
41 USA Brian Stuard 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.93% 0.09% MC 3.7
42 USA Talor Gooch 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.81% -0.03% T74 3.7
43 USA Cameron Champ 90 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% 0.44% -0.39% MC
44 USA Doc Redman 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.11% 0.35% T37 3.33
45 MEX Carlos Ortiz 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.88% 0.13% MC 3.33
46 USA Johnson Wagner 100 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.8% 0.04% T37 3.33
47 USA Joey Garber 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.62% -0.13% T74
48 USA Austin Cook 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.37% -0.38% T67
49 CAN Roger Sloan 110 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.69% 0.52% -0.17% T10
50 USA Michael Thompson 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.52% 0.91% T37 2.67
51 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.03% 0.43% MC 2.67
52 AUS Matt Jones 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.98% 0.38% MC 2.67
53 USA Shawn Stefani 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.97% 0.37% T33 2.67
54 USA Ryan Armour 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.74% 0.14% MC 2.67
55 USA Russell Henley 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.68% 0.08% 2 2.67 +43.1
56 USA Andrew Landry 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.66% 0.06% 3 2.67 +34.7
57 USA Hank Lebioda 125 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.64% 0.04% MC 2.67
58 USA Brice Garnett 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.58% -0.02% T37 2.67
59 USA Zack Sucher 150 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.95% 0.44% T56
60 ENG Luke Donald 150 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% T56
61 USA Robert Streb 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.64% 0.14% MC
62 USA Matt Every 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.63% 0.13% MC
63 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.63% 0.13% T18
64 GER Stephan Jaeger 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.52% 0.02% WD
65 USA Peter Uihlein 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.55% 0.08% DQ
66 USA Adam Long 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 1.07% 0.63% T53
67 MEX Roberto Diaz 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.72% 0.29% T74
68 USA Trey Mullinax 175 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.67% 0.24% MC
69 COL Sebastian Munoz 175 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.6% 0.17% T37
70 USA Wes Roach 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.56% 0.13% T10
71 USA Alex Prugh 175 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.55% 0.11% MC
72 USA Kramer Hickok 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.52% 0.09% MC
73 USA Bill Haas 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.33% -0.11% T10
74 CAN David Hearn 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.26% -0.17% MC
75 USA Jonathan Byrd 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.78% 0.4% MC
76 USA Tom Hoge 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.72% 0.34% MC
77 USA Josh Teater 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.65% 0.27% T67
78 USA Sam Saunders 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.64% 0.26% T10
79 USA Roberto Castro 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.61% 0.23% T26
80 USA Ollie Schniederjans 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.46% 0.08% T47
81 AUS Curtis Luck 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.38% 0.01% MC
82 USA Chase Wright 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.37% -0.01% MC
83 CAN Adam Svensson 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.37% -0.01% T18
84 ARG Andres Romero 225 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.34% 0.59% 0.26% MC
85 USA Adam Schenk 225 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.58% 0.24% T6
86 USA Kelly Kraft 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.77% 0.46% 66
87 USA Chris Stroud 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.76% 0.45% T4
88 ARG Fabian Gomez 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.68% 0.38% MC
89 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.65% 0.34% T47
90 USA Dominic Bozzelli 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.57% 0.27% MC
91 USA Ryan Blaum 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.53% 0.22% T56
92 IRL Seamus Power 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.49% 0.19% T61
93 USA Tyler Duncan 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% T26
94 USA Richy Werenski 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% T47
95 USA Stewart Cink 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.37% 0.07% T63
96 USA Brandon Harkins 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% T47
97 AUS Cameron Davis 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.31% 0.01% T53
98 USA John Catlin 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.29% -0.02% MC
99 USA D.J. Trahan 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% MC
100 USA Robert Garrigus 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.44% 0.19% MC
101 USA Scott Langley 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.44% 0.18% MC
102 CAN Benjamin Silverman 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% MC
103 SWE David Lingmerth 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% MC
104 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.27% 0.02% MC
105 DEN Oliver Suhr 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.15% -0.1% MC
106 KOR Sangmoon Bae 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.5% 0.29% T47
107 USA Cody Gribble 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% MC
108 USA Martin Piller 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.11% T71
109 USA Hunter Mahan 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.8% 0.61% MC
110 USA Billy Hurley III 400 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.59% 0.4% T63
111 USA Boo Weekley 400 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.54% 0.35% MC
112 USA Chad Campbell 400 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.47% 0.28% 80
113 GER Alex Cejka 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% MC
114 KOR Meenwhee Kim 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% T63
115 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
116 USA Brendon Todd 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T18
117 IND Arjun Atwal 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.81% 0.66% MC
118 AUS John Senden 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.62% 0.47% 70
119 SWE Freddie Jacobson 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% T33
120 USA Ricky Barnes 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% MC
121 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
122 USA Brady Schnell 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
123 USA J.J. Henry 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T61
124 USA Michael Kim 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
125 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
126 USA Derek Fathauer 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T67
127 USA Seth Reeves 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T74
128 ARG Julian Etulain 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.09% MC
129 CAN Austin Connelly 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
130 USA Kyle Jones 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
131 USA Austen Truslow 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% MC
132 USA Anders Albertson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% 79
133 USA George McNeill 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
134 USA Jim Herman 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.19% MC
135 USA Martin Trainer 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.18% MC
136 USA Chris Thompson 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.13% MC
137 USA Tom Lovelady 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.13% T56
138 USA Smylie Kaufman 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% MC
139 USA Tim Herron 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.42% 0.34% MC
140 USA Chad Collins 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
141 ENG Brian Davis 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
142 USA Dylan Meyer 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
143 KOR Hosung Choi 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.23% MC
144 SWE Daniel Chopra 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.23% MC
145 USA Parker McLachlin 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
146 USA Kris Blanks 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
147 USA John Chin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
148 USA Dicky Pride 1500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% T74
149 USA Will Claxton 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% MC
150 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.5% 0% T71
151 AUS Robert Allenby 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
152 USA Charlie Beljan 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
153 AUS Steve Allan 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...