Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 50.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 19.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 63.0

Total Profit: -37.2

RBC Heritage

18/04/2019 - 21/04/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 7 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 8.3% 4.46% -3.85% T28
2 ITA Francesco Molinari 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.43% 1.51% -2.92% MC
3 USA Bryson DeChambeau 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 3.91% 3.28% -0.63% MC
4 USA Xander Schauffele 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.16% 3.25% 0.08% T63
5 USA Patrick Cantlay 20 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.16% 1.64% -1.53% T3
6 USA Matt Kuchar 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.89% 2.97% 0.08% 2 12.39 +33.5
7 USA Jordan Spieth 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.89% 2.36% -0.52% T54
8 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.89% 1.46% -1.43% T25
9 USA Webb Simpson 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.56% 1.5% -1.05% T16
10 USA Kevin Kisner 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.29% 1.55% -0.74% T41
11 USA Jim Furyk 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 1.95% 1.96% 0.01% MC 8.38
12 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 1.95% 1.15% -0.8% T39
13 ENG Ian Poulter 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.85% 2.25% 0.41% T10 7.92
14 KOR Siwoo Kim 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.85% 1.46% -0.38% MC
15 KOR Byeong Hun An 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.44% 1.52% 0.07% MC 6.2
16 KOR Sungjae Im 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.44% 0.73% -0.72% MC
17 USA Charles Howell III 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.3% 1.72% 0.42% MC 5.59
18 USA Lucas Glover 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.3% 1.59% 0.29% MC 5.59
19 AUS Marc Leishman 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.3% 1.25% -0.05% T58
20 NIR Graeme McDowell 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.3% 1.12% -0.18% T48
21 RSA Branden Grace 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.3% 1.1% -0.2% T61
22 USA Jason Kokrak 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.3% 1% -0.3% T16
23 USA Ryan Moore 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.3% 0.82% -0.49% T41
24 AUS Cameron Smith 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.09% 1.11% 0.02% MC 4.68
25 ENG Luke Donald 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.09% 0.75% -0.34% T33
26 SCO Russell Knox 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.99% 1.27% 0.28% MC 4.26
27 USA Brandt Snedeker 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.99% 0.96% -0.03% T48
28 USA Charley Hoffman 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.99% 0.58% -0.41% T45
29 USA Billy Horschel 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% 1.56% 0.62% T45 4.02
30 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% 1.13% 0.2% T16 4.02
31 ENG Matt Wallace 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 1.31% 0.49% MC 3.52
32 MEX Abraham Ancer 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 0.95% 0.13% MC 3.52
33 AUS Aaron Baddeley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 0.87% 0.05% MC 3.52
34 USA Keith Mitchell 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 0.75% -0.07% MC
35 ARG Emiliano Grillo 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 0.69% -0.14% T33
36 RSA Justin Harding 85 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.16% 0.77% 1.18% 0.41% MC 3.32
37 ENG Eddie Pepperell 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% 0.58% -0.15% T16
38 USA Ollie Schniederjans 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% 0.35% -0.38% DQ
39 CAN Corey Conners 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 0.95% 0.29% MC 2.83
40 USA Zach Johnson 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 0.95% 0.29% T16 2.83
41 USA Luke List 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 0.93% 0.27% T41 2.83
42 USA Patton Kizzire 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 0.77% 0.11% T45 2.83
43 USA Kevin Na 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 0.73% 0.08% T10 2.83
44 USA Kevin Streelman 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 0.59% -0.07% T6
45 USA Bud Cauley 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.84% 0.31% T39 2.27
46 IRL Shane Lowry 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.67% 0.14% T3 (tied w/3) 2.27 +29.5
47 USA Russell Henley 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.61% 0.08% MC 2.27
48 USA Brian Harman 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.59% 0.06% MC 2.27
49 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.53% 0% T48
50 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.53% 0% T48
51 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.43% -0.1% T33
52 USA Daniel Berger 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.43% -0.1% T33
53 USA Beau Hossler 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.31% -0.21% MC
54 ENG Danny Willett 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 1.01% 0.57% MC
55 USA Andrew Putnam 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.87% 0.43% MC
56 SWE Alexander Noren 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.75% 0.31% T28
57 USA Bill Haas 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.71% 0.27% WD
58 USA Chez Reavie 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.67% 0.23% T28
59 USA Michael Thompson 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.64% 0.2% T10
60 USA Sam Burns 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.62% 0.18% 9
61 CAN Nick Taylor 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.62% 0.18% T58
62 USA JT Poston 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.62% 0.18% T6
63 USA Andrew Landry 150 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.44% 0.54% 0.1% T33
64 USA Brian Stuard 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.44% 0.54% 0.1% T16
65 USA Ryan Palmer 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.53% 0.09% T28
66 USA Scott Piercy 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.53% 0.09% T3
67 USA Joel Dahmen 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.52% 0.08% T16
68 USA Harold Varner III 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.52% 0.08% MC
69 RSA Charl Schwartzel 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.5% 0.06% MC
70 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.49% 0.05% T10
71 NZL Danny Lee 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.46% 0.02% T41
72 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.43% -0.01% T63
73 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.41% -0.03% MC
74 USA Austin Cook 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.4% -0.04% MC
75 USA Adam Schenk 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.37% -0.07% MC
76 TPE C.T. Pan 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.32% -0.12% 1
77 GER Martin Kaymer 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.85% 0.48% MC
78 SCO Martin Laird 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.36% -0.02% MC
79 USA Scott Brown 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.69% 0.36% MC
80 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.68% 0.34% 70
81 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.64% 0.31% T48
82 USA Brian Gay 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.58% 0.25% T54
83 USA Cameron Champ 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.56% 0.23% MC
84 USA Wyndham Clark 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.47% 0.14% T54
85 USA Chris Kirk 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.43% 0.1% MC
86 USA Nick Watney 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.4% 0.07% MC
87 RSA Ernie Els 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.39% 0.06% MC
88 USA J.J Spaun 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.27% -0.06% T28
89 USA Ryan Armour 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.29% 0.46% 0.17% T63
90 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.69% 0.43% MC
91 SWE Jonas Blixt 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.57% 0.31% MC
92 USA Jonathan Byrd 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.26% 0.55% 0.28% T48
93 USA Chris Stroud 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.55% 0.28% MC
94 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.5% 0.24% MC
95 USA D.J. Trahan 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.47% 0.21% MC
96 USA Peter Malnati 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.44% 0.17% T16
97 USA Trey Mullinax 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.4% 0.13% T16
98 USA Peter Uihlein 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.38% 0.12% MC
99 USA Kelly Kraft 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.38% 0.11% MC
100 USA Brice Garnett 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% MC
101 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.32% 0.06% T63
102 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% T10
103 USA Harris English 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.6% 0.38% T25
104 USA Stewart Cink 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.5% 0.28% MC
105 USA Ryan Blaum 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% MC
106 USA Richy Werenski 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% T58
107 USA Hudson Swafford 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.32% 0.1% T33
108 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.27% 0.05% WD
109 USA Boo Weekley 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.17% -0.05% T25
110 USA Sam Saunders 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.46% 0.27% MC
111 USA Morgan Hoffmann 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% MC
112 CAN Roger Sloan 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.3% 0.13% MC
113 KOR K.J. Choi 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.71% 0.57% T10
114 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.4% 0.27% MC
115 USA Adam Long 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.4% 0.27% MC
116 GER Alex Cejka 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
117 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
118 CAN Benjamin Silverman 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.27% 0.13% T67
119 IRL Seamus Power 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% T6
120 USA Brandon Harkins 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% T54
121 USA Tom Hoge 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
122 USA Mark Anderson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% 0.09% -0.04% MC
123 USA Cody Gribble 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% T67
124 USA Colt Knost 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
125 USA Michael Kim 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.21% 0.1% MC
126 USA Jim Herman 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
127 USA D.A. Points 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% MC
128 AUS Rod Pampling 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% MC
129 USA Scott Langley 0% 0% 0.39% 0% T61
130 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.29% 0% T67

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 50.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 19.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...