Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 661.2

Total Profit: +561.2

Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship

28/03/2019 - 31/03/2019

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.06% 2.28% -2.78% T26
2 KOR Sungjae Im 16 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.47% 2.13% -2.34% T7
3 USA Denny McCarthy 22 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.3% 1.2% -2.1% T26
4 CHI Joaquin Niemann 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.62% 1.11% -1.51% MC
5 USA Joel Dahmen 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.45% 1.48% -0.97% T12
6 RSA Charl Schwartzel 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 1.78% -0.45% T61 26.29
7 AUS Aaron Baddeley 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 1.74% -0.49% T7
8 AUS Matt Jones 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 1.25% -0.98% T18
9 USA Nate Lashley 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 0.93% -1.3% MC
10 USA Trey Mullinax 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 0.93% -1.3% T61
11 USA David Lipsky 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 2.35% 0.5% T22 21.8
12 NIR Graeme McDowell 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.85% 1.94% 0.09% 1 21.8 +566.8
13 BEL Thomas Detry 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.14% -0.71% T33
14 ARG Fabian Gomez 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 0.94% -0.91% MC
15 RSA Dylan Frittelli 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 1.55% -0.1% T18
16 SVK Rory Sabbatini 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.5% -0.15% T39
17 CAN Corey Conners 50 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.71% 0.22% MC 17.53
18 USA Brian Stuard 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.61% 0.12% MC
19 IRL Paul Dunne 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.44% -0.05% T12
20 USA Harris English 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 1.2% -0.29% T65
21 USA Kelly Kraft 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 1.35% 0% T5
22 USA Dominic Bozzelli 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 1.06% -0.3% T39
23 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 0.92% -0.44% T26
24 USA Sam Burns 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 0.9% -0.45% T12
25 USA Adam Schenk 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 0.69% -0.66% T33
26 USA Shawn Stefani 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 0.88% -0.37% T44
27 USA Johnson Wagner 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.44% 0.3% MC
28 SWE Jonas Blixt 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.34% 0.2% T22
29 USA Matt Every 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.2% 0.07% MC
30 CAN Roger Sloan 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.98% -0.16% MC
31 USA Peter Uihlein 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.92% -0.21% T22
32 ARG Julian Etulain 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.88% -0.26% T26
33 MEX Carlos Ortiz 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.85% -0.28% T39
34 USA Kramer Hickok 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.8% -0.33% T10
35 AUS Curtis Luck 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.65% -0.48% T52
36 USA Jonathan Byrd 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 1.6% 0.53% 4 12.59 +94.4
37 USA Hudson Swafford 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1% 1.1% 0.1% MC
38 USA Chris Stroud 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.01% 0.07% T2
39 USA Brice Garnett 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.89% -0.05% T39
40 PUR Rafael Campos 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.62% -0.32% MC
41 USA D.J. Trahan 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.92% 0.09% T10
42 COL Sebastian Munoz 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.77% -0.06% MC
43 MEX Roberto Diaz 90 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.68% -0.15% T44
44 AUT Sepp Straka 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.58% -0.25% T26
45 AUS Cameron Davis 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.56% -0.28% MC
46 USA Max Homa 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.91% 0.16% T52
47 USA Tom Hoge 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.6% -0.15% MC
48 IRL Seamus Power 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.51% -0.24% T44
49 USA Mackenzie Hughes 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.83% 0.15% T2
50 USA Hank Lebioda 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.71% 0.02% T61
51 USA Tyler Duncan 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.42% 0.81% T59
52 GER Alex Cejka 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.25% 0.65% MC
53 USA Hunter Mahan 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.16% 0.56% T52
54 USA Davis Love III 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.87% 0.27% MC
55 USA Ben Crane 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.76% 0.16% T33
56 CAN David Hearn 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.72% 0.12% T18
57 USA Brandon Harkins 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.63% 0.02% T44
58 USA Derek Fathauer 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.56% -0.04% T69
59 USA Josh Teater 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.55% -0.06% MC
60 CAN Benjamin Silverman 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.53% -0.07% T12
61 USA Seungsu Han 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.47% -0.13% T26
62 CAN Adam Svensson 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.47% -0.14% MC
63 USA Tom Lovelady 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.75% 0.21% MC
64 USA Anders Albertson 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.58% 0.04% MC
65 USA Robert Streb 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.18% 0.68% MC
66 ARG Andres Romero 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.96% 0.46% MC
67 KOR Sangmoon Bae 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.91% 0.41% T59
68 USA Cameron Tringale 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.83% 0.33% T52
69 USA Chad Campbell 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.69% 0.18% 73
70 SWE David Lingmerth 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.63% 0.13% MC
71 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.6% 0.09% MC
72 GER Stephan Jaeger 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.59% 0.09% T26
73 USA Chase Wright 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.55% 0.04% MC
74 USA Martin Piller 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.51% 0.01% T44
75 USA Grayson Murray 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.52% 0.05% T12
76 USA Seth Reeves 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.47% 0.38% -0.1% T18
77 USA Billy Hurley III 200 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 1.17% 0.79% MC
78 USA J.J. Henry 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.98% 0.6% MC
79 USA Jim Herman 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.59% 0.22% T61
80 USA John Chin 200 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.59% 0.21% T67
81 USA Kyle Jones 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.45% 0.08% MC
82 USA Alex Prugh 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.44% 0.06% T33
83 USA Wes Roach 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.43% 0.05% T44
84 USA Joey Garber 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.43% 0.05% T52
85 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.42% 0.04% MC
86 USA D.A. Points 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.21% 0.91% MC
87 AUS John Senden 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 1.04% 0.74% T67
88 USA Brady Schnell 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.97% 0.67% T12
89 USA Brendon Todd 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.73% 0.43% T39
90 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.81% 0.53% T44
91 RSA Trevor Immelman 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.77% 0.5% MC
92 USA Ricky Barnes 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.92% 0.67% MC
93 USA Jim Knous 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.12% T22
94 USA Chris Thompson 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.2% -0.05% MC
95 USA George McNeill 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.59% 0.37% T7
96 USA Tim Herron 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.37% 0.15% MC
97 USA Jason Bohn 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.63% 0.44% T69
98 ENG Brian Davis 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.58% 0.39% MC
99 USA John Merrick 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.47% 0.28% T52
100 USA Parker McLachlin 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% T65
101 AUS Robert Allenby 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.86% 0.71% MC
102 USA Dicky Pride 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.59% 0.44% MC
103 IND Arjun Atwal 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% MC
104 USA Troy Matteson 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% WD
105 USA Eric Axley 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% WD
106 USA Tommy Gainey 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
107 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% WD
108 USA Theo Humphrey 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
109 USA John Rollins 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.48% 0.38% MC
110 USA Omar Uresti 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% 74
111 SWE Daniel Chopra 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.92% 0.84% T33
112 USA Heath Slocum 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.57% 0.49% MC
113 USA Cameron Beckman 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.48% 0.4% MC
114 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.38% T44
115 USA David Duval 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% WD
116 USA Shane Bertsch 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
117 USA Zach Zaback 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.11% MC
118 USA Chip McDaniel 0% 0% 0.21% 0% T5

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...