Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 35.6

Total Profit: -64.5

BMW PGA CHAMPIONSHIP

24/05/2018 - 27/05/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 8 11.11% 8.67% 5.29% -3.38% 2
2 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 15 6.25% 4.88% 3.42% -1.46% T20
3 ENG Paul Casey 15 6.25% 4.88% 2.83% -2.05% T20
4 SWE Alexander Noren 15 6.25% 4.88% 2.41% -2.47% T3
5 RSA Branden Grace 15 6.25% 4.88% 2.04% -2.84% T5
6 ITA Francesco Molinari 22 4.35% 3.39% 1.85% -1.55% 1
7 ENG Ian Poulter 30 3.23% 2.52% 2.62% 0.1% T20 11.16
8 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 30 3.23% 2.52% 1.14% -1.38% T8
9 IRL Shane Lowry 31 3.13% 2.44% 1.21% -1.23% T15
10 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 35 2.78% 2.17% 1.06% -1.11% MC
11 IRL Paul Dunne 35 2.78% 2.17% 0.96% -1.21% MC
12 KOR Byeong Hun An 36 2.7% 2.11% 1.38% -0.72% T15
13 ENG Andy Sullivan 42 2.33% 1.82% 0.97% -0.85% T35
14 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 43 2.27% 1.77% 1.68% -0.09% T8 7.86
15 ENG Andrew Johnston 51 1.92% 1.5% 0.95% -0.55% MC
16 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 54 1.82% 1.42% 0.89% -0.53% T5
17 FRA Alexander Levy 55 1.79% 1.39% 0.85% -0.54% T52
18 NED Joost Luiten 56 1.75% 1.37% 1.22% -0.15% MC 6.07
19 ENG Ross Fisher 56 1.75% 1.37% 0.96% -0.41% T8
20 BEL Thomas Pieters 62 1.59% 1.24% 0.64% -0.6% MC
21 SWE Alexander Bjork 63 1.56% 1.22% 1.19% -0.03% T27 5.41
22 ESP Adrian Otaegui 65 1.52% 1.18% 1.76% 0.57% MC 5.24
23 ESP Jorge Campillo 69 1.43% 1.12% 1.48% 0.37% MC 4.94
24 GER Martin Kaymer 81 1.22% 0.95% 1.15% 0.19% MC 4.22
25 RSA Dylan Frittelli 86 1.15% 0.9% 1.65% 0.75% MC 3.98
26 ENG Lee Westwood 97 1.02% 0.8% 0.61% -0.19% T27 3.53
27 KOR Jeunghun Wang 100 0.99% 0.77% 0.78% 0.01% T52 3.43
28 ENG Chris Wood 102 0.97% 0.76% 0.45% -0.31% T27
29 RSA George Coetzee 104 0.95% 0.74% 1.04% 0.3% MC 3.3
30 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 105 0.94% 0.74% 0.92% 0.18% MC 3.27
31 ENG Eddie Pepperell 106 0.93% 0.73% 0.69% -0.04% T43 3.24
32 USA Julian Suri 106 0.93% 0.73% 0.4% -0.33% T43
33 NIR Graeme McDowell 108 0.92% 0.72% 0.72% 0.01% T12 3.18
34 JPN Hideto Tanihara 108 0.92% 0.72% 0.56% -0.16% T35 3.18
35 ENG Matt Wallace 111 0.89% 0.7% 0.83% 0.13% T20 3.09
36 ENG Chris Paisley 112 0.88% 0.69% 1.08% 0.39% MC 3.06
37 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 113 0.88% 0.68% 0.58% -0.1% MC 3.04
38 SWE Joakim Lagergren 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.84% 0.2% MC 2.86
39 ENG Jordan L Smith 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.54% -0.1% MC 2.86
40 BEL Thomas Detry 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.45% -0.2% T43
41 FRA Benjamin Hebert 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.98% 0.38% T35 2.64
42 ESP Nacho Elvira 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.63% 0.04% MC 2.64
43 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.63% 0.03% T3 (tied w/2) 2.64 +35.6
44 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.5% -0.1% T60 2.64
45 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.46% -0.14% MC 2.64
46 FRA Julien Guerrier 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.3% -0.3% MC
47 ITA Andrea Pavan 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.7% 0.19% T52
48 ENG Aaron Rai 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.67% 0.16% MC
49 USA Harold Varner III 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.63% 0.11% MC
50 RSA Richard Sterne 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.78% 0.29% MC
51 RSA Erik van Rooyen 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.5% 0.02% T20
52 FIN Mikko Ilonen 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.54% 0.11% MC
53 ENG Paul Waring 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.54% 0.11% T52
54 RSA Dean Burmester 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.43% 0% T12
55 SCO Richie Ramsay 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.42% -0.01% T35
56 SCO Stephen Gallacher 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.66% 0.25% T52
57 ESP Alvaro Quiros 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.55% 0.16% MC
58 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.44% 0.05% T15
59 ENG Callum Shinkwin 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.39% 0% MC
60 NZL Ryan Fox 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.63% 0.26% T43
61 IRL Padraig Harrington 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.52% 0.15% MC
62 ENG Sam Horsfield 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.35% -0.02% T15
63 RSA Thomas Aiken 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.33% -0.04% MC
64 ITA Matteo Manassero 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.69% 0.34% T27
65 FRA Romain Wattel 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.54% 0.21% MC
66 ENG Matthew Southgate 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.53% 0.2% T27
67 SCO Marc Warren 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.53% 0.19% T60
68 ENG Robert Rock 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.48% 0.14% T20
69 GER Maximilian Kieffer 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.41% 0.1% 42
70 DEN Jeff Winther 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.59% 0.29% MC
71 ENG David Horsey 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
72 USA David Lipsky 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.45% 0.16% T27
73 RSA Brandon Stone 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.44% 0.15% T60
74 AUS Scott Hend 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.4% 0.11% MC
75 RSA Haydn Porteous 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% T43
76 ENG Oliver Fisher 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.65% 0.37% MC
77 ITA Renato Paratore 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% MC
78 ENG Danny Willett 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.54% 0.28% MC
79 CAN Austin Connelly 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.48% 0.21% MC
80 RSA Ernie Els 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.71% 0.45% MC
81 WAL Jamie Donaldson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.66% 0.4% MC
82 FIN Mikko Korhonen 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.52% 0.26% T15
83 AUS Andrew Dodt 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% 51
84 ITA Edoardo Molinari 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.5% 0.24% MC
85 WAL Bradley Dredge 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% MC
86 ITA Nino Bertasio 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% T60
87 AUS Marcus Fraser 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% MC
88 ENG Steven Brown 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.38% 0.12% MC
89 KOR Soomin Lee 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% MC
90 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% T20
91 SCO Scott Jamieson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.03% MC
92 MAS Gavin Green 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.26% 0% T52
93 KOR Jinho Choi 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% MC
94 FRA Gregory Havret 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.49% 0.3% MC
95 SWE Marcus Kinhult 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.46% 0.26% T12
96 AUS Jason Scrivener 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.25% MC
97 DEN Thomas Bjorn 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.23% MC
98 FRA Sebastien Gros 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% T27
99 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.19% MC
100 SWE Peter Hanson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.18% MC
101 POR Ricardo Gouveia 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% MC
102 ENG James Morrison 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% MC
103 FRA Matthieu Pavon 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.16% T64
104 FRA Gregory Bourdy 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.16% MC
105 ESP Pedro Oriol 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.14% MC
106 ENG Lee Slattery 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.12% MC
107 ENG Ryan Evans 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% MC
108 ENG Chris Hanson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% MC
109 SCO David Drysdale 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% MC
110 AUS Wade Ormsby 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.04% MC
111 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.04% MC
112 THA Thongchai Jaidee 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.2% 0% T8
113 AUS Brett Rumford 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.64% 0.49% MC
114 GER Marcel Siem 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.56% 0.41% MC
115 SWE Robert Karlsson 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.54% 0.38% MC
116 FRA Clement Sordet 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.48% 0.33% MC
117 RSA Darren Fichardt 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.41% 0.26% 7
118 ARG Andres Romero 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.24% MC
119 ENG James Heath 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.18% 68
120 DEN Lasse Jensen 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% T27
121 ESP Scott Fernandez 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% T43
122 ENG Ashley Chesters 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.1% MC
123 KOR Rakhyun Cho 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.09% T64
124 SWE Jens Dantorp 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% T35
125 ENG David Howell 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% MC
126 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
127 AUS Sam Brazel 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% MC
128 RSA Zander Lombard 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
129 WAL Oliver Farr 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.38% 0.28% MC
130 ENG Richard Bland 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% T35
131 FRA Adrien Saddier 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.22% T35
132 AUS Adam Bland 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
133 ENG Daniel Brooks 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% 67
134 USA Chase Koepka 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
135 USA Daniel Im 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
136 ESP Carlos Pigem 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.06% MC
137 RSA Trevor Immelman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% T58
138 AUS Jason Norris 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
139 SUI Robert Coles 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
140 SCO Bradley Neil 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T58
141 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 1.15% 0% T43
142 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 1.01% 0% WD
143 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0.93% 0% T43
144 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.77% 0% MC
145 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.59% 0% T64
146 ENG Charlie Ford 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
147 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
148 SCO Paul O'Hara 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...