Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 37.9

Total Profit: -62.3

Andalucia Valderrama Masters hosted by the Sergio Garcia Foundation

19/10/2017 - 22/10/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 5 16.67% 13.2% 4.77% -8.44% MC
2 ESP Sergio Garcia 5 16.67% 13.2% 3.92% -9.28% 1
3 IRL Shane Lowry 16 5.88% 4.66% 3.2% -1.46% T12
4 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 17 5.56% 4.4% 0.83% -3.57% T18
5 GER Martin Kaymer 22 4.35% 3.44% 1.85% -1.6% T27
6 NED Joost Luiten 23 4.17% 3.3% 1.25% -2.05% 2
7 ENG Andy Sullivan 46 2.13% 1.69% 1.59% -0.1% T18
8 FRA Gregory Bourdy 46 2.13% 1.69% 1.15% -0.54% MC
9 ESP Nacho Elvira 49 2% 1.58% 1.1% -0.48% MC
10 ESP Alejandro Canizares 51 1.92% 1.52% 1% -0.52% T36
11 ENG Andrew Johnston 55 1.79% 1.41% 0.91% -0.5% T23
12 ENG Matt Wallace 56 1.75% 1.39% 1.47% 0.08% T18 6.3
13 ITA Nino Bertasio 57 1.72% 1.37% 1.13% -0.23% T8
14 GER Maximilian Kieffer 62 1.59% 1.26% 1.1% -0.15% MC
15 SWE Joakim Lagergren 65 1.52% 1.2% 0.96% -0.24% MC
16 USA Julian Suri 68 1.45% 1.15% 1.31% 0.17% T8 5.2
17 SWE Alexander Bjork 70 1.41% 1.12% 0.96% -0.16% MC
18 SCO Stephen Gallacher 71 1.39% 1.1% 1.1% 0% MC
19 WAL Jamie Donaldson 72 1.37% 1.09% 2.55% 1.47% 4 4.92 +37.9
20 CAN Austin Connelly 72 1.37% 1.09% 1.17% 0.09% T54 4.92
21 FRA Romain Wattel 80 1.23% 0.98% 1.28% 0.3% MC 4.43
22 IRL Padraig Harrington 80 1.23% 0.98% 1.02% 0.04% T27 4.43
23 FRA Gregory Havret 81 1.22% 0.97% 1.13% 0.17% MC 4.38
24 SWE Robert Karlsson 86 1.15% 0.91% 1.23% 0.32% MC 4.13
25 ENG Aaron Rai 86 1.15% 0.91% 0.51% -0.4% T8
26 ESP Adrian Otaegui 87 1.14% 0.9% 1.57% 0.67% T12 4.08
27 FIN Mikko Ilonen 90 1.1% 0.87% 1.54% 0.67% MC 3.95
28 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 90 1.1% 0.87% 1.38% 0.51% T12 3.95
29 SWE Peter Hanson 92 1.08% 0.85% 0.89% 0.04% T12
30 ENG Chris Hanson 93 1.06% 0.84% 0.84% 0% T18
31 ENG Robert Rock 99 1% 0.79% 1.26% 0.47% T8 3.59
32 ENG James Morrison 99 1% 0.79% 0.72% -0.07% T36
33 BEL Thomas Detry 103 0.96% 0.76% 0.76% 0% T36
34 ESP Jorge Campillo 104 0.95% 0.75% 0.98% 0.23% T36 3.42
35 FIN Mikko Korhonen 106 0.93% 0.74% 0.81% 0.07% MC 3.36
36 ENG Lee Slattery 107 0.93% 0.73% 1.16% 0.43% T48 3.33
37 GER Marcel Siem 111 0.89% 0.71% 1.53% 0.82% MC 3.21
38 CHI Felipe Aguilar 112 0.88% 0.7% 0.91% 0.21% 61 3.18
39 POR Ricardo Gouveia 112 0.88% 0.7% 0.64% -0.06% T23
40 ENG Richard Bland 113 0.88% 0.69% 0.88% 0.18% T30 3.15
41 ENG Ben Evans 114 0.87% 0.69% 0.93% 0.24% T36 3.12
42 ENG Danny Willett 114 0.87% 0.69% 0.62% -0.07% T18
43 WAL Bradley Dredge 115 0.86% 0.68% 0.97% 0.29% T48 3.1
44 GER Florian Fritsch 115 0.86% 0.68% 0.84% 0.16% T36 3.1
45 SCO Connor Syme 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.91% 0.26% 64 2.97
46 ENG Chris Paisley 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.73% 0.08% MC 2.97
47 ENG Tom Lewis 130 0.76% 0.6% 1.35% 0.74% MC 2.74
48 ENG Oliver Fisher 130 0.76% 0.6% 1.16% 0.56% T12 2.74
49 AUS Jason Scrivener 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.99% 0.38% T27 2.74
50 ENG Ashley Chesters 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.86% 0.26% T12 2.74
51 ITA Matteo Manassero 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.91% 0.39% T30
52 ARG Andres Romero 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.81% 0.28% T54
53 FRA Joel Stalter 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.55% 0.02% MC
54 FRA Julien Quesne 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.82% 0.33% MC
55 SWE Johan Carlsson 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.75% 0.26% MC
56 AUS Wade Ormsby 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.51% 0.01% 5
57 SCO Scott Jamieson 180 0.55% 0.44% 1.16% 0.73% T6
58 GER Bernd Ritthammer 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.73% 0.29% T48
59 USA Daniel Im 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.43% 0.01% MC
60 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.68% 0.28% T30
61 ENG Steve Webster 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.62% 0.23% MC
62 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.6% 0.21% MC
63 ENG Paul Waring 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.55% 0.16% T30
64 ITA Renato Paratore 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.69% 0.31% T23
65 DEN Anders Hansen 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.75% 0.39% T6
66 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.56% 0.22% T30
67 ESP Carlos Pigem 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% T36
68 USA Paul Peterson 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.7% 0.39% T46
69 SWE Pontus Widegren 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.02% MC
70 ESP Pep Angles Ros 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% T54
71 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.42% 0.11% T23
72 RSA Zander Lombard 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.73% 0.44% T36
73 ESP Alvaro Quiros 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.72% 0.43% MC
74 RSA Justin Walters 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.66% 0.36% T54
75 ENG David Howell 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.62% 0.33% MC
76 SWE Jens Fahrbring 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% T36
77 WAL Stuart Manley 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.37% 0.09% MC
78 DEN Lasse Jensen 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.75% 0.48% T36
79 SWE Johan Edfors 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.79% 0.52% MC
80 ENG Daniel Brooks 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.73% 0.47% 3
81 FRA Gary Stal 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.59% 0.32% MC
82 AUS Richard Green 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.5% 0.23% MC
83 ENG Mark Foster 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% 53
84 ENG Marcus Armitage 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.14% MC
85 ENG Laurie Canter 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% MC
86 ITA Edoardo Molinari 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.02% T58
87 SWE Magnus A Carlsson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.28% 0.01% MC
88 ENG Richard Finch 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.49% 0.3% T48
89 SCO Craig Lee 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
90 ENG Matthew Nixon 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
91 ENG Robert Dinwiddie 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.3% 0.11% T30
92 SWE Niclas Fasth 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.55% 0.4% MC
93 ARG Ricardo Gonzalez 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.48% 0.33% WD
94 ENG John Parry 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.46% 0.3% MC
95 SWE Michael Jonzon 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.42% 0.26% MC
96 ENG Gary Boyd 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% MC
97 FRA Damien Perrier 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% 62
98 ENG Jamie Rutherford 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% MC
99 ENG Nathan Kimsey 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.57% 0.44% MC
100 ENG Simon Khan 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.45% 0.32% MC
101 ENG Paul Maddy 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.22% MC
102 SWE Anton Karlsson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% T58
103 ENG Simon Dyson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
104 ENG Oliver Wilson 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.61% 0.51% 63
105 ESP Alvaro Velasco 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.44% 0.33% MC
106 ARG Rafael Echenique 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.4% 0.29% MC
107 ENG Steven Tiley 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% MC
108 SCO David Law 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.21% MC
109 FRA Sebastien Gros 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.17% MC
110 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.95% 0.87% MC
111 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 1.25% 0% T48
112 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 1.03% 0% MC
113 USA Sean Crocker 0% 0% 0.57% 0% T58
114 FRA Romain Langasque 0% 0% 0.42% 0% MC
115 ENG Sam Walker 0% 0% 0.4% 0% MC
116 ENG Alfie Plant 0% 0% 0.26% 0% T46
117 IRL Gary Hurley 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC
118 ENG Gary King 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC
119 SWE Niclas Johansson 0% 0% 0.17% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...