Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 49.3

Total Profit: -50.9

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship

05/10/2017 - 08/10/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 6 14.29% 11.25% 2.45% -8.79% T63
2 IRL Shane Lowry 21 4.55% 3.58% 1.64% -1.94% T25
3 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 22 4.35% 3.42% 1.04% -2.39% 1
4 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 24 4% 3.15% 2.7% -0.45% T25
5 RSA Branden Grace 25 3.85% 3.03% 1.45% -1.58% T47
6 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 27 3.57% 2.81% 1.23% -1.58% T15
7 IRL Paul Dunne 32 3.03% 2.39% 1.13% -1.26% T7
8 ENG Lee Westwood 36 2.7% 2.13% 1.89% -0.24% MC
9 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 36 2.7% 2.13% 0.75% -1.38% MC
10 GER Martin Kaymer 44 2.22% 1.75% 1.82% 0.07% T36 7.53
11 RSA George Coetzee 44 2.22% 1.75% 1.13% -0.62% T47
12 SCO Richie Ramsay 50 1.96% 1.54% 1.36% -0.18% WD 6.64
13 ENG Ross Fisher 54 1.82% 1.43% 1.04% -0.39% 2
14 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 56 1.75% 1.38% 1.28% -0.1% MC 5.94
15 RSA Richard Sterne 56 1.75% 1.38% 0.94% -0.44% T59
16 USA J.B. Holmes 57 1.72% 1.36% 1.26% -0.1% T59 5.84
17 NED Joost Luiten 59 1.67% 1.31% 0.78% -0.53% T36
18 ENG Eddie Pepperell 61 1.61% 1.27% 1.07% -0.2% T7 (tied w/5) 5.46 +7.2
19 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 64 1.54% 1.21% 0.78% -0.43% T15
20 ENG Graeme Storm 70 1.41% 1.11% 0.8% -0.31% T36
21 SCO Marc Warren 71 1.39% 1.09% 0.76% -0.33% T4
22 NZL Ryan Fox 73 1.35% 1.06% 0.8% -0.26% MC
23 USA Julian Suri 73 1.35% 1.06% 0.71% -0.35% MC
24 ENG David Horsey 79 1.25% 0.98% 1% 0.02% T36 4.24
25 KOR Byeong Hun An 79 1.25% 0.98% 0.87% -0.12% MC 4.24
26 IRL Padraig Harrington 80 1.23% 0.97% 0.66% -0.31% MC
27 NIR Graeme McDowell 84 1.18% 0.93% 0.74% -0.19% T15 3.99
28 BEL Thomas Detry 85 1.16% 0.92% 0.37% -0.55% MC
29 SWE Joakim Lagergren 91 1.09% 0.86% 0.43% -0.43% T12
30 ESP Nacho Elvira 97 1.02% 0.8% 0.7% -0.1% MC 3.46
31 FIN Mikko Ilonen 99 1% 0.79% 0.94% 0.15% T47 3.39
32 GER Florian Fritsch 100 0.99% 0.78% 0.58% -0.2% MC
33 FRA Alexander Levy 101 0.98% 0.77% 1.13% 0.36% T7 (tied w/5) 3.32 +7
34 ENG Jordan L Smith 105 0.94% 0.74% 0.91% 0.16% MC 3.2
35 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 106 0.93% 0.74% 0.65% -0.08% MC 3.17
36 ENG Matthew Southgate 108 0.92% 0.72% 0.83% 0.11% MC 3.11
37 SCO Stephen Gallacher 110 0.9% 0.71% 0.93% 0.22% T12 3.05
38 AUS Scott Hend 112 0.88% 0.7% 1.51% 0.82% MC 3
39 ENG Callum Shinkwin 112 0.88% 0.7% 0.28% -0.42% MC
40 SWE Alexander Bjork 113 0.88% 0.69% 0.58% -0.11% MC 2.97
41 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.94% 0.29% MC 2.8
42 FRA Victor Dubuisson 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.79% 0.14% 3 2.8 +35
43 ENG Lee Slattery 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.73% 0.08% MC 2.8
44 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.59% -0.07% T56 2.8
45 ENG Chris Hanson 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.57% -0.08% MC 2.8
46 FRA Romain Wattel 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.51% -0.14% T15 2.8
47 CAN Austin Connelly 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.51% -0.14% MC 2.8
48 RSA Dean Burmester 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.51% -0.14% MC 2.8
49 ESP Adrian Otaegui 130 0.76% 0.6% 1.08% 0.48% MC 2.59
50 WAL Bradley Dredge 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.5% -0.1% T25 2.59
51 KOR Jeunghun Wang 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.3% -0.3% T36
52 RSA Dylan Frittelli 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.86% 0.34% T36
53 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.71% 0.19% T25
54 THA Thongchai Jaidee 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.68% 0.15% MC
55 ENG Chris Paisley 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.42% -0.11% MC
56 WAL Jamie Donaldson 160 0.62% 0.49% 1.28% 0.79% MC
57 ENG Tom Lewis 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.88% 0.39% MC
58 SWE Robert Karlsson 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.66% 0.17% MC
59 FRA Benjamin Hebert 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.57% 0.08% T63
60 RSA Haydn Porteous 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.57% 0.08% T15
61 ENG Anthony Wall 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.65% 0.22% MC
62 ENG Matt Wallace 190 0.52% 0.41% 1.26% 0.85% T59
63 ENG Aaron Rai 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.38% -0.03% T25
64 SWE Rikard Karlberg 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.85% 0.46% MC
65 RSA Brandon Stone 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.72% 0.32% T15
66 GER Maximilian Kieffer 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.49% 0.1% MC
67 AUS Jason Scrivener 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.41% 0.02% T47
68 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.37% -0.02% T36
69 FRA Gregory Bourdy 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.79% 0.42% T4
70 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.49% 0.11% MC
71 GER Marcel Siem 220 0.45% 0.36% 1.06% 0.71% T15
72 ENG Robert Rock 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.92% 0.56% T4
73 ITA Renato Paratore 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.68% 0.32% MC
74 ENG James Morrison 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.62% 0.27% T25
75 ITA Matteo Manassero 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.53% 0.17% MC
76 FRA Matthieu Pavon 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.42% 0.06% MC
77 SCO David Drysdale 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.56% 0.22% T15
78 ITA Nino Bertasio 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.54% 0.2% T15
79 RSA Thomas Aiken 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.47% 0.13% MC
80 SWE Peter Hanson 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.43% 0.09% T25
81 FRA Joel Stalter 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.39% 0.05% MC
82 AUS Wade Ormsby 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.66% 0.34% MC
83 SCO Scott Jamieson 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.64% 0.33% MC
84 ENG Paul Waring 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.55% 0.23% MC
85 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.53% 0.22% MC
86 CHI Felipe Aguilar 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.47% 0.15% MC
87 ENG Richard Bland 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.45% 0.14% T47
88 ESP Jorge Campillo 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.39% 0.08% MC
89 SCO Paul Lawrie 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.29% -0.02% WD
90 AUS Andrew Dodt 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.79% 0.5% MC
91 GER Sebastian Heisele 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.65% 0.36% MC
92 FRA Gregory Havret 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.5% 0.21% T36
93 RSA Zander Lombard 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.41% 0.12% MC
94 RSA Ernie Els 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.76% 0.48% MC
95 ENG Oliver Fisher 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% T7
96 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.36% 0.08% T36
97 ENG Ben Evans 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.35% 0.07% T12
98 POR Ricardo Gouveia 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.59% 0.32% T36
99 RSA Justin Walters 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.48% 0.2% MC
100 RSA Darren Fichardt 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.44% 0.17% 67
101 RSA Jbe Kruger 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% MC
102 SWE Johan Carlsson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.63% 0.37% MC
103 AUS Marcus Fraser 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.58% 0.32% DQ
104 FRA Julien Quesne 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.23% T56
105 USA Paul Peterson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% MC
106 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.09% MC
107 USA Daniel Im 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% MC
108 ENG David Howell 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% MC
109 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.28% 0.01% MC
110 ITA Edoardo Molinari 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.73% 0.53% MC
111 AUS Stuart Appleby 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.54% 0.34% MC
112 DEN Anders Hansen 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.5% 0.31% MC
113 ESP Alvaro Quiros 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.48% 0.28% MC
114 DEN Thomas Bjorn 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.48% 0.28% MC
115 AUS Brett Rumford 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% MC
116 GER Bernd Ritthammer 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.42% 0.23% T25
117 AUS Sam Brazel 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% MC
118 DEN Lasse Jensen 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% T63
119 ESP Carlos Pigem 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
120 WAL Stuart Manley 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% MC
121 AUS Todd Sinnott 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.21% 0.01% MC
122 USA Patrick Newcomb 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.1% -0.1% MC
123 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.8% 0.64% T47
124 ENG Daniel Brooks 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% MC
125 RSA Anthony Michael 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% 68
126 FRA Damien Perrier 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% MC
127 AUS Ashley Hall 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.14% MC
128 ESP Pep Angles Ros 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% MC
129 IRL Gavin Moynihan 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% T47
130 SWE Magnus A Carlsson 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% MC
131 AUS Aron Price 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% MC
132 RSA Ulrich Van Den Berg 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.2% 0.05% T59
133 RSA Jaco Ahlers 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.2% 0.04% T47
134 RSA Oliver Bekker 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% MC
135 KOR Yikeun Chang 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.47% 0.34% MC
136 KOR Soomin Lee 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.41% 0.28% MC
137 ENG Marcus Armitage 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.4% 0.27% MC
138 SCO Grant Forrest 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% MC
139 ENG Laurie Canter 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% T36
140 AUS Rhein Gibson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.19% 0.05% T25
141 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.16% 0.03% MC
142 FRA Gary Stal 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.22% T25
143 FRA Sebastien Gros 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% MC
144 AUS Matthew Giles 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.11% 66
145 AUS Andrew Evans 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.11% 0% MC
146 AUS Nathan Holman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.25% MC
147 ENG Simon Dyson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
148 ENG Nathan Kimsey 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
149 THA Pavit Tangkamolprasert 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
150 SWE Niclas Fasth 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T25
151 AUS Stephen Leaney 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.12% MC
152 USA Matt Davidson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.03% MC
153 ENG Luke Donald 0% 0% 0.93% 0% T7
154 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.78% 0% MC
155 SWE Jens Fahrbring 0% 0% 0.44% 0% MC
156 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.42% 0% MC
157 SCO Connor Syme 0% 0% 0.35% 0% T15
158 FRA Romain Langasque 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
159 ENG Sam Walker 0% 0% 0.24% 0% MC
160 SCO Liam Johnston 0% 0% 0.24% 0% T47
161 ENG Jack Singh Brar 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC
162 ENG Alfie Plant 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
163 ITA Luca Cianchetti 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
164 ENG Scott Gregory 0% 0% 0.09% 0% T56

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...